Inside Prediction Markets

Prediction Market Gurus
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Every week, join two of the world's sharpest bettors and minds, Henry Kerins and Chris Dierkes, as they discuss everything about betting and prediction markets. ๐Ÿ“… New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays ๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Deep Dives ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ Expert Guests ๐Ÿง  Strategy Analysis This content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The views expressed are not necessarily those of Novig. All investing and prediction market trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

  1. 2 days ago

    Professional NFL Handicapper Reveals His Biggest Preseason Edges

    We open this week with our 3 big things: Kalshi has a new 3.5% maker fee on RFQs, Underdog just released a new crash-style game and Novig passed Rothera in trailing 7-day prediction market volume! Then, our good friend Hitman joins us to discuss all things NFL. He shares how he got into the touting space and then breaks down how he approaches NFL preseason betting and identifies teams the market may be pricing incorrectly. He explains why heโ€™s higher on the Patriots and Jaguars, lower on the Commanders and Packers, and what he expects from teams like the Ravens and Giants this season.

  2. 12 Aug

    The Prediction Market Takeover Is Just Getting Started | BetBash 2026

    For this weekโ€™s episode, we filmed in Las Vegas at BetBash 2026! We sat down with our good friend Pads to hear how he went from working as a chemical engineer to becoming a full-time professional bettor and eventually joining Bookie Beats. We break down live betting, some of the biggest opportunities and debates in sports betting right now and how prediction markets are rapidly changing the space. In the second half of the episode, we take questions from the BetBash crowd and dive deeper into market making, liquidity, the growth of Novig and what weโ€™re expecting as the NFL season approaches.

  3. 5 Aug

    Inside Novigโ€™s New Market Making Firm: Manhattan Athletic Group (MAG)

    Underdog just sold to IG group for $1.3 billion and the state of New York is suing Kalshi for $36 billion. This week we also discuss BetBash, the annual sports gambling networking conference in Vegas. We talk about what to expect, advice if youโ€™re a first timer and people weโ€™re excited to see.  Then, we officially introduce MAG: Manhattan Athletic Group. MAG is Novig's new market making firm dedicated exclusively to sports prediction markets. We explain why we built MAG and why weโ€™re so excited about what's ahead. We wrap up by discussing the CFTC's new proposal and what it could mean for the broader prediction market ecosystem.

  4. 29 Jul

    From Poker To Prediction Markets: How To Build A Profitable Operation

    Netflix released a new documentary about prediction markets and is facing some backlash. Kalshi is threatening legal action towards Netflix based on some false information revealed in the trailer for the documentary. Also, ProphetX raised $35 million to expand their federally regulated sports prediction market platform and Fanatics has acquired their own prediction market exchange. Then, Camden Mariotti joins us in the OpticOdds Hot Seat. He talks about becoming a professional trader and how it all started gambling at a poker table with Chris in college. Camden eventually got into sports betting and then completely switched his focus to prediction markets. He talks about what it takes to be successful in PMs and the kind of people you want by your side. We close the interview with Camden revealing his biggest loss in trading and giving some great advice for beginners in the space.

  5. 22 Jul

    Building a Winning Prediction Market Trading Team

    Kalshi is rolling out compute forward curves and really expanding after World Cup markets have brought an insane wave of volume into prediction markets this summer. Also, Underdog Fantasy is officially entering the space with its own prediction market exchange and Henry and Chris discuss what platforms will be most popular for the NFL season ahead. Then, Larry and Joe join them in the OpticOdds Hot Seat and they talk through their backgrounds, what each of them specializes in and how they would approach building a prediction market trading team from the ground up. They get into hiring strategy, the different skill sets a market-making team needs and how to find people with a real edge.

  6. 15 Jul

    How AI Gives You a Massive Edge on Prediction Markets

    From Kalshi's new Pro trading terminal to the Bryce Harper FanDuel controversy, Henry and Chris discuss all the biggest stories this week. Importantly, they dive into how AI is completely changing the way prediction market traders work and how the rapid adoption of tools like Claude, ChatGPT and Perplexity have transformed traders' workflow. They debate whether AI can help traders build an edge, and what prediction markets could look like in the near future. ๐Ÿ“… New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays ๐Ÿ‘‡ Subscribe now. @insidepredictionmarkets OpticOdds is a global leader in sports betting data solutions, empowering sportsbooks, DFS, prediction markets and platform providers with the fastest, most reliable, and most comprehensive odds data and trading tools in the industry. Sign-up to join the Novig x OpticOdds incubator: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd6VQ-OEHRs7JpEs7-tURuy6WRP4WGRtlyBfByDkhgJ9KEbHw/viewform This content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The views expressed are not necessarily those of Novig. All investing and prediction market trading involves risk, including the loss of principal. Chapters: 00:00 Kalshi's New Pro Trading Terminal 01:25 Bryce Harper FanDuel Controversy 05:37 Kalshi's Legal Battle with NY 07:53 How AI Is Changing Prediction Markets 12:30 ChatGPT vs Claude vs Perplexity 18:52 Inside the World of Advantage Gambling 25:28 Conor McGregor Inflow #predictionmarkets #kalshi #polymarket #novig #draftkings #fanduel #gambling #sports #betting

  7. 1 Jul

    Malik Beasley EXPOSED, Prediction Market BANNED in Michigan, and World Cup Volume SHATTERING Records

    A Michigan judge has banned Kalshi from offering sports contracts in the state unless they obtain an OSB license โ€” and ordered $120,000 per day in fines if they don't comply. Chris and Henry break down why this is just another stop on the inevitable road to the Supreme Court. Then: Malik Beasley gets caught shaving props for pocket change โ€” texts showing him scrambling to put together $2,000 while on a $42 million career contract. Chris and Henry debate how common this actually is, whether prediction markets make it easier to catch, and whether this story updates their priors on how much rigging is really happening across sports. Plus, World Cup volume is shattering records across every platform, every market maker is rooting for draws and upsets, and Chris makes a bold prediction for NFL season: $50 million at 3% worse than fair value, available in a single regular season game. ๐Ÿ“… New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays ๐Ÿ‘‡ Subscribe now. @insidepredictionmarkets OpticOdds is a global leader in sports betting data solutions, empowering sportsbooks, DFS, prediction markets and platform providers with the fastest, most reliable, and most comprehensive odds data and trading tools in the industry. Sign-up to join the Novig x OpticOdds incubator: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd6VQ-OEHRs7JpEs7-tURuy6WRP4WGRtlyBfByDkhgJ9KEbHw/viewform This content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The views expressed are not necessarily those of Novig. All investing and prediction market trading involves risk, including the loss of principal. Chapters: 0:00 โ€“ Michigan Bans Kalshi 2:30 โ€“ Malik Beasley Caught Shaving Props 12:00 โ€“ SIG Loses $70M to Insider Trading 14:00 โ€“ World Cup Breaking Every Record 19:00 โ€“ Chris's Bold NFL Season Prediction 25:00 โ€“ Matt Kalish Draftkings Hypocrisy 28:00 โ€“ Would You Write a Check Into Kalshi at $40 Billion? #predictionmarkets #kalshi #polymarket #novig #draftkings #fanduel #gambling #sports #betting

  8. 24 Jun

    Inside the Mind of a 15-Year SIG Trader & The Future of Prediction Markets

    Former Susquehanna International Group (SIG) trader Andrew Courtney (@andrewcourt1) joins the Optic Odds Hot Seat to discuss what it's really like inside one of the world's most respected trading firms.Andrew spent 15 years at SIG, where he worked in market making, ETF trading, and trading system development before eventually finding his way into prediction markets. Along the way, he learned how professional traders think about risk, adverse selection, liquidity, and building efficient markets.This conversation offers a rare look inside the mindset of a professional trader.๐Ÿ“… New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays ๐Ÿ‘‡ Subscribe now.@insidepredictionmarkets OpticOdds is a global leader in sports betting data solutions, empowering sportsbooks, DFS, prediction markets and platform providers with the fastest, most reliable, and most comprehensive odds data and trading tools in the industry.Sign-up to join the Novig x OpticOdds incubator: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FAIpQLSd6VQ-OEHRs7JpEs7-tURuy6WRP4WGRtlyBfByDkhgJ9KEbHw/viewformThis content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The views expressed are not necessarily those of Novig. All investing and prediction market trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.Chapters:00:00 - Andrew Courtney's Background02:55 - How SIG Trains Professional Traders08:05 - Learning Market Making at SIG13:50 - Poker, Betting & Trader Culture18:30 - What Market Makers Actually Do25:00 - Why Great Traders Embrace Risk30:20 - Will AI Replace Traders?36:15 - Leaving SIG & Discovering Prediction Markets40:50 - The Biggest Problems in Prediction Markets45:10 - Sharps, Squares & Market Makers#predictionmarkets #kalshi #polymarket #novig #draftkings #fanduel #gambling #sports #betting

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Every week, join two of the world's sharpest bettors and minds, Henry Kerins and Chris Dierkes, as they discuss everything about betting and prediction markets. ๐Ÿ“… New Episodes Drop: Wednesdays ๐Ÿ“ˆ Market Deep Dives ๐ŸŽ™๏ธ Expert Guests ๐Ÿง  Strategy Analysis This content is for informational, educational, and entertainment purposes only and is not financial advice. Please do your own research. The views expressed are not necessarily those of Novig. All investing and prediction market trading involves risk, including the loss of principal.

Information

  • Creator
    Prediction Market Gurus
  • Years Active
    2026
  • Episodes
    25
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    ยฉ Prediction Market Gurus
  • Show Website
    Inside Prediction Markets