Top Traders Unplugged

Niels Kaastrup-Larsen
Top Traders Unplugged

Discover the fascinating world of investing with Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and his remarkable co-hosts. Each week, we bring you compelling conversations with legendary investors, leading economists, masterful traders, and forward-thinking thought leaders. From Trend Following and Global Macro to Geo-Politics, Commodities, Quant Investing, Crypto, and Volatility, we uncover the strategies, stories, and lessons behind their success. Gain actionable insights from industry veterans as we celebrate their achievements and learn from their challenges. Stay ahead in the ever-evolving landscape of investing - tune in weekly and elevate your financial knowledge. For the latest episodes and expert insights, visit https://toptradersunplugged.com

  1. ALO27: Unlocking Wealth: Insights from UBS's CIO Mark Haefele

    -1 Ч

    ALO27: Unlocking Wealth: Insights from UBS's CIO Mark Haefele

    Mark Haefele, CIO of Global Wealth Management at UBS, shares valuable insights on the evolving landscape of investing amidst unprecedented government intervention in the economy. He emphasizes that understanding the role of government spending and its impact on market dynamics is crucial for today's investors. The conversation explores the distinction between managing wealth and managing investments, highlighting the importance of adopting a mindset of abundance rather than scarcity. Haefele also explains the significance of long-term structural trends, such as demographics and digitalization, which shape investment decisions. Throughout the discussion, he offers practical advice for navigating the complexities of investing in a world where macroeconomic factors increasingly influence outcomes. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website. IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Alan on Twitter. Follow Mark on LinkedIn. Episode TimeStamps: 02:24 - Introduction to Mark Haefele 05:08 - Behind the scenes of Haefele's job 06:41 - The key takeaways from Haefele's book 08:56 - The difference between managing your wealth and managing your investment 11:10 - How has the investing world changed over the years? 14:44 - Is now a culmination of previous crises? 16:52 - The 5 structural trends of the global economy and how it relates to government spending 19:52 - How they apply the 5 structural trends in a broad...

    1 ч. 3 мин.
  2. SI333: Convexity - The Trend Following Game Changer! ft. Richard Brennan

    -3 ДН.

    SI333: Convexity - The Trend Following Game Changer! ft. Richard Brennan

    Most investors focus on returns, but what about the shape of those returns? Today, Rich and I explore the often overlooked concept of convexity - a game-changing principle in trend following that helps us thrive in unpredictable markets. Inspired by insights from our recent guest, Dave Dredge, we break down why mastering convexity is key to cutting losses early, riding big winners, and staying ahead of market turbulence. If you’re serious about protecting and growing your portfoli - while making smarter, more systematic decisions - this episode is a must-listen. Join us for a deep dive into the mechanics of risk, reward, and the powerful edge convexity can give your portfolio! ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website. IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Rich on Twitter. Episode TimeStamps: 01:49 - What has caught our attention recently? 06:20 - Industry performance update 11:10 - Why does convexity matter for trend following? 36:13 - What do we actually mean by convexity? 42:04 - Sharpe world - the pitfalls of today's economy 52:30 - Why risk and volatility can feel like the same thing 56:08 - The core of trend following 58:22 - Why open trade equity makes no sense for managers 01:00:03 - The business of trend following 01:01:37 - The exponential potential of trend following 01:08:05 - The times have changed - why is trend following more important than ever? 01:11:22 - What is up for next week? Copyright © 2024

    1 ч. 13 мин.
  3. GM79: How Global Economic Dynamics Shape Our Future ft. Matthew Klein

    29 ЯНВ.

    GM79: How Global Economic Dynamics Shape Our Future ft. Matthew Klein

    Today, we explore the intricate dynamics of global trade and economics, highlighting the central thesis of Matt Klein's book, "Trade Wars or Class Wars." Klein argues that the common perception of trade as a zero-sum game is fundamentally flawed; instead, he emphasizes that positive-sum solutions exist, benefiting all parties involved. The conversation explores the impact of internal dynamics within countries, particularly focusing on how these dynamics affect international relations and economic outcomes. Additionally, we discuss the current state of the global economy, rising bond yields, and the potential consequences of immigration policies on labor markets and housing. We invite listeners to rethink traditional economic narratives and consider how collective actions can lead to improved outcomes for everyone. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website. IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Alan on Twitter. Follow Matthew on Twitter. Episode TimeStamps: 02:08 - Introduction to Matthew Klein 05:32 - Expanding the definition of trade 13:45 - The dynamic between growth and productivity 17:04 - The state of the German economy and how it could be improved 22:42 - Klein's perspective on the development of the bond markets 28:49 - Klein's outlook for inflation and interest rates 34:36 - Are we approaching a consumer credit crisis? 38:49 - Is there a productivity boom in...

    1 ч. 2 мин.
  4. SI332: Market Turbulence: How to Adapt to Regime Changes in Investing ft. Alan Dunne & Mark Rzepczynski

    25 ЯНВ.

    SI332: Market Turbulence: How to Adapt to Regime Changes in Investing ft. Alan Dunne & Mark Rzepczynski

    Today, we explore the complexities of current market dynamics, emphasizing the heightened levels of uncertainty stemming from recent regime changes. Mark Rzepczynski shares insights on how this uncertainty can influence investment behavior and market trends, highlighting the importance for investors to adapt their strategies in response to these shifts. The discussion touches on the implications of fluctuating correlations and volatility, particularly for systematic and trend-following strategies. We also explore how the intricate nature of financial markets as complex systems can lead to nonlinear reactions to shocks, making it crucial for traders to consider both measurable risks and the non-measurable uncertainties that can affect their models. The episode wraps up with reflections on the role of institutional arrangements and how they can impact market outcomes in a rapidly changing environment. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website. IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Alan on Twitter. Follow Mark on Twitter. Episode TimeStamps: 01:16 - A flurry of activities 04:05 - The state of VIX and how newspapers and media measure uncertainty 09:11 - How do trend followers take advantage of the uncertainty in markets? 12:50 - What are the components of the regime shift? 16:04 - The implications of the regime shift 17:57 - Industry performance update 19:21 - The state of bond markets from an uncertainty perspective 21:16 - Do...

    1 ч. 5 мин.
  5. GM 78: The Market Risk Nobody’s Watching ft. Dave Dredge & Cem Karsan

    22 ЯНВ.

    GM 78: The Market Risk Nobody’s Watching ft. Dave Dredge & Cem Karsan

    Today, we take you into the complexities of the current financial landscape, emphasizing the crucial theme of positioning in an environment marked by rising interest rates and shifting market dynamics. We explore how recent structured product issuance is significantly impacting market structure, particularly in the U.S., where the volume of callable bonds and equity-linked products has surged. They highlight the risks associated with reliance on historical correlations, which may not hold in times of market stress, and the implications for investors navigating these turbulent waters. The conversation also touches on the potential for a significant monetary regime shift, akin to what was seen in the late '90s, driven by geopolitical tensions and domestic economic policies. You will gain valuable insights into how to recognize and adapt to these evolving risks, to become well prepared for the challenges ahead. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website. IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Cem on Twitter. Follow David on LinkedIn. Read David's report here. Episode TimeStamps: 01:34 - A quick catch up since last conversation 02:13 - Dredge's key takeaways from 2024 08:58 - When did things really start to move for Dredge? 15:41 - Cem's analysis of the recent global macro environment 22:51 -

    1 ч. 32 мин.
  6. SI331: Crafting the Perfect Investment Portfolio in 2025 ft. Alan Dunne

    18 ЯНВ.

    SI331: Crafting the Perfect Investment Portfolio in 2025 ft. Alan Dunne

    Today, we dive deep into the evolving landscape of investment strategies, emphasizing the critical need for diversification in portfolios. With a particular focus on the German economy's challenges, we highlight how geopolitical factors and shifting market dynamics are reshaping investment approaches. We explore the potential implications of rising bond yields and the importance of incorporating trend-following strategies to mitigate risks associated with traditional asset classes. We also touch on the necessity for investors to rethink their allocations to adapt to an uncertain future, moving beyond outdated correlations and assumptions. As we examine the perspectives of notable figures in finance, the episode serves as a timely reminder of the importance of strategic asset allocation in navigating today's complex market environment. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website. IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Alan on Twitter. Episode TimeStamps: 00:55 - What has caught our attention recently? 02:41 - Why has the German economy changed so much? 10:20 - A world of unexpected political events 13:57 - How can there be a beta if managers are so different? 16:06 - The state of the global macro environment 25:10 - Industry performance update 28:10 - Are investors relying too much on past performance? 35:01 - Are we seeing signs of a catastrophic bubble? 40:14 - 2025 - a deja vu to 1995? 42:24 - Advice for constructing a robust trend following portfolio 54:49...

    1 ч. 6 мин.
  7. OI13: The Art of Continuous Trading: Mastering Market Dynamics ft. Bill Gebhardt

    15 ЯНВ.

    OI13: The Art of Continuous Trading: Mastering Market Dynamics ft. Bill Gebhardt

    Bill Gebhardt from 10Dynamics discusses the intriguing intersection of market efficiency and systematic trading strategies. He emphasizes the idea that while traditional views suggest markets are efficient, many hedge funds continue to find success using price-based strategies that should theoretically not work. This paradox leads to a fascinating exploration of the psychological aspects of trading, particularly how human behavior can create opportunities for systematic traders. Gebhardt shares insights on the operational complexities of running a nearly continuous trading process, utilizing intraday data, and employing a diverse range of signals. The conversation explores the risks of underfitting versus overfitting in trading models, ultimately advocating for a strategy that embraces empirical success without excessive optimization. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website. IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Moritz on Linkedin. Follow Bill on X. Episode TimeStamps: 02:17 - Introduction to Bill Gebhardt 06:35 - No pain, no gain 08:40 - Why are they called 10Dynamics? 10:08 - What is their philosophy behind how markets work? 12:24 - Are the signals that they run based on trend following? 13:47 - How they handle the operational complexity of their system 18:15 - How they assess the validity of their data 20:39 - Exploring the technical details behind the execution of their...

    48 мин.
  8. SI330: Yield Storm Ahead: Preparing for a New Era ft. Cem Karsan

    11 ЯНВ.

    SI330: Yield Storm Ahead: Preparing for a New Era ft. Cem Karsan

    Together with Cem Karsan we take the pulse of the evolving landscape investors are faced with amidst rising interest rates and market volatility. A key takeaway is the recognition of structural changes in bond markets, with the potential for significantly higher yields impacting investment strategies. We explore the implications of current geopolitical dynamics, including Trump's perhaps surprising approach to China, his expansionary agenda and how it may shape market expectations moving forward. We also address the challenges of navigating a world where traditional hedging strategies in markets like fixed income are becoming increasingly difficult. With insights into market sentiment and potential counter-trend rallies, this episode provides a thought-provoking look at the complexities facing investors right now. ----- 50 YEARS OF TREND FOLLOWING BOOK AND BEHIND-THE-SCENES VIDEO FOR ACCREDITED INVESTORS - CLICK HERE ----- Follow Niels on Twitter, LinkedIn, YouTube or via the TTU website. IT’s TRUE ? – most CIO’s read 50+ books each year – get your FREE copy of the Ultimate Guide to the Best Investment Books ever written here. And you can get a free copy of my latest book “Ten Reasons to Add Trend Following to Your Portfolio” here. Learn more about the Trend Barometer here. Send your questions to info@toptradersunplugged.com And please share this episode with a like-minded friend and leave an honest Rating & Review on iTunes or Spotify so more people can discover the podcast. Follow Cem on Twitter. Episode TimeStamps: 01:19 - What has caught our attention recently? 06:39 - Industry performance update 08:34 - Long term skew in vol markets is causing trouble 13:41 - Approaching OPEX - what is in sight? 21:28 - Does a strong S&P500 performance indicate an incoming crisis? 24:08 - Are we approaching a counter trend rally? 26:33 - It's getting hard to hedge 35:16 - Investors are long without realizing it 38:34 - We need a shadow Fed President 43:23 - We are in a leadership vacuum 47:58 - Early signs of improvement in China? 55:31 -...

    1 ч. 1 мин.
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Discover the fascinating world of investing with Niels Kaastrup-Larsen and his remarkable co-hosts. Each week, we bring you compelling conversations with legendary investors, leading economists, masterful traders, and forward-thinking thought leaders. From Trend Following and Global Macro to Geo-Politics, Commodities, Quant Investing, Crypto, and Volatility, we uncover the strategies, stories, and lessons behind their success. Gain actionable insights from industry veterans as we celebrate their achievements and learn from their challenges. Stay ahead in the ever-evolving landscape of investing - tune in weekly and elevate your financial knowledge. For the latest episodes and expert insights, visit https://toptradersunplugged.com

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