The Master Investor Podcast with Wilfred Frost

Paradine Productions
  • 5.0 (8)
  • Investing
  • Updated Weekly

Hosted by Wilfred Frost, The Master Investor Podcast is for anyone passionate about business and investing. We are pro ambition, celebrate success and provide you the edge. Join us and learn from the most legendary investors and business leaders in the world.

  1. Being Short Your Government: The Real Case for Gold & Silver

    2d ago

    Being Short Your Government: The Real Case for Gold & Silver

    Wilf is joined by Ned Naylor-Leyland, newly crowned Investment Week Precious Metals Fund Manager of the Year and manager of the nearly $3 billion Jupiter Gold & Silver Fund. Known for his characteristically contrarian, deeply analytical perspective, Ned breaks down why the true narrative surrounding gold and silver is heavily misunderstood by the investing public.  Instead of viewing gold and silver through the lens of traditional commodities, Ned explains why they are fundamentally foreign exchange instruments and why gold is the true risk-free asset of the global financial system.  “This is about being short the behaviour of your government.” Ned makes the case for physical gold as the ultimate safeguard against the long-term erosion of purchasing power caused by the inevitable debasement of paper currencies. But he disagrees with many fellow gold bulls when explaining the surge in price in 2025, and thinks that momentum and macro trend-following from leveraged investors, as well as changing real interest rate expectations, fueled the recent explosive rally, rather than central bank buying or a broader acceptance of the monetary debasement argument by most investors. He explains why silver operates as a "dual-nature" asset – acting as money while simultaneously being in critically short supply for the industries of the future from AI to  green-tech to military hardware. “Silver is like gold in that you are short politicians, but you're also long the future.” But Ned has exposure to just gold and silver, and explains why other precious or industrial metals have no place in his fund.  While he has personally owned Bitcoin himself historically, he doesn’t own it anymore as he likes to be a first mover and contrarian and sees no place for $BTC in light of that. He believes gold and silver producers are cheaper than they’ve ever been, with free cash flow margins that are double or triple that of the tech sector, while trading on a fraction of the multiple. The reason being the lack of long-only institutional capital in the space, which he thinks could flood in if tech stocks peak. Ned and Wilf also discuss a wildcard factor – ‘Where Is the Gold?’ – a fascinating deep dive into fractional reserve bullion banking, central bank balance sheet expansions, and the systemic risks surrounding where physical gold actually resides.   0:00 Intro  3:05 Long term case for gold  6:14 Long term case for silver  7:06 Why no other metals?  9:54 What drove 2025 surge in gold & silver  13:06 Did Gold peak in January?  15:20 Is debasement priced in?  17:15 Central banks are NOT independent  22:00 Gold not risk-on or risk-off – its risk-free  23:15 Gold vs Bitcoin  27:14 Physical commodity + producers + development assets  29:52 Miners cheaper than ever  33:10 Portfolio construction  34:56 Gold & Silver not normal commodities  37:25 Where Is The Gold?  42:26 Physical gold vs his fund?  43:40 Revaluation of US gold reserves?  50:13 Why buy gold & silver NOW?  51:47 Could governments behave?  54:37 Conclusion    You can watch the full video on The Master Investor Podcast YouTube channel   And follow @WilfredFrost on X and Linked In   Sponsored by BNY Investments, Interactive Brokers - ibkr.com/masterinvestor, The World Gold Council and London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG).    The Master Investor Podcast is produced by Paradine Productions, Master Investor Ltd in association with Bird Lime Media.   This podcast is for information purposes only. It does not constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity. It is not a financial promotion as defined under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA). The views expressed by the presenter of this podcast are those of the presenter and are provided in the course of journalism. This podcast benefits from the exemption under Article 20 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (FPO), It does not require approval by a person authorised under the FSMA. Generic information, not identifying any specific investment, fund, provider or service, about a class of investments such as shares, bonds, derivatives and cryptoassets, might be provided and/or discussed during this podcast. Such discussion falls within the generic promotions exemption (Article 17 of the FPO). Such discussion is not a financial promotion requiring approval by an authorised person under section 21 of the FSMA. Investing involves risk. You should consult a suitably qualified adviser who can assess your individual circumstances before making any investment decision.

    57 min
  2. Becky Quick: Warren Buffett's Biggest Lessons, CNBC, and Finding Purpose Through Adversity

    Jun 16

    Becky Quick: Warren Buffett's Biggest Lessons, CNBC, and Finding Purpose Through Adversity

    Powerhouse of business journalism and co-anchor of CNBC’s Squawk Box, Becky Quick, joins Wilf straight from live morning TV to break down a massive, fast-moving moment in the markets and share rare, deeply personal insights into both her career and family life. Over 20+ years Becky, who is Wilf’s former colleague and great friend, has become well known for her access to, and interviews with, legendary investor Warren Buffett. She shares what she has learned from her two-decade relationship interviewing and building trust with him, including the true source of his investing genius - unwavering patience, an extraordinary mathematical mind, and the complete absence of FOMO (fear of missing out).  The discussion begins on current market movements, including Becky’s latest headline takes on the factors affecting markets, and why she is optimistic that the newly announced 60-day US-Iran peace framework can hold. She cautions that President Trump is less concerned about the upcoming mid-term elections in November than markets think and will prioritise his legacy in the Middle East if he has to end the ceasefire. Wilf and Becky also unpack the frenetic retail demand behind the historic SpaceX IPO, drawing parallels to the dot-com boom of the late 1990s while examining the timeless advice of Warren Buffett and Charlie Munger: never bet against Elon Musk.  Finally, the conversation turns to a deeply moving discussion about CNBC Cures, a powerful initiative Becky launched following her daughter Kaylee’s diagnosis with Syngap1, an incredibly rare genetic disease. Becky opens up about the isolation of navigating a rare diagnosis and how she is using CNBC's global platform to connect families, mobilize investors, and bridge the gap between laboratory science and life-altering treatments.  You can watch Becky’s documentary here - https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-SD8-YcQdb4&feature=youtu.be And read more about the CBNC Cures initiative here - https://www.cnbc.com/cures/   Recorded Monday 15th June 2026   0:00 Intro 3:00 US-Iran peace deal 5:57 Iran over Mid-Terms for Trump 8:09 Buffett - don’t bet against Elon Musk 9:45 Déjà vu of late 1990s? 12:40 CNBC’s role – financial education 16:50 21 Years of Squawk Box 20:07 Purity of the markets 22:16 Lessons from Warren Buffett 26:05 Buffett’s secret – patience 30:07 CNBC Cures 40:20 Loneliness of rare disease 44:48 Investing, career and life advice   You can watch the full video on The Master Investor Podcast YouTube channel   And follow @WilfredFrost on X and Linked In   Sponsored by BNY Investments, Interactive Brokers - ibkr.com/masterinvestor, The World Gold Council and London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG).    The Master Investor Podcast is produced by Paradine Productions, Master Investor Ltd in association with Bird Lime Media.   This podcast is for information purposes only. It does not constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity. It is not a financial promotion as defined under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA). The views expressed by the presenter of this podcast are those of the presenter and are provided in the course of journalism. This podcast benefits from the exemption under Article 20 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (FPO), It does not require approval by a person authorised under the FSMA. Generic information, not identifying any specific investment, fund, provider or service, about a class of investments such as shares, bonds, derivatives and cryptoassets, might be provided and/or discussed during this podcast. Such discussion falls within the generic promotions exemption (Article 17 of the FPO). Such discussion is not a financial promotion requiring approval by an authorised person under section 21 of the FSMA. Investing involves risk. You should consult a suitably qualified adviser who can assess your individual circumstances before making any investment decision.

    48 min
  3. Should You Buy Space X? | IPO Special

    Jun 9

    Should You Buy Space X? | IPO Special

    In this special episode of The Master Investor Podcast we explore the upcoming IPO of SpaceX - the largest IPO of all time, set to begin trading on Friday 12 June, raising $75bn in fresh capital, valuing the firm at close to $1.8trn.   Wilf is joined by CNBC’s Morgan Brennan to set up the details with a breakdown of SpaceX’s business model, all of the key numbers, and how we got to this point.    Wedbush Securities’ Senior Research Analyst Dan Ives then gives the bullish take on the IPO.   Followed by Nicolas Owens from Morningstar - a rare Bear on Wall St on this deal - who thinks the company is worth half the mooted listing price. Read Nicolas' Note here - https://www.morningstar.com/stocks/spacex-what-investors-need-know-about-its-enormous-upcoming-ipo   Rounding things off, Wilf discusses the likely impact of the IPO on the broader markets with founder of The Bear Traps Report - Larry McDonald.   If you are debating buying shares in the SpaceX IPO then this is a critical listen for you.   Recorded 7th and 8th June 2026.   0:00 Intro 2:14 Morgan Brennan sets it up 17:00 Dan Ives - BULL case 28:43 Nicolas Owens - BEAR case 42:39 Larry McDonald - impact on wider market       You can watch the full video on The Master Investor Podcast YouTube channel   And follow @WilfredFrost on X and Linked In   Sponsored by BNY Investments, Interactive Brokers - ibkr.com/masterinvestor, The World Gold Council and London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG).    The Master Investor Podcast is produced by Paradine Productions, Master Investor Ltd in association with Bird Lime Media.   This podcast is for information purposes only. It does not constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity. It is not a financial promotion as defined under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA). The views expressed by the presenter of this podcast are those of the presenter and are provided in the course of journalism. This podcast benefits from the exemption under Article 20 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (FPO), It does not require approval by a person authorised under the FSMA. Generic information, not identifying any specific investment, fund, provider or service, about a class of investments such as shares, bonds, derivatives and cryptoassets, might be provided and/or discussed during this podcast. Such discussion falls within the generic promotions exemption (Article 17 of the FPO). Such discussion is not a financial promotion requiring approval by an authorised person under section 21 of the FSMA. Investing involves risk. You should consult a suitably qualified adviser who can assess your individual circumstances before making any investment decision.

    54 min
  4. AI Could Turn Software Into “Dumb Data Pipes” | Dom Rizzo

    Jun 8

    AI Could Turn Software Into “Dumb Data Pipes” | Dom Rizzo

    What happens the day after ChatGPT launches? If you’re Dominic Rizzo, you take over the helm of the $8.7bn T. Rowe Price Global Technology Fund and embark on an incredible run, delivering an outstanding 43.6% per annum return.  In this episode of The Master Investor Podcast, host Wilfred Frost sits down with Dom Rizzo to dissect the massive shifts reshaping the technology sector. Dom explains why he believes that the key question the market is grappling with is how much more AI CaPex spend there is to come, and why he believes we are only half way through a massive AI CapEx cycle, with Google’s recent $85bn capital raise is a proof point of that. Central to all of Dom’s thinking is that “compute equals revenue” and how that empowers the best AI companies (Anthropic and OpenAI) to deliver not just the highest raw intelligence but increasingly task completion too. The main reason we have seen such a strong market year to date is that the revenue is now following. “People didn't see Agentic taking off, but Claude Code and OpenAI Codex have opened everyone's eyes the huge enterprise opportunity here.” Dominic thinks Software companies got fat and happy and explains why AI is the worst possible threat for them as a horizontal technology that can attack every software use case. He predicts that ChatGPT and Claude will end up sitting on top of basically the entire enterprise software stack and almost everything else will end up being a “dumb data pipe” feeding into those two.  He also explains why Nvidia remains King, why AMD and Intel are incredibly well placed, and why he laughs when people say Memory is commoditised with only three real players left globally in Micron, Samsung and Hynix.  Wilf and Dom also debate the upcoming mega IPOs of SpaceX, Anthropic and OpenAI and how the latter two’s roughly 10/1 Price/Sales multiple compares to the 100/1 multiple for SpaceX. He ends by sharing his key investment advice for listeners: find a framework that matches your personality; work relentlessly hard; and get lucky. Recorded 4th June 2026 0:00 Intro 3:00 Great performance & good timing  6:29 AI - we haven’t overspent yet 09:28 Impact of Agentic computing  11:47 Four part framework for picking stocks  14:34 Software companies got fat & happy 17:01 Can $MSFT $CRM adapt? No. 22:05 Why $NVDA is still the King - $AMD $INTC too. 27:59 $ARM figured out low power CPU processing 30:56 Memory is the hardest “commodity” in world to make 35:00 Technical market factors – ETFs & IPOs 36:30 $GOOGL capital raise signals CapEx boom continues 38:40 Compute equals revenue 41:43 Why leading intelligence beats cheap 45:13 Is $AAPL vulnerable? 47:22 Upcoming mega IPOs 52:11 Pressure on broader markets from insanely large IPOs 54:12 Valuations overall 56:00 Concluding investment advice   You can watch the full video on The Master Investor Podcast YouTube channel   And follow @WilfredFrost on X and Linked In   Sponsored by BNY Investments, Interactive Brokers - ibkr.com/masterinvestor, The World Gold Council and London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG).    The Master Investor Podcast is produced by Paradine Productions, Master Investor Ltd in association with Bird Lime Media.   This podcast is for information purposes only. It does not constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity. It is not a financial promotion as defined under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA). The views expressed by the presenter of this podcast are those of the presenter and are provided in the course of journalism. This podcast benefits from the exemption under Article 20 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (FPO), It does not require approval by a person authorised under the FSMA. Generic information, not identifying any specific investment, fund, provider or service, about a class of investments such as shares, bonds, derivatives and cryptoassets, might be provided and/or discussed during this podcast. Such discussion falls within the generic promotions exemption (Article 17 of the FPO). Such discussion is not a financial promotion requiring approval by an authorised person under section 21 of the FSMA. Investing involves risk. You should consult a suitably qualified adviser who can assess your individual circumstances before making any investment decision.

    59 min
  5. “We’ve Seen the End of Times”: Tom Michaud on Market Extremes, IPO Red Flags, and 9/11

    Jun 3

    “We’ve Seen the End of Times”: Tom Michaud on Market Extremes, IPO Red Flags, and 9/11

    What separates a temporary market pullback from a systemic, catastrophic collapse? And how do the world’s greatest financial institutions build the resilience required to survive the absolute "end of times"? In this episode of The Master Investor Podcast, Wilfred Frost sits down with Tom Michaud, the CEO of banking and finance specialists Keefe, Bruyette & Woods (KBW). Tom has spent over 40 years at KBW studying the banking sector, leading KBW through its 2006 IPO and subsequent 2013 acquisition by Stifel Financial. As the head of the industry's premier financial services investment bank, Tom brings unique insight into what’s happening under the surface of markets today and where the next major "torpedo in the ocean" is hiding. Wilfred and Tom map out the critical warning signs of a banking crisis, tracing the common threads between the Global Financial Crisis of 2008 and the sudden collapses of Silicon Valley Bank and First Republic in 2023. Tom explains the danger of unbridled growth for a bank especially when driven by uninsured deposits and fuelled by leverage. The biggest indicator to watch is credit turning south and “we should all know a credit normalisation is coming because it's just been too exceptional”  - but he doesn’t expect it to derail the sector. He also reflects on the scale of the problems lying in the private credit sector. Tom  outlines the bull case for banks from the ongoing "regulatory reset"; why scale matters more than eve; why he expects more bank M&A; and why he thinks the best investment strategy is to buy best-in-class trophy companies. While the upcoming suite of mega-cap tech IPOs is good news for banks, he warns investors to be cautious – “there is risk in these offerings” – and outlines why he thinks individual stock selection is more important than ever and explains the reason why his firm is doubling down on expert research. But the true heart of this episode lies in a deeply moving reflection on leadership under unimaginable pressure. KBW’s offices were located in the Twin Towers on September 11, 2001. Tom shares his firsthand experience of that morning – missing his usual train by a twist of fate, watching the tragedy unfold from the sidewalk, and losing 67 of his colleagues, including the firm's Co-CEO and an entire research department. He details the profound "reservoir of goodwill" and human kindness that allowed a shattered firm to pull together, push the rock up the hill every single day, and rebuild into the global powerhouse it is today with the underlying resilience that stems from emerging from an unimaginable crisis. Recorded 2nd June 2026   0:00 – Intro 3:00 – Lessons from 2008 – unbridled growth plus leverage are the warning signs 5:30 – Scale of leverage in banking is unique 6:39 – What happened with SVB and First Republic in 2023? 9:00 – Regulatory rationalisation tail wind 11:38 – Private credit not a threat to economy 14:20 – Banks ultimately in great shape 16:50 – Tech is 36% of SP500 vs 14% Financials 19:52 – Importance of scale in banking accentuated by AI - $JPM as example 24:11 – Banks weren’t built for negative rates and inverted yield curves 26:26 – A credit normalisation is coming, its been too exceptional 30:40 – Upcoming mega cap IPOs – “There is risk in these offerings” 34:00 – Stock selection is key 35:12 – I think M&A is going to remain very strong 37:20 – Crypto vs Banks 40:18 – Client trust is built over decades – AI can’t replicate that 42:56 – Leadership under unimaginable pressure - reflecting on 9/11 50:18 – Buy the trophies when they’re on sale 52:46 – Liquidity matters   You can watch the full video on The Master Investor Podcast YouTube channel   And follow @WilfredFrost on X and Linked In   Sponsored by BNY Investments, Interactive Brokers - ibkr.com/masterinvestor, The World Gold Council and London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG).    The Master Investor Podcast is produced by Paradine Productions, Master Investor Ltd in association with Bird Lime Media.   This podcast is for information purposes only. It does not constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity. It is not a financial promotion as defined under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA). The views expressed by the presenter of this podcast are those of the presenter and are provided in the course of journalism. This podcast benefits from the exemption under Article 20 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (FPO), It does not require approval by a person authorised under the FSMA. Generic information, not identifying any specific investment, fund, provider or service, about a class of investments such as shares, bonds, derivatives and cryptoassets, might be provided and/or discussed during this podcast. Such discussion falls within the generic promotions exemption (Article 17 of the FPO). Such discussion is not a financial promotion requiring approval by an authorised person under section 21 of the FSMA. Investing involves risk. You should consult a suitably qualified adviser who can assess your individual circumstances before making any investment decision.

    56 min
  6. Memory Is A Bubble, But Nvidia Protected – Jan Van Eck On Semis Surge

    May 27

    Memory Is A Bubble, But Nvidia Protected – Jan Van Eck On Semis Surge

    Are we in an AI bubble, or are capital markets correctly funding the largest infrastructure build-out in human history? In this episode of The Master Investor Podcast, Wilfred Frost sits down with Jan van Eck, CEO and owner of global asset management giant VanEck. Managing over $225 billion in assets, Jan has spent his career looking past daily market noise to focus on what he calls "10-year macro" trends. Today, he pulls back the curtain on the massive structural shifts that will define the global economy through 2036.  Wilfred and Jan dive deep into the staggering performance of VanEck’s flagship Semiconductor ETF (SMH) – which has surged to $65 billion in AUM on a jaw-dropping 29% annualized return since inception in 2011. Jan explains why the construction of the ETF is different from some rivals, allowing the likes of Nvidia to rise to up to 20% of the fund, and why he thinks Nvidia holds a generational moat protecting it, but issues a stark, timely warning for investors chasing the recent "bubblicious" frenzy in memory stocks. Beyond technology, Jan sounds the alarm on massive government deficit spending in the US, UK, and Japan, detailing why a breakdown in bond market confidence could leave investors with nowhere to hide. He lays out the high-conviction case for why gold is re-emerging as the world's number one global currency; why India is his number one long term country pick; explains the explosive, bipartisan policy shift that sent VanEck’s nuclear and uranium fund from $20 million to $4.7 billion AUM; and breaks down the upcoming multi-billion dollar SpaceX IPO.  Recorded on 26th May 2026.   You can watch the full video on The Master Investor Podcast YouTube channel   And follow @WilfredFrost on X and Linked In   Sponsored by BNY Investments, Interactive Brokers - ibkr.com/masterinvestor, The World Gold Council and London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG).    The Master Investor Podcast is produced by Paradine Productions, Master Investor Ltd in association with Bird Lime Media.   This podcast is for information purposes only. It does not constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity. It is not a financial promotion as defined under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA). The views expressed by the presenter of this podcast are those of the presenter and are provided in the course of journalism. This podcast benefits from the exemption under Article 20 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (FPO), It does not require approval by a person authorised under the FSMA. Generic information, not identifying any specific investment, fund, provider or service, about a class of investments such as shares, bonds, derivatives and cryptoassets, might be provided and/or discussed during this podcast. Such discussion falls within the generic promotions exemption (Article 17 of the FPO). Such discussion is not a financial promotion requiring approval by an authorised person under section 21 of the FSMA. Investing involves risk. You should consult a suitably qualified adviser who can assess your individual circumstances before making any investment decision.

    54 min
  7. Bull Case Holds for 2026 – Lori Calvasina

    May 18

    Bull Case Holds for 2026 – Lori Calvasina

    Lori Calvasina – Head of US Equity Strategy at RBC Capital Markets – has one of the highest SP500 forecasts on Wall St at 7900. In this episode of The Master Investor Podcast we explore why that is, and do a deep dive into the five key factors she considers when weighing up what her price target for the market should be. This is a rare window into the modelling strategy of one of Wall Street's most respected and closely followed US equity strategists, and a must-listen for anyone looking to understand what data points matter when analysing US equities.  Lori’s Five-Model Approach includes investor sentiment, cross-asset tests (stocks vs. bonds), valuation/earnings, GDP, and the Federal Reserve. At 23.6x PE she thinks the market is “not cheap” but “has room to run”, and is much more attractive that the 28x multiple reached last Summer/Fall. In particular, despite very strong performance in recent weeks she assesses investor sentiment to still be neutral. She discusses the irony that one of the most bullish SP500 targets on the Street only presents single-digit upside from here. Wilf presses Lori as to whether the recent 9% peak to trough Iran War pullback was underdone. According to Lori, this was a rational move, because  neither her nor the market is expecting a recession, justifying the relatively small pullback. She believes the covid pandemic and more recent tariffs have already taught many US companies an important lesson in establishing resilient supply chains, leaving them less vulnerable to more recent geopolitical developments. Lori also outlines why she likes Growth over Value, US over International, and Small Caps, but loves ‘AI Fast Lane’ Growth. Her and Wilf also cover the  likely market impact from the Mid-Terms; of the new Fed Chair; and the upcoming slate of mega cap IPOs. Recorded 14th May 2026 “0:00” Intro “2:39” How to form an SP500 target “5:09” New SP500 target of 7900 “7:24” Range of bull and bear case “8:24” Where is sentiment? “10:44” Energy, Materials and Tech growth rates stand out “12:14” AI Fast Lane not impacted by Iran War “15:29” Sector valuation multiples “17:42” SP500 23.6x PE, and where that sits in recent range “22:17” Stressing the target with big Iran War impact “26:45” Lessons from Covid & Tariffs mean resilience for 2026 at least “29:36” US/China and tariffs “32:31” What will US Mid Terms mean for markets “35:37” Fed outlook under Warsh “37:19” Like small caps, love large cap growth “39:52” US over International, despite valuation gap “42:10” Growth over Value “43:32” Pressure from summer IPOs? “44:45” Conclusion – Not cheap, but room to run   You can watch the full video on The Master Investor Podcast YouTube channel   And follow @WilfredFrost on X and Linked In   Sponsored by BNY Investments, Interactive Brokers - ibkr.com/masterinvestor, The World Gold Council and London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG).    The Master Investor Podcast is produced by Paradine Productions, Master Investor Ltd in association with Bird Lime Media.   This podcast is for information purposes only. It does not constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity. It is not a financial promotion as defined under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA). The views expressed by the presenter of this podcast are those of the presenter and are provided in the course of journalism. This podcast benefits from the exemption under Article 20 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (FPO), It does not require approval by a person authorised under the FSMA. Generic information, not identifying any specific investment, fund, provider or service, about a class of investments such as shares, bonds, derivatives and cryptoassets, might be provided and/or discussed during this podcast. Such discussion falls within the generic promotions exemption (Article 17 of the FPO). Such discussion is not a financial promotion requiring approval by an authorised person under section 21 of the FSMA. Investing involves risk. You should consult a suitably qualified adviser who can assess your individual circumstances before making any investment decision.

    50 min
  8. Dan Niles: Be Nimble - 30-50% AI Crash By 2027

    May 12

    Dan Niles: Be Nimble - 30-50% AI Crash By 2027

    Legendary tech investor Dan Niles cautions investors to consider raising their cash ratings in this week’s episode of The Master Investor Podcast, just six weeks after he correctly called for a more aggressive risk-on approach at the end of March While he still thinks today is more like 1997/98 than 2000 and that the shift from chat-based AI to Agentic AI will sustain major earnings upgrades for the rest of this year, he warns that tech stocks are overbought, Iran War risks persist, and the challenges that will hit the AI trade either way by year end. SEMIS: “So in the short term, are semis at the most overbought they've been since 2000 or 1995 before they had horrific corrections? Absolutely.” IRAN WAR: “If this is going to take a lot longer for this situation at the Strait of Hormuz to get sorted out, then you're going to see stock prices collapse to catch up with where bond yields and oil prices are. I don't think that's the case. But, I'm viewing things as you should be sitting with a lot of cash.” MEGA CAP WINNER: “It's obviously Google. They have the full stack and they're the ones you should bet on. And unless something drastically changes, they will continue to be the winner going forward because they've got everything and they've got the massive cashflow to fund it.” He also discusses what the shift to Agentic AI means for $NVDA (not ideal), Intel $INTC (great) and $AMD (good); why concerns over $META are NOT overdone; why $AAPL fortunes should improve; why $AMZN and $MSFT are struggling a bit short term, and why $GOOGL shines bright. Recorded 11th May 2026 00.00 Intro 02.39 Why today feels like 1997/98, NOT 1999/2000 05.25 Agentic AI suggests more upside to bull market 07.52 But Iran War could derail things 11.18 Agentic AI means CPU’s over GPU’s 13.35 Semis are overbought 17.51 Is shift to CPUs bad for Nvidia? 19.13 Google the standout performer 21.15 Apple leadership transition 23.45 Meta concerns not overdone 25.37 Google best placed 27.36 30-50% AI crash by early 2027 30.01 Concerns about OpenAI 34.27 Upcoming IPOs, oil, bonds signal problems 36.16 Hold more cash 37.48 Kevin Warsh a positive, but watch bonds 43.34 Quantum computing 45.44 Conclusion:1998 or 1999?   You can watch the full video on The Master Investor Podcast YouTube channel   And follow @WilfredFrost on X and Linked In   Sponsored by BNY Investments, Interactive Brokers - ibkr.com/masterinvestor, The World Gold Council and London Stock Exchange Group (LSEG).    The Master Investor Podcast is produced by Paradine Productions, Master Investor Ltd in association with Bird Lime Media.   This podcast is for information purposes only. It does not constitute an invitation or inducement to engage in any investment activity. It is not a financial promotion as defined under section 21 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (FSMA). The views expressed by the presenter of this podcast are those of the presenter and are provided in the course of journalism. This podcast benefits from the exemption under Article 20 of the Financial Services and Markets Act 2000 (Financial Promotion) Order 2005 (FPO), It does not require approval by a person authorised under the FSMA. Generic information, not identifying any specific investment, fund, provider or service, about a class of investments such as shares, bonds, derivatives and cryptoassets, might be provided and/or discussed during this podcast. Such discussion falls within the generic promotions exemption (Article 17 of the FPO). Such discussion is not a financial promotion requiring approval by an authorised person under section 21 of the FSMA. Investing involves risk. You should consult a suitably qualified adviser who can assess your individual circumstances before making any investment decision.

    50 min
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Hosted by Wilfred Frost, The Master Investor Podcast is for anyone passionate about business and investing. We are pro ambition, celebrate success and provide you the edge. Join us and learn from the most legendary investors and business leaders in the world.

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