The ALX Show

Josh Alexander

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The ALX Show

Get insights from experts in DFW real estate. See more at alxrealestate.com.

OCT 31

Let's talk politics and real estate

On the latest episode of The ALX Show, we chat with Patrick Dunne and Josh Alexander about the intricate dynamics of politics and its impact on real estate as Election Day looms. They discuss the polarized political climate, the influence of the election processes, and the potential impact on real estate and the broader economy. This conversation offers a refreshing take on approaching politics with civil discourse and highlights the importance of viewing leadership through a lens of faith and community. Key Highlights: Discussion on expectations for election results and potential delays in counting.Examination of current election polling trends and public trust in institutions.Insight into the intersection of presidential influence and economic implications.Exploration of real estate implications based on potential election outcomes.Ideas on incentivizing housing construction to address shortages. Quotes: "Can we vote for different people but still love each other? That's ultimately where we need to land here." – Josh Alexander"Regardless of who wins, Jesus is still on the throne and that's who we follow." – Josh Alexander"Having the ability to build smaller, simpler homes would increase the supply a lot." – Brandon Giella

20 min
OCT 24

Deficit spending, bond market, and flipping homes

In this episode of The ALX Show we are joined by Patrick Dunne and Josh Alexander, who delve into the complexities of deficit spending, the bond market, and their impact on real estate. They provide expert insights into how these economic factors influence home renovation trends and the real estate sector in the DFW area. With in-depth analysis and actionable strategies, this episode is essential for anyone looking to navigate the current market landscape effectively. Key Highlights: Examination of deficit spending effects on bond yields and mortgage rates.Discussion on how the bond market's fluctuations influence real estate financing.Analysis of the rise in home equity values and its potential to drive renovation projects.Insights into multifamily market trends and what they mean for investors.Strategic recommendations for navigating current market conditions based on long-term perspectives. Quotes: "2025 is going to be a much better year, a much more active year." – Josh Alexander"Watch the data and make smart decisions." – Brandon Giella"Sentiment is key to unlocking real estate markets." – Josh Alexander"There's still great opportunity in both single-family and multifamily residential markets." – Josh Alexander

32 min
OCT 11

Q4 volatility

Join hosts Josh Alexander and Patrick Dunne as they tackle the complexities of the current real estate market, focusing on the latest labor and inflation data impacting Dallas-Fort Worth (DFW). With extensive analysis, they discuss the theme of market volatility, an uncertain economic landscape, and its effects on real estate transactions in the coming months. This episode offers a deep dive into how interest rates, mortgage rates, and inventory shortages could shape the future for investors, buyers, and sellers alike. Key Highlights: Examination of recent labor data and its implications for future interest rate decisions.Discussion on rising mortgage rates and their impact on real estate transactions in DFW.Insight into current market behaviors in different price points, particularly $500K-$1M homes.Consideration of how external factors, like hurricanes, are influencing home insurance and prices.Predictions on the real estate market's outlook for 2025 and beyond. Quotes: "A strong jobs report shouldn't be a bad thing. We want a strong labor market because that has to be in place for everything else to thrive." – Josh Alexander"People want to transact, but it's got to make sense, and the only way it makes sense is if you've got more clarity about where you're ultimately going to land in the debt." – Josh Alexander

28 min
OCT 2

Economic indicators update, politics, and hurricanes

Introduction: In this episode, Josh Alexander and Patrick delve into the latest economic indicators for September, focusing on metrics that influence the DFW real estate market. They discuss inflation, interest rates, the labor market, and the potential impact of recent natural disasters. Tune in to gain valuable insights on how these factors affect real estate investments and market stability. Key Highlights: Inflation cooling as per the PCE report, suggesting upcoming interest rate cuts.Cap rates, particularly in multifamily housing, are starting to decrease.Job openings have increased, but the quits rate has significantly dropped, indicating a cautious labor market.Effects of recent hurricanes on property insurance premiums and real estate markets.Political and economic uncertainties' implications on mortgage rates and market stability. Quotes: "Inflation is being tamed, as shown by the PCE numbers—an encouraging trend for all of us in commercial real estate." – Josh Alexander"Cap rates have probably peaked, especially in multifamily, and are starting to come back in." – Josh Alexander"The quits rate is down, indicating people are more hesitant to leave their jobs, reflecting a cautious labor market." – Josh Alexander"Major weather events like hurricanes could impact insurance premiums and market conditions." – Josh Alexander References: ALX's Economic Indicators Dashboard: alxrealestate.com/economic-indicators

28 min
SEP 25

Rate cut fallout and TikTok real estate

In this episode, hosts Patrick Dunne and Josh Alexander provide an in-depth analysis of the latest real estate trends in the DFW area following the recent 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve. They dive into the ramifications for mortgages, the implications of bond yields, and discuss a notable story about a Texas realtor innovatively using TikTok to find affordable apartments. Key Highlights: Insights on the implications of the 50 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve.Discussion on the bond yields and their effect on mortgage rates.Examination of the housing affordability crisis in DFW.Exploration of the innovative use of TikTok by real estate agents for finding affordable housing.Analysis of the influence of the upcoming election on the real estate market. Quotes: "I think it's great. She's found a real need and she's out there hustling and finding these apartments for people, making them aware of what's available with affordability being such a major issue." – Josh Alexander"What it does do is that SOFR futures curve, which is where the index these rates are tied to... your cost to hedge your floating interest rate costs through a rate cap or whatever is going to continue to get cheaper." – Josh Alexander"If you think about it from the perspective of a home builder, you see here now, Freddie's thing says that there's nearly a million for purchase home supply shortage." – Josh Alexander References: "Dallas Morning News" article on the recent rate cutsFreddie Mac's housing shortage chart and analysisNBC DFW article on TikTok realtor Sarah Hamway helping renters find affordable apartmentsALX Economic Indicators Dashboard

23 min
SEP 17

Announcing our economic indicators dashboard

In this episode, we celebrate the launch of our new economic indicators dashboard. Hosts Josh Alexander and Patrick Dunne discuss how this tool will provide a data-driven perspective on the DFW real estate market and the impact of the upcoming Fed decision on rate cuts. They dive into current market sentiment, trends, and the importance of understanding macro and microeconomic data to make informed investment decisions. Tune in for valuable insights on navigating real estate investments in a fluctuating economy. Key Highlights: Discussion on the launch of the economic indicators dashboard for investors.Analysis of the upcoming Fed rate decision and its potential impact on the market.Insights into the relationship between macroeconomic data and local market conditions.The importance of monitoring trends over time for better investment decisions.Predictions on how changing interest rates might affect the DFW real estate market. Quotes: "Anytime you've got people feeling better about where their loans are going to come in and how that's going to affect values, then all of a sudden people start to be more willing and excited about doing deals." – Josh Alexander"The snapshot of the data of where it is on a monthly basis is not nearly as important as the trend. The numbers are great, but the trends in context are ultimately what's important." – Josh Alexander"We want this to be a resource for people to reach out and just get to know us. This is something that affects us all, we can all talk about it." – Josh Alexander References: ALX Economic Indicators Dashboard: alxrealestate.com/economic-indicatorsWall Street JournalBureau of Labor Statistics (BLS)Dallas Federal Reserve For more information and to view the dashboard, visit alxrealestate.com/economic-indicators.

36 min
SEP 9

DFW multifamily and treasury yield outlook

In this episode of The ALX Show, host Josh Alexander provides a comprehensive update on the DFW real estate market. He dives into recent macroeconomic news, including the Federal Reserve’s potential rate cuts, and discusses their implications for both the broader economy and DFW real estate. They highlight significant trends in the local market, focusing on the hottest areas and the impact of economic changes on housing affordability and investment opportunities. Tune in for an insightful look at how the current economic environment is shaping the DFW real estate landscape. Key Highlights: Overview of recent macroeconomic news and its impact on treasury yields.Implications of potential Federal Reserve rate cuts for commercial real estate and mortgage rates.Analysis of the current DFW real estate market, with a focus on McKinney, Frisco, and other active areas.Discussion on housing affordability challenges and the effect of borrowing costs. Insights on home insurance market changes in DFW due to hail storms and inflation. Positive outlook for multifamily housing in DFW, including rent growth and favorable economic trends. Quotes: "Inflation is in a good place and we can see that in the latest readings." – Josh Alexander"New homes are actually more affordable than existing homes due to the excess inventory built in recent years." – Josh Alexander

25 min
SEP 4

Market slide and DFW housing supply data

In this episode of The ALX Show, host Josh Alexander is joined by Patrick Dunne to discuss the current state of the market post-Labor Day. They delve into the recent drops in the S&P and NASDAQ, as well as providing a comprehensive analysis of the DFW housing supply data. Their insights cover everything from the impacts of weak manufacturing data to the trends in residential and multifamily real estate. This episode is a must-listen for anyone interested in understanding the nuances of the DFW market and the broader economic landscape. Key Highlights: Impact of weak manufacturing data on market downturn.Analysis of the DFW real estate market amidst rising interest rates.Discussion on residential market trends and inventory increases.Insights on multifamily leasing trends and supply-demand balance.Predictions on the Fed's next moves and their market implications. Quotes: "We're seeing oil react to that. And I think there's this fear that we could be in or coming into a recession on the heels of the labor report.""As soon as people feel comfortable with, get some stability back in and people feel comfortable with rates and prices, I think the market will start to open up.""What used to be roommates coupling together and leasing a unit together are starting to decouple."

26 min

Get insights from experts in DFW real estate. See more at alxrealestate.com.

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Josh Alexander
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