Sharp Football Analysis by Warren Sharp

Warren Sharp
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  • American Football
  • Updated twice weekly

Warren Sharp is joined by his NFL & College Football Analysts to pore through the data and bring you the smartest people in the sport to find edges to exploit and advantages to make better bets and win fantasy football leagues & contests! Featuring insights, projections and commentary from Warren Sharp, Rich Hribar, Ray Summerlin, Ryan McCrystal and the Sharp Football team!

  1. 21 hr ago

    Best Ball Fantasy Football: Our 2026 Full PPR Live Draft

    Best ball fantasy football draft for 2026, this time in full PPR — 20 rounds from the No. 3 pick, playing for a $3,000,000 first prize. Get the 2026 Fantasy Football Draft Kit + In-Season bundle and take $20 off with promo code BUNDLE20 (or KIT5 for $5 off the Draft Kit alone): https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/ Rich Hribar and Raymond Summerlin fire up their first full-PPR best ball draft of the year and take every pick live: Christian McCaffrey at 1.3, Malik Nabers, DeVonta Smith, Josh Jacobs, Mike Evans, Jadarian Price, Jalen Hurts, Harold Fannin Jr., Michael Pittman Jr., Brock Purdy, Rachaad White, Rashid Shaheed, Jonah Coleman, Dontayvion Wicks, Ryan Flournoy, Gunnar Helm, AJ Barner, DeMond Claiborne, Eli Stowers and Seth McGowan. What You'll Learn: • How strategy changes moving from half PPR to full PPR — and which positions get the value bump • The case for Christian McCaffrey at pick 3, and why best ball makes it a free square • Why the elite RB tier is gone by the time pick 3 comes back around • How to build stacks without forcing them: the Hurts–Smith and Evans–Purdy pairs both arrived at fair prices • Reading the QB room: Josh Allen goes early, then a massive gap — when to strike • The 20-round endgame: the dart-throw RBs, WRs and tight ends worth your last five picks Chapters: 0:00 Welcome: first full PPR draft of the year 1:02 Chuba Hubbard injury news 2:01 The Draft Kit and the fantasy bundle 3:00 Half PPR vs full PPR: what actually changes 5:00 The pick 3 question 6:26 Pick 1.3: Christian McCaffrey 10:04 Pick 2.10: Malik Nabers 11:21 Pick 3.3: DeVonta Smith 12:59 Jordyn Tyson over Chris Olave 15:26 Pick 4.10: Josh Jacobs 16:41 Pick 5.3: Mike Evans (planting the Purdy stack) 18:10 Josh Allen early, then the QB gap 21:34 Pick 6.10: Jadarian Price 22:20 Pick 7.3: Jalen Hurts, stacked with Smith 23:33 The Jonathan Brooks head-scratcher 24:16 Darren Waller to Carolina: fantasy fallout 27:08 Harold Fannin on the radar (Pick 8.10 at 28:04) 29:06 Pick 9.3: Michael Pittman Jr. 30:13 Mahomes is falling: how stacks drive QB ADP 31:53 Xavier Worthy doubts and the Matthew Golden theory 33:15 Pick 10.10: Brock Purdy (the stack completes) 33:43 Pick 11.3: Rachaad White 35:50 The Mark Andrews Rorschach test 38:17 Pick 12.10: Rashid Shaheed 39:18 Pick 13.3: Jonah Coleman 40:14 Ray Davis, the best handcuff in football 41:44 Not scared of Travis Hunter 43:12 Pick 14.10: Dontayvion Wicks 44:11 Pick 15.3: Ryan Flournoy 48:21 Pick 16.10: Gunnar Helm 49:27 Pick 17.3: AJ Barner 53:39 Pick 18.10: DeMond Claiborne 55:34 Pick 19.3: Eli Stowers 58:43 Pick 20.10: Seth McGowan 59:36 Full team recap from pick 3 1:03:09 What's next: a live draft every Friday Watch the draft board on screen in the YouTube version: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u5mNuUnxcLY Promo code KIT5 for $5 off the Draft Kit, BUNDLE20 for $20 off the fantasy bundle. More Resources: Rich Hribar's positional draft plans (in the Draft Kit): https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/fantasy-packages/ All 2026 Sharp Football packages: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/packages/ Rich Hribar: @LordReebs | Raymond Summerlin: @RMSummerlin | Warren Sharp: @SharpFootball Follow Us X: https://x.com/SharpFootball Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfootball/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfootballanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  2. 2 days ago

    The Preseason Week 1 Storylines That Actually Matter

    Warren Sharp runs through everything that matters heading into preseason week 1: what the Commanders lose with Laremy Tunsil gone, Patrick Mahomes vs Josh Allen for best quarterback of the decade, the 2026 schedule traps hiding behind last year's late quarterback surges in New Orleans and Jacksonville, the new Highmark Stadium, and what a single sack actually costs a drive. Rich Hribar joins to explain moving Christian McCaffrey to No. 3 overall, and where Mahomes and Allen land for fantasy this season. Get the 2026 Sharp Football Preview: https://sharp.football CHAPTERS 0:00 What's on today's show 1:25 Three shows a week, and a favour 3:35 The Commanders lose Laremy Tunsil 7:13 Washington's kicking problem 10:05 Mahomes vs Allen, best QB of the decade 14:36 The 2026 Sharp Football Preview 16:27 Rich Hribar: Christian McCaffrey to No. 3 26:57 Rich Hribar: Mahomes vs Allen for fantasy 34:24 Was it real, or was it the schedule 36:12 New Orleans and the schedule behind the surge 38:37 Jacksonville, the same story 44:51 The new Highmark Stadium 47:51 Sack avoidance and Caleb Williams 52:46 Kyler Murray, and what Minnesota asks of a QB 55:26 Denver's new offense and Bo Nix 59:08 Outro   Warren Sharp - https://x.com/SharpFootball Rich Hribar - https://x.com/LordReebs Sharp Football Analysis - https://sharp.football Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  3. 4 days ago

    2026 Best Ball Draft: Stefan Diggs to Washington + Live From the 1.02

    Raymond Summerlin and Rich Hribar draft a best ball team live from the number two pick, covering 2026 fantasy football ADP, best ball strategy, roster construction and the Stefan Diggs signing. Get $20 off the fantasy football bundle with promo code BUNDLE20: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/ Stefan Diggs is signing with the Washington Commanders, and the guys open by working through what it means for Terry McLaurin, Jayden Daniels, Chig Okonkwo and the late-round tight end market, plus why Deebo Samuel's move back into a familiar system is more interesting than the efficiency numbers suggest. Then it is a live draft from the 2 spot. Bijan Robinson comes off the board first, the back half of round one turns into an RB-RB pile-up, and the team ends up with seven running backs, two Cardinals by accident, and a tight end room the guys openly call their weakest position. What You'll Learn: • What Stefan Diggs to Washington does to Terry McLaurin, Jayden Daniels and the late-round tight end crowd • Why the back half of round one has become RB-RB no matter which site you draft on • Rashee Rice, touchdown regression, and the red zone numbers behind the call • David Montgomery and the prototypical dead zone running back profile • The Colston Loveland bet, and what the team would have looked like if Brock Bowers fell one more spot • The full roster recap, and Malik Nabers' fantasy playoff schedule Chapters: 0:00 Cold open 0:18 Weekly live drafts through August 1:27 The Fantasy Draft Kit 2:24 Breaking: Stefan Diggs signs with Washington 2:59 What it means for McLaurin, Daniels and Okonkwo 5:41 Deebo Samuel back in a familiar system 7:21 The draft begins, on the clock at pick 2 10:02 Why the back half of round 1 turned into RB-RB 12:10 Rashee Rice and touchdown regression 14:20 David Montgomery and the dead zone profile 18:01 Marvin Harrison Jr. and the receiver run 21:53 Xavier Worthy, Jordan Addison and the WR3 tier 26:13 Deebo over Dobbs, and hunting a second QB 28:18 C.J. Stroud and the second tight end problem 31:28 Round 15: pounding running backs 36:17 Cyrus Allen, Jerry Jeudy and the fun picks 41:08 The full roster recap 44:29 Nabers' fantasy playoff schedule 45:30 Wrap-up and BUNDLE20 New live draft every Friday through August and into the first week of September. Watch the picks happen on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootball?sub_confirmation=1 More Resources: Fantasy Football Draft Kit and the full fantasy bundle: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/ Follow Us Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  4. 6 Aug

    2026 QB Tiers: Every NFL Starting Quarterback, Ranked

    Warren Sharp ranks every NFL starting quarterback into tiers for 2026, covering all 32 teams, NFL QB rankings, quarterback tiers, betting futures and fantasy football draft value. Get the 2026 Football Preview Book, 619 full color pages on all 32 teams. Use code SHARPQB to save $10 on the PDF: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/ Training camps are open, so Warren Sharp puts every starting quarterback in the NFL on one board and sorts them into five tiers, from "we can win the Super Bowl because of you" down to "we need to replace you." This is not a career ranking. It is a 2026 ranking: the quarterback, the coaching staff, and the talent around him, judged for this season only. Warren goes team by team from Arizona to Washington with the numbers behind every call. Some of the placements that will start arguments: Lamar Jackson and Josh Allen land in different tiers, Justin Herbert sits in tier three, Bryce Young is placed below Jacoby Brissett, Sam Darnold does not crack tier two, and Bo Nix does. What You'll Learn: • Why "win playoff games because of you" and "win playoff games in spite of you" are two different tiers • Why Jacoby Brissett is better than the league thinks, above average across the board among 45 qualifying quarterbacks • The Justin Herbert verdict: elite talent, tier three placement, and what has to change • Drake Maye vs Jayden Daniels, and how roster building rather than talent separated the same draft class • The full tier board at the end, including where Kirk Cousins and Shedeur Sanders shake out Chapters: 0:00 The five QB tiers, explained 0:26 The 2026 Football Preview Book 1:19 How the tiers work 2:33 Jacoby Brissett 3:16 Tua Tagovailoa & Michael Penix Jr. 4:15 Lamar Jackson 6:28 Josh Allen 7:32 Bryce Young 10:09 Caleb Williams 11:36 Joe Burrow 12:35 Shedeur Sanders / Deshaun Watson 13:47 Dak Prescott 14:58 Bo Nix 16:29 Jared Goff 17:39 Jordan Love 18:27 C.J. Stroud 19:57 Daniel Jones 20:47 Trevor Lawrence 21:45 Patrick Mahomes 22:56 NFL Futures package 23:32 Justin Herbert 25:28 Fernando Mendoza 25:53 Matthew Stafford 27:16 Malik Willis 28:13 Aaron Rodgers 28:48 Kyler Murray 29:27 Drake Maye 31:48 Tyler Shough 32:34 Jaxson Dart 33:02 Geno Smith 33:19 Jalen Hurts 34:23 Brock Purdy 35:06 Sam Darnold 36:03 Baker Mayfield 36:28 Cam Ward 36:48 Jayden Daniels 38:20 The final tier board and wrap-up For more NFL rankings, betting analysis and data-driven football coverage, subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootball?sub_confirmation=1 NFL Futures package, 18+ recommendations. Use code FUTURES50 for 50% off: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/futures-package/ More Resources: Fantasy Football Draft Kit: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/ 2026 NFL Preview Book: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/ Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  5. 7 Jul

    The 1 Fix the Chiefs, Broncos, Texans & Giants Need in 2026

    The Kansas City Chiefs, Denver Broncos, Houston Texans & New York Giants each must make one key change in 2026 to improve their Super Bowl odds.  Full offseason breakdown with betting & fantasy angles. Warren Sharp and Ray Summerlin break down the single most important fix for all four teams — straight from the 2026 Football Preview.  Bet smarter with Novig — $5 gets you $50 in Novig coins with code SHARP50: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/  Get the 2026 Football Preview (619 pages, all 32 teams) — code SHARP10 for 10% off: https://www.sharpfootballanalysis.com/warren-sharp-book-nfl-football-preview/  WHAT YOU'LL LEARN  • Why the Chiefs fell from No. 1 to 28th in first-quarter scoring — and how Kenneth Walker's explosiveness (32 runs of 20+ yards vs. 17 by ALL Chiefs RBs since 2022) fixes their slow starts as Patrick Mahomes returns from injury  • The play-calling tell that made Denver's offense predictable (79% pass from shotgun, 29% under center) and what new play caller Davis Webb changes after an 11-2 record in one-score games  • How Houston's rebuilt offensive line and David Montgomery unlock Nick Caley's man-blocking scheme — and why C.J. Stroud's red zone numbers, not his overall play, held the Texans back  • Jaxson Dart's historic rookie rushing (3rd-best EPA since 2000) vs. 35th-ranked passing — and why Giants expectations under the new staff need caution  Follow the podcast and Subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube for NFL betting breakdowns, fantasy football strategy, schedule analysis, team previews and data-driven football insight all season long: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Raymond Summerlin: https://x.com/RMSummerlin Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    The 1 Fix the Chiefs, Broncos, Texans & Giants Need in 2026

  6. 23 Jun

    Why the 2026 NFL Season Is More Wide Open Than Ever

    2026 NFL Preview Book is live with 619 pages of football betting edges, fantasy football rankings, NFL win totals, team previews, schedule analysis and futures market insight.  Get the 2026 Football Preview: https://sharp.football  The 2026 NFL season starts now. The new Sharp Football Preview is here with 619 pages built to get you smarter before the market catches up. This episode breaks down what is inside the book, why this NFL season looks more wide open than usual, and how coaching changes, schedule edges, win totals, fantasy football trends and futures markets create opportunity before Week 1.  What You’ll Learn:  • What is inside the 2026 Football Preview  • Why this year’s book is the biggest one yet  • How Sharp Football attacks all 32 NFL team previews  • Why the 2026 NFL season has more uncertainty than usual  • How coaching changes can create betting and fantasy edges  • Why schedule analysis, rest edges and team context matter • How to enter the printed book giveaway • Why this book helps with futures, fantasy football, best ball and in-season betting  This episode is brought to you by Novig. Spend $5, get $50 in Novig Coins with code SHARP50: https://novig.onelink.me/JHQQ/65opklku  Follow the podcast and Subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube for NFL betting breakdowns, fantasy football strategy, schedule analysis, team previews and data-driven football insight all season long: https://www.youtube.com/@SharpFootballAnalysis?sub_confirmation=1 Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Raymond Summerlin: https://x.com/RMSummerlin Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    Why the 2026 NFL Season Is More Wide Open Than Ever

  7. 18 May

    2026 NFL Schedule Winners and Losers: Who Got Helped?

    NFL rest edges could shape the 2026 season as Warren Sharp identifies major schedule advantages for teams like the Bears and Bills while the Chargers face one of the toughest rest disadvantages in years.  Get the 2026 Sharp Football Preview: https://www.sharp.football Use code SCHEDULE for 15% off. The 2026 NFL schedule is not only about who teams play. It is about when they play them. This full breakdown explains how rest advantages, short-week road games, mini-byes, bye-week timing, and schedule sequencing can impact betting markets, win totals, futures, playoff races, and team expectations.  Warren Sharp and Ray Summerlin break down the biggest 2026 NFL schedule winners and losers, including the Bears’ major rest edge, the Chargers’ brutal disadvantage, and why the Bills’ schedule is more complicated than it looks.  What You’ll Learn  • Why 110 games feature a rest advantage in 2026  • Why 69 games include at least a 3-day rest edge  • Which teams gained the biggest schedule edge • Why the Bears may have the NFL’s best rest setup  • Why the Chargers face a historic disadvantage  • How the Bills benefit in key AFC matchups despite some tough spots  • Why short-week road games matter against the spread  • How rest edges can impact NFL futures, betting markets, and win totals Follow Us Warren Sharp: https://x.com/SharpFootball Raymond Summerlin: https://x.com/RMSummerlin Sharp Football Analysis: https://x.com/SharpFBAnalysis Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/sharpfbanalysis/ TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@sharpfbanalysis Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  8. 30 Apr

    2026 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: Love Is Clear, Who’s 1.02?

    2026 dynasty rookie mock draft strategy starts with Jeremiyah Love as the clear 1.01, but the real debate begins at 1.02 with Fernando Mendoza, Carnell Tate, Jordyn Tyson, and more.  Get the Sharp Fantasy Footall bundle and use code ROOKIE for $10 off: https://sharp.football Jeremiyah Love is the obvious top pick in 2026 dynasty rookie drafts, but what happens after 1.01?  Raymond Summerlin and Rich Hribar run through a full first-round dynasty rookie mock draft after the 2026 NFL Draft, breaking down Superflex strategy, rookie WR tiers, trade value, landing spots, and which picks could become traps.  The biggest decision point comes immediately after Love. Should dynasty managers force Fernando Mendoza in Superflex? Should Carnell Tate or Jordyn Tyson be the top wide receiver? Where do KC Concepcion, Makai Lemon, Jadarian Price, Kenyon Sadiq, Denzel Boston, Omar Cooper, Eli Stowers, Antonio Williams, Chris Bell, Zachariah Branch, Jacoby Lane, Kaytron Allen, Jonah Coleman, and Nicholas Singleton belong in rookie drafts?  What You’ll Learn  • Why Jeremiah Love is the clear 1.01 in dynasty rookie drafts  • How to value Fernando Mendoza in Superflex formats • Whether Carnell Tate or Jordyn Tyson should be WR1  • Where KC Concepcion and Makai Lemon fit in rookie rankings  • Why Jadarian Price could be a risky Round 1 rookie pick  • How to approach weak rookie draft tiers after the top names  • Which tight ends matter most in TE premium formats  • Which late-round RBs and WRs are worth targeting  Follow the Podcast and Subscribe to Sharp Football Analysis on YouTube for dynasty rookie rankings, fantasy football strategy, NFL Draft analysis, betting insights, and weekly football breakdowns.  Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

    2026 Dynasty Rookie Mock Draft: Love Is Clear, Who’s 1.02?
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About

Warren Sharp is joined by his NFL & College Football Analysts to pore through the data and bring you the smartest people in the sport to find edges to exploit and advantages to make better bets and win fantasy football leagues & contests! Featuring insights, projections and commentary from Warren Sharp, Rich Hribar, Ray Summerlin, Ryan McCrystal and the Sharp Football team!

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