Your morning shot of what's new in the world of real estate investing. Daily real estate investment outlook from investor, syndicator, developer and author Victor J. Menasce, so that you can compress timeframes as a real estate investor or developer. Weekday shows are 5 minutes of high energy, high impact awesomeness. The weekend edition consists of interviews with notable guests including Robert Kiyosaki, Robert Helms, Peter Schiff, Chris Martenson, Mark Victor Hansen, George Ross, Ed Griffin, Dr. Doug Duncan, and many more.
Could Artificial Intelligence Threaten Democracy?
On today’s show, we are talking about one of the implications of artificial intelligence that is not being widely discussed in the main stream media.
There are billions of people in the world. Designing and tailoring products for individuals has been largely ignored as even a remote possibility. It takes far too much effort. To develop custom products for each individual on the planet. We have lived much of the past century with products that are designed for the masses. If you think about a standard bell curve, what in statistics is called a normal distribution, product developers, and product marketing have been aiming at the average, and try to remain within one standard deviation from the average.
When marketers send messages to their target demographic, they tend to put them into buckets. This is also true when it comes to trends in voting. What matters to the Christian voter, to the hispanic voter, the indigenous voter, the immigrant voter, the African American voter, and so on.
Increasingly AI can be used to create messages that are not tailored to a group, but tailored to an individual.
The question is, could AI be used to influence an election result?
Price Fixing in Real Estate
On today’s show we are looking at the result of a lawsuit that has been decades in the making. I’ve wondered for a long time why real estate commissions in the US have remained solidly anchored at 6% when in other markets real estate commissions seem to fluctuate much more widely. For example, where I live in Canada, it’s much more common in high priced markets like Toronto to see commission structures where the selling agent is charging 1%-1.5%, and the buyer agent who has a lot more work to do in many cases charging 2.5% for a total of 4% or 4.5%.
In most professions there are two separate industry bodies. The first is a professional association that acts on behalf of the members. The second is a quasi government body that serves to regulate the industry and to enforce the licensing requirements. They also serve to protect the public. You see this dual structure in most professions whether we are talking about doctors, lawyers, psychologists, and also real estate agents.
The body that represents real estate agents is an industry body in the US called the National Association of Realtors.
A Kansas City jury last month delivered a $1.8 billion verdict to home sellers in Missouri against the National Association of Realtors and several major brokerages, finding they had conspired to keep commission rates high.
New York Real Estate with Bob Knakal
Bob Knakal is a senior executive at JLL in New York City. On today's show we are talking about some of the challenges facing real estate in the New York market. JLL is a large national commercial brokerage and the New York team is truly expert at what they do. You can connect with Bob at firstname.lastname@example.org
Host: Victor Menasce
Super Cycles with Chris Larsen
Chris Larsen is based in Asheville, North Carolina where he runs Next Level Income. On today's show we are talking about economic super-cycles. You can learn more or you can connect with Chris at nextlevelincome.com.
Host: Victor Menasce
Measure Twice, Cut Once
On today’s show we are talking about measurement diligence.
People are human and they make mistakes. Often these potential mistakes are not checked, double checked or triple checked. You have no doubt heard the mantra, measure twice, cut once.
Measuring sounds easy. In some ways it is. You take out your tape measure and you just measure.
Diligence requires attention to detail.
Those who make a lot of measurement errors are also prone to missing the details in a contract, or the details in a report. It requires a lot of focus and diligence to catch errors. If you think that errors are rare, you might be more prone to observer bias.
This brings me to the most overlooked role in any organization.
Quality assurance is a mandatory function in any business in my experience. The review process is a formal process that can’t be skipped. So often I work with consultants who aim to deliver their work on the deadline. They are assuming that there are no mistakes. They are assuming no review time in their schedule. If you actually do perform a review, you are guaranteed to be late. If you find an error, which is likely, then you are guaranteed to be even later than late.
I started today’s show talking about measuring. But measuring is a metaphor for any critical item. It could be a test result or a consultant report. Each time a consultant makes an error, it can result in delays in securing building permits or in redesign of the project. If people are not used to the review process, they might be inclined to charge extra for that service.
Host: Victor Menasce
The Conflicting Data Is Clear
Happy Thanksgiving to our listeners in the United States. We have lots to be thankful for. I’m personally thankful for a long list of things. I’m thankful for my health, for my family, for having the privilege of working with great people. I’m grateful for friendship and for you the listener to the podcast. I love listener questions.
On today show, we are looking at several leading indicators that are painting a much clearer picture of what’s happening in the economy then the shortlist of lagging indicators that the federal reserve references as meaningful in their committee meetings that are held a times a year.
The Federal Reserve is fixated on inflation, Gross, domestic product and unemployment. The only way to reduce wage and price increases is with a contraction in aggregate demand. However, government spending continues to grow with any contraction being disproportionately, concentrated on the private sector. The government didn’t get the memo that demand needs to shrink.
Thanks for the insightful commentary
As an investor it’s great to know what a successful developer is thinking.
Such amazing content!
No fluff. Victor gives a fresh new perspective on a variety of topics within the realm of real estate. Quite amazed by his ability to churn quality content on a daily basis. I love starting my day to it and always look forward to the AMA episodes. Highly recommend it!
Just the shot you need to start your day with a focus on making things happen. Love the impactful content - in spite of the brevity. Great podcast. Highly recommend to the discerning investor.