494 episodes

A personal finance and investing podcast on money, how it works, how to invest it and how to live without worrying about it. J. David Stein is a former Chief Investment Strategist and money manager. For close to two decades, he has been teaching individuals and institutions how to invest and handle their finances in ways that are simple to understand. More info at moneyfortherestofus.com

Money For the Rest of Us Money For the Rest of Us

    • Business
    • 5.0 • 2 Ratings

A personal finance and investing podcast on money, how it works, how to invest it and how to live without worrying about it. J. David Stein is a former Chief Investment Strategist and money manager. For close to two decades, he has been teaching individuals and institutions how to invest and handle their finances in ways that are simple to understand. More info at moneyfortherestofus.com

    Beyond Faster (T+1) Trade Settlements: The Hidden Costs of Optimization

    Beyond Faster (T+1) Trade Settlements: The Hidden Costs of Optimization

    Why stock, ETF, and bond trades are optimized to settle in less than a day, allowing investors quicker access to their cash and securities. What are the benefits and costs of optimization in the relentless drive for cheaper, faster, and more profitable.Why countries are moving to T+1 settlement from T+2 for security tradesWhat will it take for securHow BlackRock and Franklin have launched Treasury funds that are tokenized and trade on the Etherium networkHow optimization works and what are the tradeoffsHow we can use satisficing and rules of thumb in order to cope with the complexity of the world


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    Show Notes

    About the ‘T+1’ Rule Making US Stocks Settle in a Day by Lydia Beyoud and Greg Ritchie—Bloomberg

    SEC Chair Gensler Statement on Upcoming Implementation of T+1 Settlement Cycle—SEC

    What faster trading cycles will mean for US markets by Jennifer Hughes and Harriet Clarfelt—The Financial Times

    Speedier Wall Street Trades Are Putting Global Finance On Edge by Greg Ritchie—Bloomberg

    BlackRock closes in on crown of world’s largest bitcoin fund by Will Schmitt and Brooke Masters—The Financial Times

    Optimal Illusions: The False Promise of Optimization by Coco Krumme

    Financial Statement Analysis with Large Language Models by Alex G. Kim, Maximilian Muhn, and Valeri V. Nikolaev—The University of Chicago

    Related Episodes

    457: AI’s Fork in the Road: Societal Bliss or Existential Threat

    329: Meme Stocks, GameStop, Short Squeezes, and Bubbles

    228: How Tokenization Will Radically Change Investing




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    • 27 min
    National Debt Masterclass Finale - What To Do

    National Debt Masterclass Finale - What To Do

    In part three of our national debt masterclass, we share a simple debt dynamics formula we can monitor to help guide our investment choices.

    Topics covered include:How much has the national debt grown over the past fifties years, and what are the underlying driversHow the budget deficit, interest rates, and economic growth determine the level and growth in the national debtUnder what circumstances will the U.S. default on its debtHow should we invest to protect ourselves from the uncertainties of the national debt situation


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    Show Notes

    Jerome Powell: Full 2024 60 Minutes interview transcript—CBS News

    Yellen says she disagrees with Moody's outlook on US debt by Ann Saphir and David Lawder—Reuters

    IMF Steps Up Its Warning to US Over Spending and Ballooning Debt by Christopher Condon—Bloomberg

    WHEN DOES FEDERAL DEBT REACH UNSUSTAINABLE LEVELS?—Penn Wharton

    The Long-Term Budget Outlook: 2024 to 2054—Congressional Budget Office

    PUBLIC DEBT AND LOW INTEREST RATES by Olivier J. Blanchard—NBER

    Bond vigilantes snooze as Treasury market shrugs off vast US borrowing by Kate Duguid—The Financial Times

    Term Premium on a 10 Year Zero Coupon Bond—FRED

    Instantaneous Forward Term Premium 10 Years Hence—FRED

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    • 27 min
    National Debt Masterclass Part Two

    National Debt Masterclass Part Two

    In part two of this national debt series, we explore how households and businesses, including commercial banks, can choose not to participate in what some call a national debt ponzi scheme. We also look at how central banks and federal governments monetize the national debt using quantitative easing.

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    Show Notes

    Credit and Liquidity Programs and the Balance Sheet: Federal Reserve liabilities—Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

    As of and for the Years Ended December 31, 2019 and 2018 and Independent Auditors’ Report—The United States Federal Reserve System

    Different types of central bank insolvency and the central role of seignorage by Ricardo Reis

    How do central banks control inflation? A guide for the perplexed by Laura Castillo-Martinez and Ricardo Reis

    Can the Central Bank Alleviate Fiscal Burdens? by Ricardo Reis

    Ricardo Reis Tweets on Monetizing the National Debt

    M2—Federal Reserve Economic Data

    Assets: Total Assets: Total Assets: Wednesday Level—Federal Reserve Economic Data

    Assets: Securities Held Outright: U.S. Treasury Securities: All: Wednesday Level—Federal Reserve Economic Data

    Americans Reported Strong Personal Finances Late Last Year, Fed Finds by David Harrison—The Wall Street Journal

    A Complete Guide to Understanding and Protecting Against Inflation—Money For the Rest of Us

    A Complete Guide to Investing in TIPS and I Bonds—Money For the Rest of Us

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    • 51 min
    National Debt Master Class Part One of Three

    National Debt Master Class Part One of Three

    In part one of this three part series, we consider why a country that issues debt in its own currency can't default unless it chooses to. We also explore how central banks can control interest rates on the national debt. We also consider whether it is possible for government borrowing to crowd out the private sector.

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    Show Notes

    Money In The Modern Economy: An Introduction – Bank of England – Q1 2014

    Money Creation In The Modern Economy – Bank of England – Q1 2014

    Congressional Budget Office 2017 Long-term Budget Outlook

    Going for Broke: Deficits, Debt, and the Entitlement Crisis – Michael D. Tanner

    Bernanke’s Paradox: Can He Reconcile His Position on the Federal Budget with His Recent Charge to Prevent Deflation? – Pavlina R. Tcherneva – Levy Institute (includes quotes referenced in episode by Ben Bernanke and Michael Woodford

    New Framework for Strengthening Monetary Easing: “Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing with Yield Curve Control” – Bank of Japan

    Japan’s Debt Burden Is Quietly Falling the Most in the World – Bloomberg

    The Bone Clocks – David Mitchell

    Venezuela Is Starving – Juan Forero – Wall Street Journal

    Curse or Blessing? How Institutions Determine Success in Resource-Rich Economies – Cato Institute

    Forget Taxes, Warren Buffett Says. The Real Problem Is Health Care. – New York Times

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    • 32 min
    Is Small Cap Dead? Why You Shouldn't Abandon Small Cap Stocks

    Is Small Cap Dead? Why You Shouldn't Abandon Small Cap Stocks

    Why global small-cap stocks have underperformed large-cap stocks and will the trend continue? The investment case for allocating to global small caps.

    Topics covered include:How have small caps performed relative to large caps over the past two decadesWhat factors contributed to the underperformanceHow quality is an important factor to consider when investing in small capsWhat are the earnings prospects for small-cap stocksWhy small-cap stocks could deliver double-digit returns over the next decade


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    Show Notes

    US small-caps suffer worst run against larger stocks in over 20 years by George Steer—The Financial Times

    Small stocks, big problems by Robin Wigglesworth—The Financial Times

    The Death of Small Cap Equities? by Chris Satterthwaite—Verdad

    The Quality of New Entrants by Chris Satterthwaite—Verdad

    Related Episodes

    466: Does Dividend Investing Still Work?

    370: Should You Invest in Small-Cap and Mid-Cap Stocks?

    253: Are IPOs the New Ponzi Scheme?

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    • 25 min
    Inflation's Illusion: Debunking the Normalcy of Currency Debasesment

    Inflation's Illusion: Debunking the Normalcy of Currency Debasesment

    It is not normal to want prices to rise and currencies to lose their purchasing power. We look at the advantages of stable currencies and prices.

    Topics covered include:What's more normal, an inflationary or deflationary mindset?Why it is more normal for prices to fall due to productivity increasesHow central banks seek to overcome productivity-induced deflation by increasing the money supplyHow inflation and ongoing currency debasement encourage debt, the financialization of housing, and keep unprofitable companies in businessHow gold, Bitcoin, stocks, real estate, and other assets help us overcome currency debasement


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    Show Notes

    Is Japan finally becoming a "normal" economy?—The Financial Times

    Broken Money by Lyn Alden

    A Complete Guide to Understanding and Protecting Against Inflation—Money for the Rest of Us

    Related Episodes

    431: The Long-term Bullish Case for Gold

    429: Which Inflation Protection Strategies Worked and Which Didn’t? 

    389: Is Airbnb Intensifying the Housing Crisis?

    253: Are IPOs the New Ponzi Scheme?

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    • 26 min

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