Dave Wasserman grew up fascinated by politics and elections. Handicapping races involves both qualitative and quantitative analysis. Polling accuracy has improved since 2016, but challenges remain. Demographics are shifting, particularly among Hispanic voters. Pennsylvania is a crucial state for the upcoming election. The Senate race is more favorable for Republicans due to structural advantages. Democrats have a chance to regain the House, but it will be competitive. Political analysis aims for accuracy, not equivalency between parties. Election night predictions suggest results may be known within 24 hours. Voter engagement and turnout will be critical in determining outcomes.
Check out Election Hub
https://gspm.gwu.edu/2024-election-hub
Chapters
- 00:00 The Journey to Political Analysis
- 05:55 The Art and Science of Handicapping Races
- 11:50 Current Election Landscape Overview
- 15:40 Polling Accuracy and Changes
- 21:33 Key Swing States to Watch
- 24:34 Demographic Shifts in Voting Patterns
- 29:49 Senate Race Dynamics
- 34:41 House Majority Predictions
- 39:27 Understanding Political Analysis
- 44:37 Election Night Predictions
ABOUT MASTERING THE ROOM
Mastering the Room is produced by the George Washington University's Graduate School of Political Management and hosted by political analyst and professor Casey Burgat. In less time than the average D.C. morning commute, you'll get an inside take on today’s issues with information and perspectives you won’t get anywhere else.
MTR challenges guests to go beyond the Sunday show talking points and offer a deeper understanding of polarizing topics, discussing ideas that few have heard before.
Whether you agree with them or not, you’ll see unique arguments from surprising new angles. Packed with influencers, experts, and familiar names in DC and beyond, Mastering the Room is a podcast with access, connections, and proximity to power.
To listen to vintage episodes from the original Mastering the Room podcast, click here.
ABOUT CASEY BURGAT
Mastering the Room host, Casey Burgat, is the Director of the Legislative Affairs program at the George Washington University Graduate School of Political Management.
Before joining GSPM, Dr. Burgat was a Senior Governance Fellow at the R Street Institute where his research focused on issues of Congressional capacity and reform. Mr. Burgat is known for his regular contributions to scholarly and journalistic publications, including CNN, the Washington Post, and Politico, and has appeared on various television and radio outlets.
Dr. Burgat co-authored Congress Explained: Representation and Lawmaking in the First Branch, a textbook on all things Congress, published by the Sage/CQ Press in the fall of 2022.
Information
- Show
- FrequencyUpdated twice weekly
- Published10 October 2024 at 10:00 UTC
- Length50 min
- Episode201
- RatingClean