I find it ironic that the two common financial mistakes that people make are (1) not investing i.e., procrastination or (2) doing too much i.e., turning over investments, changing their mind and so on. Of course, not doing anything is an obviously bad thing as nothing comes from nothing. I wrote about this in March. But, sometimes reacting, changing, tinkering, selling, buying and so on can be equally as bad. The truth is that investing requires a lot of patience. The quote below from Warren Buffett’s business partner since 1975, Charlie Munger says it perfectly. Look at those hedge funds - you think they can wait? They don't know how to wait! I have sat for years at a time with $10 to $12 million in treasuries or municipals, just waiting, waiting...As Jesse Livermore said, 'The big money is not in the buying and selling...but in the waiting.' – Charlie Munger When it comes to investing, doing nothing is often sometimes the most intelligent thing to do. Research demonstrates that buying and selling destroys wealth There’s a commonly cited story about global fund manager, Fidelity conducting research into which investment accounts performed the best. It is said that it found that inactive accounts i.e., where the investor forgot that the account existed produced the best returns, on average. A study that included 66,465 investors concluded that portfolio turnover (i.e. buying and selling stocks) is inversely related to returns. That is, higher turnover leads to lower (about 5.5% p.a.) returns, on average. Whilst this study only considered stocks, the same would be true for every other asset class. Three reasons why you need the discipline to be patient If you have the discipline to be patient, you will enjoy much better investment returns for three reasons. (1) Markets move in cycles Most investment markets move in cycles. That is, a period of above-average returns follows a period of below average-returns, as shown in this chart of historic property returns. If you were unlucky and invested at the beginning of a flat growth period, it’s likely that you must hold an asset for a much longer period to generate a return close to the long-term average (i.e., 7-8% p.a.). For example, generally, you must be prepared to hold a property for at least 10 years to enjoy the long-term average return (i.e., 7-8% p.a.). However, if you invest at the beginning of a flat period, you’ll have to hold the property for 15 to 20 years. Returns should be similar in both cases (i.e., 7-8% p.a.). The difference is the distribution of returns over time. Investment-grade apartments are a good example of this – see here. (2) Returns compound Compounding capital growth takes time. As this chart demonstrates, the projected growth (equity) in the first decade of ownership is $580k. But in the third decade is projected to be $2.7 million! That is the power of compounding returns. The two key ingredients are (1) Our most popular free guides: Over the years we've written hundreds of articles. These three bring our best thinking together on the topics that matter most right now: choosing a super fund, debt recycling, and navigating the new tax changes. Download them here My new book, Wealth by Design, is out now: Buy online or in bookstores. The ebook is available now, audiobook coming soon. Got a question for the podcast? Email us at questions@investopoly.com.au Interested in working with our team? Discover how we can work together Subscribe to my weekly blog: Stay connected here Important This podcast provides general information about finance, tax and credit. It doesn't take into account your specific objectives, financial situation or needs, so you need to assess whether it's relevant to your circumstances before acting on it. If you're not sure, speak to a licensed, trustworthy professional.
