AG Bull

Tommy Grisafi

Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.  Tommy Grisafi is the main host and content creator for Ag Bull Media. The Ag Bull Podcast showcases agriculture's top talents in a long-form video format. The Ag Bull Trading Podcast is a deeper discussion of trading with analysts and key players in agriculture nationwide. Futures trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

  1. 23 hr ago ·  Video

    Wiesemeyer's Perspectives | Acreage & Grain Stocks Preview With A Weather Twist

    www.agbull.com Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits. Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com AgBull Audio and Video Links Apple Music Spotify YouTube TikTok We map out what could move markets next, starting with Tuesday’s USDA acreage and grain stocks reports and ending with the July weather fight over yields. We also connect the dots among China’s soybean-buying timeline, renewable fuels policy, and the political decisions that shape farm income support.  • waiting for USDA acreage and grain stocks as the next market reset  • weighing early July heat against a possible ridge shift and rainfall patterns  • tracking flood impacts and the narrowing replant window in parts of the Midwest  • recapping weekly moves in corn, soybeans, wheat, cotton, cattle, and hogs  • questioning survey response rates and how USDA improves data collection  • watching China’s purchase pace and the tariff comment deadlines  • breaking down 45Z carbon intensity scoring and year-round E15 hurdles  • reviewing sticky inflation, consumer spending, and interest rate risks  • monitoring New World screwworm cases, eradication capacity, and border limits  • sizing up Farm Bill 2.0 odds as elections and primaries harden positions  • noting disaster aid debates and the Supreme Court Roundup label ruling  • flagging possible USDA support for small meat processors  • treating the rice dryer shutdowns as an infrastructure warning sign  Thanks for watching us and thanks for liking and subscribing.  Ag Squawk AM, Ag Squawk PM. It’s free.  $25 a month, $250 annually.  AgBull.com. If you or someone you know would like to be on that show, put your name in the hat, and we’ll make sure we get back to you.  Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.

    49 min
  2. 22 Jun ·  Video

    Wiesemeyer's Perspectives | China Has Promised Beans And Now We Need Proof

    www.agbull.com Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com AgBull Audio and Video Links Apple Music Spotify YouTube TikTok Futures and options trading involve risk and are not suited for everyone. We run the markets live as we talk, then connect the day’s price action to the policy and geopolitical signals shaping ag right now. Soybean oil strength, China’s buying pace, and the next wave of RFS and 45Z all point to a summer where demand and rules matter as much as weather.  • soybean oil rally tied to renewable diesel capacity and RIN signals  • cattle on feed reaction and the idea that supplies stay tight  • used cooking oil and shifting incentives as future RIN rules change  • Iran diplomacy and shipping risk showing up in crude and freight  • China soybean commitments versus the weekly export sales proof test  • Screwworm case count, port closures, and why it supports cattle  • Senate Farm Bill 2.0 rollout, markup timing, and election calendar constraints  • 45Z tax credits, carbon capture, pipelines, and regional basis winners and losers  • year-round E15 still lingering and likely tied to a bigger bill  • USMCA review leverage and why the pact still matters for ag trade  • USDA 2027 cost of production outlook and pressure from non-energy inputs  • Kevin Warsh’s Fed posture, inflation priority, and what less guidance means  • Why fund participation creates liquidity and better price discovery  You choose your favorite platform and make sure to click, like, subscribe, and give us a rating. Who would you like me to talk to? You can reach us at agbol.com, hit the contact us tab, and my people will get right on it.  Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.

    41 min
  3. 22 Jun ·  Video

    Paul Neiffer & Davis Michaelsen Talk OBBBA Update

    www.agbull.com Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com AgBull Audio and Video Links Apple Music Spotify YouTube TikTok Futures and options trading involve risk and are not suited for everyone. USDA is changing how farm entity structures affect payment eligibility, and the difference between one limit and several can come down to ownership percentages and paperwork. We walk through what qualifies as a pass-through entity, what “actively engaged” really means now, and what you must file before the 2026 deadline.  • how LLCs, S Corps, and partnerships qualify as pass-through entities for payment limits  • Why the old system pushed farms into extra entities and extra tax returns  • how payment limits rise and get indexed to inflation  • Why ownership percentages can reduce the number of effective payment limits  • What changes in the actively engaged in farming test when owners are paid wages or management fees  • where the $900,000 AGI cap still applies and where a 75% gross income test can waive it  • what counts as farm income starting in 2026, including agritourism, direct sales, and equipment gains  • what the new Form 902E reporting means and why September 15, 2026, matters  • why payments ultimately attribute down to individuals and Social Security numbers  FarmCPAReport.com for more.  Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.

    35 min
  4. 16 Jun

    Fat Tuesday with Mike Sands | Cattle Market Pressure Points

    www.agbull.com We walk through the week’s biggest cattle market drivers, from JBS plant closures to Iran-related macro moves that shift energy prices and market mood. Then we zoom into the on-the-ground fundamentals: screwworm surveillance, changing feedlot placements, record-slow marketings, and the risks that come with record-heavy carcass weights.  • JBS Pennsylvania closure and where slaughter cattle get rerouted  • Memphis value-added plant closure and what “value-added” really means  • Iran developments, crude oil reaction, and why cattle markets care  • New World screwworm case count, geography, and why the spread matters  • USDA response: surveillance, sterile flies, and limited movement restrictions  • No food safety risk and why that matters for consumer demand  • May feedlot placements outlook ahead of the Cattle on Feed report  • Drought signals, heifer decisions, and cattle moved earlier than normal  • Record-slow marketings and the shrinking window to manage weights  • Feedlot inventories above last year and what that implies for fed supplies  • Front-end supply over 180 days, summer heat, and death loss risk  I think it’s pretty important to tune in because I think we have unique things each week that we bring to the table.  Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com AgBull Audio and Video Links Apple Music Spotify YouTube TikTok Futures and options trading involve risk and are not suited for everyone. Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.

    35 min
  5. 14 Jun

    Wiesemeyer's Perspectives | War UpDate

    www.agbull.com www.agbull.com Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com AgBull Audio and Video Links Apple Music Spotify YouTube TikTok Futures and options trading involve risk and are not suited for everyone. We catch up on a wild week where commodities react to shifting weather, tight livestock supplies, and nonstop geopolitical noise. We also lay out a surprisingly bullish cotton roadmap, then zoom out to the policy and rate decisions that shape what farmers and traders do next.  • Weekly moves across grains, livestock, and softs are viewed through fundamentals  • Bullish cotton balance sheet driven by polyester disruption, tighter stocks, and policy support  • JBS plant closure as a signal of a historic cattle shortage and lower slaughter capacity  • Iran uncertainty and why oil markets struggle to trust timelines and headlines  • New World screwworm case count, monitoring challenges, and the USDA response  • 45Z GREET model update and what it could mean for corn, soybean oil, and biofuel investment  • US ag trade deficit improving on lower imports, exports still the challenge  • FOMC setup and why higher rates raise the cost of storing grain  • USMCA leverage talk, what the US, Canada, and Mexico each want  • Midterm election forecast and how control of Congress could shake out  Tell the boys at Trade the News the Agbull boys sent you, and you want a free trial  Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.

    45 min
  6. 7 Jun

    Wiesemeyer's Perspectives | Grain Markets Collapse

    www.agbull.com Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com AgBull Audio and Video Links Apple Music Spotify YouTube TikTok Futures and options trading involve risk and are not suited for everyone. We walk through a bruising week in grains and ask what smart marketing looks like when funds bail, seasonal lows show up, and input costs still won’t cooperate. Then we shift to the real-world shocks and policy levers that could change demand fast, from screwworm in Texas to 45Z sustainable aviation fuel rules and the timing of U.S.-China trade moves.  • grain and soy complex correction tied to improved weather, weak China demand signals, and fund liquidation  • old-crop selling mistakes and why pairing cash sales with call options can manage risk  • key USDA dates ahead, including WASDE and crop production, June acreage, and grain stocks  • New World Screwworm cases in South Texas, the 12-mile containment focus, and what an expanded radius could mean  • border closure impacts on cattle supplies and the longer-run buildout of Mexico’s feeding industry  • 45Z rule progress, the GREET model, carbon intensity scoring, and why SAF demand could lift corn and soy  • U.S.-China board of trade timeline, comment deadlines, and how tariff modifications could affect ag competitiveness  • tough House hearing moments for Secretary Rollins, including glyphosate claims and a push to boost domestic cotton use  • India trade agreement optimism tempered by India’s history of protecting sensitive farm sectors  • Senate Farm Bill expectations, including SNAP cost share fights and what likely stays out of the bill  • year-round E15 hurdles, slow station adoption, and the role of SRE eligibility and reallocation  • primary election signals in Iowa and how podcasts are changing campaign strategy  • structural versus cyclical downturn debate with Brazil competition, China uncertainty, and margin pressure  If you’re not a subscriber, you should be, because all the really juicy stuff, excluding what we do here with Jim, is paid for by subscribers. To be a paid subscriber, $25 a month, $250 annually. You can sign up for Trade the News for a free trial. Go over to Trade the News, tell them the AgBull boy sent you.  Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.

    43 min
  7. 4 Jun

    Fat Tuesday with Mike Sands | SREWWORM in U.S.

    www.agbull.com New World screwworm jumps to the top of the cattle conversation, and we sort out what USDA actually communicated versus what people think they heard. We also connect the pest narrative to market structure, especially why a strong basis and managed money long liquidation can pressure futures and pull on cash decisions.  • USDA’s New World screwworm messaging, five-point plan, and what remains unclear  • No food safety issue but real risk of negative consumer reaction  • Why cattle movement drives spread and why the border closure bought time  • Practical biosecurity, treatment tools, and the need to put eyes on cattle  • Sterile fly technique limits today and why added capacity matters  • How states may respond and why quarantine protocols could shape trade  • Managed money net long positions and how long liquidation hits futures  • Why June and August basis levels look unusually strong  • Seasonal spring peak patterns and what futures imply for summer cash  • Feeder cattle speculation unwind and why deferred discounts may be too bearish  Yeah, if you're watching, listening, have something that or a chart that you'd like to maybe see in an episode coming up, let us know.  Tommy's Premium Subscription: www.agbull.com AgBull Audio and Video Links Apple Music Spotify YouTube TikTok Futures and options trading involve risk and are not suited for everyone. Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.

    32 min

About

Futures Trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. Past profits are not necessarily indicative of future results/profits.  Tommy Grisafi is the main host and content creator for Ag Bull Media. The Ag Bull Podcast showcases agriculture's top talents in a long-form video format. The Ag Bull Trading Podcast is a deeper discussion of trading with analysts and key players in agriculture nationwide. Futures trading involves risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone.

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