My Worst Investment Ever Podcast

Andrew Stotz
  • 4.9(62개의 평가)
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  • 주 2회 업데이트
My Worst Investment Ever Podcast

Welcome to My Worst Investment Ever podcast hosted by Your Worst Podcast Host, Andrew Stotz, where you will hear stories of loss to keep you winning. In our community, we know that to win in investing you must take the risk, but to win big, you’ve got to reduce it. Your Worst Podcast Host, Andrew Stotz, Ph.D., CFA, is also the CEO of A. Stotz Investment Research and A. Stotz Academy, which helps people create, grow, measure, and protect their wealth. To find more stories like this, previous episodes, and resources to help you reduce your risk, visit https://myworstinvestmentever.com/

  1. Enrich Your Future 26: Should You Invest Now or Spread It Out?

    6시간 전

    Enrich Your Future 26: Should You Invest Now or Spread It Out?

    In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. In this series, they discuss Chapter 26: Dollar Cost Averaging. LEARNING: Invest all your money whenever you have it.   “If you want to put the odds in your favor, which is the best we can do because we don’t have clear crystal balls, you should put all your money in whenever you have it to invest.”Larry Swedroe  In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. The book is a collection of stories that Larry has developed over 30 years as the head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners to help investors. You can learn more about Larry’s Worst Investment Ever story on Ep645: Beware of Idiosyncratic Risks. Larry deeply understands the world of academic research and investing, especially risk. Today, Andrew and Larry discuss Chapter 26: Dollar Cost Averaging. Chapter 26: Dollar Cost AveragingIn this chapter, Larry discusses why lump sum investing is better than dollar cost averaging. Should you invest your money all at once or spread it over time?According to Larry, the issue of Dollar Cost Averaging (DCA) typically arises when an investor receives a large lump sum of money and wonders if they should invest it all at once or spread it over time. The same problem arises when an investor panics and sells when confronted with a bear market, but then there are two questions: How does the investor decide when it is safe to reenter the market? And does she reinvest all at once or by DCA? Constantinides, a University of Chicago professor in the 1960s, studied this question. He demonstrated that DCA is an inferior strategy to lump sum investing. He termed it logically dumb as it makes no sense based on an expected return outcome. From a purely financial perspective, the logical answer is that if you have money to invest, you should always invest it whenever it’s available. Another paper by John Knight and Lewis Mandell compared DCA to a buy-and-hold strategy. Then, it analyzed the strategies across a series of investor profiles from risk-averse to aggressive. They concluded that DCA had no advantage over the two alternative investment strategies. Combined with their graphical analysis, their numerical trial and empirical evidence favored optimal rebalancing and buy-and-hold strategy over dollar cost averaging. Optimal rebalancing refers to the strategy of adjusting the proportions of assets in a portfolio to maintain a desired level of risk and return. Dollar cost averaging versus lump sum investingKnight and Mandell conducted a backtest to compare the performance of DCA versus LSI (lump sum investing). Backtesting is a simulation technique to evaluate the performance of a trading strategy using historical data. They backtested the two strategies between 1926 and 2010. Transaction costs were ignored (favoring DCA, which involves more trading). The authors assumed the initial portfolio was $1 million in cash, and the...

    14분
  2. Elvi Caperonis - Why Passion Matters in Business

    3월 3일

    Elvi Caperonis - Why Passion Matters in Business

    BIO: Elvi Caperonis is a former Harvard University Analyst and Technical Program Manager at Amazon and LinkedIn’s top Voice and a career strategist who has mastered the art of storytelling to create a six-figure personal brand on LinkedIn. STORY: Elvi decided to be her own boss and started an e-commerce business for which she had no knowledge or passion. It turned out to be a nightmare that cost her $30,000. LEARNING: If you don’t have passion for something, don’t do it. Happiness and delivering value should be the ultimate goal, not just making money.   “Yes, you want to start a business. But first, sit back and ask yourself, “Will I enjoy this? Is this going to tell the story that I want to live in the world?”Elvi Caperonis  Guest profileElvi Caperonis is a former Harvard University Analyst and Technical Program Manager at Amazon and LinkedIn’s top Voice and a career strategist who has mastered the art of storytelling to create a six-figure personal brand on LinkedIn. With a track record of helping job seekers land their dream jobs and supporting millions across the globe through her content on Linkedin, Elvi Caperonis has become the go-to expert for those looking to build a personal brand and land their dream job. The ability to connect with her audience through storytelling and content strategies has made an impact and helped build her brand. Elvi is passionate about helping and inspiring others to achieve results similar to hers. Land Your Dream Job and Succeed 10X Faster!: Access the same strategies that transformed my career Growth by landing jobs at top companies like Harvard University and Amazon—all for a fraction of the price. Worst investment everA few years ago, Elvi decided she wanted to be an entrepreneur and her own boss. She discussed it with her husband, who was very supportive. Elvi chose to launch an E-commerce business. She had heard many people say it was a fun and profitable business and believed she could do it. Elvi took an online course and started learning about E-commerce and how to do it step by step. She did her due diligence. Unfortunately, Elvi didn’t have a passion for E-commerce. It was a lot of work, and it was a nightmare at the end because she was putting in a lot of hours and didn’t turn a profit. She lost about $30,000 in that business. Lessons learnedIf you don’t have passion for something, question yourself 1,000 times before starting that business. Passion allows you to tell a story that resonates with your customers.Learn from people who have done it before and get a mentor.If you don’t have experience in the kind of business you want to start, don’t go all in; be agile and try to sell a few units of your product, then double down as you continue to grow and adapt.Happiness and delivering value should be the ultimate goal, not just making money. Andrew’s takeawaysWhatever job or business you start, ensure it’s built around the core thing you do naturally today. No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsElvi’s number one goal for the next 12 months is to spend more time with her kids, husband, mom, sisters, aunts, and whole family. Parting words  “Even if you cannot see it now, whatever you are going through will be okay. Just keep reminding yourself of this.”Elvi...

    40분
  3. Enrich Your Future 25: Stock Crashes Happen—Be Prepared

    2월 24일

    Enrich Your Future 25: Stock Crashes Happen—Be Prepared

    In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. In this series, they discuss Chapter 25: Battles are Won Before They Are Fought. LEARNING: Be well-prepared for potential disruptions in the market.   “Many investors let emotions drive their decisions, and they end up buying high and selling low—the opposite of what you are doing when rebalancing.”Larry Swedroe  In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. The book is a collection of stories that Larry has developed over 30 years as the head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners to help investors. You can learn more about Larry’s Worst Investment Ever story on Ep645: Beware of Idiosyncratic Risks. Larry deeply understands the world of academic research and investing, especially risk. Today, Andrew and Larry discuss Chapter 25: Battles are Won Before They Are Fought. Chapter 25: Battles Are Won Before They Are FoughtIn this chapter, Larry emphasizes the importance of strategic planning to anticipate market shocks, which occur approximately once every three or four years. This proactive approach ensures that investors are well-prepared for potential disruptions in the market. Historical distribution of stock returnsGene Fama studied the historical distribution of stock returns and found that the population of price changes if it was strictly normal on any stock, then a standard deviation shift from the mean of five standard deviations should occur about once every 7,000 years. The reality, though, is it occurs about once every three or four years in the US equity markets. That means the distribution of returns is not normally distributed. To illustrate this, Larry shares evidence of big fat tails in the distribution. From 1926–2022, in 26 out of the 97 years, the S&P 500 Index produced negative returns. In 11 of those years, the losses were greater than 10%. In six of the years, the losses exceeded 20%. In three of the years, the losses exceeded 30%. In one year, the loss exceeded 40%. Prepare to live through a big market downturnAccording to Larry, the data unequivocally shows that stocks are risky assets, with risks that are more prevalent than historical volatility would suggest. Investors must be prepared to face severe losses at some point. It’s not a matter of if these risks will manifest, but when, how sharp the declines will be, and when they will subside. For investors, Larry underscores the importance of winning the big fat tails battle in the planning stage. Successful investors know that bear markets will happen and that they cannot be predicted with a high degree of accuracy. Thus, they build bear markets into their plans. They determine their ability, willingness, and need to take risks. Larry notes that, on average, prudent investors prepare to live through a big market shock once every three or four years. They ensure that their asset allocation does not cause them to take so much risk that when a bear market inevitably shows up, they might sell in a panic. They also make sure that they don’t take so much risk that they lose sleep when emotions caused by bear markets run...

    27분
  4. Fabrizio Poli – When Passion Meets Poor Partnership

    2월 17일

    Fabrizio Poli – When Passion Meets Poor Partnership

    BIO: Fabrizio has always wanted to fly jets and has had a career flying both private jets and for various airlines worldwide. He has shared the cockpit with pilots from over 65 nationalities, giving him a broader perspective on people and life. STORY: Fabrizio invested in a luxury car business in Italy but chose the wrong person to run the show, and because of this, he lost all his money and a very good friend. LEARNING: Do not mix business with friendship. Hire the right people.   “Business decisions need to be made to make money. If that money helps people as well, great. But trying to mix charity with business is a very bad idea.”Fabrizio Poli  Guest profileFabrizio Poli has always wanted to fly jets and has had a career flying both private jets and for various airlines worldwide. He has shared the cockpit with pilots from over 65 nationalities, giving him a broader perspective on people and life. For the last 14 years, Fabrizio has been buying, selling, leasing, and chartering private jets for the ultra-wealthy. Fabrizio is the author of “The Quantum Economy” and other books. He often shares his aviation expertise in the media and is featured in the Financial Times, Bloomberg, Social Media Examiner, and Chicago Tribune. Worst investment everBeing in the private jet business, Fabrizio decided to venture into the car business a few years ago. He figured people who buy private jets also collect cars. Fabrizio teamed up with a friend of his in Italy. The idea was to buy Vespers, Alfa Romeos, and Ferraris in Italy and sell them internationally. They bought a bunch of cars and opened a showroom in Italy on the road where the first Ferrari was driven. However, Fabrizio was in England at the time. He assumed that his friend was doing things properly. Since the showroom was on a popular road with all these flashy cars parked outside, many people were walking into the showroom, unfortunately not to buy but to look at them. Fabrizio sent over a web designer to help tweak the website and suggested that his partner let people into the showroom by appointment only. This way, he’d avoid spending 90% of his day talking to people who are not there to buy a car. The friend did not heed his advice, and eventually, the business went under. Fabrizio had invested in the right business but in the wrong person, and because of this, he lost all his money and a very good friend. Lessons learnedHire the right people and create a supportive environment for them.Separate business decisions from personal emotions and make independent evaluations.The product and the process can be great, but if you pick the wrong people to run it, they’ll screw the whole thing up. Andrew’s takeawaysFind an independent, objective, knowledgeable third party to help pick a business partner.Separate the business idea from the person in charge of bringing it to life. Actionable adviceIf you are going to invest with your friend, you are emotionally engaged, and that’s dangerous. Bring somebody else to play the bad guy, someone who can make tough decisions and keep emotions in check if you cannot take the emotion out. Fabrizio’s recommendationsFabrizio recommends reading a lot—both fiction and nonfiction—to open up new possibilities and perspectives. He also recommends listening to other business leaders to learn from their...

    44분
  5. Enrich Your Future 24: Why Smart People Do Dumb Things

    2월 10일

    Enrich Your Future 24: Why Smart People Do Dumb Things

    In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. In this series, they discuss Chapter 24: Why Do Smart People Do Dumb Things? LEARNING: Past performance does not guarantee future results. Change the criteria you use to select managers.   “There are only two things that are infinite, the universe and man’s capacity for stupidity.”Larry Swedroe  In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. The book is a collection of stories that Larry has developed over 30 years as the head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners to help investors. You can learn more about Larry’s Worst Investment Ever story on Ep645: Beware of Idiosyncratic Risks. Larry deeply understands the world of academic research and investing, especially risk. Today, Andrew and Larry discuss Chapter 24: Why Do Smart People Do Dumb Things? Chapter 24: Why Do Smart People Do Dumb Things?In this chapter, Larry discusses why investors still make mistakes despite multiple SEC warnings. The past performance delusionLarry explains that it’s normal for most investors to make mistakes when investing, often due to behavioral errors like overconfidence. Being overconfident can cause investors to take too much risk, trade too much, and confuse the familiar with the safe. Those are explainable errors. However, there’s one mistake that Larry finds hard to explain. Most investors ignore the SEC’s required warning that accompanies all mutual fund advertising: “Past performance does not guarantee future results.” Despite an overwhelming body of evidence, including the annual S&P’s Active Versus Passive Scorecards, that demonstrates that active managers’ past mutual fund returns are not prologue and the SEC’s warning, investors still flock to funds that have performed well in the past. Today’s underperforming manager may be tomorrow’s outperformerAccording to Larry, various researchers have found that the common selection methodology is detrimental to performance. The greater benchmark-adjusted return to investing in ‘loser funds’ over ‘winner funds’ is statistically and economically large and robust to reasonable variations in the evaluation and holding periods and standard risk adjustments. Additionally, the standard practice of firing managers who have recently underperformed actually eliminates those managers who are more likely to outperform in the future. Why Are Warnings Worthless?Larry quotes the study “Worthless Warnings? Testing the Effectiveness of Disclaimers in Mutual Fund Advertisements,” which provided some interesting results. The authors found that people viewing the advertisement with the current SEC disclaimer were just as likely to invest in a fund and had the exact expectations regarding a fund’s...

    29분
  6. Jimmy Milliron - Lessons From Love, Money, and Missed Opportunities

    2월 3일

    Jimmy Milliron - Lessons From Love, Money, and Missed Opportunities

    BIO: James “Jimmy” Milliron is Co-Founder & President of National Brokerage Atlantic, specializing in Wealth Enhancement, Estate Planning, and Asset Protection. STORY: Jimmy wanted to invest $100,000 in Bitcoin, but when he couldn’t find an easy way to do it, he bought a car instead. LEARNING: Research and learn all you can about investment opportunities before investing.   “Don’t be afraid to pick up the phone and make a few calls. There’s nothing like picking up the phone and talking to a real person on the other end instead of just texting them.”Jimmy Milliron  Guest profileJames “Jimmy” Milliron is Co-Founder & President of National Brokerage Atlantic, specializing in Wealth Enhancement, Estate Planning, and Asset Protection. An insurance veteran, he previously served as Executive Vice President at NexTier Bank, building a $400 million premium finance portfolio. He holds a BA from VMI and various securities and insurance licenses. Worst investment everJimmy’s worst investment is a mix between marrying a second wife and buying a car in 2016. He invested many resources in his second marriage, but it did not last that long. When Jimmy married his second ex-wife, he wanted to invest about $100,000 in Bitcoin. But he was busy and did not have time to research and learn more about Bitcoin. When Jimmy could not find an easy way to do it, he purchased a car instead with that cash. Lessons learnedGo the extra mile in research and learning about investment opportunities before investing.Consider all the investment options available. Actionable adviceIf you’re young, seek advice from a mentor or your parents about what they would do instead of arbitrarily investing in a make-me-feel-good investment. Their guidance can be invaluable in navigating the complex world of investments. Jimmy’s recommendationsJimmy recommends reading Donald Trump’s Art of the Deal as a valuable resource for negotiation and decision-making. No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsJimmy’s number one goal for the next 12 months is losing weight. Parting words  “Thank you very much. Andrew and I wish everyone well.”Jimmy Milliron  [spp-transcript]   Connect with Jimmy MillironLinkedInWebsite Andrew’s booksHow to Start Building Your Wealth Investing in the Stock MarketMy Worst Investment Ever9 Valuation Mistakes and How to Avoid ThemTransform Your Business with Dr.Deming’s 14 Points Andrew’s online programsValuation Master Classa...

    23분
  7. Enrich Your Future 23: Seeing Through the Frame: Making Better Investment Decisions

    1월 27일

    Enrich Your Future 23: Seeing Through the Frame: Making Better Investment Decisions

    In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. In this series, they discuss Chapter 23: Framing the Problem. LEARNING: Understand how each indexed annuity feature works before buying one.   “I would never buy an annuity that didn’t give me full inflation protection.”Larry Swedroe  In this episode of Enrich Your Future, Andrew and Larry Swedroe discuss Larry’s new book, Enrich Your Future: The Keys to Successful Investing. The book is a collection of stories that Larry has developed over 30 years as the head of financial and economic research at Buckingham Wealth Partners to help investors. You can learn more about Larry’s Worst Investment Ever story on Ep645: Beware of Idiosyncratic Risks. Larry deeply understands the world of academic research and investing, especially risk. Today, Andrew and Larry discuss Chapter 23: Framing the Problem. Chapter 23: Framing the ProblemIn this chapter, Larry discusses how we, as human beings, are subject to biases and mistakes that we’re almost certainly not aware of. He introduces the concept of ‘framing’ in the context of behavioral finance, which refers to how a question or a problem is presented and how this presentation can influence our decision-making, often leading us to answer how the questioner wants us to. Examples of framingLarry shares the following examples from Jason Zweig’s book Your Money & Your Brain to support the theory of framing in decision-making. These examples illustrate how the same information, when presented in different ways, can lead to significantly different decisions, highlighting the impact of framing on our perceptions and choices. A group of people was told ground beef was “75% lean.” Another was told the same meat was “25% fat.” The “fat” group estimated the meat would be 31% lower in quality and taste 22% worse than the “lean” group estimated.Pregnant women are more willing to agree to amniocentesis if told they face a 20% chance of having a Down syndrome child than if told there is an 80% chance they will have a “normal” baby.A study asked more than 400 doctors whether they would prefer radiation or surgery if they became cancer patients themselves. Among the physicians who were informed that 10% would die from surgery, 50% said they would prefer radiation. Among those who were told that 90% would survive the surgery, only 16% chose radiation. The evidence from the three examples shows that if a situation is framed from a negative viewpoint, people focus on that. On the other hand, if a problem is framed...

    22분
  8. Mitch Russo - Sell It First Before You Build It

    1월 20일

    Mitch Russo - Sell It First Before You Build It

    BIO: Mitch Russo is a serial entrepreneur who built and sold his first software company for eight figures, scaled a $25M business with Tony Robbins and Chet Holmes, and was twice nominated for Inc. Entrepreneur of the Year. STORY: Mitch bought several Amazon stores to make passive income, which he did for a while. Unfortunately, the lucky streak ended after Amazon significantly reduced the commissions it paid to its resellers, and Google changed its algorithm. Now, Mitch’s SEO pages were not working, and nobody was finding them. LEARNING: Never start a business without knowing who will buy the product. Try to sell your product/service before you build it.   “Please do not create a product until you understand exactly what the client needs. Try and sell it first before you build it.”Mitch Russo  Guest profileMitch Russo is a serial entrepreneur who built and sold his first software company for eight figures, scaled a $25M business with Tony Robbins and Chet Holmes, and was twice nominated for Inc. Entrepreneur of the Year. He’s the author of four books and the creator of ClientFol.io. Worst investment everMitch highlighted two particular investments that have left a lasting mark on his life as an investor. The Amazon storesA couple of years ago, Mitch embarked on an exhilarating journey to create recurring revenue by investing in businesses that required minimal participation. The Amazon stores, a hot trend at the time, became his focus. With significant investments, these stores flourished, and Mitch was able to generate a substantial monthly income of $18,000 to $20,000, almost passively. Then the whole thing came crashing down. Two things happened simultaneously: Amazon significantly reduced the commissions it paid to its resellers, and Google changed its algorithm. Now, Mitch’s SEO pages were not working, and nobody was finding them. The peer-to-peer accountability platformMitch created an earlier version of ClientFol.io called resultsbreakthrough.com, a peer-to-peer accountability platform. Mitch had to invent some technology to do it. At the time, the platform worked fantastic. To succeed with the the peer-to-peer accountability platform, Mitch poured his heart and soul into it. He was deeply passionate about what he had created. However, the platform did not receive the response he had hoped for. Despite his belief in the platform’s potential, it remained unsold, a stark reminder that success is not guaranteed, no matter how brilliant the idea. Lessons learnedNever start a business without knowing who will buy the product first.Try to sell your product/service before you build it.It’s never over until you quit.Hire a coach to accelerate business growth and learn valuable lessons quickly. Andrew’s takeawaysSolving a problem is not enough; you must ensure your target customer can pay for the product. Is the pain valuable enough that they’ll pay high enough prices? Actionable adviceIf you are smart and you can see what’s happening around you, you can make almost any mistake, recover from it, learn from it, and grow from it. Mitch’s recommendationsMitch recommends reading Crossing the Chasm, which beautifully encapsulates the power of focus. No.1 goal for the next 12 monthsMitch’s number one goal for the next 12 months is to continue building recurring revenue through internet processes and funnels, a path he is deeply passionate about. Additionally, he is on the verge of publishing two fiction books, one of which he...

    44분
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소개

Welcome to My Worst Investment Ever podcast hosted by Your Worst Podcast Host, Andrew Stotz, where you will hear stories of loss to keep you winning. In our community, we know that to win in investing you must take the risk, but to win big, you’ve got to reduce it. Your Worst Podcast Host, Andrew Stotz, Ph.D., CFA, is also the CEO of A. Stotz Investment Research and A. Stotz Academy, which helps people create, grow, measure, and protect their wealth. To find more stories like this, previous episodes, and resources to help you reduce your risk, visit https://myworstinvestmentever.com/

정보

  • 제작진
    Andrew Stotz
  • 방송 연도
    2018년 - 2025년
  • 에피소드
    861
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    전체 연령 사용가
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    © Copyright 2025 Andrew Stotz
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    My Worst Investment Ever Podcast

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