Bulls vs. Bears

MPC Markets

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INVESTING
UPDATED WEEKLY

"Bulls vs Bears" is the essential weekly podcast from MPC Markets, offering an expert breakdown of the latest trends, insights, and analyses from our MPC Weekend Edition. Each episode, we delve into the dynamic world of stocks, commodities, and global markets, bringing you a comprehensive perspective on the pressing issues shaping the investment landscape.

2 DAYS AGO

EP107: Markets on Edge as US Surrounds Iran

In this week's episode, the MPC Markets team discusses a quiet but eventful market week overshadowed by escalating US military positioning around Iran, a rebound in select Australian stocks (notably Telix up 14%), signs of sector rotation in the US (Russell 2000 strength), ongoing SaaS sector pressure from AI disruption, and a deep dive into which software companies may survive or thrive long-term. They also cover strong performances in gold miners, banks, and resources on the ASX, while expressing serious concern about potential conflict with Iran over the weekend. Key Takeaways • Geopolitical tension spikes — Significant US naval buildup (multiple carrier groups, destroyers) near Iran has markets on edge; the informal “Pizza Index” (DoCon level) remains low but shows early unusual activity around the Pentagon. • Telix (TLX) surges 14% — Strong CEO interview, recent approvals in China & Europe, multiple Phase 3 trials underway, high short interest (~12%), and analyst targets pointing toward $22+ provide relief and momentum. • Australian market resilience — Banks (NAB, CBA), major miners (BHP, Rio), and Newmont outperformed despite a subdued week; ASX touched intraday record highs driven by resources and financials. • SaaS sector under pressure (“SaaSpocalypse”) — AI threatens seat-based models with low moats (e.g. HubSpot seen as heavily at risk); companies with deep data moats, high-stakes accuracy needs (medical, government, compliance), sticky contracts, or large distribution scale fare better. • AI heat-map highlights survivors — Top-rated names include cybersecurity firms, medical/research platforms (e.g. Viva), logistics-heavy players like WiseTech, and roll-up acquirers like Constellation Software; Salesforce and Xero viewed as more vulnerable. • Gold remains steady near US$5,000/oz → Miners are highly profitable at current levels despite a stronger USD and absent Chinese buying during New Year. • Crude oil nears US$65/bbl amid Middle East risks; potential weekend developments could drive volatility in energy and broader risk assets. • Upcoming catalysts — Nvidia & Salesforce earnings, Australian CPI + RBA’s Michelle Bullock speech, multiple Fed speakers, and PCE data could move markets significantly; bearish technicals on US indices add caution short-term.

44 min
13 FEB

EP106: Tsunami of Software Selling

This week, Kai Chen and Jonathan unpack the “SaaSpocalypse” — the sharp sell-off in global software and SaaS stocks as AI disruption fears collide with volatile markets. They cover surging Australian bank earnings, record equity index levels, and why Asia (especially Japan) is emerging as a relative bright spot. The discussion dives deep into whether AI is truly “eating software,” the overlooked value of data, distribution, and moats, and how algorithm-driven narratives may be amplifying fear. Plus, insights on commodities, gold’s resilience, AI hallucinations, and whether beaten-down quality tech names now present a long-term opportunity.

36 min
6 FEB

EP104: AI Stocks Savaged by....AI Stocks

Bulls vs Bears episode 105 breaks down how AI hype and Anthropic's latest statements have flipped the market narrative on tech and AI leaders, triggering a sharp rotation out of the Mag 7 into defensives, value, and non‑US markets, alongside extreme volatility in metals, crypto, and key indices. Key takeaways AI stocks sold off despite strong earnings – The Mag 7 mostly beat expectations but the market used good news as an exit opportunity, showing sentiment has shifted from bullish to "sell into strength." CapEx shock and Anthropic fears – Massive AI spending announcements and Anthropic's claim that software engineers could disappear in 6–12 months spooked investors and drove the AI sector selloff. Big rotation away from US tech – Money is moving from US tech into value stocks, emerging markets, and defensives like Costco, Walmart, and Berkshire Hathaway. Historic silver crash – Silver dropped ~40% in a week, the biggest move since 1921, while gold, platinum, and Bitcoin also saw extreme declines suggesting forced selling. NASDAQ flashing rare warning signals – Weekly technical indicators hit "sell" for the first time since early 2023, raising risk of a 25% correction from highs. Team shifting to risk-off mode – Moving clients toward 40–50% cash, taking profits in miners, and only buying Aussie tech in small increments via dollar-cost averaging.

52 min
30 JAN

EP103: Jampacked January

In this episode of Bulls vs Bears, Mark and Jonathan discuss the unprecedented volatility in the markets during January, highlighting significant events such as three Six Sigma occurrences in major assets like gold and silver. They explore the shifting strategies in precious metals and mining stocks, the divergence in tech stocks, and the anticipation surrounding the upcoming earnings season. The conversation also touches on geopolitical tensions and their impact on market sentiment, concluding with a cautious outlook for the future amidst ongoing volatility. Takeaways • January has seen unprecedented market volatility with significant price movements. • Three Six Sigma events occurred in major assets this month, indicating extreme market conditions. • The volatility in precious metals is leading to strategic shifts in investment approaches. • Tech stocks are experiencing a divergence in performance compared to the US market. • Earnings season is approaching, with expectations for mixed results across sectors. • Geopolitical tensions are influencing market sentiment and trading strategies. • Investors are advised to remain cautious amidst the current volatility. • Cash positions are becoming increasingly important in uncertain markets. • The market's ability to shift sentiment quickly is notable, with both bullish and bearish trends. • January 2023 is one for the record books, with rapid changes in market dynamics.

45 min
23 JAN

EP102: Tired of Trumps TACO

In this episode, the hosts discuss the current state of the markets, heavily influenced by Trump's actions and statements. They explore the volatility in the market, particularly in the tech sector and precious metals, and share investment strategies that capitalize on these trends. The conversation also touches on upcoming earnings reports and economic indicators that could impact market performance, leading to cautious predictions for the future. takeaways • Market volatility is influenced by political events, particularly Trump's actions. • Investment strategies should adapt to market conditions, especially in precious metals. • The tech sector is experiencing significant fluctuations, often unrelated to fundamentals. • Earnings reports are crucial for understanding market trends and potential shifts. • Caution is advised in the current market environment due to high valuations and economic uncertainty. • Investors can leverage capital efficiently to maximize exposure while minimizing risk. • Precious metals are seen as a safe haven during times of uncertainty. • The importance of keeping track of economic indicators and their potential impact on markets. • Market predictions are challenging due to the rapid pace of news and events. • Investors should remain flexible and ready to adapt their strategies as conditions change.

30 min
18 JAN

EP101: Greenland for Sale?

In this episode of Bulls vs Bears, the hosts discuss a range of topics, starting with President Trump's interest in acquiring Greenland and the implications of such a move. They delve into the geopolitical significance of Greenland, particularly in relation to military strategy and resource control, highlighting the potential impact on NATO and European defense. The conversation shifts to the current state of financial markets, with insights on the performance of various sectors, including technology and commodities, and the influence of central bank policies on market dynamics. The hosts also analyze recent economic data, including retail sales, and speculate on future market trends amidst ongoing geopolitical tensions. Takeaways • Trump's interest in Greenland is driven by military and resource considerations. • The deglobalization trend is reshaping supply chains and commodity markets. • Recent retail sales data indicates strong consumer spending in the US. • The tech sector is experiencing volatility, with some stocks trading at significant discounts. • Geopolitical tensions are influencing market sentiment and investment strategies.

37 min
9 JAN

EP100: Trump Strikes in Venezula...Where Next?

In this episode, the hosts cover a wide scope of market themes ranging from geopolitics and commodities to sector-level equities and forward-looking macro drivers. Discussion begins with geopolitical flashpoints such as Trump-era tensions, Venezuela’s transition risks, and Greenland’s strategic minerals, before shifting to equity markets where defence, AI infrastructure and resources stand out as structural beneficiaries. Analysts break down ASX heavyweights across healthcare, tech, infrastructure and banks, highlighting valuation dispersion, earnings resilience and dividend appeal. The conversation also ties in MPC’s 2026 Market Outlook, outlining how AI capex, tariffs, higher-for-longer rates and a persistent geopolitical risk premium will shape volatility and opportunity. Lastly, metals and energy markets are dissected — from record gold and silver to copper strength and lithium momentum — with a focus on how electrification, defence spending and supply constraints feed into pricing. Key Takeaways Geopolitics is now a core return driver — Venezuela, tariffs and defence realignments are shaping risk premia rather than short-term noise.Defence, energy and mining equities are gaining traction, with stocks like DroneShield benefitting from rising US military spending signals.2026 will be fragmented but investable, with AI-driven capex supporting growth despite higher-for-longer rates and tariff friction.AI, data-centres and power generation are multi-year themes, driving commodities such as uranium, copper and lithium.Gold & Silver remain strong trades amid safe-haven demand and rate uncertainty, with both printing fresh highs.

44 min
19/12/2025

EP99: Central bank divergence & “choose your own” Economic Data

In this episode, the hosts discuss the current state of the markets, focusing on central bank policies, economic data, and sector performances. They delve into the implications of AI and quantum computing, the gold and silver markets, and provide predictions for 2026. The conversation highlights the divergence in central bank strategies and the potential for stagflation, while also addressing inflation data and its impact on market sentiment. The episode concludes with reflections on the year and expectations for the future.takeawaysThe market is experiencing central bank divergence, impacting economic data interpretation.AI continues to be a significant investment theme, with quantum computing showing promise.Gold and silver are viewed as strong trades going into 2026 due to ongoing economic uncertainties.Sector performance has varied, with materials and healthcare showing resilience.Inflation data is being questioned for its accuracy and relevance to real economic conditions.Predictions for 2026 include potential stagflation and continued volatility in markets.Investors are advised to be cautious with high-margin stocks and sectors.The importance of understanding credit default swaps in assessing market risk is emphasized.The hosts express optimism about the future of AI and its commercialization.Overall market sentiment remains cautious as investors await clearer economic signals.

35 min

"Bulls vs Bears" is the essential weekly podcast from MPC Markets, offering an expert breakdown of the latest trends, insights, and analyses from our MPC Weekend Edition. Each episode, we delve into the dynamic world of stocks, commodities, and global markets, bringing you a comprehensive perspective on the pressing issues shaping the investment landscape.

Creator

MPC Markets
Years Active

2024 - 2026
Episodes

107
Rating

Clean
Copyright

© MPC Markets
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