The DeFi Report

Michael Nadeau
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Our weekly show is hosted by Michael Nadeau (The DeFi Report) and Ryan Sean Adams (Bankless). Each week, we discuss how we approach managing our own portfolio and the data, research, and analytical frameworks that inform those decisions — for educational and informational purposes.

  1. Bitcoin’s Unfinished Pain & Altcoin Hype or Head Fake?

    há 5 dias

    Bitcoin’s Unfinished Pain & Altcoin Hype or Head Fake?

    Bitcoin is stuck in a quiet range, but the signals are getting louder. Mike and Ryan break down why the mini altcoin rally may be a head fake, what realized losses suggest about Bitcoin’s unfinished pain, why ETF outflows and Saylor’s bond move matter, and the macro risks that could force another leg lower. ----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCEhttps://bankless.cc/Galaxy     ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rss https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt ----TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro3:46 Altcoin Hype or Head Fake?13:06 Measuring Bitcoin Bear Market Pain22:50 ETF Outflows & Whale Selling29:25 Iran, Inflation, & Macro Risks37:35 Bitcoin Levels and Summer Positioning42:55 Closing & Disclaimers ----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

    43 min
  2. Signs of a Cycle Bottom?

    20 de mai.

    Signs of a Cycle Bottom?

    Bitcoin may have already hit its cycle low, but the confirmation signal still hasn’t fired. Mike and Ryan break down the bull case for a $60K bottom, why realized cap and supply in profit matter, what top-buyer cohorts are still signaling, and how inflation, rising yields, and a potential Fed hike could force one more drop. ----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCE https://bankless.cc/Galaxy   ---- 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rss https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt The Watch List: Zcash (ZEC) https://thedefireport.io/research/the-watch-list-zcash-zec ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 4:16 Realized Cap Signals 12:17 Supply Profit Check 14:11 RSI & Cycle Lows 18:01 Coins Still Need Rotation 20:51 Inflation & Yields 31:00 Key Levels & Scenarios 34:17 Altcoin Rotation Watch 36:52 Closing & Disclaimers ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

    38 min
  3. Momentum is slowing as macro risks are rising

    13 de mai.

    Momentum is slowing as macro risks are rising

    Bitcoin just closed above a key bear market resistance level, but Mike still isn’t ready to call a regime shift. Ryan and Mike break down why this rally looks stretched, what $79K, $82.7K, and $85K are signaling, how weak spot volume and rising macro risk could slow momentum, and why June may be the real test for bulls. ----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCE https://bankless.cc/Galaxy   ---- 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.cc/tdr-rss  https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 1:45 Bear Market Symmetry 6:00 Comparing Past Cycles 14:05 Who’s Selling at 80K? 19:23 Weak Market Conditions 23:10 Momentum Starts Fading 27:37 June’s Historical Weakness 29:12 Key Bitcoin Price Levels 32:40 Closing & Disclaimers ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

    34 min
  4. Are we still in a bear market rally?

    6 de mai.

    Are we still in a bear market rally?

    Bitcoin just completed the longest bear market rally of the last two cycles, but under the hood, the data still looks eerily similar to 2022. Mike and Ryan break down the battle between shorts and spot buyers, why $85K may decide the market, what ETF flows and Saylor’s bid are really signaling, and the setup that could trap both bulls and bears. ----📣GALAXY | INSTITUTIONAL DIGITAL FINANCEhttps://bankless.cc/Galaxy ---- 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.cc/rss   https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://thedefireport.io/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 3:03 Market Dynamics and Institutional Influence 5:53 Trader Sentiment & Market Positioning 10:04 Spot Market Analysis 15:10 ETF Flows & Institutional Demand 19:06 Market Structure & Cycle Analysis 21:09 Bitcoin's Correlation & NASDAQ 26:05 Critical Price Zones for Bitcoin 30:12 Mike's Investment Strategy & Market Outlook 33:17 The Marshmallow Test  34:17 Closing & Disclaimers ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

    35 min
  5. Still Patient? Why This Bitcoin Rally May Be on Borrowed Time

    29 de abr.

    Still Patient? Why This Bitcoin Rally May Be on Borrowed Time

    Bitcoin has the “perfect” bull setup, record shorts, aggressive squeezes, and billions in buying, yet it still can’t break $80K. Ryan and Mike unpack why that disconnect matters, from weak spot demand and short-term holder behavior to fading liquidity tailwinds, and what past cycles suggest comes next. They also break down the key level that decides the market, and how to position if this rally is on borrowed time. ----📣GALAXYONE | SOLANA STAKING https://bankless.cc/GalaxyOne     ---- 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.io/friends  https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://thedefireport.io/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 3:57 Bitcoin Market Dynamics 6:51 Short-Term Holder Insights 15:22 Fed Policy Implications 19:31 Liquidity and Economic Outlook 27:44 Crypto Portfolio Strategy 30:09 Navigating Altcoin Markets 38:47 Closing & Disclaimers ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

    41 min
  6. Why This Rally May Be Too Early

    22 de abr.

    Why This Rally May Be Too Early

    Bitcoin is pushing back toward $80K, but the underlying data still looks like a classic bear market setup. Mike and Ryan break down why “hot money” from the 2025 top hasn’t fully rotated yet, how past cycles suggest more downside or time is needed, and why dip buyers may be stepping in too early. They also explain what real bottom formation looks like onchain and why this rally could be more about positioning than a true shift in trend.  ----📣GALAXYONE | SOLANA STAKINGhttps://bankless.cc/GalaxyOne     ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.io/friends https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://thedefireport.io/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt ----TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro1:44 Mike's Evolving Thinking on Altcoins5:12 Analyzing Bitcoin's Cost Basis Data8:11 Understanding Bitcoin's Cohorts10:08 Exploring New & Old Money Patterns14:20 Comparing Cohorts Across Cycles18:09 Key Takeaways from the Cohort Analysis26:33 Portfolio Moves & Strategy Discussion32:07 Closing & Disclaimers ----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

    33 min
  7. The Bottom Is Not In! Why We Get 4-Year Cycles

    15 de abr.

    The Bottom Is Not In! Why We Get 4-Year Cycles

    Bitcoin is up 19% from the February lows, but Mike argues this still looks more like a bear market bounce than a true bottom. He and Ryan break down why weak ETF flows, soft onchain activity, fading risk appetite, and rolling liquidity still do not look like the kind of setup that usually marks a durable low. They also map out the key BTC levels that would force a change in view, and what real capitulation tends to look like when the cycle finally turns. ----📣GALAXYONE | SOLANA STAKING https://bankless.cc/GalaxyOne   ---- 🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBE https://thedefireport.io/friends  https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/ https://thedefireport.io/ https://x.com/the_defi_report https://x.com/JustDeauIt ---- TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro 1:50 Polling Investor Sentiment 4:22 The Four-Year Cycle Explained 13:02 Market Dynamics and Investor Psychology 17:17 Examining Current Liquidity Conditions 27:31 Fiscal Policy and Its Impact 29:07 On-Chain Analysis of Bitcoin 39:10 Understanding Market Trends and Patterns 44:04 Closing & Disclaimers ---- Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

    46 min
  8. Ceasefire Trap? Bulls vs. Bears—Who Wins?

    8 de abr.

    Ceasefire Trap? Bulls vs. Bears—Who Wins?

    Markets ripped on the Iran ceasefire headlines, but Mike says the bigger bearish process may still be unfolding. Mike and David break down why Bitcoin, oil, global liquidity, and the S&P’s 200-day moving average are all flashing mixed signals, and why the real bottom may still require more pain, patience, and weak-hand capitulation. ----📣GALAXYONE | SOLANA STAKINGhttps://bankless.cc/GalaxyOne   ----🎯THE DEFI REPORT | FOLLOW & SUBSCRIBEhttps://thedefireport.io/friends https://thedefireport.transistor.fm/https://thedefireport.io/https://x.com/the_defi_reporthttps://x.com/JustDeauIt ----TIMESTAMPS 0:00 Intro2:56 Market Reactions to Ceasefire6:28 Analyzing the Bull & Bear Cases11:02 The Pessimist's Perspective15:34 Iran's Strategic Position22:37 Understanding the Liquidity Cycle26:58 The Long-Term View on Bitcoin31:34 Short-Term Market Signals36:08 Closing & Disclaimers ----Not financial or tax advice. For educational purposes only.

    37 min
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Sobre

Our weekly show is hosted by Michael Nadeau (The DeFi Report) and Ryan Sean Adams (Bankless). Each week, we discuss how we approach managing our own portfolio and the data, research, and analytical frameworks that inform those decisions — for educational and informational purposes.

Informações

  • Criado por
    Michael Nadeau
  • Anos de atividade
    2023 - 2026
  • Episódios
    22
  • Classificação
    Livre
  • Copyright
    © Michael Nadeau
  • Site do podcast
    The DeFi Report

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