Do numbers lie?

Forward Vision with Matthew Taylor

There is no such thing as 100% certainty. So in today’s heavily quantified world, where much of the information we receive is communicated in metrics and where we translate our ambitions into targets, how do we make sure we can trust the numbers we’ve come to rely on so heavily in every day life? Should we be taken in by an argument that relies solely cold hard numbers or be ready to explore the debates behind the statistics? Joining Matthew to help make the figures add up is Mathematical Biologist, Kit Yates, Senior Lecturer at the University of Bath and author of 'How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To'. Recorded in the week where the UK Government rowed back on its Net Zero targets, we learn the difference between self-fulfilling and self-defeating prophesies and why, when convincing others of your point of view, it might be useful to introduce a little bit of uncertainty into your convictions. 

For a copy of Kit's book, please visit: https://geni.us/KitYatesBooks

For updates from Matthew, visit: https://twitter.com/ConfedMatthew

For more information on The Forward Institute, visit: https://www.forward.institute/podcast

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