48 min
Option Selling ETFs Boom | Probability of Future Fed Moves | Bad News is Good News on Employment Broken Pie Chart
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- Investing
Derek Moore and ZEGA Financial CEO Jay Pestrichelli ponder whether the Fed is truly done and if the street is too optimistic on rate cuts in 2024. Plus, they discuss new data showing option selling ETFs are having record assets between inflows and new entrants. Bad news is good news still as employment ticks up. They delve deeper into the numbers including labor participation rate, size of workforce, and more in the household survey data. Finally, they talk about options volatility and how it got sucked out of the market this week.
Option selling ETFs set new record high for assets
Is the Fed really done raising rates?
Is the street too optimistic about Fed rate cutting in 2024?
Sahm Recession Rule indicator says recent employment data hints at recession
3-Month moving average of the unemployment rate in the Sahm recession rule indicator
VIX hits lowest level in a while
Earnings and Nvidia options
Bad news is good news regime is still alive and well in markets
US unemployment rate ticks up to 3.9%
Understanding the household survey numbers
What is the labor force participation rate?
Size of the US workforce
Mentioned in this Episode:
BLS US Unemployment Rate report https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
Correction Territory | No Fear Yet in Markets? | When Does Capitulation Happen in Markets?
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/correction-territory-no-fear-yet-in-markets-when-does/id1432836154?i=1000632979045
Fed Rate probability tracker https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
0DTE Options Analysis| Inflation Coming Back? | Strong US Dollar Impact https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/0dte-options-analysis-inflation-coming-back-strong/id1432836154?i=1000628157831
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com
www.zegafinancial.com
Derek Moore and ZEGA Financial CEO Jay Pestrichelli ponder whether the Fed is truly done and if the street is too optimistic on rate cuts in 2024. Plus, they discuss new data showing option selling ETFs are having record assets between inflows and new entrants. Bad news is good news still as employment ticks up. They delve deeper into the numbers including labor participation rate, size of workforce, and more in the household survey data. Finally, they talk about options volatility and how it got sucked out of the market this week.
Option selling ETFs set new record high for assets
Is the Fed really done raising rates?
Is the street too optimistic about Fed rate cutting in 2024?
Sahm Recession Rule indicator says recent employment data hints at recession
3-Month moving average of the unemployment rate in the Sahm recession rule indicator
VIX hits lowest level in a while
Earnings and Nvidia options
Bad news is good news regime is still alive and well in markets
US unemployment rate ticks up to 3.9%
Understanding the household survey numbers
What is the labor force participation rate?
Size of the US workforce
Mentioned in this Episode:
BLS US Unemployment Rate report https://www.bls.gov/news.release/empsit.nr0.htm
Correction Territory | No Fear Yet in Markets? | When Does Capitulation Happen in Markets?
https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/correction-territory-no-fear-yet-in-markets-when-does/id1432836154?i=1000632979045
Fed Rate probability tracker https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/interest-rates/cme-fedwatch-tool.html
0DTE Options Analysis| Inflation Coming Back? | Strong US Dollar Impact https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/0dte-options-analysis-inflation-coming-back-strong/id1432836154?i=1000628157831
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://www.amazon.com/Broken-Pie-Chart-Investment-Portfolio/dp/1787435547/ref=sr_1_1?keywords=broken+pie+chart&qid=1558722226&s=books&sr=1-1-catcorr
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegafinancial.com
www.zegafinancial.com
48 min