STRAT | Week of November 11, 2024

In this episode of STRAT, retired Marine Intelligence Officer LtCol. Hal Kempfer delves into the complex web of geopolitical tensions following a significant U.S. election. Kempfer explores the potential implications of Trump’s return to power, particularly in relation to Iran's assassination plots against him and the broader impact on global alliances. Kempfer analyzes Russia's increasing dependency on Iranian resources amid an ongoing dependency on U.S.-Israel relations, further complicating Trump's strategic approach. The episode also examined the shifting dynamics within NATO, EU strategies, and Trump’s unconventional methods in navigating these global challenges. Finally, Kempfer highlights potential realignments in the Middle East, Russia’s influence, and emphasized the U.S.’s strategic budgetary redistribution potential to combatting China’s rising threats.

Takeaway Points:

- Iran’s active assassination attempts against Trump after Soleimani's death.

- Complexity of U.S.-Russia relations amid Iran's Assad alliance.

- Shifts in Middle East politics affecting U.S. and Israel strategies.

- NATO and EU preparing for new Trump administration policies.

- Impact of global oil and strategic markets related to Ukraine and Russia.

- Speculation on how the U.S. might realign militarily against China.

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