Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
  • 0.0 (0)
  • Investing
  • Every two weeks

Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

  1. The AI Chip Bubble: Why South Korea & Taiwan Are In the Danger Zone | Michael Fritzell | Asian Century Stocks

    6 hr ago

    The AI Chip Bubble: Why South Korea & Taiwan Are In the Danger Zone | Michael Fritzell | Asian Century Stocks

    In this episode of Other People’s Money, host Max Wiethe sits down with Michael Fritzell, author of Asian Century Stocks, to break down the massive valuation divergence playing out across Asian equity markets. Michael explains why he believes the skyrocketing AI and memory chip sectors in South Korea and Taiwan have entered dangerous bubble territory, fueled by unsustainable profit estimates that ignore looming Chinese supply. Instead of chasing the tech hype, he highlights the massive upside hidden in overlooked South Korean small caps and Japanese growth stocks that are trading at single-digit multiples despite solid fundamentals. Tune in to discover how corporate governance reforms, insider buying trends, and a forming "New Cold War" are creating the ultimate stock-picker's market. Read Asian Century Stocks: https://www.asiancenturystocks.com/ Follow Michael on X: https://x.com/MikeFritzell Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Korea Chip Bubble Warning 00:42 Why Asia Diverges Now 02:26 AI Mania Hits Korea 04:37 Bubble Case for Memory 06:40 China Supply Response 09:18 Memory Versus Logic Chips 11:33 Speculation on the Ground 13:41 Western Investors Pile In 15:44 Japan Reforms and Yen Boom 18:26 Korea Governance Fixes 24:20 Korea Small Cap Hunting 25:45 K Beauty and Cultural Exports 30:52 Finding Ideas Before The US 31:57 Nintendo Versus Memory Costs 33:19 Nintendo Release Drought 35:36 Switch 2 Execution Questions 37:39 Family Console vs Roblox 38:25 Iran War Energy Shock 41:50 India & China Underperformance 45:17 China Crackdowns Risk 50:42 The China Gray Zone Trade 54:25 New Cold War Lines 56:54 Hunting Value Across Asia 01:02:19 Reforms and Value Programs 01:04:06 How Much to Allocate to Asia 01:07:41 Where to Follow Michael

    1hr 8min
  2. Overvaluation Meets Macro Risk: Why This Massive Asset Manager is Getting Bearish | Jim Masturzo | Research Affiliates

    6 days ago

    Overvaluation Meets Macro Risk: Why This Massive Asset Manager is Getting Bearish | Jim Masturzo | Research Affiliates

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack Farley sits down with Jim Masturzo, Chief Investment Officer at Research Affiliates, to discuss the changing macroeconomic landscape and the underlying flaws of the traditional 60/40 portfolio. Masturzo explains that the recent positive correlation between stocks and bonds requires investors to find true diversifiers, though he still sees tactical opportunities in trading range-bound bond yields. The conversation explores the AI-driven market narrative, with Masturzo highlighting that the U.S. market is significantly overvalued at a CAPE ratio of 40 and examining the resulting ripple effects on software stock valuations. Finally, he details his bullish conviction trade on commodities amidst severe geopolitical supply chain risks and introduces his firm's new fundamentally weighted RAFI Growth Index. Follow Research Affiliates on X: https://x.com/RA_Insights Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Market Overvaluation Setup 00:53 Meet Jim Masturzo 01:23 60 40 Under Pressure 02:50 Finding True Diversifiers 06:24 Why Yields Stay Bounded 11:29 Government Backstops And YCC 14:09 Fed Balance Sheet Fears 17:28 Sponsor Break HFGM 19:44 Range Intact Tactical View 25:26 Private Credit Shift Risks 28:36 Stocks Rally And AI Narrative 33:31 CAPE Valuations Explained 36:19 Earnings Growth Skepticism 39:00 AI Adoption Reality Check 45:53 AI Investing Limits 49:26 Why Earnings Forecasts Fail 54:18 SaaSpocalypse and Risk Framework 01:02:37 Valuation Multiples and GAAP Focus 01:06:44 Conviction Trades Commodities and Bonds 01:14:38 Research Affiliates and RAFI Indices 01:16:21 Fundamental Growth Index Explained

    1hr 19min
  3. How This Real Estate Investor is Betting on an AI Boom (It’s Not Data Centers) | Tom Shapiro

    26 May

    How This Real Estate Investor is Betting on an AI Boom (It’s Not Data Centers) | Tom Shapiro

    Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://fundrise.com/mm In this episode of Other People's Money, GTIS Partners founder and CIO Tom Shapiro breaks down how massive macroeconomic shifts, including AI and inflation, are reshaping the global real estate landscape. He explains why his firm is heavily betting on a San Francisco recovery driven by the booming AI sector, and how they are scooping up properties at steep discounts to replacement costs. Shapiro also details the severe oversupply challenges currently stalling popular Sun Belt cities, alongside the firm's strategic push into industrial logistics to capitalize on domestic reshoring trends. Finally, he shares decades of expertise on navigating the complex Brazilian real estate market, offering a masterclass on global investment strategies in a high-interest-rate environment. Learn more about GTIS Partners: https://www.gtispartners.com/ Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:30 Macro Shocks and Inflation 02:30 AI Disruption Risks 04:27 Tracking Jobs and Households 06:09 Immigration and Rate Politics 08:03 Build to Rent Bill Fallout 11:57 Affordability and Mortgage Rates 14:41 Fundrise Income Fund 16:36 Regional Winners and Losers 17:12 Sun Belt Oversupply Pain 19:57 San Francisco Comeback Thesis 24:35 AI Occupancy and Investment Plays 28:28 Picking Buildings Block by Block 30:02 Picking the Right Building 30:21 Safety and City Recovery 33:39 AI Jobs and Office Demand 35:17 Froth and Real Revenues 37:39 Data Centers NIMBY Debate 39:54 Reshoring and Warehouse Boom 44:09 Real Estate Capital Markets 49:07 Why Brazil Worked 52:46 Brazil Rates and Currency 55:15 Politics and China Pull 58:44 US Outlook and Wrap Up

    1 hr
  4. Things Are Going to Get Even Crazier: The Macro Regime Shift | Andreas Steno Larsen

    25 May

    Things Are Going to Get Even Crazier: The Macro Regime Shift | Andreas Steno Larsen

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm Andreas Steno Larsen, macro researcher from Real Vision, joins Max Wiethe on Other People’s Money to discuss the shifting macro regime where inflation has returned and is pushing US Treasury yields over 5%. They discuss the market’s expectation for interest rate hikes and how the new Fed chair Kevin Warsh will react to this environment. They also discuss the other dominant force in markets right now, the AI buildout. Steno Larsen argues that things are going to get crazier before the cycle turns later this year, but in the meantime the shortages in the AI supply chain are creating unappreciated winners in the technology sector. Follow Andreas Steno Larsen on X: https://x.com/AndreasSteno Follow Max on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Other People’s Money on: Apple Podcast https://bit.ly/4e7QJ1M Spotify https://bit.ly/3Yhaazi YouTube https://bit.ly/3C63VXR X https://x.com/opmpod Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:50 Inflation and the Big Macro Shift 01:43 Transitory Inflation Debate 04:19 Bond Trade Timing 06:13 Steep Curve Playbook 09:41 Why Steepening Helps 12:24 Strong Dollar EM Risk 14:35 HFGM Unlimited Funds 16:51 India Data Versus Rupee 18:24 Energy Supply Countdown 21:23 LatAm Underperformance 23:27 AI Inflation Link 26:52 Korea Semis Surge 28:26 Momentum with Earnings 30:39 Quantum Hype Warning 32:24 Semis Cycle Peak Question 34:47 Late Cycle Winners Flip 39:01 IPO Supply and Rotation 43:35 Valuation Metrics Reframed 46:11 Hidden Scarcity Trade 49:21 Goods Inflation Returns 51:15 AI Jobs and Robotics 54:07 White Collar Disruption Map 59:53 LLMs and Bad Facts 01:04:47 Momentum vs. Value Edge 01:06:15 Rapid Fire Outlook and Wrap

    1hr 9min
  5. What Doomer Narratives Miss About Private Credit | John Cocke of Corbin Capital

    24 May

    What Doomer Narratives Miss About Private Credit | John Cocke of Corbin Capital

    John Cocke, Deputy Chief Investment Officer at Corbin Capital, joins Jack to discuss the world of private credit. With so much discussion over the asset class, John provides some much-needed context. While there are some areas of concern, John rejects the doomer narratives commonly seen on social media and sees opportunity on the horizon. Jack and John also discuss data center financing and the important, yet often missed, details of the private credit space. Recorded on May 15th, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow John Cocke on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/john-cocke-8319295/   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez   Check Out Jack & Max on the MTS Livestream: https://x.com/MTSlive

    1hr 13min
  6. A Basel III Deep Dive | What to Know About How It Will Transform Banking Globally

    17 May

    A Basel III Deep Dive | What to Know About How It Will Transform Banking Globally

    Chen Xu, counsel at Debevoise & Plimpton, joins Jack to discuss the Basel III framework and endgame. The Basel III framework is extremely important to the future of banking and credit. Few people are as qualified to explain this complex agreement more than Chen Xu. Chen explains what Basel III is and how it will affect many different areas of the financial world. Recorded on May 1st, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96 Follow Chen Xu on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/chen-xu-a483b75/ Read Chen’s Publications https://www.debevoise.com/chenxu/?tab=insightsandpublications   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez   Check Out Jack & Max on the MTS Livestream: https://x.com/MTSlive

    1hr 17min
  7. Why Andy Constan Says The AI Bubble is in Earnings, Not Price

    16 May

    Why Andy Constan Says The AI Bubble is in Earnings, Not Price

    Learn More About Unlimited HFGM Global Macro ETF $HFGM: https://unlimitedetfs.com/hfgm Monetary Matters is now streaming daily as part of Monitoring the Situation. Join us live on X and YouTube from 4 to 5 PM ET Monday through Friday @mtsituation for live interviews and analysis breaking down the market’s most important situations. This is recording of a recent live interview from MTS. Veteran macro trader Andy Constan joins Monetary Matters live on Monitoring the Situation to discuss why he has 100% confidence that AI stocks are in a bubble. The nuance though is that unlike most bubbles, where the bubble is in unsustainable prices with no earnings, this is a bubble in unsustainable earnings that will eventually fall and make the current somewhat reasonable prices look lofty in hindsight. Constan highlights metrics like the $400 billion in S&P 500 earnings expectations and the over 60% of that is supposed to accrue to AI winners, and argues that based on projected GDP growth that their simply “isn’t enough pie for all of the S&P 500 to eat” without it coming other very important areas of the economy. Follow Andy Constan on X: https://x.com/dampedspring Follow Jack Farley on X: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Max Wiethe on X: https://x.com/maxwiethe Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Earnings Bubble Thesis 01:22 Defining a Bubble Regime 04:02 Past Bubbles and Patterns 07:57 Why PE Looks Normal 08:57 GDP Pie Math Reality 13:06 Unlimited ETFs HFGM 15:23 AI ROI and Inflation Risks 18:34 Three Cohorts Funding Compute 23:36 What a Real Pop Looks Like 28:22 Timing and Investor Discipline 30:27 Trading It Collars Not Shorts 33:13 Closing and Sign Off

    33 min

  8. 15 May

    “You Don’t Sell Blow-offs” | Andrew Perry on Bullish Technicals of U.S. Stock Market, “Dangerous” Period for Global Equities, and Bull Case for Agricultural Commodities

    Sponsor: Teucrium Corn Fund (NYSE Arca: CORN): https://teucrium.com/corn In this episode of Monetary Matters, host Jack sits down with veteran macro investor Andrew Perry of Macro Pillars. Perry provides a bullish technical outlook for US stocks, offering specific targets for the S&P 500 while warning against shorting the current momentum on a nominal basis. The discussion explores strategic pair trades, specifically being long US equities while shorting energy-dependent nations like Australia and Germany. Perry also explains the macro drivers behind his long positions in agricultural commodities—including corn, wheat, and soybeans—driven by fertilizer stress and geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz. Listeners will gain deep insights into why the MOVE index and US Treasury Quarterly Refunding Announcements (QRA) are more critical indicators of market liquidity than the traditional VIX. Finally, Perry details the specific yield curve shifts, moving from bear to bull steepeners, that will signal the next major recessionary trade. Recorded May 11, 2026. This episode is sponsored by the Teucrium Corn Fund (CORN). Download our free eBook, "Why Investors Are  Increasingly Turning to Commodity ETFs," to explore the macro forces shaping commodity markets today.  Download the eBook: insights.teucrium.com/why-investors-turning-to-commodity-etfs  CORN Fund Page & Prospectus: www.teucrium.com/corn  This material must be preceded or accompanied by a prospectus. The prospectus is available at  https://teucrium.com/corn. Investing involves risk, including the possible loss of principal. Commodities and futures generally are volatile, and  instruments whose underlying investments include commodities and futures are not suitable for all investors. Past  performance does not guarantee future results.  For further discussion of these and additional risks associated with an investment in the Funds please read the  respective Fund Prospectus before investing.  CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT are commodity pools regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading  Commission (CFTC). The Funds do not track the spot price of corn, sugar, soybeans or wheat. These Funds,  which are ETPs, are not a mutual fund or any other type of Investment Company within the meaning of the  Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and are not subject to regulation thereunder. Teucrium Trading,  LLC is the Sponsor for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT.  PINE Distributors LLC is the Marketing Agent for CORN, CANE, SOYB, and WEAT and is not affiliated with  Teucrium Investment Advisors, LLC and Teucrium Trading, LLC.  Sources  • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports.  • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary.  • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date).  Marketing Agent: PINE Distributors LLC.  5324752  Sourcing Index  • Fertilizer trade through Strait of Hormuz: International Fertilizer Association (IFA), Global Fertilizer Trade Data; USDA  ERS, Fertilizer Use and Price reports.  • Corn as heaviest nitrogen user: USDA Economic Research Service, Fertilizer Use and Price (most recent edition). • Input cost / margin impact and acreage-switching scenarios: Framing is conditional and analytical; not presented as  projections. Consistent with FINRA 2210(d)(1) standards for educational market commentary.  • Fund structure: Teucrium Corn Fund Prospectus (most recent effective date).

    59 min
See All (266)

Hosts & Guests

About

Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

Information

  • Creator
    Jack Farley
  • Years Active
    2024 - 2026
  • Episodes
    266
  • Rating
    Explicit

You Might Also Like