A Republic, If You Can Keep It

Michigan Citizens for a Better Tomorrow
A Republic, If You Can Keep It Podcast

JEFF TIMMER, former Executive Director of the Michigan Republican Party, is a political, public affairs and communications strategist who has spent 30 years in the trenches of Michigan and national politics. He has advised and directed hundreds of legislative, congressional, statewide political and ballot issue campaigns. He was an advisor to Ohio Governor John Kasich's 2016 presidential campaign. Jeff is a leading redistricting expert and has been an advisor to Speakers of the Michigan House, Michigan Senate Majority Leaders, the Michigan House and Senate Republican campaign committees, and the Michigan Republican Party. He is co-founder of Republicans and Independents for Biden, and is a senior advisor to the Lincoln Project. MARK BREWER served for 18 years as chair or executive chair of the Michigan Democratic Party and as a member of the Democratic National Committee. He's been a delegate to 5 Democratic National Conventions. He has been involved in a wide variety of election cases since the 1980s including county, legislative and congressional redistricting, presidential primaries/caucuses, recalls, recounts, ballot access, voter protection on Election Day and the protection of the right to vote a straight party ticket. Mark’s ballot question work ranges from city to county to statewide on topics from the minimum wage, earned sick leave and community benefits to straight party voting, tax reform, redistricting, campaign finance and ethics reform, and county charter government.

Episodes

  1. 19 SEPT

    Tax Cuts for Everyone!

    When he’s not venting about his debate debacle or doubling down on cats-and-dogs recipes, Donald Trump is offering empty promises of tax cuts for the masses: no tax on tips, no tax on Social Security, no tax on overtime and even overturning a law he signed which gutted tax deductions for wealthier residents of high-tax states. He’s running scared as the polls consistently show him slowly slipping nationally, and especially in swing states. Also on our screen this week: RFK Junior is staying on the Michigan presidential ballot which presumably will help Harris/Walz carry the state. The Michigan Supreme Court has upheld major increases in Michigan’s minimum wage, but there’s a battle brewing over the increase for tipped workers. Michigan’s status as a first-tier battleground is being reinforced with seemingly daily visits from someone on the national tickets. Trump ventured into Flint, seemingly to anger the UAW. (We recorded on Thursday afternoon, hours away from Kamala Harris joining with Oprah in Detroit for an online townhall. 9/18/24 - Swing State Poll 2024: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: Harris Ahead In 2 Key Battleground States, 3rd State Up For Grabs, Quinnipiac University Poll Finds; U.S. Senate Races: Democrats Have Leads In All 3 States - Quinnipiac University Poll 111 Former G.O.P. Officials Back Harris, Calling Trump ‘Unfit to Serve’ - The New York Times Republican Divisions Sink House Bill as Government Shutdown Nears - Wall Street Journal Russia goes all-out with covert disinformation aimed at Harris, Microsoft report says - AP News Billie Eilish endorses Harris: ‘Vote like your life depends on it’ - The Hill CNN Airs Montage of Donald Trump Doing Exactly What JD Vance Told Dems NOT to Do - The Daily Beast And we can’t this week go by without some thoughts on one of the most prolific liars from the Trump White House - Sarah Huckabee Sanders came to Michigan to add to the derision of childless women. It’s not going over well.  =========================== This episode is sponsored in part by EPIC ▪ MRA, a full service survey research firm with expertise in • Public Opinion Surveys • Market Research Studies • Live Telephone Surveys • On-Line and Automated Surveys • Focus Group Research • Bond Proposals - Millage Campaigns • Political Campaigns & Consulting • Ballot Proposals - Issue Advocacy Research • Community - Media Relations • Issue - Image Management • Database Development & List Management White Dudes for Harris

    32 min
  2. 13 SEPT

    Dead Dogs and A Childless Cat Lady

    It was a good great week for the Harris/Walz campaign: Tuesday night was a Wipe Out for Donald Trump - a one-on-one confrontation just as one-sided as the earlier debate that ended Joe Biden’s reelection bid. Days earlier they picked up the endorsements of arch conservative GOP icons Liz and Dick Cheney, followed by support from George W. Bush's Attorney General Alberto Gonzalez; inflation is down to a three-year low, with gas prices plunging and the Fed poised to lower interest rates; renowned childless cat owner Taylor Swift posted her endorsement of the ticket for her 284-million Instagram followers; and the latest polls show Harris's lead over Trump nationally edging upward. And the Trump/Vance campaign became a national laughing stock with its claims of Haitians in Springfield Ohio kidnapping and eating pet dogs, cats and ducks. Even Ohio Governor Mike DeWine called out the campaign for spreading a baseless lie. The Trump campaign doubled down, wrongly claiming the Ohio Haitians are in the country illegally. They are not. Also on our radar this week: Republicans in Congress are reprising their performance of “Let’s shut down the government” with more dramatics as the deadline for passing a budget approaches. To borrow from the late, great baseball manager Casey Stengel: “can’t anyone play this game?” The campaign for the U.S. Senate heats up with Democrats hitting Mike Rogers for his role in promoting opioids - he was for them before he was against them. The Michigan Supreme Court is leaving RFK Jr. and Cornel West on the November presidential ballot. Attorney General Nessel wraps up her investigation into MSU’s handling of the Larry Nasser debacle with some harsh criticism =========================== This episode is sponsored in part by EPIC ▪ MRA, a full service survey research firm with expertise in • Public Opinion Surveys • Market Research Studies • Live Telephone Surveys • On-Line and Automated Surveys • Focus Group Research • Bond Proposals - Millage Campaigns • Political Campaigns & Consulting • Ballot Proposals - Issue Advocacy Research • Community - Media Relations • Issue - Image Management • Database Development & List Management Tim Campbell - Counterpoint Media

    31 min
  3. 5 SEPT

    The Weave (Guest: Author/Political Scientist Dr. Matt Grossman)

    David Horsey - Seattle Times This week’s agenda: Michigan in late summer is looking like Iowa in the winter: presidential candidates everywhere except the very weird RFK Jr. who is on the ballot despite his best efforts. We’re days away from what may be the only Harris-Trump debate, with Trump previewing why he’ll lose the debate … it’s rigged. Can an endorsement make a real difference? We may find out as Liz Cheney says she’s voting for Kamala Harris. Trump’s apparent campaign strategy: skip Labor Day events to play golf, keep running against Joe Biden and using his Hillary playbook against Kamala Harris, explain his long-winded meandering diatribes as a brilliant tactic he calls “weaving” … then run off to Sean Hannity for an hour of softball batting practice. Meanwhile, there’s a new call in Congress for investigating still another Trump crime: what looks like a $10-million dollar gift to Trump from Egypt. designed to hide an illegal foreign government campaign contribution. What should be shocking news has been mostly ignored. And then there’s Russia Russia Russia: the Justice Department charges the Russians with running their third straight disinformation campaign in support of Trump’s candidacy. Polling shows voters increasingly dug in to their respective tribes as the political polarization chasm grows. Our guest this week is MSU political science guru Matt Grossman discussing his new book explaining the continuing trend towards two Americas. Matt Grossmann is Director of the Institute for Public Policy and Social Research – a.k.a. IPPSR – and Professor of Political Science at Michigan State University. He is the author of numerous books on our political world. His latest: "Polarized by Degrees". The work, written in collaboration with Boston College Political Scientist David A. Hopkins explores the nation's current political polarization and how it has caused a diploma divide between the parties. Grossmann is a Senior Fellow at the Niskanen Center in Washington, DC, host of The Science of Politics Podcast and a regular contributor to FiveThirtyEight’s online political analysis. He has also published op-eds in The New York Times and The Washington Post. He was named Director of IPPSR in January 2016. IPPSR is a policy, leadership and research unit within MSU’s College of Social Science conducting more than $1.5 million in grant- or contract-funded research and raising more than $300,000 in donations annually. =========================== This episode is sponsored in part by EPIC ▪ MRA, a full service survey research firm with expertise in • Public Opinion Surveys • Market Research Studies • Live Telephone Surveys • On-Line and Automated Surveys • Focus Group Research • Bond Proposals - Millage Campaigns • Political Campaigns & Consulting • Ballot Proposals - Issue Advocacy Research • Community - Media Relations • Issue - Image Management • Database Development & List Management Pat Bagley - Salt Lake Tribune ===========================

    49 min
  4. 30 AUG

    World War III (Guests: Bernie Porn, Jamie Lyons-Eddy)

    This week’s agenda is Presidential Politics in Michigan: New polling shows Kamala Harris and Donald Trump in a statistical tie. We’ll be joined in a moment by EPIC-MRA’s Bernie Porn. The candidates are focusing on Michigan. Trump makes two visits, saying we’re on the verge of World War III. Kamala Harris will revive a longstanding tradition of a Democratic candidate Metro Detroit rally on Labor Day. Michigan Republicans continue to embarrass themselves, this time with a convention that features the forced ejection of their former chair. Bobby Kennedy Jr., Cornel West and Jill Stein will all be on Michigan’s presidential ballot even though RFK Jr. wants out More than 200 former Trump staffers and leaders of the presidential campaigns of John McCain and MItt Romney are endorsing Kamala Harris - an unprecedented political repudiation by the people who know Trump the best We have two guests on this week's podcast: Pollster Bernie Porn leads us through the numbers in his company's latest polling in Michigan. It's generally good-but-not-great news for Democrats in a campaign that's very, very tight. And one of the founders of Michigan’s first citizen-run redistricting process reflects on the apparent end of the first redistricting cycle, seven-and-a-half years after Voters Not Politicians kicked off its historic campaign to amend Michigan's constitution is now complete. We talk with the leader of the grassroots group, Jamie Lyons-Eddy. Joining that chat is our producer, Walt Sorg, another of the founders of VNP and co-author of the constitutional amendment.   =========================== This episode is sponsored in part by EPIC ▪ MRA, a full service survey research firm with expertise in • Public Opinion Surveys • Market Research Studies • Live Telephone Surveys • On-Line and Automated Surveys • Focus Group Research • Bond Proposals - Millage Campaigns • Political Campaigns & Consulting • Ballot Proposals - Issue Advocacy Research • Community - Media Relations • Issue - Image Management • Database Development & List Management ===========================

    59 min
  5. 16 AUG

    Bear Hunting with Bobby (Guest: ProPublica’s Andy Kroll)

    This week’s agenda: The Second City becomes the news center of the nation for a week as Democrats gather on the left side of Lake Michigan for their national convention. While the Harris-Walz ticket continues to draw massive crowds at rallies, J.D. Vance comes to Michigan and again draws a crowd numbering in the dozens. The latest polling from the New York Times shows a turnaround in three critical states, with Kamala Harris now holding narrow leads in Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. Trump continues to campaign from home. His latest effort: a weirdo-with-weirdo two-hour glitch-and-lie filled online chat with X owner Elon Musk. A pro-Trump attorney facing multiple election-related criminal charges in Michigan has been barred from a separate 2020 election lawsuit because she shared confidential court documents with a local sheriff. Good economic news is continuing: inflation has dropped below 3%, wage increases continue to exceed inflation, and the Fed is looking to lower interest rates next month. The Trump-Vance ticket continues to disown the massively unpopular Project 2025 even as the evidence proves that it is, in fact, the Trump agenda if he’s reelected. If reading the 900 pages isn’t frightening enough, newly revealed training videos for Project 2025 acolytes are even more frightening. We are joined by the reporter who exposed the 14 hours of video: ProPublica’s Andy Kroll. ProPublica has become the most respected investigative journalism organization in the nation, winning awards right-and-left for its groundbreaking work. ProPublica made national headlines exposing the multi-million-dollar gifts to Supreme Court Justice Clarence Thomas. Now it’s making headlines again, exposing 14 hours of previously secret training videos on Project 2025, a story uncovered by Andy Kroll. Andy was previously the Washington bureau chief for Rolling Stone. His reporting there about a series of cyberattacks on congressional campaigns helped lead to the indictment of a California political operative. Before that, he was a senior reporter at Mother Jones. In September, Kroll will publish his first book, “A Death on W Street: The Murder of Seth Rich and the Age of Conspiracy,” a true-crime investigation about U.S. politics, viral conspiracy theories and one family’s fight for truth. Jon Stewart dissects Trump recycling of the same old stuff =========================== This episode is sponsored in part by EPIC ▪ MRA, a full service survey research firm with expertise in: • Public Opinion Surveys • Market Research Studies • Live Telephone Surveys • On-Line and Automated Surveys • Focus Group Research • Bond Proposals - Millage Campaigns • Political Campaigns & Consulting • Ballot Proposals - Issue Advocacy Research • Community - Media Relations • Issue - Image Management • Database Development & List Management ===========================

  6. 9 AUG

    Presidential Campaign Reset (Guest: Clara Hendrickson)

    An estimated 15,000 packed a hangar and out the door at the Harris-Walz Detroit Metro rally The Harris-Walz ticket launches with crowds matching Obama 2008 and Trump 2016 Hours before the new Democratic ticket attracted 15,000 to a hangar at Metro Airport, JD Vance enthused a crowd of several dozen in Macomb County. Donald Trump spent the week mean-Truthing, holding a bizarre and distortion/lie-filled news conference, and resting up for his one-and-only campaign event in the critical swing state of ... Montana? Michigan’s primary election sets up some critical showdowns in 4 congressional races which could decide control of the U.S. House and Senate as well as the Michigan Legislature. Another domino falls in the state-by-state criminal cases against the fake electors, with disbarred attorney Jenna Ellis flipping in Arizona. And a national Republicans for Harris-Walz organization is unleashed. Helping sort out the primary election results in Michigan is returning friend-of-the-pod, Detroit Free Press political reporter Clara Hendrickson.  Clara covers Michigan politics with a focus on the governor's office and the state Legislature. She has previously covered voting rights, election administration and redistricting in Michigan. She came to The Detroit Free Press by way of Report for America – an initiative of The GroundTruth Project – to fact-check Michigan issues and politics in partnership with PolitiFact during the 2020 election. She previously worked as a research analyst at the Brookings Institution and freelance journalist in Washington, D.C. =========================== This episode is sponsored in part by EPIC ▪ MRA, a full service survey research firm with expertise in: • Public Opinion Surveys • Market Research Studies • Live Telephone Surveys • On-Line and Automated Surveys • Focus Group Research • Bond Proposals - Millage Campaigns • Political Campaigns & Consulting • Ballot Proposals - Issue Advocacy Research • Community - Media Relations • Issue - Image Management • Database Development & List Management ===========================

    44 min
  7. 1 AUG

    Donald Trump Charm School (Guest: Representative Dan Kildee)

    This week’s agenda: Donald Trump has a 30-minute tantrum with black journalists … and he didn’t exactly stick the landing. In the least surprising news of the week, the UAW has added its endorsement to the Harris campaign New polling shows the battle for the White House has become a tossup A long court battle ends with Michigan’s minimum wage increasing … just as voters wanted, but a Republican Legislature tried to sabotage President Biden calls for major changes to the Supreme Court And the Republican-controlled U.S. House is continuing its record of getting nothing done … leaving town after failing to pass a federal budget We are joined by Congressman Dan Kildee from Flint, a senior member of the House Budget Committee and Chief Deputy Democratic Whip. Kildee is retiring this year after 12 years in Congress. He has devoted his career to public service, previously serving as Genesee County Treasurer, on the Genesee County Board of Commissioners and on the Flint Board of Education.  Kildee co-founded and served as the president of the Center for Community Progress, a national non-profit organization focused on urban land reform and revitalization; and founded Michigan's first land bank—the Genesee County Land Bank—which is responsible for tens of millions of dollars in redevelopment in Flint. Nick Anderson - Counterpoint Media =========================== This episode is sponsored in part by EPIC ▪ MRA,  a full service survey research firm with expertise in: • Public Opinion Surveys • Market Research Studies • Live Telephone Surveys • On-Line and Automated Surveys • Focus Group Research • Bond Proposals - Millage Campaigns • Political Campaigns & Consulting • Ballot Proposals - Issue Advocacy Research • Community - Media Relations • Issue - Image Management • Database Development & List Management ===========================

    56 min
  8. 26 JUL

    A New Ballgame (Guest: Pollster Bernie Porn)

    Still another amazing week in our nation's 248th year, with Michigan right in the center of it all. This week’s agenda: The Harris campaign comes together in a matter of 2 days: we focus on a week that will go into the history books (except history books in Florida schools) Next up: choosing a running mate, with just 2 weeks to make a decision Republican panic begins as the GOP grapples with the change at the top President Biden shifts into legacy mode Governor Whitmer makes it clear … again … that she’s not looking for a new job New polling says Carl Marlinga is up 6 points over Congressman John James in the critical 10th District congressional race… And for those who remember that government is also about actually governing, a new state budget is signed into law Mark and producer Walt Sorg talk with veteran pollster Bernie Porn for his insights based on 40 years of taking Michigan’s political pulse. Bernie and his colleagues at EPIC-MRA have been measuring Michigan voter sentiment for four decades. EPIC-MRA is regularly rated as the top polling firm in the state, and is regularly quoted in media across Michigan and the nation. A week ago, his poll (one day before President Biden's announcement) showed Trump up by 7 in Michigan. Now it's a whole new ballgame. (Full disclosure: EPIC-MRA is a sponsor of the podcast.) =========================== This episode is sponsored in part by EPIC ▪ MRA,  a full service survey research firm with expertise in: • Public Opinion Surveys • Market Research Studies • Live Telephone Surveys • On-Line and Automated Surveys • Focus Group Research • Bond Proposals - Millage Campaigns • Political Campaigns & Consulting • Ballot Proposals - Issue Advocacy Research • Community - Media Relations • Issue - Image Management • Database Development & List Management ===========================

    55 min
  9. 19 JUL

    America’s Hitler (Guest: Senator Dayna Polehanki)

    There are only two political stories on our agenda this week, both from the top of the ballot: the “will he or won’t he” waiting about President Biden, and the GOP National Convention which they branded as a unifying event but, in reality, only united the dominant MAGA movement while horrifying just about everyone else. Key to the discussion over the Democratic ticket: polls, polls, polls. Links to some of the most credible: Public Policy Poll: Michigan & Pennsylvania Most say Biden should withdraw from the Presidential race - AP-NORC YouGov Michigan Senate Poll - July 4-12 YouGov Poll - Harris for President, Issues Blue Labs Polling of Alternative nominees - Kelly, Moore, Shapiro, Whitmer The Republican convention was a four-day celebration of lies, half-truths and grievances in the style of their Lord and Savior, would-be Dictator-on-Day-One Donald. Fact-checkers worked overtime to chronicle the most outrageous denials of reality, including the team at The Washington Post: Fact-checking Day 1 of the 2024 Republican National Convention - The Washington Post Fact-checking Day 2 of the 2024 Republican National Convention - The Washington Post Fact-checking Day 3 of the 2024 Republican National Convention - The Washington Post Fact-checking Day 4 of the 2024 Republican National Convention - The Washington Post One of the many outrages in the Republican Party Platform is the outright call to return women’s rights to the 1950’s June Cleaver model: the perfect homemaker whose primary function is giving birth. Trump brags about getting Roe overturned by his appointments to the Supreme Court, Vance has endorsed a nationwide abortion ban with no exceptions. Implicit in the agenda are bans on contraception and fertility treatments including invitro fertilization. Women are the driving force for Michigan Democrats. A majority of both the House and Senate Democratic caucuses are women; most of the state’s top elected leaders are women. Joining the discussion to talk about the implications of the GOP misogyny for November: state Senator Dayne Polehanki of Livonia. She is a two-time Teacher of the Year award winner and has nearly 20 years of experience in the classroom. She serves as the Majority Caucus Chair for the Michigan Senate Democrats and is in her second term. Polehanki earned her bachelor’s degree in psychology from Central Michigan University, has a major in English and teacher certification from Alma College, and a master’s degree in teaching from Marygrove College. =========================== This episode is sponsored in part by EPIC ▪ MRA,  a full service survey research firm with expertise in: • Public Opinion Surveys • Market Research Studies • Live Telephone Surveys • On-Line and Automated Surveys • Focus Group Research • Bond Proposals - Millage Campaigns • Political Campaigns & Consulting • Ballot Proposals - Issue Advocacy Research • Community - Media Relations • Issue - Image Management • Database Development & List Management =========================== The 34 for 45 Commemorative Mug Felony schmelony! Get your "34 for 45" mug today!

    41 min

About

JEFF TIMMER, former Executive Director of the Michigan Republican Party, is a political, public affairs and communications strategist who has spent 30 years in the trenches of Michigan and national politics. He has advised and directed hundreds of legislative, congressional, statewide political and ballot issue campaigns. He was an advisor to Ohio Governor John Kasich's 2016 presidential campaign. Jeff is a leading redistricting expert and has been an advisor to Speakers of the Michigan House, Michigan Senate Majority Leaders, the Michigan House and Senate Republican campaign committees, and the Michigan Republican Party. He is co-founder of Republicans and Independents for Biden, and is a senior advisor to the Lincoln Project. MARK BREWER served for 18 years as chair or executive chair of the Michigan Democratic Party and as a member of the Democratic National Committee. He's been a delegate to 5 Democratic National Conventions. He has been involved in a wide variety of election cases since the 1980s including county, legislative and congressional redistricting, presidential primaries/caucuses, recalls, recounts, ballot access, voter protection on Election Day and the protection of the right to vote a straight party ticket. Mark’s ballot question work ranges from city to county to statewide on topics from the minimum wage, earned sick leave and community benefits to straight party voting, tax reform, redistricting, campaign finance and ethics reform, and county charter government.

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