Key Wealth Matters

Key Wealth Institute

Key Wealth Matters, a podcast series hosted by the experts of the Key Wealth Institute, explores the biggest news of today to determine how these headlines can impact wealth plans, financial strategies, markets, and investments. Join our team of advisors for unbiased, proactive advice about individual and family finances, estate and legacy planning, family dynamics, investing, as well as trends for business owners, nonprofits, and institutions. To submit potential topics or questions to our experts, contact us via email at Key_Wealth_Institute@keybank.com. For more information, articles, or other insights related to wealth management, visit key.com/ourinsights. _____________________________________________________ We gather data and information from specialized sources and financial databases including but not limited to Bloomberg Finance L.P., Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Chicago Board of Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index (VIX), Dow Jones / Dow Jones Newsplus, FactSet, Federal Reserve and corresponding 12 district banks / Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), ICE BofA (Bank of America) MOVE Index, Morningstar / Morningstar.com, Standard & Poor’s and Wall Street Journal / WSJ.com. Key Wealth, Key Private Client, Key Private Bank, Key Family Wealth, and KeyBank Institutional Advisors are brand names used by KeyBank National Association (KeyBank). Key Wealth and Key Private Client are also brand names used by Key Investment Services LLC (KIS), member FINRA/SIPC and SEC-registered investment advisor. The Key Wealth Institute is comprised of financial professionals representing KeyBank National Association (KeyBank) and certain affiliates, such as Key Investment Services LLC (KIS) and KeyCorp Insurance Agency USA Inc. (KIA). Any opinions, projections, or recommendations contained herein are subject to change without notice, are those of the individual author(s), and may not necessarily represent the views of KeyBank or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates. This material presented is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to purchase or sell any security or product or to employ a specific investment or tax planning strategy. KeyBank, nor its subsidiaries or affiliates, represent, warrant or guarantee that this material is accurate, complete or suitable for any purpose or any investor and it should not be used as a basis for investment or tax planning decisions. It is not to be relied upon or used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment. It should not be construed as individual tax, legal or financial advice. The summaries, prices, quotes and/or statistics contained herein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not necessarily complete and cannot be guaranteed. They are provided for informational purposes only and are not intended to replace any confirmations or statements. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Brokerage and certain investment advisory services are offered through Key Investment Services LLC (KIS), member FINRA/SIPC and SEC-registered investment advisor. Insurance products are offered through KeyCorp Insurance Agency USA, Inc. (KIA) and underwritten by third party insurance carriers not affiliated with KIS. KIS and KIA are affiliates under the common control of KeyCorp. To learn more about KIS’s investment business, as well as our relationship with you, please review our KIS Disclosure page. Check the background of KIS on FINRA's BrokerCheck. Non-Deposit products are: NOT FDIC INSURED • NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE • NOT A DEPOSIT • NOT INSURED BY ANY FEDERAL OR STATE GOVERNMENT AGENCY ©2026 KeyCorp®. All rights reserved.

  1. 6D AGO

    Investing Through Divergence in Rates, Earnings, and Global Risks

    This week’s discussion focuses on a market that continues to advance despite crosscurrents in geopolitics, inflation, and monetary policy. The team reviews steady gains in equities, resilient labor data, and improving productivity, offset by persistent inflation uncertainty tied to energy prices and global tensions. Panelists outline why the Federal Reserve remains on hold amid internal disagreement and shifting leadership expectations, while bond markets emphasize carry over duration risk. In equities, earnings momentum and AI related themes are broadening beyond traditional leaders, creating both opportunity and valuation risk. The conversation closes with a look at tariffs and trade policy, which remain a source of uncertainty but appear less market moving than earlier in the year.   Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment Strategy George Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Rajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income Sam Snyder, Director of Equity Research   01:30 — Weekly market overview and key economic releases 04:19 — Iran geopolitical developments and oil price implications 07:17 — Fed policy outlook, inflation risks, and rate expectations 13:06 — Equity market performance, AI themes, and market breadth 17:13 — Tariffs, trade policy, and near‑term market relevance   Additional Resources Read Now: Key Questions: Are Your Young Adult's Essential Documents Ready for Graduation? Read Now: From Drafts to Decisions: Estate Planning Beyond AI   Key Questions Weekly Investment Brief Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletter Follow us on LinkedIn

    23 min
  2. MAY 1

    This Week’s Trifecta: A Split Fed, Powell’s Swan Song and AI-Driven Earnings

    This week’s discussion centers on a Federal Reserve on pause but increasingly divided, as inflation data and geopolitical risks complicate the policy path. The team reviews a stronger‑than‑expected GDP reading, a PCE inflation uptick driven by energy prices, and what multiple FOMC dissents signal about rate expectations for the rest of 2026.  They also cover Jerome Powell’s last meeting as Fed Chair and what it means for the FOMC. They also examine how resilient earnings growth, particularly tied to AI investment and capital spending, is shaping market leadership. The conversation frames what these dynamics mean for positioning as investors balance policy uncertainty, elevated inflation risks, and continued pockets of economic strength.   Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment Strategy George Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Rajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income Stephen Hoedt, Head of Equities   01:45 — Weekly data check: claims, GDP, and March PCE inflation 04:15 — FOMC recap and implications of multiple dissents 09:20 — Rate cut expectations and the outlook for 2026 policy 16:20 — Earnings strength and the impact of AI spending 23:00 — Geopolitics, energy prices, and late‑cycle risks   Additional Resources Read Now: Key Questions: Is Kevin Warsh About to Change the Fed – Not Just Rates?   Key Questions Weekly Investment Brief Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletter Follow us on LinkedIn

    28 min
  3. APR 24

    Signals in Motion: What the Data, the Fed, and AI Are Telling Us Now

    Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment Strategy George Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Stephen Hoedt, Head of Equities Rajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income 01:48 - We open with key economic data, focusing on stable initial unemployment claims as a sign of labor market resilience and a strong March retail sales report that shows consumer spending remains healthy, even after adjusting for higher gasoline and auto prices.   03:04 - We frame the broader macro backdrop, noting limited economic releases during the week while setting up three major themes: geopolitical developments tied to Iran, renewed discussion around tariffs and potential refunds, and upcoming Federal Reserve dynamics.   05:18 - We discuss geopolitical risks from the Iran war, particularly impacts on oil prices, supply chains, airlines, and inflation, emphasizing the uncertainty around resolution and the potential for continued market volatility.   07:46 - We shift to corporate and labor market implications of AI, examining recent layoffs at major tech firms like Meta and Microsoft and debating whether these moves reflect profit protection, efficiency gains, or a deeper structural shift driven by AI adoption.   10:43 - We analyze market leadership and sector rotation, highlighting a resurgence in technology, semiconductors, and communication services after the Hormuz-related selloff, alongside weakness in cyclicals such as industrials, financials, and consumer discretionary.   13:31 - We explore AI’s productivity potential and its implications for the Fed, discussing how uneven AI adoption could reshape productivity, influence inflation, and factor into monetary policy thinking amid a possible change in Fed leadership.   14:31 - We conclude with Federal Reserve policy and bond market dynamics, covering expectations for a “Fed on hold,” a flat yield curve, diminished rate-cut expectations for 2026, Kevin Warsh’s confirmation hearing signals, and breaking news affecting Jerome Powell’s legal situation and Fed chair succession uncertainty.   Additional Resources Watch: National Call Replay: Managing Wealth During the Fog of War, AI Disruption, & An Uncertain Economic Path   Key Questions Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletter Weekly Investment Brief Follow us on LinkedIn

    26 min
  4. APR 10

    Playing Through the Rough: PCE, CPI, and a Hawkish Fed Backdrop

    This week’s discussion focuses on how geopolitical risk and shifting rate expectations are driving markets more than fundamentals. Attention stays on developments in Iran and what a potential ceasefire could mean for energy prices, the dollar, and near-term volatility.  Inflation remains a key swing factor, with mixed readings and a tone in recent Fed messaging that keeps the “higher for longer” debate alive.  Against that backdrop, earnings progress can still be overshadowed as real rates pressure valuations and keep the market macro-driven.  The conversation also frames what “fair value” looks like in municipal bonds versus Treasuries and why technicals and seasonality can matter in the months ahead.  The takeaway emphasizes patience, diversification, and selective opportunity while headline risk stays elevated.  For additional context, watch our national call replay Key Wealth National Call: Managing Wealth During the Fog of War, AI Disruption, & An Uncertain Economic Path.   Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment Strategy George Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Stephen Hoedt, Head of Equities Tim McDonough, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio Management   01:55 — The week’s inflation, employment, growth, and Iran setup  04:10 — PCE vs. CPI: what each read implies for Fed policy  10:15 — Strait of Hormuz risk and longer-run energy infrastructure shifts  15:23 — Municipal bonds: March drawdown, ratios, and supply-demand headwinds  20:34 — Closing message: volatility, diversification, and tuning out noise   Additional Resources Register Now: Key Wealth National Call: Managing Wealth During the Fog of War, AI Disruption, & An Uncertain Economic Path   Key Questions Weekly Investment Brief Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletter Follow us on LinkedIn

    24 min
  5. MAR 27

    Markets in the Fog: War Risk, Earnings Reality, and Higher Rates

    This week’s discussion centers on how geopolitical risk, shifting rate expectations, and resilient earnings are reshaping the investment landscape. With economic data light, attention turns to the Iran conflict and its uneven market impact, including higher energy prices and renewed volatility. Equity valuations have reset meaningfully even as forward earnings expectations remain firm, reframing downside risk. The panel explores why markets now price a potential rate hike instead of cuts, how that shift is pressuring bonds and housing, and where leadership may reemerge once macro uncertainty fades. The takeaway emphasizes patience, selective opportunity, and disciplined positioning amid elevated uncertainty. We invite our listeners to continue the conversation on April 1 during the Key Wealth National Call: Managing Wealth During the Fog of War, AI Disruption, & An Uncertain Economic Path.   Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment Strategy George Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Rajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income Stephen Hoedt, Head of Equities   01:33 — Initial claims update and delayed economic data 02:44 — Iran conflict and the market’s muted reaction 05:35 — Earnings momentum versus falling equity multiples 11:42 — Rate expectations flip from cuts to possible hikes 19:42 — Staying disciplined as volatility creates opportunity   Additional Resources Register Now: Key Wealth National Call: Managing Wealth During the Fog of War, AI Disruption, & An Uncertain Economic Path.   Key Questions Weekly Investment Brief Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletter Follow us on LinkedIn

    26 min
  6. MAR 20

    Bracket Busting Week for Investors as Rates and Oil Take Center Court

    This week’s conversation focuses on a market environment defined by patience, uncertainty, and shifting expectations. The team walks through February economic data, highlighting steady industrial production, stable jobless claims, and a hotter producer price index that feeds directly into the Fed’s preferred PCE measure. Attention then turns to the FOMC decision to hold rates steady, with Chair Powell reinforcing a higher‑for‑longer mindset amid sticky inflation and a more dispersed dot plot. The discussion expands to private credit, separating recent headlines from underlying fundamentals, before closing with an equity market check on oil prices, inflation risks, and what flexibility and positioning mean for investors navigating a less predictable path forward.   Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment Strategy George Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Steve Hoedt, Head of Equities Cindy Honcharenko, Director of Fixed Income Portfolio Management  David Harvan, Senior Lead Research Analyst of Multi-Strategy Research   02:17 — Economic data sets the backdrop for markets 03:38 — FOMC decision, projections, and Powell’s message 10:32 — Private credit fundamentals versus recent headlines 17:24 — Equity markets, technical levels, and oil volatility 22:00 — Gold, Nvidia, and closing investment perspective   Additional Resources National Call Replay: Navigating Noise, Finding Meaning: A Conversation with Brian Portnoy, PhD, CFA Read: Key Questions: How Will Tariffs Impact My Financial Plan?   Key Questions Weekly Investment Brief Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletter Follow us on LinkedIn

    28 min
  7. MAR 13

    Quality Over Quantity: Credit Markets in a Volatile Week

    A volatile backdrop tied to the Iran conflict kept energy markets in focus and reinforced a higher-uncertainty tone across risk assets. Economic updates pointed to a jobs market that remains steady, inflation readings that are still not cooling meaningfully, and a growth picture that was revised from prior estimates. With next week’s FOMC meeting approaching, attention turns to how policymakers frame the inflation path and whether updated projections lean more restrictive than markets expect. In rates, repricing has favored a flatter curve and higher front-end yields, while in credit, demand has tilted toward higher-quality issuance with selectivity rising in lower-rated segments. Private credit headlines are being treated primarily as a liquidity story, underscoring the importance of structure and time horizon.   Speakers: Brian Pietrangelo, Managing Director of Investment Strategy George Mateyo, Chief Investment Officer Rajeev Sharma, Head of Fixed Income Stephen Hoedt, Head of Equities   01:32 — Three key data points: initial claims, CPI, delayed PCE, and GDP revision  05:07 — Iran conflict, oil volatility, and why duration matters most  14:58 — Fed dot plot stakes and yield curve flattening pressures  17:24 — Heavy corporate issuance and preference for high-quality concessions  20:05 — Private credit framed as liquidity risk, with selective opportunity   Additional Resources National Call Replay: Navigating Noise, Finding Meaning: A Conversation with Brian Portnoy, PhD, CFA Read: Key Questions: How Will Tariffs Impact My Financial Plan?   Key Questions Weekly Investment Brief Subscribe to our Key Wealth Insights newsletter Follow us on LinkedIn

    27 min

Ratings & Reviews

5
out of 5
11 Ratings

About

Key Wealth Matters, a podcast series hosted by the experts of the Key Wealth Institute, explores the biggest news of today to determine how these headlines can impact wealth plans, financial strategies, markets, and investments. Join our team of advisors for unbiased, proactive advice about individual and family finances, estate and legacy planning, family dynamics, investing, as well as trends for business owners, nonprofits, and institutions. To submit potential topics or questions to our experts, contact us via email at Key_Wealth_Institute@keybank.com. For more information, articles, or other insights related to wealth management, visit key.com/ourinsights. _____________________________________________________ We gather data and information from specialized sources and financial databases including but not limited to Bloomberg Finance L.P., Bureau of Economic Analysis, Bureau of Labor Statistics, Chicago Board of Exchange (CBOE) Volatility Index (VIX), Dow Jones / Dow Jones Newsplus, FactSet, Federal Reserve and corresponding 12 district banks / Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), ICE BofA (Bank of America) MOVE Index, Morningstar / Morningstar.com, Standard & Poor’s and Wall Street Journal / WSJ.com. Key Wealth, Key Private Client, Key Private Bank, Key Family Wealth, and KeyBank Institutional Advisors are brand names used by KeyBank National Association (KeyBank). Key Wealth and Key Private Client are also brand names used by Key Investment Services LLC (KIS), member FINRA/SIPC and SEC-registered investment advisor. The Key Wealth Institute is comprised of financial professionals representing KeyBank National Association (KeyBank) and certain affiliates, such as Key Investment Services LLC (KIS) and KeyCorp Insurance Agency USA Inc. (KIA). Any opinions, projections, or recommendations contained herein are subject to change without notice, are those of the individual author(s), and may not necessarily represent the views of KeyBank or any of its subsidiaries or affiliates. This material presented is for informational purposes only and is not intended to be an offer, recommendation, or solicitation to purchase or sell any security or product or to employ a specific investment or tax planning strategy. KeyBank, nor its subsidiaries or affiliates, represent, warrant or guarantee that this material is accurate, complete or suitable for any purpose or any investor and it should not be used as a basis for investment or tax planning decisions. It is not to be relied upon or used in substitution for the exercise of independent judgment. It should not be construed as individual tax, legal or financial advice. The summaries, prices, quotes and/or statistics contained herein have been obtained from sources believed to be reliable but are not necessarily complete and cannot be guaranteed. They are provided for informational purposes only and are not intended to replace any confirmations or statements. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Brokerage and certain investment advisory services are offered through Key Investment Services LLC (KIS), member FINRA/SIPC and SEC-registered investment advisor. Insurance products are offered through KeyCorp Insurance Agency USA, Inc. (KIA) and underwritten by third party insurance carriers not affiliated with KIS. KIS and KIA are affiliates under the common control of KeyCorp. To learn more about KIS’s investment business, as well as our relationship with you, please review our KIS Disclosure page. Check the background of KIS on FINRA's BrokerCheck. Non-Deposit products are: NOT FDIC INSURED • NOT BANK GUARANTEED • MAY LOSE VALUE • NOT A DEPOSIT • NOT INSURED BY ANY FEDERAL OR STATE GOVERNMENT AGENCY ©2026 KeyCorp®. All rights reserved.

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