FiveThirtyEight Politics

ABC News

4.5 (20K)
POLITICS
UPDATED DAILY

The 538 team covers the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week.

4 DAYS AGO

Donald Trump Wins The Presidency

In this late-night, election-night edition of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew reacts to the results showing Donald Trump winning a second presidential term. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

36 min
4 DAYS AGO

An Hour-By-Hour Guide To Election Night

At long last, Election Day is upon us. In this final pre-results episode, the crew shares a guide for what to expect on election night — from the first poll closures in Indiana, to the last poll closures in Alaska. They set expectations for how long the vote may take to tally and which counties to keep an eye on. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

44 min
5 DAYS AGO

The Pollercoaster Takes A Final Plunge

Polls were coming in hot and heavy over the weekend! In fact, 164 surveys were entered into the 538 database since Friday. In this Election Day eve episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen Druke speaks with senior researcher Mary Radcliffe and New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik about what we are seeing in those final polls. They discuss the famed Iowa Poll from Ann Selzer, which showed a rosy picture for Harris, and the battleground polling from the New York Times, which showed results that frustrate some of the trends we've come to expect this cycle. They also share some final thoughts on the election in the run up to the big day. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

42 min
OCT 31

Galen’s Cauldron Of Queries

It’s not just election season; it’s spooky season, too. In this Halloween installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew opens up the mailbag and answers listeners’ questions. Does favorability matter? Can bad weather affect turnout? And what would you do with an election crystal ball? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

41 min
OCT 30

Will 2024 Be A Disputed Election?

Looking back on the 2020 election, the time between Election Day and Inauguration Day stands out as one of the most fraught and uncertain in recent American history. Will 2024 follow a similar path? In this episode of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen talks with Larry Norden, vice president of the Elections and Government Program at the Brennan Center, to provide a clearer picture of what we might expect after Election Day. They discuss when results could be expected, the types of misinformation that may circulate after the votes are cast, and why this election is seeing more litigation than any before it. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

37 min
OCT 28

Do Voters Care About Democracy?

Last week, John Kelly, former President Donald Trump’s longest-serving chief of staff, said Trump fit the definition of a “fascist.” Democrats have seized on the comment, using it to underline Trump’s anti-democratic tendencies in these final days before Election Day. On this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, the crew discusses how much voters care about democracy. And they look at a new poll that might shed light on the behavior of a new group of swing voters: young men. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

37 min
OCT 24

The Most Valuable Data Point

We are awash in data. As Election Day draws near, and new polls continue to pile up, our information overload will only intensify. So today on the 538 Politics podcast, we’re simplifying. We asked 11 very smart people just one question: What is the most valuable data point you’re watching to understand this election? These are their answers. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

34 min
OCT 23

How the Diploma Divide Took Over Our Politics

For decades, Republicans were thought of as the country club set, while Democrats were the party of the working class. But increasingly, education has become a larger dividing line in American politics than economic status. This trend has seen college-educated voters move toward the Democratic Party and non-college-educated voters shift toward Republicans. In this installment of the 538 Politics podcast, Galen speaks with Matt Grossmann and David Hopkins, authors of "Polarized by Degrees: How the Diploma Divide and the Culture War Transformed American Politics." They explore how this educational divide is reshaping not just electoral outcomes, but the way each party approaches governance and policy. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices

41 min

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4.5

out of 5

19,608 Ratings

Texas Analysis 1 Star

Sep 23

MRBAUSTIN

There are 3 million new registered voters since Cruz’s narrow 2018 win. 3 million voters who have never voted for or against him. And by the way there are about 2 million more than 2020. The Texas electorate is growing too quickly for your speedy dismissal about Dem chances to make any real sense.
Useless

5 days ago

Lawmxl

After listening to this podcast for years, it seems incontrovertible that they don’t know what the heck they are talking about. It’s amazing people pay for this pontificating. As was so clearly confirmed in today’s podcast, the only utility is in explaining what happened, after the fact. Adios.
Used to be good now it’s nothing but an episode of idk

Nov 1

Kalkir64

This was a great podcast that had a focus on numbers and would look past the top line number and break down the trends others were not seeing. These last two years have been episode after episode of reading polls as is and road trips for fun? and shrug emojis/ “who know”.
Dripping in condescending asshat liberal knowitallness

Oct 23

irvinecanadian

Latest episode says educated liberals know everything and anyone without a degree is a child who needs to be told what to do. No wonder liberal media is dying.