Moving Markets

Julius Baer

Moving Markets is the home of podcasts at Julius Baer. Here, our expert teams share concise daily market updates in ‘Moving Markets Daily’ which is complemented by ‘Moving Markets: The View Beyond’, a weekly show dedicated to discussing the context, thematic angles, and investment implications behind key topics shaping the news cycle and conversations among our relationship managers and clients. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.

  1. The View Beyond: From petrodollars to a new world order?

    29 MINS AGO

    The View Beyond: From petrodollars to a new world order?

    The petrodollar system has long been a cornerstone of global finance, underpinning the US dollar’s dominance for decades. But as energy markets shift, and talk of de-dollarisation grows louder, is this system now fading? And what could that mean for the future global order? In this episode of The View Beyond, Jan Bopp is joined by Julius Baer’s currency strategist, David Meier, and Norbert Rücker, Head of Macro and Next Generation Research, to explore the origins and evolution of the petrodollar system, the impact of the US shale oil revolution, and the practical realities of de-dollarisation. The discussion covers the shifting correlation between oil prices and the US dollar, the significance of Saudi Arabia’s move to accept multiple currencies, and why the US dollar’s dominance remains largely unchallenged despite headlines. The episode also examines the scale of non-dollar oil trade, the role of sanctions, and the structural factors underpinning reserve currency status. (00:00) - Introduction (00:53) - What is the petrodollar system and why has it mattered? (02:44) - Geopolitics and the petrodollar narrative (03:40) - Has the petrodollar system ended or evolved? (04:33) - The US shale oil revolution (05:02) - Oil prices and the US dollar (08:00) - Saudi Arabia and the rise of multi-currency oil trade (09:02) - Sanctions and non-dollar oil markets (09:59) - De-dollarisation or diversification - what’s really happening? (11:52) - Why less oil in dollars doesn’t weaken the dollar (13:46) - What could truly challenge the US dollar’s dominance? (15:33) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    17 min
  2. The View Beyond: The AI story behind US equity highs

    16 MAY

    The View Beyond: The AI story behind US equity highs

    Despite geopolitical tensions, US equity markets have reached record highs, with artificial intelligence at the heart of this surge. What is driving these historic moves? How are investors positioning themselves to both capture the opportunities and manage the risks?  In this episode of The View Beyond, Bernadette Anderko is joined by Carsten Menke, Head of Next Generation Research at Julius Baer, and Manuel Villegas, Co-Manager of the Julius Baer Next Generation Equity Fund. They explore the rapid development of AI, the unprecedented growth in data centre infrastructure, and the evolving dynamics of the global value chain. The discussion covers the shift from AI training to inference, the critical role of memory and hardware, bottlenecks in data centre buildout, and the implications of rising capital expenditure by hyperscalers. Their conversation also examines the international nature of the AI value chain, the impact of regulatory and supply constraints, and the outlook for investors as monetisation accelerates across the sector. (00:00) - Introduction (00:56) - AI's impact on the tech landscape (03:56) - Hardware vs. software (05:22) - Capturing the AI infrastructure super cycle (09:01) - Data centre bottlenecks and constraints (10:43) - Inflationary pressures (13:27) - The politics of data centre construction (14:52) - Hyperscaler earnings (18:16) - How AI investments are translating into tangible revenues (19:49) - Performance, positioning, and valuation (20:53) - Winners, sector rotation, and the importance of Asia's supply chain (23:16) - The global nature of the AI value chain (24:22) - Scenarios for cloud computing and AI (24:56) - View on sub sectors for remainder of 2026 (27:11) - Closing remarks and legal disclaimer Would you like to support this show? Please leave us a review and star rating on Apple Podcasts, Spotify or wherever you get your podcasts.

    28 min

About

Moving Markets is the home of podcasts at Julius Baer. Here, our expert teams share concise daily market updates in ‘Moving Markets Daily’ which is complemented by ‘Moving Markets: The View Beyond’, a weekly show dedicated to discussing the context, thematic angles, and investment implications behind key topics shaping the news cycle and conversations among our relationship managers and clients. The information contained in this podcast is marketing material. Opinions expressed do not constitute independent financial/investment research, investment advice, or an offer to buy or sell securities by Julius Baer. Please refer to www.juliusbaer.com/legal/podcasts for important legal information prior to listening to this podcast.

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