The Gray Report Podcast

Spencer Gray
The Gray Report Podcast

Learn how to find the best real estate investment with the best information: The Gray Report Podcast, with Gray Capital CEO Spencer Gray, covers the important people, ideas, and trends in the multifamily and commercial real estate industry. Episodes include interviews with industry experts, highlights from the latest news, and in-depth explanations of the crucial concepts and processes behind successful investments in apartments.

  1. 11月3日

    Extend and Pretend Meets Grim Reality

    For lenders that are taking the "extend-and-pretend" approach, placing less emphasis on valuation declines, and waiting for lower rates, the risks have not abated, and the New York Fed has taken notice in a new report. Sources discussed in this episode: Federal Reserve Bank of New York: “Extend and Pretend in the U.S. CRE Market” - https://www.newyorkfed.org/medialibrary/media/research/staff_reports/sr1130.pdf The Conference Board: “US Consumer Confidence” - https://www.conference-board.org/topics/consumer-confidence Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies: “The Role of the Recent Immigrant Surge in Housing Costs” - https://www.jchs.harvard.edu/blog/role-recent-immigrant-surge-housing-costs John Burns Research and Consulting: “Slowing immigration set to give a smaller boost to housing” - https://jbrec.com/insights/immigration-slowdown-in-2025-expected-to-decrease-rental-demand/ Institutional Property Advisors: “Near-Record Product Absorption Maintained Through Third Quarter” - https://www.institutionalpropertyadvisors.com/research/special-report/2024/10/special-report-october-multifamily-market-intelligence CoreLogic: “National Rent Growth Remains Slow and Steady in August” - https://www.corelogic.com/press-releases/corelogic-national-rent-growth-remains-slow-and-steady-in-august/ Apartment List: “National Rent Report, October 2024” - https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/national-rent-data For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, visit the Gray Report website: ⁠https://www.grayreport.com/⁠ Sign up for our free multifamily newsletter here: ⁠https://www.graycapitalllc.com/newsletter⁠ DISCLAIMERS: This podcast does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This podcast is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.

    56 分钟
  2. 10月27日

    Did HUD Just Open the Floodgates for Loans?

    Some borrowers and lenders remain under pressure with property values still down from their peak and interest rates still elevated at this point in the rate cycle, with the Department of Housing and Urban Developing proposing more relaxed loan standards, and housing continues to play a sizable role in the political conversation at the height of election season. Sources discussed in this episode: Bisnow: “Both Presidential Candidates Want To Solve The Housing Crisis. Do They Have The Power?” - https://www.bisnow.com/national/news/multifamily/housing-policy-proposals-kamala-harris-donald-trump-126324 HUD - “New Guidelines for 223(f) and 221(d)4” - https://www.hud.gov/sites/dfiles/Housing/documents/Draft_ML_Governing_Rollback_of_TV_DSCR_Final_DraftingTable.pdf Fannie Mae: “Build-to-Rent Overview” - https://www.fanniemae.com/media/53426/display CBRE: “Build-to-Rent Residential Market Overview” - https://www.cbre.com/insights/reports/build-to-rent-overview-2024 John Burns Research and Consulting: “Slowing immigration set to give a smaller boost to housing” - https://jbrec.com/insights/immigration-slowdown-in-2025-expected-to-decrease-rental-demand/ CoreLogic: “National Rent Growth Remains Slow and Steady in August” - https://www.corelogic.com/press-releases/corelogic-national-rent-growth-remains-slow-and-steady-in-august/ Moody’s Analytics: “New Residential Construction in 5 Graphs” - https://www.moodyscre.com/insights/cre-trends/new-residential-construction-in-5-graphs/ MSCI: “More to Revival of Listed US Real Estate Than Rate Cuts” - https://www.msci.com/www/quick-take/more-to-revival-of-listed-us/05046284915 For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, visit the Gray Report website: ⁠https://www.grayreport.com/⁠ Sign up for our free multifamily newsletter here: ⁠https://www.graycapitalllc.com/newsletter⁠ DISCLAIMERS: This podcast does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This podcast is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.

    55 分钟
  3. 10月21日

    Vibe Shift for Multifamily and the Economy?

    Consumer sentiment is shifting as inflation expectations stabilize and more consumers expect lower interest rates in the next 12 months, but after such a long period of economic uncertainty, confidence in the economy is more difficult to find. In the multifamily market, regional differences in apartment supply continue to impact rent growth, but investment activity is poised to increase across all CRE sectors as the Fed continues the current rate cut trajectory. Sources discussed in this episode: CBRE: “Impact of Interest Rate Cuts on Real Estate Cap Rates” - https://www.cbre.com/insights/briefs/impact-of-interest-rate-cuts-on-real-estate-cap-rates Federal Reserve Bank of New York: “Survey of Consumer Expectations, September 2024” - https://www.newyorkfed.org/microeconomics/sce#/ CBRE: “Are big deals suffering more than smaller ones?” - https://www.cbre.com/insights/briefs/cotw-are-big-deals-suffering-more-than-smaller-ones Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies: “10 Major Housing Stories from the Latest ACS Data” - https://www.jchs.harvard.edu/blog/10-major-housing-stories-latest-acs-data John Burns Research and Consulting: “Slowing immigration set to give a smaller boost to housing” - https://jbrec.com/insights/immigration-slowdown-in-2025-expected-to-decrease-rental-demand/ MSCI: “The What and the When Matter for the Losses of Real-Estate Lenders” - https://www.msci.com/www/blog-posts/the-what-and-the-when-matter/05025154480 For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, visit the Gray Report website: ⁠https://www.grayreport.com/⁠ Sign up for our free multifamily newsletter here: ⁠https://www.graycapitalllc.com/newsletter⁠ DISCLAIMERS: This podcast does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This podcast is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.

    1 小时 4 分钟
  4. 10月13日

    Tipping Point for the Apartment Market?

    Commercial real estate investment activity has not changed much since last month's interest rate reduction from the Federal Reserve (nor has it had much time to adjust), but sales volumes will almost certainly improve in 2025, given the strong investment prospects for CRE assets at the start of a rate cutting cycle. For multifamily apartments, unambiguous signs of strong demand point to improved performance in the medium-to-long-term, but in the shorter term, elevated levels of apartment supply and typical seasonal demand trends could mean that rent growth continues to trend lower until Spring of next year. Sources discussed in this episode: "As is often the case, we are navigating by the stars under cloudy skies," from "Inflation: Progress and the Path Ahead," Jerome Powell, Aug. 2023 Bureau of Labor Statistics: “Consumer Price Index, September 2024” - https://www.bls.gov/charts/consumer-price-index/consumer-price-index-by-category.htm# CBRE: “What Could Be in Store for Commercial Real Estate” - https://www.cbre.com/insights/briefs/cotw-what-could-be-in-store-for-commercial-real-estate RealPage: “Strong Apartment Demand Persists in 3rd Quarter as Supply Hits 50-Year High” - https://www.realpage.com/analytics/3q-2024-data-update/ Apartment List: “National Rent Report, September 2024” - https://www.apartmentlist.com/research/national-rent-data Yardi Matrix: National Multifamily Report, September 2024 - https://www.yardimatrix.com/publications/download/file/6228-MatrixMultifamilyNationalReport-September2024 Fannie Mae: “September 2024 Home Purchase Sentiment Index” - https://www.fanniemae.com/media/53371/display For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, visit the Gray Report website: ⁠https://www.grayreport.com/⁠ Sign up for our free multifamily newsletter here: ⁠https://www.graycapitalllc.com/newsletter⁠ DISCLAIMERS: This video does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This video is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.

    1 小时 13 分钟
  5. 10月7日

    Housing Market Freeze in Q4 2024?

    Price growth for single family homes is weakening and could slow further through the end of the year, but underlying drivers of housing demand point to stronger growth in 2025. In the apartment market, rent growth in 2024 has followed a similar trajectory as 2023, but as new apartment supply is expected to decline through 2025 and into 2026, continued growth among the renter population will bring stronger performance for apartment assets at the same time as (expected) lower interest rates should fuel more sales activity for multifamily properties. The apartment market may be cooler in late 2024, but investors are ready for a much hotter market in 2025. Sources discussed in this episode: CoreLogic: “U.S. Home Price Growth Reaches Lowest Level in a Year in August” - https://www.corelogic.com/intelligence/us-home-price-insights-october-2024/ Marcus & Millichap: “Homebuying Out of Reach for Many Households Despite Lower Debt Costs” - https://www.marcusmillichap.com/research/research-brief/2024/09/research-brief-september-housing Goldman Sachs: “US house prices are forecast to rise more than 4% next year” - https://www.goldmansachs.com/insights/articles/us-house-prices-are-forecast-to-rise-more-than-4-percent-next-year Colliers: “National Migration Trends” - https://www.colliers.com/en/research/nrep-us-national-migration-trends-report Moody’s Analytics: “Q3 2024 CRE Preliminary Trends: Positive macroeconomic developments [and] relative stability across most sectors” - https://cre.moodysanalytics.com/insights/cre-trends/q3-2024-preliminary-trend-announcement/ For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, visit the Gray Report website: ⁠https://www.grayreport.com/⁠ Sign up for our free multifamily newsletter here: ⁠https://www.graycapitalllc.com/newsletter⁠ DISCLAIMERS: This video does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This video is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.

    36 分钟
  6. 9月29日

    The Aftermath of a Rate Cut

    Conditions may not be perfect for multifamily investors right now, but the lending environment and supply/demand fundamentals are lining up for a significant improvements in 2025. With markets currently expecting two more rate cuts before the end of the year, cap rate-interest rate spreads may widen enough to bring more investment activity after a lengthy period in which sales volumes were half the pre-pandemic levels. Sources discussed in this episode: CBRE: “Fed Makes First of Several Expected Rate Cuts” - https://www.cbre.com/insights/briefs/economic-watch-fed-makes-first-of-several-expected-rate-cuts Fannie Mae: “Fed Cuts Interest Rates Amid Sluggish Existing Sales but a Rebound in Starts Activity” - https://www.fanniemae.com/research-and-insights/forecast/fed-cuts-interest-rates-amid-sluggish-existing-sales-rebound-starts-activity Cushman & Wakefield: “Fed Pivots: The Next Chapter for CRE” - https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/united-states/insights/fed-pivots-the-next-chapter-for-cre Cushman & Wakefield: “Unpacking Multifamily Supply Risks and Demand Booms” - https://www.cushmanwakefield.com/en/united-states/insights/unpacking-multifamily-supply-risks-and-demand-booms Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies: “Affordability Challenges and the Composition of Middle-Income Renters” - https://www.jchs.harvard.edu/blog/affordability-challenges-and-composition-middle-income-renters Moody’s Analytics: American Needs More Affordable Housing, Not Just Class A Inventory - https://cre.moodysanalytics.com/insights/market-insights/america-needs-more-affordable-housing-not-just-class-a-inventory/ For the latest multifamily news from across the internet, visit the Gray Report website: ⁠https://www.grayreport.com/⁠ Sign up for our free multifamily newsletter here: ⁠https://www.graycapitalllc.com/newsletter⁠ DISCLAIMERS: This video does not constitute professional financial advice and is for educational/entertainment purposes only. This video is not an offer to invest. Any offering would be made through a private placement memorandum and would be limited to accredited investors.

    1 小时 9 分钟
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Learn how to find the best real estate investment with the best information: The Gray Report Podcast, with Gray Capital CEO Spencer Gray, covers the important people, ideas, and trends in the multifamily and commercial real estate industry. Episodes include interviews with industry experts, highlights from the latest news, and in-depth explanations of the crucial concepts and processes behind successful investments in apartments.

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