LifeGoals Market Update

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Monthly market update from LifeGoals Asset Management Department.

Episodes

  1. APR 22

    Update for April 2026

    This report reviews developments in March and April 2026. In the US, job growth rebounded strongly to 178,000, while unemployment fell to 4.3%, though driven by a shrinking labor force. Inflation surged to 3.3%, mainly due to a sharp spike in energy prices linked to the Iran conflict, while core inflation remained contained. The Fed remains cautious, with low expectations for near-term rate cuts. In Europe, inflation rose to 2.6%, with energy contributing significantly. The ECB signaled rising upside risks to inflation due to the ongoing conflict but is holding off on immediate policy action while assessing the situation. Oil prices remained highly volatile, peaking near $118 before stabilizing around $90–$100 amid ceasefire developments and ongoing tensions around the Strait of Hormuz. Supply risks remain elevated, with disruptions affecting global energy markets and even leading to jet fuel shortages in Europe. Global equities rebounded sharply, with the S&P 500 up 8.1% and reaching new highs, driven by optimism around a ceasefire. European markets also posted strong gains. However, risks remain that prolonged high oil prices could reverse this rally. Bond yields were mixed, with US yields slightly lower and European yields stable to slightly higher. Gold recovered modestly after prior declines, while Bitcoin rose around 5%. The US dollar weakened, while the euro and sterling strengthened. In Cyprus, inflation increased to 1.5%, while 10-year yields declined. US banks reported strong Q1 earnings driven by trading income, though concerns emerged around private credit exposure at some institutions.

    22 min

  2. MAR 27

    Update for March 2026

    This report covers macroeconomic and market developments in February and March 2026. In the US, the labor market weakened, with payrolls declining by 92,000 and unemployment rising to 4.4%, although wage growth remained firm. Inflation held steady at 2.4%, but rising oil prices are expected to push inflation higher. The Fed kept rates unchanged at 3.5%–3.75%, signaling caution as it balances stronger growth with rising inflation risks driven by energy prices. Geopolitical tensions dominated markets, as the US and Israel attacked Iran, triggering retaliation and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz. This severely disrupted global energy supplies and sent oil prices sharply higher. Brent surged above $100, with risks of further spikes depending on the duration of the conflict. Euro area inflation rose slightly to 1.9%, while the ECB held rates steady but signaled a potential shift toward rate hikes as inflation risks increase. Markets are now pricing in multiple ECB hikes in 2026 if energy-driven inflation persists. Global equities declined amid rising oil prices and geopolitical uncertainty. The S&P 500 fell 4.2%, while European markets dropped more sharply due to higher energy dependence. Bond yields rose significantly in both the US and Europe as inflation concerns re-emerged. Gold fell despite geopolitical stress, as investors liquidated positions amid rising yields, while Bitcoin rebounded by over 10%. The US dollar strengthened, while the euro and sterling weakened. European bank stocks declined sharply due to concerns over economic slowdown and rising credit risks linked to higher energy costs.

    23 min

  3. FEB 27

    Update for February 2026

    This report reviews macroeconomic and market developments in January and February 2026. In the US, job growth surprised to the upside with 130,000 new jobs in January, while unemployment fell to 4.3%. Inflation eased to 2.4%, boosting expectations for a June Fed rate cut. The Fed held rates steady at 3.5%–3.75%, signaling patience. Political tensions intensified after the US Supreme Court struck down a large part of President Trump’s tariff framework, only for the administration to quickly introduce a new 15% global tariff. In Europe, inflation declined to 1.7% in January. The ECB kept rates unchanged and maintained a data-dependent stance, while monitoring euro strength and trade uncertainty. The euro has appreciated significantly over the past year, raising some concerns about downside inflation risks. Oil prices rose around 10% amid escalating US-Iran tensions and supply concerns. Gold rebounded strongly and remains near record highs, supported by geopolitical volatility and central bank demand. In contrast, Bitcoin fell nearly 30% over the period, reflecting a sharp deterioration in risk appetite. US equities were largely flat, with the S&P 500 up just 0.2% after briefly surpassing 7,000. AI-related disruption fears weighed heavily on technology and software stocks, while IBM fell sharply following developments in AI-driven legacy system modernization. European markets outperformed, with France’s CAC and the STOXX Europe 600 reaching record highs. Bond yields declined in both the US and Europe, reflecting softer inflation data and expectations of a more dovish Fed leadership transition later this year. In Cyprus, inflation jumped to 1.7%, while 10-year yields edged slightly lower. European banks reported strong Q4 earnings, with BNP Paribas posting record results and ING delivering solid profits.

    18 min
  • 3 Episodes

About

Monthly market update from LifeGoals Asset Management Department.

Information

  • Creator
    LifeGoals
  • Years Active
    2024 - 2026
  • Episodes
    3
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © 2026 LifeGoals Market Update