RBC's Markets in Motion

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Our regular podcast from Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy, that brings a fresh perspective and nuanced, data driven view on the forces shaping U.S. equity markets. Disclaimer: https://www.rbccm.com/en/policies-disclaimers.page

-2 ДН.

Navigating markets in 2025: Whipsaws and fatter-tails call for tactical moves

The format of this special edition of RBC’s Markets in Motion is a little bit different from what we usually do, and runs a little bit longer than usual. In this episode, Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy, is joined by two of her macro partners at RBC Capital Markets, Head of US Rates Strategy, Blake Gwinn, and Equity Derivative Strategist Amy Wu Silverman. With 2024 winding down, all of their outlook reports out, and too many December investor meetings behind them to even count, these three thought leaders at RBC Capital Markets came together to discuss their thoughts on the equity market, the bond market, and volatility in the year ahead. The conversation took place on December 19th, 2024. We hope you enjoy the discussion and wish all of our regular listeners a very happy New Year.

25 мин.
9 ДЕК.

Positioning Takes a Tiny Hit, Mixed Shifts in Key Consensus Macro Assumptions

The big things you need to know: Three big things you need to know: First, positioning in US equity futures per the weekly CFTC data has taken a tiny hit. Second, consensus US GDP forecasts have moved up, along with consensus Fed Funds and 10-year yield forecasts. Third, other things that jump out on our high frequency indicators include the continued decline in bottom-up consensus 2025 S&P 500 operating margin forecasts, geographical equity fund flow dynamics, and recent sharp inflows into momentum equity funds.

6 мин.
4 ДЕК.

Early Thoughts on the 2025 S&P 500 Sector Outlook

Today in the podcast: Our thoughts on the outlook for the S&P 500 sectors in 2025, with a focus on those where we've made changes to our view. The big things you need to know: First, we have upgraded Communication Services from market weight to overweight. Second, we are downgrading Health Care to market weight from overweight. Third, we are downgrading Materials from overweight to market weight.

6 мин.
26 НОЯБ.

Some of the Biggest Things We're Thinking About Heading Into 2025

Today in the podcast: Highlights from our 2025 US Equity Market outlook, in which we reviewed the top 10 things we’re thinking about as the new year comes into view. We won’t go through all ten, but are going to run through some of the more important highlights regarding our broader market call. The big things you need to know: First, our YE 2025 S&P 500 price target is 6,600 – that’s our base case; we also run through our bear case of 5,775. Second, sentiment is modestly constructive on a 12 month view but also makes the case for a near-term pullback. Third, we don’t see much room for further P/E expansion but our valuation work still helps us see how stocks can move higher next year. Fourth, US equities may soon lose their appeal relative to bonds. Fifth, the US economy is at an important crossroad from a stock market perspective. And sixth, the political backdrop presents both tailwinds and possible headwinds for stocks.

11 мин.
18 НОЯБ.

A Pullback May Have Started, Tariffs in Focus, Watching Financials Valuations

Three big things you need to know: First, over the past week we’ve become increasingly convinced that a 5-10% pullback in the S&P 500 may have already started. Second, post-election company commentary has been heavily weighted to tariffs, a part of the Trump agenda that has concerned many equity investors. Third, other things that jump out from our high frequency indicators include Financials valuations that remain slightly attractive vs. the broader market.

6 мин.
11 НОЯБ.

Earnings Wind Down, Stretched Positioning, Valuations With Less Room to Run

Three big things you need to know: First, earnings season is winding down with a disappointing feel to us on the stats, though it’s admittedly not driving price action right now. Second, in our transcript reading, a mixed macro and consumer remained in focus, as companies began to highlight key policy issues they are watching post election. Third, positioning in US equity futures, for both the S&P 500 and Russell 2000, looks stretched. Valuations have some room to run, but not a ton.

6 мин.
7 НОЯБ.

What We've Been Talking About After The Election

Today in the podcast, we run through three things in focus in our conversations following the US election. First, we review the tailwinds for US equities that we’ve been highlighting from a Trump win, along with some of the headwinds to watch out for. Second, we highlight why we think Small Caps have at least a little bit more room to run and what we’re watching to help us know when it’s time to fade the trade. Third, we review our thoughts on the old economy, value-oriented sectors that did well on Wednesday.

6 мин.
5 НОЯБ.

Higher Level Thoughts on the Outcome of the US Election

We’ve recorded this on the day of the US Presidential Election, and that’s what we're focusing on today. There are 7 big things you need to know: They focus on the set-up, the historical playbook, bottom-up policy implications per our analyst survey, our thoughts on positioning trades, one tailwind that will manifest regardless of what happens, tail risks, and our rundown of what we’ll be watching on election night and possibly the days beyond.

9 мин.

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Оценок: 37

Get the 411 on Wall Street

3 янв.

Ck586

Essential insights from the folks working in FiDi.
The lowest quality

5 февр.

AMAZingAmazing007

AI will read more smoothly than her! She doesn’t talk but can’t read it smoothly! We don’t even have enough time for CNBC podcasts! Who would listen to this garbage????
essential listening

09.10.2021

40Harry

great insight. i like how lori gives a quick summary up front, and then dives deep for people who want more.
Good content but poor execution so far

31.10.2023

ramjam2011

The quality of this podcast is not good compared to similar offerings. And there are already good options with short market updates from Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley. Lori is just reading and her mic picks up too much breathing. It’s a bit distracting every time she takes a breath in between sentences.

Our regular podcast from Lori Calvasina, Head of US Equity Strategy, that brings a fresh perspective and nuanced, data driven view on the forces shaping U.S. equity markets. Disclaimer: https://www.rbccm.com/en/policies-disclaimers.page