FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

4.3（28）
政治
アップデート：週2回

The 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

2日前

The Best And Worst Post-Election Hot Takes

Since Election Day, there’s been no shortage of hot takes explaining what happened and what it all means. Have Democrats lost the working class? Does President-elect Donald Trump have an unprecedentedly powerful mandate? Were the polls wrong? On this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew dives into these questions and others, determining which ones are more fact than fiction. They also check in on the status of the House and Senate and discuss how many downballot Democrats managed to overperform compared to Vice President Kamala Harris. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

41分
11月6日

Donald Trump Wins The Presidency

In this late-night, election-night edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the results showing Donald Trump winning a second presidential term. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

36分
11月5日

An Hour-By-Hour Guide To Election Night

At long last, Election Day is upon us. In this final pre-results episode, the crew shares a guide for what to expect on election night — from the first poll closures in Indiana, to the last poll closures in Alaska. They set expectations for how long the vote may take to tally and which counties to keep an eye on. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

44分
11月4日

The Pollercoaster Takes A Final Plunge

Polls were coming in hot and heavy over the weekend! In fact, 164 surveys were entered into the 538 database since Friday. In this Election Day eve episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with senior researcher Mary Radcliffe and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik about what we are seeing in those final polls. They discuss the famed Iowa Poll from Ann Selzer, which showed a rosy picture for Harris, and the battleground polling from the New York Times, which showed results that frustrate some of the trends we've come to expect this cycle. They also share some final thoughts on the election in the run up to the big day. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

42分
10月31日

Galen’s Cauldron Of Queries

It’s not just election season; it’s spooky season, too. In this Halloween installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew opens up the mailbag and answers listeners’ questions. Does favorability matter? Can bad weather affect turnout? And what would you do with an election crystal ball? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

41分
10月30日

Will 2024 Be A Disputed Election?

Looking back on the 2020 election, the time between Election Day and Inauguration Day stands out as one of the most fraught and uncertain in recent American history. Will 2024 follow a similar path? In this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen talks with Larry Norden, vice president of the Elections and Government Program at the Brennan Center, to provide a clearer picture of what we might expect after Election Day. They discuss when results could be expected, the types of misinformation that may circulate after the votes are cast, and why this election is seeing more litigation than any before it. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

37分
10月28日

Do Voters Care About Democracy?

Last week, John Kelly, former President Donald Trump’s longest-serving chief of staff, said Trump fit the definition of a “fascist.” Democrats have seized on the comment, using it to underline Trump’s anti-democratic tendencies in these final days before Election Day. On this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew discusses how much voters care about democracy. And they look at a new poll that might shed light on the behavior of a new group of swing voters: young men. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

37分
10月24日

The Most Valuable Data Point

We are awash in data. As Election Day draws near, and new polls continue to pile up, our information overload will only intensify. So today on the 538 Politics podcast, we’re simplifying. We asked 11 very smart people just one question: What is the most valuable data point you’re watching to understand this election? These are their answers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

34分

すべて見る（203）

4.3

5段階評価中

28件の評価

Excellent but more wonkery, please!

2021/04/30

Standards Geek

Listening to Perry’s last episode as a regular. Congratulations on your move! Looking forward to your work there. To be honest, I’m generally here for “Model Talk”, “Good Use of Polling/Bad Use of Polling”, and other wonky stuff. To my taste, Perry’s punditry will go down better in the Post along with a glass of sherry. He’s easy to listen to because of his persuasive style.😊 Julia really brought out the best in Perry today, a very informative conversation. I really liked her “political science theory” comments. More Julia, please!
Great Pod for Politics Addicts

2020/05/27

Mr_Teach

One of my favorite politics podcasts, they try to be data based so get some original perspectives on elections and politics in general. Good chemistry between the presenters
Smart and insightful

2018/11/03

Mike from Tokyo

I even (especially) like the banter among the contributors.
FiveThirtyEight

2016/10/18

Zurcronium

High quality and passion are two words that describe this podcast. Silver keeps the focus on the data, along with the team, but their discussion displays their passion for American democracy and the way politics unfold in major elections, like the November 8th election coming up. This is as good as it gets when it comes to analysis of US politics. Silver has done a great job.