CLIMAS - Southwest Climate Podcast

Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS)
  • 4.9 (23)
  • SCIENCE
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CLIMAS - Southwest Climate Podcast

El Niño and La Niña, the southwestern monsoon, tropical storm activity, increasing temperatures, fire risk and weather, drought and snowpack, and dwindling reservoir storage all pose challenges to the Southwest. In the ‘Southwest Climate Podcast’, we focus on details and nuance, but (generally) avoid excessive technical jargon. Our goal is to synthesize information and data from experts, forecasts, and models to provide listeners with a better understanding of climate and weather in the Southwest, as well as the lessons we can learn from recent events and long term experiences.

  1. DEC 10

    December 2024 SW Climate Podcast – Relatively Speaking

    Recorded 12/06/2024 Aired 12/10/2024   In this month’s episode of the Southwest Climate Podcast hosts Zack Guido and Mike Crimmins slow-roll into the winter season.  They look back on 2024 followed by what happened in November and why - including the Atmospheric River event on the west coast.  They dive into a recent paper that interrogates the expected intensification of cool season precipitation in the west.  And close out with a teaser look at the La Niña outlook and precipitation forecast with a highlight of the Relative Oceanic Niño Index (RONI).     Mentions: Paper: “Anthropogenic Intensification of Cool-Season Precipitation Is Not Yet Detectable Across the Western United States”   ENSO Blog: “Can a little La Niña pack a big precipitation punch?” Related Paper: “A Relative Sea Surface Temperature Index for Classifying ENSO Events in a Changing Climate” North American Multi-Model Ensemble (NMME) NOAA - Climate Prediction Center (CPC)

    1 hr

  2. NOV 5

    November 2024 SW Climate Podcast – It’s All About Nuance

    Recorded 11/1/2024 Aired 11/5/2024 The Southwest Climate Podcast hosts Zack Guido and Mike Crimmins are grateful that fall is (finally) here.  In this month’s episode, they unpack the persistent heat that hung around through October as well as blocking patterns.  They discuss the two major hurricanes that made landfall - Helene and Milton.  And get into the current ENSO forecast which is pointing to a weak La Niña.  Lastly, they dive into a couple papers as a way to think differently about ENSO and winter as they look ahead.  Buckle up as it could be a wild ride!   Mentions: The International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University Climate School: ENSO Forecast NOAA - CPC:  El Niño / Southern Oscillation (ENSO) NOAA - ENSO Blog: Revisiting La Nina and winter snowfall Climate.gov - ENSO Graphic: Typical late fall through early spring upper level jet stream positions associated with moderate to strong La Niña and El Niño events NOAA - CPC - ENSO Graphic: North American Winter Features Paper 1: Reinterpreting ENSO's Role in Modulating Impactful Precipitation Events in California Paper 2: How Well Do Seasonal Climate Anomalies Match Expected El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) Impacts? NOAA - CPC:  Three-Month Outlooks

    1h 9m

  3. SEP 24

    September 2024 SW Climate Podcast – A Tale of Two Monsoon Halves

    Recorded 9/20/2024 Aired 9/24/2024 In this month’s Southwest Climate Podcast hosts Zack ‘Generational’ Guido and Mike “Dewpoint’ Crimmins break down what the heck happened to the second half of the monsoon this year.  They unpack the recent Atlantic tropical activity, or lack thereof, as well as any hope for the Pacific to bring some moisture to the Southwest.  They end with some coverage of the rest of September and a look into the early winter outlooks.  This episode is not without controversy - so download / stream today!   Generational Count = 11   Mentions: Southwest U.S. Summer Monsoon Season Precipitation Mapping Southwest U.S. Station Climate Summaries NOAA Multi-Radar/Multi-Sensor System (MRMS) The More Extreme Nature of North American Monsoon Precipitation in the Southwestern United States as Revealed by a Historical Climatology of Simulated Severe Weather Events RainLog CoCoRaHS NOAA - CPC: Outlooks NWS - Tucson: Avg Daily Dewpoint Tracker IRI, Columbia University Climate School: ENSO Forecast North American Multi-Model Ensemble

    1h 13m

  4. AUG 20

    August 2024 SW Climate Podcast – Monsoon Morphology

    Recorded 8/16//2024 Aired 8/20/2024   Now that we are over halfway through the 2024 monsoon season, this month’s Southwest Climate Podcast hosts Zack Guido and Mike Crimmins don their chef hats and lay out the main ingredients of the monsoon.  They give a recap of recent rain events, answer the question of whether or not the characteristics of convective storm dynamics have changed, and offer their thoughts on what is on the horizon for September.  Great timing as 8/31 is your last chance to join in the Southwest Monsoon Fantasy Forecasts game this year!       Mentions: RainLog “Understanding the Dominant Sources and Tracks of Moisture for Summer Rainfall in the Southwest United States” NWS - Tucson: Monsoon Tracker Southwest U.S. Summer Monsoon Season Precipitation Mapping "Intensification of the North American Monsoon Rainfall as Observed From a Long-Term High-Density Gauge Network" "Observed humidity trends in dry regions contradict climate models" NWS - Climate Prediction Center: Outlooks Southwest Monsoon Fantasy Forecasts Game AZ Central “Why is the monsoon so unpredictable? It takes a lot to make a good thunderstorm”

    1h 28m

  5. JUL 23

    July 2024 SW Climate Podcast – Wrong for the Right Reasons

    Recorded 7/19/2024 Aired 7/23/2024   Get ready for a big episode day as this month’s Southwest Climate Podcast hosts Zack Guido and Mike Crimmins kick off the monsoon season.  The crew cover the evolution of the current monsoon phases from onset to where we are today with stats and analysis.  And there is even a bit of a philosophical introspection on the data and sources (do you believe?).  Your hosts share what they have learned along the way - but stick around to the end to get their hot take on what is coming next.   Also - It’s not too late to sign up for the Southwest Monsoon Fantasy Forecast Game as there are monthly prizes this year!   Mentions: Arizona Institute of Resilience - Power Forecasting Group  - Monsoon Forecasting Discussion Blog   - Contact to get on mailing list = Patrick Bunn, ptwbunn@arizona.edu Map - Percent of Average Precipitation (AZ & NM) RainLog Climate Reference Network Southwest Monsoon Fantasy Forecasts Game NOAA - Climate Prediction Center: Outlooks

    1h 19m

  6. JUN 11

    June 2024 SW Climate Podcast – So you're telling me there's a chance?

    It’s June - which means in this month’s Southwest Climate Podcast, hosts Zack Guido and Mike Crimmins can officially talk about the monsoon.  Before they deep dive into the 2024 monsoon season, they cover recent conditions from last month, the fire risk and its relationship to the monsoon, and then get right down to business.  The stakes are high with a beer going to which host betters the other in v.4 of the Monsoon Fantasy Forecast game this year (sign up today).     Recorded: Friday, June 7, 2024  Aired: Tuesday, June 11, 2024   Mentions: Southwest Coordination Center - Outlooks National Interagency Coordination Center - Outlooks Drought.gov - Soil Moisture North American Multi-Model Ensemble NOAA - Climate Prediction Center Tropical Tidbits - GFS Forecast Model

    1h 9m

  7. MAY 22

    Special Edition SW Climate Podcast - 2023 E&S Fellows

    Welcome to this special episode of the Southwest Climate Podcast with guest hosts: Gigi Owen & Christina Greene.  In this special episode, we bring you 3 guests that were all part of the CLIMAS Environment & Society Fellowship program over the past year.  A lot of the science that CLIMAS researchers do is done collaboratively with and for our community partners so that the science that we do ends up being useful to decision-making and policy development and planning.  Our Fellowship program offers University of Arizona graduate students the opportunity to take this kind of collaborative approach to address environmental and societal problems.  Our fellows are here today to share more about their work and what they've been up to over the past year.    2023 CLIMAS Environment & Society Fellows Hannah Friedrich “Mapping tarps and stories to spotlight inequitable disaster recovery”   Majerle Lister “Re-Thinking Land and History: Working with Navajo Mountain Soil Water Conservation District Members”   Lucas Belury “Flood Justice in South Texas”   Talia Anderson *Unable to attend podcast recording “What's going on with the rains?”

    1h 21m

  8. MAY 8

    May 2024 SW Climate Podcast – Rumble in the Desert

    It’s that time and we are 6 weeks away from the start of the 2024 monsoon season.  In this month’s Southwest Climate Podcast, hosts Zack Guido and Mike Crimmins cover the end of the winter season, the transition month of April and give an early preview to the monsoon.  Will the shift from El Niño to La Niña make for a dry or wet monsoon or active hurricane season?  Will Zack break Mike’s eternal optimism with what the forecast models are saying?  Listen in so you can be ready to play the Monsoon Fantasy Forecast Game!     Recorded: May 3, 2024 Aired: May 8, 2024   Mentions: University of Arizona Cooperative Extension - Climate Sciences Applications Climate.gov ENSO blog - “Untangling the winter 2023-24 precipitation forecast ball of yarn” Southwest U.S. Summer Monsoon Season Precipitation Mapping University of Arizona News - “Brace for a very active hurricane season this year, warn UArizona forecasters” NWS - CPC North American Multi-Model Ensemble

    1h 2m
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About

El Niño and La Niña, the southwestern monsoon, tropical storm activity, increasing temperatures, fire risk and weather, drought and snowpack, and dwindling reservoir storage all pose challenges to the Southwest. In the ‘Southwest Climate Podcast’, we focus on details and nuance, but (generally) avoid excessive technical jargon. Our goal is to synthesize information and data from experts, forecasts, and models to provide listeners with a better understanding of climate and weather in the Southwest, as well as the lessons we can learn from recent events and long term experiences.

Information

  • Creator
    Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS)
  • Years Active
    2017 - 2024
  • Episodes
    100
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © CLIMAS copyright 2017
  • Show Website
    CLIMAS - Southwest Climate Podcast

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