Deal Flow Friday

David Moghavem

Every Friday, join us as we dive into the latest in real estate multifamily with David Moghavem, Head of Acquisitions at Trion Properties. David invites top experts who know the ins, outs, and trends shaping the real estate multifamily market across the nation!

  1. Strategy through Cycles: Henry Manoucheri - Universe Holdings

    20. MÄRZ

    Strategy through Cycles: Henry Manoucheri - Universe Holdings

    In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David interviews Henry Manoucheri, CEO of Universe Holdings, to break down the current state of the multifamily real estate market, interest rates, and investment strategy in today’s cycle. Recorded around Nowruz, the conversation connects themes of renewal with a deep dive into how experienced operators are navigating rising interest rates, inflation, and shifting capital markets. With over 40 years in commercial real estate, Henry shares why this cycle is unlike 2008 or prior downturns, and what investors need to understand about today’s prolonged uncertainty. Henry outlines key lessons in real estate debt strategy, risk management, and underwriting, including how variable rate loans and rate caps impacted multifamily investors across the country. He explains why his firm is prioritizing fixed-rate financing, conservative leverage, and long-term hold strategies, while adjusting assumptions around cap rates, refinance timing, and exit valuations. For investors and sponsors, this episode highlights how to avoid common mistakes and structure deals for durability in a higher-rate environment. The discussion also covers top real estate markets, migration trends, and where to invest in 2026, comparing California, Florida, Texas, and New Jersey. Henry explains why barriers to entry, supply constraints, and job growth remain critical factors in market selection, and why some high-growth Sunbelt markets carry hidden risks due to oversupply. He also shares insights on expanding into new markets, building vertically integrated real estate platforms, and creating operational efficiencies across property management, construction, and insurance. Finally, the episode dives into capital raising strategies for real estate investors, including how to work with high-net-worth individuals, family offices, and institutional capital in today’s environment. Henry discusses the shift toward preferred equity, the importance of building long-term investor relationships, and what it takes to scale a real estate portfolio to tens of thousands of units. He closes with practical advice on entrepreneurship, discipline, and decision-making for anyone building a business in commercial real estate.Chapters00:00 Nowruz, New Cycles & Real Estate: From Iran to Building a $1.5B Portfolio06:02 The Most Unusual Market Cycle I’ve Ever Seen11:03 Investment Strategies and Lessons Learned16:11 Expanding Horizons: New Markets and Opportunities21:03 Building a Family Business and Brand24:23 Legacy and Ambition: A Family's Journey25:45 Market Insights: Identifying Opportunities28:19 Political Landscape: The Impact on Real Estate30:07 Wealth Migration: The Shift to Other States33:16 Capital Raising: Strategies for Success43:07 Advice for Emerging Entrepreneurs: Perseverance and Focuswww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @DealflowfridayX: @Dealflowfriday

    50 Min.
  2. Mountain Markets: Jason Koch - MMG

    13. MÄRZ

    Mountain Markets: Jason Koch - MMG

    In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David Moghavem sits down with Jason Koch, Managing Director at MMG, to break down what’s really happening in today’s multifamily market. They discuss early signs of deal activity returning, why Denver has been one of the hardest-hit markets this cycle, and how investors are adapting their strategies in a slower transaction environment.Jason shares his journey from Unique Properties to launching Nexus, joining Capstone, and eventually transitioning to MMG, offering a behind-the-scenes look at how brokerage platforms evolve as markets change. The conversation dives into how the current downturn differs from the Global Financial Crisis, why lenders are working with sponsors instead of forcing sales, and why many deals today are taking months to transact.They also explore how operations and property management have become the new value-add, replacing the rent-growth-driven strategies of the past decade. As capital flows shift, the episode highlights where equity is coming from today—including investors who made significant gains in tech, crypto, and public markets.The episode wraps with practical advice for investors looking to enter Denver and other Mountain West markets, emphasizing why operational expertise may be the biggest competitive advantage in the current cycle.Chapters00:00 Episode Intro - Deal Activity Is Picking Up!04:16 Jason Koch’s Career Journey (Unique → Nexus → Capstone → MMG)10:31 Why Denver Has Been One of the Toughest Multifamily Markets12:39 Why Lenders Aren’t Forcing Sales Like 200816:08 Expanding Beyond Denver: Wyoming, Montana & Salt Lake20:33 Salt Lake City Is So Competitive Right Now23:05 The Biggest Mistake Investors Make When Choosing Submarkets25:50 Why Deals Take Months to Trade Today29:36 What Happened to Denver’s Cap Hill Submarket?!32:37 How Real Estate Deals Are Getting Capitalized Today36:50 Stocks vs Real Estate: Where Investors Are Putting Money40:44 Advice for New Investors in Denver's Marketwww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

    43 Min.
  3. BEC X [Panel]: State of the Multifamily Market

    6. MÄRZ

    BEC X [Panel]: State of the Multifamily Market

    In this special episode of Deal Flow Friday, recorded live at BEC X, David Moghavem joins moderator John Casmon alongside Andrew Cushman (Vantage Point Acquisitions) and Rob Beardsley (LSCRE) for a candid discussion on the current state of the multifamily market. The panel explores how experienced operators are evaluating deals in a post-rate-hike environment, where conservative underwriting and operational execution have become more important than ever. David explains Trion’s focus on untrended yield on cost, emphasizing the need to underwrite deals based on what a property can realistically produce today rather than relying on future rent growth assumptions. The group also dives into the impact of supply across Sun Belt markets, noting that oversupply and concessions have had a greater effect on performance than interest rates in many areas. The conversation covers strategies for investing across markets, the importance of treating every market like your backyard through local relationships and strong on-site teams, and the ongoing debate between value-add and core-plus acquisitions in today’s cycle. The panel also shares lessons from navigating the recent market turbulence, including the importance of conservative debt structures, aligning incentives with property management teams, and protecting the asset first to avoid capital calls during periods of stress.Chapters00:00 Introduction to the Panel and Participants02:27 Evaluating Deals in 2026: Yield on Cost and Market Trends05:07 Texas Multifamily Market: Opportunities and Challenges07:41 Impact of Supply on Market Dynamics11:26 Local Market Knowledge and Investment Strategies13:22 Managing Properties Remotely and Building Local Teams16:53 Vertical Integration and Third-Party Management22:14 Adjusting Investment Strategies in a Changing Market24:47 Market Segmentation: Class A, B, and C Properties33:06 Property Management: Self-Management vs Third-Party37:17 Proactive Risk Management and Market Adaptation38:04 Closing Remarks and Panel Wrap-Upwww.dealflowfriday.comIG: @dealflowfridayX: @dealflowfriday

    36 Min.
  4. Talent Wars in CRE: Mark Silverman & Bryce Goldsen - Advance CRE

    13. FEB.

    Talent Wars in CRE: Mark Silverman & Bryce Goldsen - Advance CRE

    In Episode 43 of Deal Flow Friday, David sits down with Mark Silverman and Bryce Goldsen, Co-Founders of AdvanceCRE, along with Max Sharkansky Managing Partner of Trion Properties, to break down the evolving talent landscape in commercial real estate—from the remote work debate and the shift back to in-office execution, to relocation trends, offshore competition, and the rising demand for high-impact executive roles. The conversation dives deep into how AI is reshaping hiring decisions, whether firms truly need a “Head of AI” or simply sharper junior talent, and why in a slower transaction market the bar for human capital is actually rising—not falling. Ultimately, this episode argues that in today’s cycle, great deals don’t start with capital—they start with people. Chapters: 00:00 – Is Our Generation Soft? The Remote Work Debate 01:21 – Intro: Mark Silverman, Bryce Goldsen & AdvanceCRE 02:51 – From Investment Banking to Executive Search 05:05 – Why They Moved From LA to the East Coast 06:52 – Are People Still Relocating for Opportunity? 08:38 – Hiring Then vs Now: What Changed After COVID 09:16 – The First Question Candidates Ask Today 10:00 – Is the Trend Moving Back In-Office? 12:00 – Spontaneous Collaboration vs Scheduled Zoom Calls 13:20 – Scaling Culture Across Multiple Offices 14:40 – Back Office → No Office: Offshore Competition 15:30 – Why Executive Assistants Are in High Demand 16:45 – AI in Real Estate: Do You Need a Head of AI? 18:00 – Senior AI Hire vs Junior AI Talent 21:05 – How a 22-Year-Old Automated Accounting 23:30 – Fractional AI Officers & The Middle Market 25:05 – Will AI Reduce Headcount or Raise the Bar? 26:20 – Is the Hiring Slowdown AI or Just the Cycle? 27:15 – Jobs AI Can’t Replace in Real Estate www.dealflowfriday.com IG: @dealflowfriday X: @dealflowfriday

    53 Min.
  5. Multifamily Asset Management Playbook: Brendan Van Deventer - CRES

    6. FEB.

    Multifamily Asset Management Playbook: Brendan Van Deventer - CRES

    In this episode of Deal Flow Friday, David Moghavem sits down with Brendan Van Deventer, Co-Founder and Managing Partner of CRES (Consolidated Real Estate Strategies), for a tactical, operator-level discussion on what asset management actually looks like in today’s challenging multifamily environment. Brendan breaks down the realities operators are facing post-rate hikes, including muted rent growth, rising expenses, and operational inefficiencies that are now impossible to ignore. Rather than focusing on surface-level reporting, the conversation centers on execution and discipline at the asset level, using Brendan’s Four Ps framework: People, Product, Pricing, and Promotion. The episode dives deep into why on-site teams remain the highest-leverage variable, how retention has become one of the most important drivers of cash flow, and why many traditional renovation and marketing strategies no longer pencil. David and Brendan also explore collections discipline, backdoor eviction risk, renewal strategy, SEO-driven marketing, and why “back to basics” operations are outperforming flashy tools in this cycle. This conversation is a must-listen for operators, asset managers, lenders, and investors managing through distress or repositioning assets heading into 2026. Key topics covered include: The Four Ps asset management frameworkRetention vs. turnover economics (the 3x rule)Expense pressure from insurance, payroll, and marketingSEO and PPC vs. bloated ILS spendCollections discipline and de-risking bad debtWhy clean operations and execution now drive real ROIA practical playbook for navigating today’s multifamily headwinds. Chapters: 00:00 Introduction to CRES Asset Management 05:21 The New Expense Stack: Insurance, Payroll, and Cost Shock 08:37 Marketing Spend Is Broken: Why More Zillow ≠ More Leases 12:06 SEO, PPC, and the Shift Away From ILS 15:33 entralization: When It Works, When It Backfires 21:03 Pricing Strategies and Tenant Retention 23:10 Why Retention Is Worth 3× New Leasing 28:24 The Backdoor Eviction Problem Operators Are Facing 34:41 FlexPay, Guarantors, and De-Risking Collections 37:21 What Dollars Spent on a Property Yield The Highest ROI Today? 42:39 Future Vision for Cress www.dealflowfriday.com IG: @dealflowfriday X: @dealflowfriday

    45 Min.

Info

Every Friday, join us as we dive into the latest in real estate multifamily with David Moghavem, Head of Acquisitions at Trion Properties. David invites top experts who know the ins, outs, and trends shaping the real estate multifamily market across the nation!

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