Don't Fear Putin, Strike Him - January 6th 2024

January 6th 2024

Yuriy breaks down the recent military and political upheavals in Syria, revealing the broader implications for Putin's Russia and the global stage. Delving deep from the frontlines, Yuriy uncovers the hidden narratives and draws strategic insights on striking back against aggression.

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TRANSCRIPT: (Apple Podcasts & Podbean app users can enjoy accurate closed captions)  

It is January 6th. 

What is happening in Syria right now is not just the collapse of the Assad regime: it is also a loud and resound and defeat for Putin's Russia. You can't even imagine how significant this defeat is. Unfortunately, Western politicians don't fully grasp this.  Otherwise, we would draw proper conclusions from this failure.

Let's start with the fact that during the early years of Syrian civil war, Moscow did not offer much help to Assad. Most of the assistance was limited to miserable food supplies sent as humanitarian aid to Syrians. I remember seeing firsthand in 2012 how bags of gray, cheapest Russian pasta delivered with great pomp to Latakia airport were discarded by the roadside. When I asked locals why they treated the aid  that way, they replied, "We won't reject help when it's offered, but we can't eat this stuff. Have you seen this pasta? Even our dogs won't touch that garbage." 

Putin turned his attention to Syria only after starting the war against Ukraine in 2014, that's when Russia got involved in a foreign war. From the outset, Putin pursued several objectives in Syria: trying to find common ground with the West, which was already fighting ISIS there, supporting the kindred dictatorship of Assad and testing weapons and military tactics for later use against Ukraine. For years, Syria became the top topic of Russian propaganda. It was declared Russia's closest ally. TV broadcasts proclaimed Syria as the birthplace of orthodox Christianity, emphasizing the need to protect it from Islamists. Instead of pasta bullets, missiles and mercenaries were sent to Latakia and Damascus. 

Here I need to pose and remind you that the only way this podcast is monetized is through your donations. It's tough without them. Please check the episode description for all the necessary details on how to support me. Thank you. 

Back to Syria. Russia poured tens of billions of dollars into the conflict. These funds were spent on weapons, infrastructure, propaganda, and even Russian language textbooks, which suddenly became mandatory in Syrian schools. Enormous sums were spent on the war that was supposed to be Putin's triumph. He even visited Syria himself boasting about how he had won and how everything would now be wonderful. 

In return for these billions, the Russians secured from Assad the continued operation of a Soviet era level base in Tartus. This base became the primary supply hub for Russian allies and mercenaries in Libya, the Central African Republic, and our countries of region. And now, all of this has suddenly vanished. Assad, Russia's best friend, is gone. A country so significant for Christianity has been surrendered. Russia is on the verge of losing its basis, and billions have been wasted for nothing.

And what does Putin do? Nothing. His propaganda machine simply blames Iran, claims that the Syrians did something wrong, or insists that the Russian operation there ended long ago. There's been no nuclear escalation, no mass mobilization, nothing. Their main ally has simply been abandoned it. And this is precisely how Russia will abandon occupied parts of Ukraine. Propaganda  will spin the narrative, but it was actually a victory, not a defeat, that all objectives were achieved and everything is fine. 

What's happening in Syria demonstrates to the entire world that Putin will abandon everything and everyone, relinquish any conquests if he's hit hard enough. Don't fear Putin. Strike him. He must lose.