Monetary Matters with Jack Farley

Jack Farley
  • 4,3 (6)
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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

  1. The Economic Effects of Technological Disruption & Artificial Intelligence | Nobel Laureate in Economics Peter Howitt

    VOR 1 TAG

    The Economic Effects of Technological Disruption & Artificial Intelligence | Nobel Laureate in Economics Peter Howitt

    Recent Nobel laureate in economics Peter Howitt joins Jack to discuss his work on technological disruption and creative destruction. Dr. Howitt explains that technological advancement creates economic growth while also causing workers to lose their jobs and firms to go bankrupt due to obsolescence. This topic is especially relevant today because of the advancement of artificial intelligence technology. Jack and Dr. Howitt examine if artificial intelligence is truly economically different from past technological breakthroughs, the effects of its adoption, and more. Recorded on February 12th, 2026.   Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1 Std. 16 Min.
  2. Jobless Growth, Euphoria, and a Manufacturing Recovery: How Iran Could Force a Macro Regime Change | Tian Yang

    VOR 1 TAG

    Jobless Growth, Euphoria, and a Manufacturing Recovery: How Iran Could Force a Macro Regime Change | Tian Yang

    This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners Tian Yang, CEO of quant research platform Variant Perception, joins Monetary Matters to discuss how the benign macro regime might shift in the back half of 2026 should the Iran conflict not produce a prolonged shock. Yang also touches on how that roadmap would likely be altered by a prolonged conflict, the case for a manufacturing recovery, jobless growth, and peak market euphoria in the summer that could ultimately be marked by the generational IPO of SpaceX. Variant Perception: https://www.variantperception.com/ Follow Variant Perception on Twitter: https://x.com/VrntPerception Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Summer Peak Setup 00:54 Benign Macro Regime 02:54 Iran Energy Shock Risks 04:19 US Versus Rest World 06:41 War Duration Scenarios 10:08 Energy Rotation Signals 10:55 Allocation Engine Explained 13:04 CAIA.nxt 14:00 Fast Calls Repriced 18:44 Historical Cycle Analogies 24:08 Jobless Growth Framework 27:42 Shifting Investment Drivers 29:48 Fed Credibility Tightrope 34:35 Housing Disinflation Drivers 38:58 AI Jobs Debate 39:10 Valuation And Terminal Value 42:28 Capital Cycle Framework 46:31 Semis Versus Software 47:22 Regional Banks Inflection 50:06 Sovereignty Investing Thesis 56:20 Energy and Reindustrialization 59:26 Gold as Risk Off 01:01:20 Conclusion

    1 Std. 1 Min.
  3. How Legendary Resource Investor Rick Rule is Investing for a 10-Year Bull Market

    VOR 5 TAGEN

    How Legendary Resource Investor Rick Rule is Investing for a 10-Year Bull Market

    This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/ Legendary resource investor Rick Rule, founder of Rule Investment Media, explains why he anticipates a 75% decline in US dollar purchasing power over the next decade. Rule breaks down his recent move to sell a significant portion of his silver holdings to rotate into silver miners, highlighting the massive valuation arbitrage currently available in the sector. He provides a masterclass on the "best-of-the-best" royalty and streaming companies and why he thinks streamers are going to make more deals than ever. He also outlines his top criteria for resources stocks in the mining and oil & gas sectors. Rule Investment Media: https://www.ruleinvestmentmedia.com/ Follow Rick Rule on Twitter: https://x.com/RealRickRule Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 00:53 10 Year Metals Thesis 04:38 Contrarian Investing Rules 07:15 What Starts Bull Markets 10:22 Selling Silver For Miners 14:04 Pictet’s PQNT 16:57 Why Royalties Win 20:00 Big Streaming Deals Ahead 23:58 Valuation Arbitrage And M&A 27:02 Gold Linked Bonds And Credit 30:08 Elemental EMX Merger Synergies 34:11 Altius The Resource Allocator 36:22 Lithium DLE Threat 37:11 Altius Beyond Royalties 39:38 What Makes Great Majors 41:03 Recycle Ratio Explained 45:01 Efficiency Beats Optionality 47:10 Top Picks and M&A Logic 51:58 Jurisdiction Risk Reality 55:12 California Politics and Oil 59:19 Non Producers Highcroft 01:02:29 Snowline and Globex Views 01:06:15 Canadian Oil Royalties 01:09:55 Conclusion

    1 Std. 10 Min.
  4. “A Huge Problem for Everybody” | Paul Krugman on Currency Devaluation, Artificial Intelligence, Kevin Warsh Nomination, & More

    15. FEB.

    “A Huge Problem for Everybody” | Paul Krugman on Currency Devaluation, Artificial Intelligence, Kevin Warsh Nomination, & More

    This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/ Distinguished economist Paul Krugman joins Jack to discuss the devaluation of the dollar, the nomination of Kevin Warsh, artificial intelligence, and much more. Dr. Krugman brings his expertise to give cogent and intelligent answers on important economic questions of our time. Recorded on February 6th, 2026.   Follow Paul Krugman on Substack https://paulkrugman.substack.com/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    59 Min.
  5. The “Climax Top” In Gold & Silver | Milton Berg, Turning Point Master, on Precious Metals, Bitcoin, and Disturbing December Warning In Stocks

    10. FEB.

    The “Climax Top” In Gold & Silver | Milton Berg, Turning Point Master, on Precious Metals, Bitcoin, and Disturbing December Warning In Stocks

    Learn more about the Fundrise Income Fund here: https://Fundrise.com/mm Recorded in February 6th 2026, technical analyst Milton Berg returns to discuss his market outlook after correctly predicting the major market bottom in April 2025. Although his long-term retail model remains 100% long equities until a specific 8% drawdown occurs, Berg reveals that his institutional portfolio is currently net short across major indices. This bearish institutional stance is driven by rare technical anomalies, including a "disturbing" volatility signal from December and a historic "island reversal" pattern in the Russell 2000. Berg admits the current market is tricky, noting that recent strong buying action might force him to cover shorts, though he remains skeptical of the rally's breadth. Turning to commodities, Berg states he is bearish on gold and silver, having shorted them near their late January highs due to signs of a "climax top" and extreme overvaluation relative to inflation. He also provides a critical assessment of Bitcoin, arguing it holds no intrinsic value and pointing out that it recently failed to hold critical technical support levels. Throughout the discussion, Berg emphasizes that his methodology ignores standard economic narratives in favor of identifying rare volume and price occurrences that signal market turning points . Finally, he introduces a new service for individual investors designed to capture the bulk of bull markets while neutralizing emotional decision-making. As Jack notes in the beginning, Milton has since turned from net short to net long U.S. stocks for institutional clients. About Milton Berg Edge: https://miltonbergedge.com/ Follow Milton Berg on X https://x.com/BergMilton Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez DISCLAIMERS and DISCLOSURES for Milton Berg Edge   This Newsletter contains hypothetical performance results. Please carefully review and consider the following disclosures.  Important Disclosure Information Milton Berg Edge is a newsletter (“Newsletter”) owned and published by Milton Berg Advisors, LLC, doing business as “Milton Berg Edge” (“MB Edge,” “firm,” “we,” “our,” and “us”). Milton Berg Advisors, LLC is registered as an investment advisor in the States of Florida and New York. Registration as an investment advisor does not imply any level of skill or training. The Newsletter is a subscription based publication that contains (i) our general commentary and opinion on broad-based market trends and other factors affecting the domestic investment markets in the United States; (ii) answers and reactions to subscriber submitted questions and comments; and (iii) the actual trading activity and net performance of our proprietary investment model (as traded within an account that is actively managed by the firm) and the backtested performance of the model (the “Model”). The contents of the Newsletter and our website (“Website,” and collectively with the Newsletter, the “Content”) are for informational and educational purposes only. No portion of the Content should be construed as investment advice or recommendations tailored to the financial circumstances, investment needs, objectives, and/or limitations of any particular subscriber. Investing in securities involves the risk of loss. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

    2 Std. 17 Min.
  6. Why Carson Block Won’t Short AI Names Until the IPOs Begin & Muddy Waters’ Pivot to Long Resources Stocks & S&P 500 Momentum

    4. FEB.

    Why Carson Block Won’t Short AI Names Until the IPOs Begin & Muddy Waters’ Pivot to Long Resources Stocks & S&P 500 Momentum

    This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/ Carson Block, founder of Muddy Waters Capital joins Monetary Matters to discuss why they aren’t rushing to short AI pretenders and fakers until more supply of speculative companies hits the market from big IPOs. They also discuss the increasing dominance of flows over fundamentals in US markets and abroad and Muddy Waters expanding investment focus including: metals and mining stocks, Vietnam, and momentum strategies. Follow Muddy Waters on Twitter: https://x.com/muddywatersre Follow Jack Farley on Twitter: https://x.com/JackFarley96 Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez Timestamps: 00:00 Introduction 01:44 AI and Market Speculation 05:14 Challenges in Short Selling AI Stocks 17:58 Pictet PQNT 19:09 AI Pretenders 21:41 Mining Investments and Strategies 36:51 Red Flags in Investor Presentations 39:07 Geopolitical Considerations 40:15 Fraud in Chinese Companies 49:43 Vietnam and India Investment Opportunities 59:05 Momentum Strategy in the S&P 500 01:05:07 Activist Short Selling and Future Plans

    1 Std. 6 Min.
  7. Why Silver Is Flowing East | Alex Campbell on Solar, Scarcity, and the Six-Sigma Silver Crash (Plus: SaaS & AI)

    3. FEB.

    Why Silver Is Flowing East | Alex Campbell on Solar, Scarcity, and the Six-Sigma Silver Crash (Plus: SaaS & AI)

    This episode is brought to you by the Pictet AI Enhanced International Equity ETF ($PQNT): https://etf.am.pictet.com/pqnt/ Alexander Campbell, founder of Rose AI and former head of commodities at Bridgewater, joins the show to dissect the structural drivers behind the silver market and the transformative potential of artificial intelligence. Campbell details the "Silver Squeeze" thesis, attributing the metal's volatility to a combination of inelastic industrial demand from solar manufacturing and speculative capital flight out of China. He clarifies complex market dynamics, specifically the "Shanghai Premium" and the logistical friction involved in moving physical metal between Western and Eastern exchanges. Shifting to technology, Campbell warns of an impending "air pocket" for traditional software stocks, arguing that AI agents will disrupt companies that function primarily as "a database and a front end". He outlines a future defined by local compute and open-source models, predicting that value will accrue to data ownership and physical hardware rather than legacy SaaS applications. The conversation concludes with Campbell’s macro strategy of being long the "world of stuff" and data while betting against the "economy of paper" amidst de-globalization. Recorded February 2, 2026. Alex’s pieces: “Silver: The Only Money That Generates Electricity”: https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/silver-the-only-money-that-generates “The Silver Squeeze”: How Solar Threatens a Decade of Deficits https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/the-silver-squeeze “When You Feel Pain, Remember to Reflect”: https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/when-you-feel-pain-remember-to-reflect “The Protection Portfolio: September 2025”:https://www.campbellramble.ai/p/the-protection-portfolio-september Follow Alex Campbell on X https://x.com/abcampbell Follow Jack Farley on X https://x.com/JackFarley96 World Silver Survey 2025:https://silverinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/04/World_Silver_Survey-2025.pdf November 2025 Interim Market Review: https://silverinstitute.org/wp-content/uploads/2025/11/Silver_Institute_Silver_Interim_2025.pdf Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcast https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1 Std. 37 Min.
  8. Is the Age of Reckless Lending Coming To An End? | Oaktree’s Raghav Khanna on Private Credit, Software, and How Oaktree Correctly Saw First Brands' Red Flags

    1. FEB.

    Is the Age of Reckless Lending Coming To An End? | Oaktree’s Raghav Khanna on Private Credit, Software, and How Oaktree Correctly Saw First Brands' Red Flags

    This episode is brought to you by CAIA.nxt. Learn more about their alternatives education courses for investment advisors and get 10% off with code MMTEN: https://caia.org/content/welcome-monetary-matters-and-other-peoples-money-listeners   Raghav Khanna, managing director at Oaktree’s Global Private Debt strategy, joins Jack to discuss the ins and outs of the credit industry. Raghav offers insight into the opaque world of lending, including his opinions on the First Brands Group fiasco, private credit, and artificial intelligence. Raghav not only explains recent trends in credit, but gives his thoughts on where things may be headed as technology shifts. Recorded on January 22nd, 2026.   Follow Raghav Khanna on LinkedIn https://www.linkedin.com/in/raghavkhanna/ Follow Jack Farley on Twitter https://x.com/jackfarley96   Follow Monetary Matters on: Apple Podcasts https://rb.gy/s5qfyh Spotify https://rb.gy/x56dx5 YouTube https://rb.gy/dpwxez

    1 Std. 1 Min.
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Jack Farley interviews the very best financial minds about macro, markets, and monetary matters. Follow Jack on Twitter @JackFarley96.

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  • Erstellt von
    Jack Farley
  • Jahre aktiv
    2024 - 2026
  • Folgen
    225

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