Martijn Bron joins The Sophron® Network to describe what physical commodity trading actually consists of, and how little of it resembles the version visible from outside. We start with a cocoa futures market that ran for years with no position limits and no delivery limits, where squeezes and corners were part of the furniture, and work through what it takes to hedge a global processing business inside a market like that. Martijn Bron is a commodity trading, risk and recruitment specialist, independent since 2023. He works as a headhunter in the commodity industry through his own practice, Maverack Talent Experts, consults for clients including Keystone, co-hosts the Strong Source commodity podcast with Vesper founder Alexander Sterk, and writes Vesper's bi-weekly cocoa market reports. Before going independent he spent 26 years at Cargill, seven of them as Global Head of Trading for Cargill Cocoa & Chocolate, a business of roughly 3,500 people. He joined in Amsterdam in 1997, traded European grains and oilseeds in Geneva, moved to cocoa in 2006, and spent around ten years on the exchange body governing the cocoa contract under LIFFE and later ICE. We examine merchandising, the part of the business almost never described properly: trading around an asset, where the decision is whether to run a factory, slow it down, or buy someone else's production. We look at why the price on the screen is a given and the job is the analysis before it, and why the purpose of price in commodities is to prevent a structural deficit or surplus. The conversation then turns to origin, following the crop from a farm in rural West Africa to the port and every way it can go wrong on the road, and to his argument that climate change is being used as a scapegoat for years of absent replanting and mismanaged tree stock. We close on the market as it stands now, and his advice to anyone speculating: think about what is your edge, not a hedge. Follow Martijn BronLinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/martijn-bron-77a4224/ Read The Full Write-Uphttps://www.amsterdaminvestmentclub.com/publications?id=ApWWx49UOD1QQ1hmFnWm&collection=The%20Sophron%20Network Core Timestamps00:00 - Welcome and introductions04:13 - Which commodity you start with, and why it does not matter09:34 - Cocoa as the Wild West: squeezes, corners, no position limits10:31 - Ten years on the exchange advisory body20:47 - Merchandising: trading around a factory23:51 - Where the money sits: basis, supply and demand, deep analysis28:40 - Why what gets called trading online is not trading30:07 - Confirmation bias mistaken for conviction40:26 - Cargill, Citadel, Optiver: three different business models45:56 - Turning an earnings call straight into a supply and demand balance49:24 - Why cocoa went up four times before the shelf price moved52:31 - Climate change as a scapegoat1:02:26 - El Niño, and a market moving six percent a day1:08:24 - Edge, not hedge Main Topics CoveredPhysical commodity trading and merchandising around assetsHedging, basis, correlation and the Texas hedgeExchange governance, squeezes and position limitsOrigin risk in Ghana and Ivory CoastAI applied to fundamental researchThe cocoa rally, the demand shock and the shelf price lagConnect With UsInstagram: https://instagram.com/amsterdaminvestLinkedIn: https://linkedin.com/company/amsterdam-investment-clubX: https://x.com/amsterdaminvest Subscribe for more conversations at the intersection of markets, research, and technology.