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Are the Fed’s rate cuts coming faster than we think?
In this episode of What’s Your One More, Quinton Harris breaks down why “jobs over inflation” is the Federal Reserve’s current focus and how key metrics suggest a shift is imminent. Quinton shares his bold forecast of up to six Fed rate cuts this year and dives into the discrepancies in unemployment data, including why seasonal and part-time jobs paint an incomplete picture of economic health. Quinton also sheds light on consumer sentiment and its role in driving the economy, emphasizing how rising part-time work, ghost job postings, and longer durations to secure full-time employment are creating ripple effects across industries. As Quinton puts it, “It’s not just about creating jobs; it’s about creating jobs that last—and right now, that’s not what we’re seeing.”
[00:00] - Intro: Fed rate cuts and forecasts
[01:10] - Jobs over inflation: Fed's focus shift [
02:25] - Seasonal job trends and unemployment
[03:35] - Part-time vs. full-time job realities
[05:00] - Flaws in unemployment data
[06:30] - Unemployment and potential rate cuts
[07:50] - Ghost jobs and second jobs
[09:00] - Loan People
[10:35] - Earnings vs. real income trends
[12:15] - Consumer sentiment's economic role
[14:10] - Fed rate cut predictions
[16:00] - Housing inventory challenges
[17:25] - CPI data and rate trends
[18:30] - Closing thoughts and call to action
Special thanks to MBS Highway for providing the data and charts featured in this episode.
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Information
- Show
- FrequencyUpdated Weekly
- PublishedJanuary 20, 2025 at 5:00 PM UTC
- Length20 min
- RatingClean