285 episodes

Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau, partners at Validea Capital Management. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics, including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing and behavioral finance, and talk to interesting guests with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors.

Excess Returns Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau

    • Business
    • 4.9 • 47 Ratings

Excess Returns is an investing podcast hosted by Jack Forehand and Justin Carbonneau, partners at Validea Capital Management. Justin and Jack discuss a wide range of investing topics, including factor investing, value investing, momentum investing and behavioral finance, and talk to interesting guests with the goal of helping those who watch and listen become better long term investors.

    Value Investing, the Mag 7 and Making Sense of a Changing Market with Tobias Carlisle

    Value Investing, the Mag 7 and Making Sense of a Changing Market with Tobias Carlisle

    In this episode of Excess Returns, we take a deep dive into value investing with our good friend Tobias Carlisle. We discuss the recent outperformance of small cap and value stocks, tackle the challenges of long periods of underperformance for value strategies, and examine how Tobias constructs his portfolios. We delve into his process for selecting stocks, including his focus on companies trading at discounts using the Acquirer's multiple and his approach to portfolio diversification. Our conversation also touches on the dominance of large tech companies and whether their outsized returns can continue. Throughout our discussion, Tobias emphasizes the importance of patience, skepticism about growth projections, and prioritizing survival over maximizing returns when investing.

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    • 1 hr 2 min
    The Case for a Continued Rally with Warren Pies

    The Case for a Continued Rally with Warren Pies

    In this episode of Excess Returns, we speak with Warren Pies of 3Fourteen Research about his unique systematic approach to analyzing markets. We explore his outlook for the second half of 2024, discussing topics like the future of the 60/40 portfolio, inflation trends, labor market indicators, earnings expectations, and the impact of AI on productivity. Warren shares insights on market breadth, his newly launched quality-driven ETF strategy, and interesting perspectives on seasonality and retail sentiment. We also touch on his approach to combining systematic and discretionary investing methods. This wide-ranging conversation offers valuable insights for investors navigating the current market environment, showcasing Warren's ability to think outside the box and identify unique market opportunities.

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    • 56 min
    Passive Investing, Inflation and the Bifurcated Economy with Mike Green

    Passive Investing, Inflation and the Bifurcated Economy with Mike Green

    In this episode we have a fascinating discussion with Mike Green of Simplify about the ongoing impact of passive investing on markets. Mike shares insights from recent academic research supporting his thesis and discusses how the risks of passive may play out over time. We also explore potential risks from increased options usage and the short volatility trade.

    In the second half, we turn to the economy. Mike provides his views on inflation, recession risks, and Fed policy. He explains his concerns about bifurcation in the economy and markets, with different segments experiencing very different conditions. We conclude by discussing Mike's approach to hedging credit spread risks. Overall, Mike offers his usual thought-provoking perspectives on a wide range of market dynamics and risks.

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    • 58 min
    Nine Lessons from Rick Ferri | Simplicity, Fees, Market Efficiency and Lessons from History

    Nine Lessons from Rick Ferri | Simplicity, Fees, Market Efficiency and Lessons from History

    In this episode from our sister podcast Two Quants and a Financial Planner, we dive into the key lessons we took from our recent conversation with Rick Ferrii on Excess Returns.



    If you enjoy the episode and want to receive future episodes of the podcast, please subscribe by searching Two Quants and a Financial Planner on your favorite podcast platform.



    We explore Rick's approach to simple, low-cost investing and discuss how his insights apply to various investment strategies, including factor investing. We cover topics such as favoring simplicity, the enduring relevance of the 60/40 portfolio, the importance of fees, and looking to history for guidance. Throughout the discussion, we relate Rick's ideas to our own experiences in quantitative investing and financial planning, offering our perspectives on how these principles can be applied in practice. We also have some fun connecting each lesson to a KISS song. Our goal is to break down Rick's wisdom and show how it can benefit investors across different approaches and philosophies.

    • 1 hr 5 min
    A Tour of the Macroeconomic Landscape with Bob Elliott

    A Tour of the Macroeconomic Landscape with Bob Elliott

    In this episode of Excess Returns, we dive deep into the world of macroeconomics with Bob Elliott of Unlimited Funds. We explore a wide range of topics, including inflation, the Federal Reserve's policies, and the overall state of the economy. Bob shares his insights on how market price targets can be evaluated from a fundamental perspective and discusses the role of gold in a diversified portfolio. We also touch on the complexities of investing in hedge funds and the impact of fiscal policies on market dynamics.

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    • 54 min
    Show Us Your Portfolio: Eric Crittenden

    Show Us Your Portfolio: Eric Crittenden

    In our latest episode of Show Us Your Portfolio, we speak with Standpoint's Eric Crittenden. Eric discusses the all weather approach he uses to construct his personal portfoio. He emphasizes maximizing "true wealth" per unit of risk, which he defines as compounded returns after accounting for all costs, taxes, and inflation. Eric's all-weather investment approach, which combines global equities, bonds and a systematic global macro program investing in various uncorrelated markets. He discusses the importance of diversification beyond traditional stock and bond portfolios, his views on homeownership, wealth transfer to children, and the value of focusing on health and sleep. Eric also shares insights on risk management, the challenges of investor behavior, and the importance of getting the basics right in investing.

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    • 1 hr 4 min

Customer Reviews

4.9 out of 5
47 Ratings

47 Ratings

Ryan Krueger ,

World class hosts

Deep dive research + authentic curiosity = hard to beat

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My New Favorite Pod!

Hosts are engaging experts that make concepts accessible to all audiences. My new favorite pod!

jftd88 ,

Excess Returns Review

Continue to love these discussions and the educational value they provide. Very generous opportunities to learn more by writing a review to receive relevant books, which provide deeper dives into the topics discussed

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