Stocks-in-Depth

Bill Baker, CFA
Stocks-in-Depth

Stocks-in-Depth thoroughly examines the fundamentals of reasonably valued high-quality small and mid-cap growth companies. It is produced by GARP Research, a provider of equity research to institutions including many of the most well-known fund managers for over 20 years. GARP is known for its granular modelling of business lines and in-depth assessment of competition and served markets. Stocks-in-Depth searches for value and growth by researching stocks that may be out of favor, or where a major catalyst to earnings growth is hidden. Our financial models attempt to shed light on trends underneath opaque segment reporting. Stocks in Depth emphasizes balance sheet accounts and profitability margins to determine underlying return on capital, and maintains healthy skepticism regarding pro forma adjustments and undue reliance upon unconventional measures such as EBITDA. We emphasize field visits with managements, industry conferences, non-public competitors and ancillary fields to detect industry dynamics. In our search for the best companies and investment opportunities, we often challenge the consensus view. StocksinDepth forecasts over the long-term, typically over about a three year horizon, and review track records going back for years.

  1. 14/01/2017

    SID 0032 Free Trade Doesn't Work - Part 3

    Institutional investment strategists follow economic and market data closely, and tend to weave together a narrative that explains the current trend.  Presently the US dollar is rising, like it has two times before in the last few decades.  In this podcast, we sample the perspective of Brown Brothers Harriman currency strategist Marc Chandler, whom we believe mistakenly thinks the rising dollar is proof that the U.S. trade deficit is benign.  In Part 3 of our series, Free Trade Doesn’t Work,” Stocks-in-Depth pulls apart the numerous assumptions behind Chandler’s thesis, except one: the powerful effect of interest rate differentials on the current momentum of the dollar.  Chandler will most likely be right in the short term, and he’s likely to try to make the opposite call when intervention stops the dollar’s path, as was the case in previous bull markets.  But he is wary of the rise of what he dubs “populism-nationalism,” in Europe and America, for it might put the stake into the heart of free trade.  For Chandler, it is a myth that the gigantic trade deficit, which has opened up since the early 1970s when the dollar was severed from its gold backing, means that the dollar is overvalued or that free trade is a failed policy.  To us, that’s a straw man, for currency pairs will always ebb and flow to the rhythms of the global credit cycle and capital’s desire to cross borders for investment purposes.  If the theoretical case for free trade has been falling apart since nearly the beginning of the millennium as economist Ian Fletcher contends, then further dollar strength would only ratchet up the pressure that is boiling under the surface in the form of populist-nationalist movements.

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Giới Thiệu

Stocks-in-Depth thoroughly examines the fundamentals of reasonably valued high-quality small and mid-cap growth companies. It is produced by GARP Research, a provider of equity research to institutions including many of the most well-known fund managers for over 20 years. GARP is known for its granular modelling of business lines and in-depth assessment of competition and served markets. Stocks-in-Depth searches for value and growth by researching stocks that may be out of favor, or where a major catalyst to earnings growth is hidden. Our financial models attempt to shed light on trends underneath opaque segment reporting. Stocks in Depth emphasizes balance sheet accounts and profitability margins to determine underlying return on capital, and maintains healthy skepticism regarding pro forma adjustments and undue reliance upon unconventional measures such as EBITDA. We emphasize field visits with managements, industry conferences, non-public competitors and ancillary fields to detect industry dynamics. In our search for the best companies and investment opportunities, we often challenge the consensus view. StocksinDepth forecasts over the long-term, typically over about a three year horizon, and review track records going back for years.

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