200 episodes

The 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

FiveThirtyEight Politics ABC News

    • News
    • 4.5 • 19.5K Ratings

The 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

    What's Up With The Kids These Days?

    What's Up With The Kids These Days?

    In the 2020 election, young voters were key to President Joe Biden’s victory. Biden won voters age 18 to 29 by more than 20 points, and the turnout rate among young voters was the highest it has been in decades. But recent polls show Biden slipping among voters under 30. The upshot spells danger for Democrats: According to 538's Swing-O-Matic, if young voters shifted toward former President Donald Trump this fall by just 5 points and everything else remained the same, Trump would win.
    In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen discusses young voters’ role in the 2024 election with John Della Volpe, the director of polling at the Harvard Kennedy School Institute of Politics, and Lakshya Jain, partner at the election modeling website Split-Ticket.org.
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    • 56 min
    Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender

    Tim Scott Is The Leading Trump VP Contender

    On this solar eclipse day installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew tests their polling knowledge on the rare celestial event with a special edition of “Guess What Americans Think.” They also preview 538’s new Swing-O-Matic, a tool that lets you model demographic changes in the 2024 election and see their resulting electoral impacts. And in our latest installment of the 2024 VP draft, the crew takes a guess at who could be former President Donald Trump’s pick for the position.
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    • 57 min
    Where Will People Commune In A Godless America?

    Where Will People Commune In A Godless America?

    Americans are becoming less religious and two new surveys out just last week punctuate just how quickly that’s happening. According to the Public Religion Research Institute, 26 percent of Americans now consider themselves unaffiliated with any religion. That’s up from 21 percent a decade ago and just 6 percent in the early '90s. According to Gallup, the number of Americans who attend religious services weekly or nearly every week has fallen from 42 percent in 2000 to 30 percent now.
    In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with a roundtable of experts on religion and society about why the decline has happened and what it portends for American communities, networks and politics. Joining the podcast are Melissa Deckman, CEO of the Public Religion Research Institute; Ryan Burge, Professor of Political Science at Eastern Illinois University and a Baptist Pastor; and Daniel Cox, Director of the Survey Center on American Life.
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    • 49 min
    The Presidential Election Has Become An Unpopularity Contest

    The Presidential Election Has Become An Unpopularity Contest

    In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen and the crew talk about air travel and how Americans feel about flying in a game of “Guess What Americans Think.” They also weigh if the U.S. Census Bureau’s new way of collecting data on race and ethnicity is a “good or bad use of polling.” Later in the episode, they pivot to discuss the Supreme Court's hearing on restrictions surrounding the abortion medication mifepristone, and explore the challenges third-party candidates face in getting on the ballot.
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    • 54 min
    Are US Politics Undergoing A Racial Realignment?

    Are US Politics Undergoing A Racial Realignment?

    A handful of recent polls and election results indicate that American politics may be undergoing a racial realignment, with voters of color challenging traditional partisan alliances.
    In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen talks about these shifting dynamics with John Burn-Murdoch, chief data reporter for the Financial Times, and Chryl Laird, government and politics professor at the University of Maryland. They explore why voters of color might be shifting right and what it could mean for Democrats.
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    • 54 min
    Is An Election Vibe Shift Underway?

    Is An Election Vibe Shift Underway?

    Is the presidential election undergoing a vibe shift? At the beginning of the month, former President Donald Trump was performing 10 percentage points better than President Joe Biden in net approval rating. Today that’s fallen to a 4-point advantage. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew assesses what's changed. They also ask why so many representatives in the House are resigning earlier on in their careers and they take a look at a new poll showing Republican Larry Hogan leading in the Maryland Senate race by double digits.
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    • 46 min

Customer Reviews

4.5 out of 5
19.5K Ratings

19.5K Ratings

Omar Fan ,

More youngster interviews!

Great gen-x interviews at the end!

Z-Moneyz ,

Five stars for Tony 🫡

Best of luck Tony!

MNSportsfan92 ,

4/2 podcast about Census

As a Hispanic/Latino I understand how the old census was supposed to work but I have always protested the premise of selecting a race. I don’t think your takeaway of folks not understanding how it works is accurate and is dismissive. I think what that 44% other means is that we don’t feel like we are white, or any of the other categories and will not count ourselves in that bucket.

I listen to this podcast to get an understanding of the polling that is being released and they provide great background into how to interpret that without overreacting with their commentary. I think on the 4/2 you were wrong to say what you said

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