More or Less: Behind the Stats


Make sense of the stats, without ads
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Tim Harford and the More or Less team try to make sense of the statistics which surround us. From BBC Radio 4
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Not Dismal
10/27/2024
The way ‘economics’ should be taught. However recently the FBI changed crime statistics up so mabe Trump was correct in the ‘debate’ such as it was. Thank you Mr Harford
Think please, is there fraud in the billions or not?
Mar 12
More or Less brings the research to the questions of the day! This is the good stuff and what you wish your politicians did. But please think. Sure there is fraud but your expert, a retired university professor from Wisconsin? Says it’s not that big! The numbers given were, the Trump administration says it’s 71M but a lot of that was refunded so it’s closer to 36M - are you crazy? 36M is enough to worry about. More or Less should salute efforts to return 36M of fraud back to the public. The average grandma may receive on the order of 18k annually- 36M is the equivalent of 2000 grandmas not getting paid. I expect more from More or Less
US maternal mortality rates — not so utterly useless
07/01/2024
Dear Mr Harfort, I am writing about your very interesting and solidly supported podcast —as is all the material you produce—on the US maternal-related mortality statistics,. You rightly conclude that the upward trend in the last two decades for the US results from a statistical mirage—the coverage of the more accurate new format proposed by the relevant international agency progressed piecemeal, one state at a time over two decades, accounting for the index's substantial growth. That is, the growth is only partly due to the improved accuracy of the new format and most probably due to the increasing temporal coverage of the sample. I put together a graph showing this, together with equivalent indices for the major European countries. (Unfortunately this format does not allow attaching a picture.) The graph shows a near-constant level over time for the latter and a marked increase in the American one, as you pointed out. However, you also conclude that US information is utterly worthless, and with this, I disagree. Although one should dismiss the growth trend, we cannot overlook the differential in the levels, which shows that even the lowest US figure (at the beginning of the period) is much higher than any other major advanced economy. Thus, in 2003, the US index, which supposedly underestimated mortality since the new format was not in place, was already about 50% higher than the highest European one. By the end of the period, when supposedly the US data becomes comparable to the European, it is 2.5 times as high. I think this finding is most revealing of the US's precarious, backward healthcare condition. And to this extent, it is not worthless.
“Math is hard”- but More or Less I love this show -Barbie
10/25/2023
They ask the experts and that is so refreshing.
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- Channel
- CreatorBBC Radio 4
- Years Active2007 - 2025
- Episodes1K
- RatingClean
- Copyright© (C) BBC 2025
- Show Website
- ProviderBBC Studios Distribution Limited
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