Current Account with Clay Lowery

Institute of International Finance
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Each week, Clay Lowery at the Institute of International Finance highlights current issues in international finance and economics through the lens of U.S. policy and politics. Clay and his guests explain what to watch in the coming week, and deep-dive into some of the most important topics facing the financial industry, and our world.

  1. 23 HR AGO

    A Sit and Kick Approach? - Takeaways From the 2026 Spring Meetings

    In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by Isabelle Mateos y Lago, Chief Economist at BNP Paribas, who shares her perspective from conversations across Spring Meetings and brings years of experience at the intersection of economics, geopolitics, and markets. Together, they assess if discussions around growth, inflation, and monetary policy are being overshadowed by events in the Middle East, and whether the apparent calm in financial markets masks deeper risks tied to energy prices and supply disruptions. The conversation then turns squarely to Europe’s economic trajectory - Clay and Isabelle discuss whether recent momentum on competitiveness and growth has been interrupted by higher energy costs and geopolitical uncertainty, and how Europe is balancing mounting funding needs, from defense spending and energy security to sustainability and technological investment, against already tight fiscal conditions. They also explore whether artificial intelligence can play a meaningful role in supporting productivity and growth, or whether political and labor‑market constraints may limit its macro impact. The episode concludes with a discussion of monetary policy, focusing on how central banks, especially the European Central Bank, are navigating a “wait‑and‑see” environment shaped by geopolitical risk, inflation uncertainty, and market expectations. This IIF Podcast was hosted by Clay Lowery, Executive Vice President, Research and Policy, with production and research contributions from Christian Klein, Digital Graphics and Production Associate and Miranda Silverman, Senior Program Assistant.

    24 min

  2. 13 APR

    It Takes a Village - Risk Management in a Time of Crisis

    In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by Jayee Koffey, Chief Global Affairs Officer at BNY, to discuss how firms are balancing global efficiency with mounting pressure to localize, de‑risk, and align more closely with national priorities, particularly in strategic sectors such as energy, technology, and finance. The conversation focuses on how companies are embedding geopolitical awareness into everyday decision‑making, rather than treating it as a one‑off crisis response. Clay and Jayee also examine the growing importance - and vulnerability - of financial plumbing, including payments, settlement systems, and market infrastructure, which are increasingly entangled with sanctions policy, national security concerns, and cross‑border fragmentation. Finally, they turn to the rapid buildout of digital and physical infrastructure, from payments modernization and tokenization to AI‑driven data centers. Jayee offers her perspective on what governments can do to remain attractive destinations for long‑term private capital, and whether firms should be concerned that today’s infrastructure boom could create new financial, political, or social fault lines down the road. This IIF Podcast was hosted by Clay Lowery, Executive Vice President, Research and Policy, with production and research contributions from Christian Klein, Digital Graphics and Production Associate and Miranda Silverman, Senior Program Assistant.

    27 min

  3. 30 MAR

    Let’s Get This Strait: Iran, Oil, and Global Markets

    In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by Helima Croft, Managing Director and Head of Global Commodity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets, to discuss the conflict in Iran and the resulting market implications as the conflict enters its fourth week. With continued attacks on oil and gas infrastructure across the Gulf and the Strait of Hormuz still nearly shut, global markets are confronting the consequences of an energy shock unlike anything seen in decades. Oil remains above $100 a barrel, supply routes are strained, and consumers around the world are feeling the pressure at the pump. To help make sense of the rapidly changing energy picture, they explore why this shock is proving so disruptive, how markets have responded so far, and which regions are most exposed if elevated prices persist. The conversation examines the broader macroeconomic risks: when a tight oil market stops being a short‑term nuisance and begins to bleed into inflation expectations, how long supply disruptions can be sustained before strategic reserves or alternative routes come into play, and what a delayed reopening of the Strait might mean for energy‑importing economies. Clay and Helima also discuss the political dimension, including President Trump’s self‑imposed deadline for a negotiated end to the conflict, and the uncertainty surrounding whether flows through the Strait can ever return to pre‑war levels. This IIF Podcast was hosted by Clay Lowery, Executive Vice President, Research and Policy, with production and research contributions from Christian Klein, Digital Graphics and Production Associate and Miranda Silverman, Senior Program Assistant.

    28 min

  4. 23 MAR

    The Plot Thickens: Broader Implications of the War in Iran

    In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by Richard Fontaine, CEO of the Center for a New American Security, to return to the rapidly evolving conflict in Iran as the fighting enters its third week. What began as a regional confrontation has now produced far‑reaching political and economic consequences, both within Iran and across global markets. Oil remains near $100 per barrel, energy infrastructure in the Gulf has been repeatedly struck, and the killing of another senior Iranian figure has escalated uncertainty around the trajectory of the conflict. Richard provides insight into how Iran’s battlefield setbacks, leadership losses, and retaliatory strikes on Gulf cities are shaping the country’s strategic posture, and how these dynamics are influencing regional partners who once viewed themselves as insulated from direct conflict. The conversation also explores why European countries have declined to join U.S. efforts near the Strait of Hormuz despite their heavy reliance on energy flows through the corridor, and how President Trump’s assertion that the U.S. “doesn’t need help” from NATO is shaping transatlantic tensions. Clay and Richard examine the roles of China and Russia, both of which have publicly expressed support for Iran, and discuss what this alignment reveals about the broader geopolitical relationship among the three countries. The episode concludes with a look at possible scenarios going forward, from prolonged fighting to broader regional spillover, what policymakers should watch as the conflict evolves, and the sentiment within the United States of entering into this conflict. This IIF Podcast was hosted by Clay Lowery, Executive Vice President, Research and Policy, with production and research contributions from Christian Klein, Digital Graphics and Production Associate and Miranda Silverman, Senior Program Assistant.

    28 min

  5. 17 MAR

    The War in Iran - Two Weeks In

    In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by Negar Mortazavi, a Journalist, Political Analyst and Senior Fellow at the Center for International Policy (CIP), for a clear, timely breakdown of the rapidly unfolding conflict in Iran. Less than two weeks after U.S. and Israeli strikes targeted key Iranian government and military sites, retaliatory actions have rippled across the region, impacting energy infrastructure, shipping lanes, and global markets. Negar explains what has transpired since the initial strikes, including the dramatic succession of Mojtaba Khamenei as Iran’s new leader. She discusses the internal political dynamics in Tehran, the likelihood of domestic unrest, and how the Iranian government is framing this moment both internally and regionally. Clay and Negar also examine Iran’s attempts to broaden the conflict geographically and the strategic calculations behind attacks on neighboring countries. The conversation closes with a look ahead: what escalation or de‑escalation could realistically look like, what all of this means for energy markets and geopolitical stability, and what next steps may be in store. This IIF Podcast was hosted by Clay Lowery, Executive Vice President, Research and Policy, with production and research contributions from Christian Klein, Digital Graphics and Production Associate and Miranda Silverman, Senior Program Assistant.

    33 min

  6. 9 MAR

    Can Europe Move From Diagnosis to Delivery?

    In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by Meghan Milloy, the IIF’s Managing Director and Head of Corporate Communications, and Martin Boer, General Manager of the IIF’s Brussels Office and Chief Representative, Europe, to revisit Europe at a moment of mounting complexity - fresh off the IIF’s European Summit in Brussels on March 4-5. Clay reflects on the policy conversations shaping Europe’s agenda; conversations that were already wide‑ranging before a sudden escalation of conflict in the Middle East reshaped the economic backdrop. With crude prices sharply higher and natural gas prices surging, Europe finds itself confronting an immediate energy shock just as it enters the spring with unusually low inventories and reduced access to energy resources. To begin to unpack these developments and the priorities emerging across the continent, Meghan shares insights from her conversations with policymakers and industry leaders at the Summit, highlighting what is top of mind for European stakeholders, from immediate concerns about energy security to the broader challenge of sustaining growth. Martin brings a view from the ground on regulatory simplification efforts, noting that while the topic is gaining attention, meaningful progress remains uneven. He also discusses the rapid rise of defense financing as a central policy priority and how governments, banks, and investors are weighing ways to support defense needs without crowding out other long‑standing commitments. Together, Meghan and Martin reflect on the evolving transatlantic relationship and what recent shifts mean for financial cooperation, especially as Europe and the United States grapple with geopolitical uncertainty, supply chain adjustments, and diverging regulatory pathways. This IIF Podcast was hosted by Clay Lowery, Executive Vice President, Research and Policy, with production and research contributions from Christian Klein, Digital Graphics and Production Associate and Miranda Silverman, Senior Program Assistant.

    31 min

  7. 2 MAR

    When Regulatory Simplification Gets Complicated

    In this episode of Current Account, Clay is joined by Doug Elliott, Partner at Oliver Wyman, and Andrés Portilla, Managing Director of Regulatory Affairs at the IIF, to take a closer look at the growing global debate over regulatory modernization. Fifteen years after the Global Financial Crisis led policymakers to introduce an expansive set of rules designed to reinforce financial stability, many jurisdictions are now questioning whether the existing framework has become overly complex, duplicative, or limiting to growth. Together, Clay, Doug, and Andrés unpack what modernization really means today, whether it is simplification, de‑layering, right‑sizing, or true deregulation, and why the conversation is gaining urgency across markets. Doug lays out the philosophical and practical forces behind modernization efforts globally, while Andrés discusses the findings of the recent IIF Report, "Modernization and Simplification — Revamping the Global Banking Regulatory Framework" - underscoring how overlapping constraints and diverging national interpretations create unnecessary friction for banks operating across borders. The discussion also turns to the ongoing debate over central bank independence, an issue increasingly intertwined with the regulatory modernization agenda. They examine how these debates differ across jurisdictions, how they may influence regulatory decision‑making, and why a credible, independent regulatory framework remains essential for market confidence. In addition, the conversation assesses the role of global standard setters, including the Financial Stability Board and the Basel Committee, in helping ensure consistency as countries revise their approaches at different paces. Clay and his guests discuss why maintaining coherence across borders is critical, even as national politics, growth priorities, and competitive pressures pull policymakers in different directions. This IIF Podcast was hosted by Clay Lowery, Executive Vice President, Research and Policy, with production and research contributions from Christian Klein, Digital Graphics and Production Associate and Miranda Silverman, Senior Program Assistant.

    37 min

  8. 25 FEB

    Emergency Episode - Supreme Court Overturns IEEPA Tariff Authority

    In this emergency episode of Current Account, Clay continues the discussion on tariffs with Chris Padilla from the Brunswick Group after the U.S. Supreme Court on Friday, February 20, ruled that the International Emergency Economic Powers Act (IEEPA) does not provide authority for the president to unilaterally impose tariffs. While much is unknown, the Court made one thing clear: major trade actions require clear legal grounding and a durable policy framework. The episode contains a special web session recorded on Monday, February 23, where Clay is joined by Chris to analyze why the decision is a meaningful marker for markets, trading partners, and corporations and follows up on on Episode 134, where they discuss a variety of United States trade and policy topics including the possible ruling against the use of IEEPA.  The full video session can be found for IIF members here. This IIF Podcast was hosted by Clay Lowery, Executive Vice President, Research and Policy, with production and research contributions from Christian Klein, Digital Graphics and Production Associate and Miranda Silverman, Senior Program Assistant.

    58 min
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Each week, Clay Lowery at the Institute of International Finance highlights current issues in international finance and economics through the lens of U.S. policy and politics. Clay and his guests explain what to watch in the coming week, and deep-dive into some of the most important topics facing the financial industry, and our world.

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