Future Matters Reader

Matthew van der Merwe, Pablo Stafforini

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Future Matters Reader releases audio versions of most of the writings summarized in the Future Matters newsletter

20/03/2023

Holden Karfnosky — Success without dignity: a nearcasting story of avoiding catastrophe by luck

Success without dignity: a nearcasting story of avoiding catastrophe by luck, by Holden Karnofsky. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/75CtdFj79sZrGpGiX/success-without-dignity-a-nearcasting-story-of-avoiding Note: Footnotes in the original article have been omitted.

19 phút
20/03/2023

Larks — A Windfall Clause for CEO could worsen AI race dynamics

In this post, Larks argues that the proposal to make AI firms promise to donate a large fraction of profits if they become extremely profitable will primarily benefitting the management of those firms and thereby give managers an incentive to move fast, aggravating race dynamics and in turn increasing existential risk. https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ewroS7tsqhTsstJ44/a-windfall-clause-for-ceo-could-worsen-ai-race-dynamics

15 phút
20/03/2023

Otto Barten — Paper summary: The effectiveness of AI existential risk communication to the American and Dutch public

This is Otto Barten's summary of 'The effectiveness of AI existential risk communication to the American and Dutch public' by Alexia Georgiadis. In this paper Alexia measures changes in participants' awareness of AGI risks after consuming various media interventions. Summary: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/fqXLT7NHZGsLmjH4o/paper-summary-the-effectiveness-of-ai-existential-risk Original paper: https://existentialriskobservatory.org/papers_and_reports/The_Effectiveness_of_AI_Existential_Risk_Communication_to_the_American_and_Dutch_Public.pdf Note: Some tables in the summary have been omitted in this audio version.

7 phút
20/03/2023

Shulman & Thornley — How much should governments pay to prevent catastrophes? Longtermism's limited role

Carl Shulman & Elliott Thornley argue that the goal of longtermists should be to get governments to adopt global catastrophic risk policies based on standard cost-benefit analysis rather than arguments that stress the overwhelming importance of the future. https://philpapers.org/archive/SHUHMS.pdf Note: Tables, notes and references in the original article have been omitted.

58 phút
14/03/2023

Elika Somani — Advice on communicating in and around the biosecurity policy community

"The field of biosecurity is more complicated, sensitive and nuanced, especially in the policy space, than what impressions you might get based on publicly available information. As a result, say / write / do things with caution (especially if you are a non-technical person or more junior, or talking to a new (non-EA) expert). This might help make more headway on safer biosecurity policy." https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/HCuoMQj4Y5iAZpWGH/advice-on-communicating-in-and-around-the-biosecurity-policy Note: Some footnotes in the original article have been omitted.

13 phút
14/03/2023

Riley Harris — Summary of 'Are we living at the hinge of history?' by William MacAskill.

The Global Priorities Institute has published a new paper summary: 'Are we living at the hinge of history?' by William MacAskill. https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/summary-summary-longtermist-institutional-reform/ Note: Footnotes and references in the original article have been omitted.

7 phút
14/03/2023

Riley Harris — Summary of 'Longtermist institutional reform' by Tyler M. John and William MacAskill

The Global Priorities Institute has published a new paper summary: 'Longtermist institutional reform' by Tyler John & William MacAskill. https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/summary-summary-longtermist-institutional-reform/ Note: Footnotes and references in the original article have been omitted.

6 phút
13/03/2023

Hayden Wilkinson — Global priorities research: Why, how, and what have we learned?

The Global Priorities Institute has released Hayden Wilkinson's presentation on global priorities research. (The talk was given in mid-September last year but remained unlisted until now.) https://globalprioritiesinstitute.org/hayden-wilkinson-global-priorities-research-why-how-and-what-have-we-learned/

45 phút
13/03/2023

Piper — What should be kept off-limits in a virology lab?

New rules around gain-of-function research make progress in striking a balance between reward — and catastrophic risk. https://www.vox.com/future-perfect/2023/2/1/23580528/gain-of-function-virology-covid-monkeypox-catastrophic-risk-pandemic-lab-accident

8 phút
13/03/2023

Ezra Klein — This changes everything

"One of two things must happen. Humanity needs to accelerate its adaptation to these technologies or a collective, enforceable decision must be made to slow the development of these technologies. Even doing both may not be enough." https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/12/opinion/chatbots-artificial-intelligence-future-weirdness.html

11 phút

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Future Matters Reader releases audio versions of most of the writings summarized in the Future Matters newsletter

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Matthew van der Merwe, Pablo Stafforini
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2022 - 2023
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Future Matters Reader

Future Matters Reader

Tập

Holden Karfnosky — Success without dignity: a nearcasting story of avoiding catastrophe by luck

Larks — A Windfall Clause for CEO could worsen AI race dynamics

Otto Barten — Paper summary: The effectiveness of AI existential risk communication to the American and Dutch public

Shulman & Thornley — How much should governments pay to prevent catastrophes? Longtermism's limited role

Elika Somani — Advice on communicating in and around the biosecurity policy community

Riley Harris — Summary of 'Are we living at the hinge of history?' by William MacAskill.

Riley Harris — Summary of 'Longtermist institutional reform' by Tyler M. John and William MacAskill

Hayden Wilkinson — Global priorities research: Why, how, and what have we learned?

Piper — What should be kept off-limits in a virology lab?

Ezra Klein — This changes everything

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