Broken Pie Chart

Derek Moore
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The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

  1. 4 DAYS AGO

    So Far News Is Worse Than Markets | Fed Rate Hikes? | Mag 7 Valuations Get Cheaper | Peter Lynch on Corrections

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss how the news sounds worse than the markets have performed so far. What Peter Lynch famous 1994 speech tells us about market declines and corrections. Plus, really? The Fed Funds futures are now pricing in higher probability of rate hikes vs rate cuts. Finally, the Mag 7 seems to be on sale, so what needs to happen for them to start leading the market back to the highs?   Peter Lynch on market corrections Mag 7 valuations are getting cheap relative to where they were Fed Rate hikes, really? Volatility in markets Why is the VIX higher? The news is worse than the markets retracement so far, but will that change?   Mentioned in this Episode   Article with Peter Lynch video link plus forward valuation charts on the market, Nvidia, and Exxon. https://zegainvestments.com/blog/is-the-market-getting-cheaper-or-just-early-ahead-of-analyst-revisions   Podcast Explaining The Big Short Movie & Credit Default Swaps https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-big-short-movie-credit-default-swaps-explained/id1432836154?i=1000465683509   Margin Call Movie and VaR Value at Risk Explained https://open.spotify.com/episode/2XJ58KAoQKw2sdC48KHyPp   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    40 min

  2. 22 MAR

    Analysts' vs The Market | Volatility | Kalshi Prediction Markets Arizona Lawsuit | Breakeven Rates

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner where they get into a discussion around the market moving lower, lowering the forward PE, and analysts haven't budged their estimates yet. So, who's right and who's wrong? Then they go through the volatility environment and whether this is a normal midterm year pullback reminding everyone this is pretty typical. Later, they get into Arizona suing Kalshi and whether prediction markets (or betting) belong under the CFTC.   Vix and VVIX Volatility in markets CFTC as regulator of prediction markets Who needs prediction markets? Arizona sues Kalshi Forward PE multiples drop While EPS forward estimates rise When will analysts start adjusting their EPS estimates? What are breakeven inflation rates Why breakeven rates historically haven't been a great predictor of future inflation   Mentioned in this Episode   Podcast Explaining The Big Short Movie & Credit Default Swaps https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-big-short-movie-credit-default-swaps-explained/id1432836154?i=1000465683509   Margin Call Movie and VaR Value at Risk Explained https://open.spotify.com/episode/2XJ58KAoQKw2sdC48KHyPp   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    58 min

  3. 15 MAR

    Oil the Dollar and Rates | Normal Midterm Year Market | Micron Earnings Implied Volatility | There Is Always Something to Worry About

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss how a strong dollar, high oil prices, and the normal midterm year market cycle are dominating the talk around the stock market. If there was no Iran conflict, would the market be in the same spot? Later, looking at the options markets on Micron before next week's earnings. Finally, why the Strait of Hormuz is causing supply issues.   Straight of Hormuz oil tanker conundrum Oil and the US Dollar jump and why it may not be good news for earnings Implied Volatility on Micron Pricing the long and short straddles on Micron Midterm Year Market Cycles and how this compares Talking about the movies Margin Call and The Big Short   Mentioned in this Episode   Podcast Explaining The Big Short Movie & Credit Default Swaps https://podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/the-big-short-movie-credit-default-swaps-explained/id1432836154?i=1000465683509   Margin Call Movie and VaR Value at Risk Explained https://open.spotify.com/episode/2XJ58KAoQKw2sdC48KHyPp   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    57 min

  4. 8 MAR

    OpenAI the Next Netscape? | VVIX Surge | Is This the End of the Selloff? | Oil Goes Parabolic This Week

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to riff on volatility surging including VIX and VVIX. What volatility changes mean to market makers having to sell or buy more shares to hedge. Later, examine the largest 1 week surge in oil historically and where last week ranks. Plus, asking if OpenAI will wind up being the winner or more like Netscape. All this and more this week.   OpenAI vs other AI companies as the eventual winner Explaining what VVIX is in relation to the VIX Why changes in volatility cause market makers to have to sell or buy shares of underlying Energy sector was the contrarian pick hiding in plain site Green shoots that this selloff will end? The Fed and interest rates   Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    1hr 1min

  5. 1 MAR

    PE Contraction | Salesforce vs Exxon | Nvidia is Cheap? | Volatility Skew | PPI Beats

    Derek Moore is joined by Shane Skinner to explain how the market just got cheaper on a forward valuation standpoint. Plus, how Nvidia EPS estimates reached a new all-time high while the stock trends sideways. Later, comparing Salesforce and Exxon, where they look at a multiple expansion vs a multiple contraction. Finally, they delve into an increase in the near-term volatility skew, and the hot PPI numbers.   What is volatility skew Salesforce vs Exxon Nvidia goes sideways even though earnings and sales estimates reach new highs What does it me when stocks forward multiples contract (rerate) Getting into the PPI release   Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    55 min

  6. 22 FEB

    GDP Breakdown | Tariffs Not Going Away | Nvidia Earnings | Oil Moving Higher | Market Likes Tariff Ruling?

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner to discuss the Supreme Court ruling on tariffs and the market reaction. Plus, looking at what the options market is predicting for Nvidia post earnings moves. Later, WTI oil prices moving higher, did the energy sector bull run predict this? Finally, breaking down the GDP release and whether the baring the government shutdown, GDP would have been higher. All this and more this week.   GDP release and breakdown No inflation from tariffs Supreme Court Ruling on Tariffs What other justifications Trump admin can use to still impose tariffs WTI West Texas Intermediate crude price catches a bid Nvidia earnings this week come out so what is the option market predicting? Nvidia implied volatility and straddle prices   Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    50 min

  7. 17 FEB

    Still No CPI Inflation from Tariffs | Interest Rate Cuts Coming | Surprising Sectors Leading Market | All Eyes on Nvidia Earnings & Implied Volatilty

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder to talk about the CPI release and how there isn't any evidence that tariffs are causing any issues with inflation. So, does this mean the Fed has a green light to cut rates? As the market broadens, you might be surprised what sectors are leading and hint, it's not tech.   CPI Inflation report No inflation from tariffs Fed interest rate cuts Mag 7 passes the baton to energy, materials, and staples Nvidia earnings are coming up so what does the implied volatility say at this point?   Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    47 min

  8. 9 FEB

    Bitcoin & Strategy $MSTR Meltdown | Apple is Up While Microsoft Bear Market | VIX Too High With Market Within ATH

    Derek Moore is joined by Mike Snyder and Shane Skinner this week to chat about the meltdown in bitcoin and Strategy (MicroStrategy $MSTR). Why would investors choose MSTR over just Bitcoin? The enterprise value vs market value of its Bitcoin holdings. Later, The Mag 7 aren't all acting alike as Apple is surging while Microsoft is in a bear market. Later, is volatility too high given we are so close to the previous all-time high in the S&P 500 Index?   Bitcoin vs Strategy Bitcoin melts down Strategy $MSTR enterprise value vs the value of its Bitcoin holdings Apple vs Microsoft Why would an investor who likes Bitcoin buy $MSTR vs owning $IBIT? VIX hits 23 but was that an overreaction given we are so close to ATH?   Mentioned in this Episode   Derek Moore's book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT   Jay Pestrichelli's book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt   Derek's book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag   Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com

    59 min
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About

The Broken Pie Chart Podcast offers fresh looks at investment portfolio management, economics, markets, retirement planning, and more by simplifying and explaining important aspects of financial markets and the economy in easy to understand ways.

Information

  • Creator
    Derek Moore
  • Years Active
    2018 - 2026
  • Episodes
    369
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Copyright Broken Pie Chart Podcast. Can site, link, or share provided podcast website listed and sourced.
  • Show Website
    Broken Pie Chart

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