Money Tree Investing

Money Tree Investing Podcast
Money Tree Investing

The weekly Money Tree Investing podcast aims to help you consistently grow your wealth by letting money work for you. Each week one of our panel members interviews a special guest on topics related to money, investing, personal finance and passive income. Episodes end with a panel discussion on the content of the interview, which allows us to give you a deeper understanding of what has been said by looking at it from different perspectives. If you are ready to take control of your own financial situation, then the Money Tree Investing podcast is just the thing for you! Taken together, our expert panel has decades of experience in money matters. Add to that the valuable insights that our weekly guests will be able to provide, and you got yourself one vast source of knowledge, all available to you for free.

  1. The Housing Crisis and Inflation: Barriers to the American Dream

    -4 J

    The Housing Crisis and Inflation: Barriers to the American Dream

    Economist Bob Frick joins us to talk about how the housing crisis and inflation and how they have become barriers to the American Dream. Bob draws from his unique background as a financial journalist and behavioral economist to address topics such as labor market dynamics, credit card debt, and more. Bob emphasizes the critical shortage of housing and potential economic impacts of policy changes, and their possible inflationary effects. We also talk about the interplay between economic growth, housing supply, and affordability.  We discuss...  Bob Frick shares his background as a financial journalist and behavioral economist, focusing on consumer issues like housing, cars, loans, and credit cards. Potential inflationary effects of policy changes, including tariffs, deportations, and reductions in legal immigration. Wage inflation, which has risen since the pandemic but struggles to outpace the cumulative effects of high inflation. Credit card debt trends, including rising balances and late payments, with potential stabilization observed in recent months. The lack of affordable starter homes, with rising median homeownership ages and unaffordable prices for younger buyers. How post-COVID low mortgage rates drove demand, compounding pre-existing housing shortages and resulting in skyrocketing home prices. Current housing market sales are only a quarter of pre-COVID levels, reflecting affordability and inventory issues. Low-interest mortgage rates from previous years contribute to a "lock-in" effect, discouraging homeowners from moving. Builders and flippers have reduced activity, with fewer properties meeting profitability thresholds. Inflation and rising mortgage rates exacerbate affordability challenges, especially for lower-income households. Labor market conditions remain strong but are often misinterpreted due to volatile reporting and outdated measurement methods. Economic forecasts are inherently unreliable, influenced by cognitive biases and behavioral tendencies toward belief in prediction. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/housing-crisis-and-inflation-bob-frick-676  Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast

    51 min
  2. 2025 Stock Market Predictions

    -6 J

    2025 Stock Market Predictions

    Get ready to invest because today we have your 2025 stock market predictions! Today we talk about how market predictions are typically futile due to the unpredictable nature of financial markets. We explore the trends of 2024, including the standout performers like Nvidia and Bitcoin, but don't assume that means they'll be the winners this year. We also talk active vs. passive management and investing strategies while addressing systemic issues in modern financial markets. Today we discuss...  Annual tradition of financial predictions, and their inherent uncertainty. Recap of 2024's top-performing stocks and commodities, as well as the underperformers. Discussion on the pitfalls of market predictions and human tendencies to forecast the future. Critique of over-reliance on index investing and its long-term implications for market efficiency and corporate accountability. Free markets are beneficial but pose dangers to those unprepared, with current markets heavily influenced by Federal Reserve interventions. The stock market is bolstered by government actions and large institutional players, creating artificial market stability. Warren Buffett’s underperformance in recent decades is attributed to deviating from his investment principles and managing too much capital. Global markets show mixed trends: Japan is recovering after a long bear market, while European and value stocks remain stagnant. Crypto adoption is growing, supported by corporate treasury strategies, with Bitcoin gaining popularity despite speculative concerns. Meme coins and other speculative assets occasionally deliver massive returns, but their long-term viability remains uncertain. Cryptocurrency markets showed extreme volatility, with some coins seeing significant gains since the election, while others exhibit questionable valuations. Oil prices have rebounded after a lackluster start to the year, with late-year momentum contributing to recent gains. The S&P 500 has grown modestly by 3% since the election, while gold prices have declined by 3.9%. Risks to global markets in 2025 include tariffs, Nvidia earnings volatility, a reaccelerating U.S. economy, and persistent inflation concerns. Predictions for U.S. recession in 2025 are mixed, with some indicators suggesting low probability despite ongoing uncertainties. The 2025 market landscape will likely feature conflicting bullish and bearish indicators, complicating clear directional forecasts. A recurring theme emerged: there are no inherently good or bad stocks, only good or bad prices depending on market conditions. Disclaimers emphasized that past performance of assets should not be interpreted as predictions for future results.   For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/stock-market-predictions-675    Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast

    48 min
  3. Supercommunicators

    3 JANV.

    Supercommunicators

    We are joined by one of my favorite authors Charles Duhigg to discuss his new book, Supercommunicators! We also jump around to chat about other topics like the role of crypto in politics, broader technology trends and AI, and challenges in private equity. Listen to learn more about how you can be the best communicator through having a strong connection. Today we discuss...  Charles Duhigg's new book, Super Communicators, and reflects on his earlier works, The Power of Habit and Smarter Faster Better. Charles' background as a business journalist covering finance and technology for The New Yorker and his previous experiences at The New York Times and Harvard Business School. A recent article about Silicon Valley’s and the crypto industry's political influence. The debate over crypto regulations, contrasting the SEC's push for securities oversight with the industry's argument for recognition as commodities. Long-term changes in business and daily computing due to AI. Private equity and the impact of high interest rates, the overabundance of funds, and the potential for a reckoning in the industry. Historical trends in financial products that offered high yields, such as mortgage-backed securities, SPACs, and crypto lending. Examples of creative financial models like lending gold to jewelers and crypto lending, with an analysis of regulatory challenges and risks. Introduction to the book Supercommunicators, focusing on the skills and principles of effective communication. Explanation of the concept of "matching conversations" to foster trust and understanding in communication. Stories of individuals who overcame communication challenges to become skilled influencers, emphasizing learned rather than innate abilities. Strategies for improving communication through empathy, alignment, and intentional practice. Deep questions allow people to share personal stories, creating a shared sense of understanding and vulnerability. Authentic listening enhances trust and alignment between conversational partners, especially in emotionally charged or conflict discussions. Salespeople and professionals often falter by failing to genuinely engage, focusing instead on their own agenda. Successfully navigating conversations involves identifying their type, aligning with the speaker's mindset, and transitioning between types collaboratively. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/supercommunicators-charles-duhigg-674  Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Barbara Friedberg | Barbara Friedberg Personal Finance Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management   Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast

    50 min
  4. Year End 2024 Wrap Up And Good Cheer

    1 JANV.

    Year End 2024 Wrap Up And Good Cheer

    2024 is over so we're going to share a 2024 wrap up! We explore reflections on the holiday season and its implications for financial markets. We share some touching on lighthearted holiday moments. And we also talk some broader topics such as the role of resilience in success and more! Join us as we wrap up 2024. Today we discuss...  Low trading volume during the holidays is an opportunity to find potential deals, though the speaker suggests this may not be worth pursuing for most. The annual "best year ever" planning process, focusing on setting clear, intentional goals and narrowing down focus to a single word or goal for the year. A lesson from Jensen Huang, CEO of Nvidia, stressing the importance of pain and suffering in building resilience and character. 2025 could be a rough year, urging reflection and resilience as part of the process of preparing for the challenges ahead. The steady rise in the average age of parents at birth, which correlates with broader economic trends, including rising dual-income households. The challenges of wage growth compared to the rising costs of living, and how it's harder to keep up financially. The divergence between real wages of good-producing workers and major sector productivity. Whether job market softness is causative or correlational, with significant revisions indicating weaker-than-expected job numbers. Housing costs are rising, but 52% of newly constructed apartments in Q2 of 2024 were rented within three months, which is down significantly from 2021. The cost of buying a home is now higher compared to renting in many cases, yet new apartments are not renting out quickly. A rise in homelessness by 18% in the past year, reflecting growing social strain. Market trends, including the disparity between intraday and overnight trading, highlight inefficiencies in market timing. A nod to Bob Farrell's "10 rules for the stock market," emphasizing the cyclical nature of markets and the dominance of sentiment over fundamentals. Emotions often drive investments, and people are drawn to trends like cryptocurrency, regardless of logical fundamentals. Cryptocurrency's rise defies fundamental analysis and is driven by factors beyond traditional market metrics. Successful investing requires understanding both fundamentals and technical analysis, with the latter helping to determine optimal entry points. A trading journal can help track investments, reasons for purchasing, and exit strategies to avoid emotional decision-making. Uncertainty in the market should be managed through thoughtful strategy reviews. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/2024-wrap-up-673 Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast

    47 min
  5. Trailblazers, Heroes and Crooks

    27/12/2024

    Trailblazers, Heroes and Crooks

    Steve Foerster, a finance professor and investment historian, to talk his latest book, Trailblazers, Heroes and Crooks: Stories to Make You a Smarter Investor. Steve shared insights into famous financial scandals, such as Bernie Madoff's Ponzi scheme, the Bre-X gold mining fraud, and the Salad Oil Swindle that almost toppled American Express. He highlighted key lessons from these events, including the importance of skepticism, recognizing red flags, and understanding how fraudsters exploit exclusivity and credibility to deceive. These historical stories underscore timeless lessons in vigilance and sound investment practices. Today we discuss... Steve Foerster, professor of finance and investment historian, discussed his background and books, including Trailblazers, Heroes, and Crooks and his work on the biography of Nobel Laureate Bill Sharpe. The psychology of exclusivity and trust in Madoff's scheme, including his reputation as NASDAQ chairman. The Bre-X mining scandal of the 1990s, detailing fraudulent gold sample salting, conspiracy theories surrounding Mike De Guzman, and the challenges of evaluating mining investments. Mark Twain's observation on mining, "a hole in the ground with a liar on top," was used to underscore skepticism in speculative industries. The 1960s Salad Oil Swindle, focusing on Tino De Angelis' fraudulent practices and their near-collapse of American Express. Buffett's significant investment in American Express, based on its strong reputation despite the scandal, resulted in a two-and-a-half-fold return within 18 months. Research and perseverance can lead to great returns, as Wall Street tends to sell indiscriminately during tough times. Warren Buffett's support of management during a crisis helped American Express recover and solidify its reputation. The tension between short-term profits and long-term value was central to Buffett's approach, focusing on long-term growth. Hetty Green, a 19th-century investor, was a pioneering value investor who predicted market trends and became a major player in railroads and mortgages. During the Panic of 1907, Hetty Green predicted the failure of a major trust company and later lent to New York City, preventing bankruptcy. Bobby Bonilla's deferred payment contract with the New York Mets showcased the importance of understanding time value of money and opportunity cost. The story of Cristiano Ronaldo’s snubbing of Coca-Cola at a press conference led to a $4 billion market drop, but it was actually due to the stock’s ex-dividend date, not his actions. The Coca-Cola stock drop was an example of correlation not equaling causation, teaching the importance of distinguishing between the two in investing. Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Phil Weiss | Apprise Wealth Management Jeff Hulett |  Finance Revamp Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/https://moneytreepodcast.com/trailblazers-heroes-and-crooks-stephen-foerster-672

    1 h 11 min
  6. Happy Festivus & Christmas Trends

    25/12/2024

    Happy Festivus & Christmas Trends

    Today we cover a mix of festive holiday reflections and current Christmas trends. We debate the merits of artificial versus real trees, the Federal Reserve's recent decision to lower interest rates, market reactions, and the potential onset of a recession, and historical cases like Puerto Rico's bond defaults, and more! It's a Merry Christmas here! Today we discuss...  How Hanukkah's alignment with Christmas is rare due to differing solar cycles and offers a unique multi-year celebration opportunity for 2024-2025. A shift from real to artificial Christmas trees, driven by mold allergies. A personal tradition of year-end reflection, dubbed "Best Year Ever," emphasizing life evaluation and goal setting over a two-week holiday break. Fed Chair Powell's interest rate cuts and their implications for markets and economic confidence were analyzed, with insights on potential recession signals like the inverted yield curve. Economic indicators, including high-yield bond performance and confidence metrics, were examined to forecast recession risks and investor sentiment. The Puerto Rican bond default served as a cautionary tale for assessing risks in high-yield portfolios, drawing parallels to current market trends. Market bullishness is fueled by a strong economy, decent earnings, and optimism about new presidential policies perceived as pro-business. Concerns were raised about tariff policies potentially replacing income tax and their inflationary implications. The market appears overvalued, with current performance exceeding economic fundamentals, risking a potential correction. Reversion to the mean was discussed as a natural market dynamic, suggesting that extreme highs or lows eventually balance out. Rising money market assets reflect cautious investor behavior, with significant cash reserves awaiting better market valuations. Inflationary pressures are linked to reduced supply and increased money supply, paralleling market dynamics. Markets need a perceived value shift to attract sidelined liquidity. Year-end is a prime time to reassess portfolios and consider tax implications. Reflect on strong market performance and evaluate whether reallocating or profit-taking is prudent. December 31st and January 1st are pivotal market dates due to tax-loss selling and portfolio rebalancing. Diversification theory, while historically valuable, may now be less effective due to increased asset correlation. Risk is the permanent loss of capital, whereas volatility is short-term price fluctuation. The current bull market may soon rival the 1990s tech boom in duration and performance, though a mean reversion is expected. High-yield bonds should be viewed more like high-dividend equities due to their risk and reward profile. Online shopping has grown but still accounts for less than 20% of total retail sales. Men and women share similar preferences for holiday gifts, favoring money, clothing, and gift cards.   Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/christmas-trends-671

    50 min
  7. Asset Protection For Lawsuits and Divorce

    20/12/2024

    Asset Protection For Lawsuits and Divorce

    Blake Harris shares tips for how to improve your asset protection! The conversation delves into how offshore trusts differ from domestic ones. Blake also dispels misconceptions about offshore trusts, emphasizing their legality and utility for asset protection rather than tax evasion. We explore how these trusts work, the best jurisdictions for establishing them, and the practical benefits for individuals seeking robust asset protection.  Today we discuss... Offshore trusts help protect assets from lawsuits and divorces while allowing clients to retain control over their investments. Asset protection trusts are designed to prevent courts from easily seizing assets. Offshore trusts offer stronger protection compared to domestic trusts by shifting control to foreign trustees in jurisdictions like the Cook Islands. Offshore trusts provide access to foreign investments and international diversification opportunities. Unlike older practices of hiding money offshore, these trusts comply with IRS reporting requirements and are not used for tax evasion. Countries like the Cook Islands, Nevis, and Belize offer asset protection laws, but the Cook Islands are regarded as the strongest jurisdiction. Domestic trusts are weaker because U.S. courts can compel trustees to hand over assets. Offshore trusts can help clients negotiate favorable settlements or avoid lawsuits altogether. Compliance with offshore trust regulations involves some reporting but is manageable with expert guidance. Asset protection trusts primarily safeguard cash, stocks, bonds, crypto, gold, and silver in Swiss bank accounts. Cryptocurrency can be held under a Cook Islands trust via self-custody, third-party vaults, or Swiss bank accounts. Real estate is typically held in LLCs tied to the trust, with options for further protection through equity stripping. Divorces are treated as "super creditor" cases, but Cook Islands trustees can refuse to release funds under duress. Clients comply with court orders but trustees protect assets by requiring sworn statements of no duress. U.S. courts cannot force clients to perjure themselves, further securing trust assets. Over 10 million lawsuits are filed annually in the U.S., creating a need for robust asset protection strategies. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/asset-protection-blake-harris-670

    46 min
  8. Where Is The Santa Claus Rally???

    18/12/2024

    Where Is The Santa Claus Rally???

    Where is the Santa Clause Rally and why isn't it here yet? What is here however, is drones! Today we talk about the current events including drone sightings and assassinations. We highlight the lack of transparency in politics, corporate media, and Wall Street - there definitely needs to be critical thinking. We also address the "Santa Claus rally" phenomenon since it could be anecdotal as it lacks consistent data. We talk bullish market trends, year-end tax-loss selling, and being mindful of market seasonality and timing. Today we discuss... High-profile events and media narratives around it. The wealth concentrated around Washington, D.C., highlighting systemic corruption. The "Santa Claus rally" phenomenon and its historical market impact. Analysis of seasonal market trends, including tax-loss harvesting and year-end buying opportunities. Observations on the rise of 401(k) millionaires, with caution about potential biases in data reporting. The Euphorometer shows that the stock market's current euphoria level is the highest in the last 30 years, warranting caution. Despite some bearish signals, the market is generally bullish with strong momentum. Foreign holdings of U.S. assets are at historic highs, signaling confidence in the U.S. economy. Job numbers are showing some signs of softness, which requires monitoring. Investors need a clear plan, whether it’s buy-and-hold or other strategies, and should stick with it through market fluctuations. Consumer bullishness is at odds with expectations for income growth, creating divergence in sentiment. The stock market’s sentiment is very strong, but investors should be cautious of potential over-optimism. The idea of having a flexible plan for market shifts, especially around year-end, is highlighted. The 60/40 portfolio model is becoming outdated as it struggles to balance volatility in bullish times. Momentum investing has its risks, as trends can change unexpectedly. The U.S. deficit is rising rapidly, with projections suggesting a $3.5 trillion deficit. Inflation-adjusted home prices are at historical highs, with housing prices showing significant growth since the late 90s. The income needed to afford a home has nearly doubled over the past decade, limiting demand. Despite challenges in the housing market, stock market expectations remain high, driven by hope rather than data. For more information, visit the show notes at https://moneytreepodcast.com/where-is-the-santa-clause-rally    Today's Panelists: Kirk Chisholm | Innovative Wealth Douglas Heagren | ProCollege Planners Follow on Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/moneytreepodcast Follow LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/showcase/money-tree-investing-podcast Follow on Twitter/X: https://x.com/MTIPodcast

    48 min

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À propos

The weekly Money Tree Investing podcast aims to help you consistently grow your wealth by letting money work for you. Each week one of our panel members interviews a special guest on topics related to money, investing, personal finance and passive income. Episodes end with a panel discussion on the content of the interview, which allows us to give you a deeper understanding of what has been said by looking at it from different perspectives. If you are ready to take control of your own financial situation, then the Money Tree Investing podcast is just the thing for you! Taken together, our expert panel has decades of experience in money matters. Add to that the valuable insights that our weekly guests will be able to provide, and you got yourself one vast source of knowledge, all available to you for free.

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