SI321: Post Election - Why Trends Matter More Than Ever ft. Alan Dunne

Together with Alan Dunne, we delve into the shifting landscape of systematic investing, highlighting the growing use of quant based strategies as well as AI and machine learning in portfolio management. The discussion also emphasizes the significant impact of concentration within the S&P 500, with Goldman Sachs now predicting that this could lead to lower returns for traditional equity investments in the coming decade. We explore various economic themes, and note the challenges facing Europe compared to the optimism in the US markets. We also reflect on the recent elections and their implications for future economic policies. The conversation wraps up with insights on trend following strategies and how they can enhance portfolio diversification, particularly in a climate of rising yields and market volatility.

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Episode TimeStamps:

01:05 - What has caught our attention recently?

03:17 - Dark times ahead for Europe?

06:26 - An analysis of the election

11:46 - Niels' thoughts on the election outcome

14:58 - Alan's thoughts on the election outcome

18:11 - A global macro perspective

28:00 - Has the election outcome any effect on the US deficits?

31:39 - Industry performance update

37:19 - Q1, Yann: I’m wondering if, for portfolio stability, it might make sense to replace bonds with outcome-defined or buffered ETFs. Any thoughts?

37:33 - Q1, Yann: I’m wondering if, for portfolio stability, it might make sense to replace bonds with outcome-defined or buffered ETFs. Any thoughts?

41:56 - Is Goldman Sachs changing their strategy?

48:38 - The role of trend following in an unpredictable market

53:45 - How systematic investing has become integral in portfolio construction

57:54 - Systematic - an overlooked word

59:21 - The mystery paper - a teaser

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