US Rates Strategy: Core CPI inflation holds above 3%, but where is the love for TIPS?

US Rates Strategist Phoebe White discusses her takeaways from the October CPI report, as well as the path ahead for US rates and inflation markets. October CPI showed broad-based strength, outside of some idiosyncratic weakness in core goods prices, and points to some stickiness in core services inflation, even before considering upside risks stemming from policy uncertainty. With Treasury valuations cheap and the Fed maintaining an easing bias, there is likely limited room for yields to rise further. TIPS breakevens are likely to outperform their historical beta to nominal yields in a rally.

Speaker:

Phoebe White, Head of US Inflation Strategy

This podcast was recorded on 15 November 2024.

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