Adler AM: Bitcoin Morning Brief

Axel Adler Jr.
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A five-day-a-week morning podcast on Bitcoin market structure, on-chain data, ETF flows, derivatives, macro risk, and key signals for active investors. Each episode turns the latest Adler AM brief into a clear, data-driven audio update. Not financial advice.

  1. vor 12 Std.

    Bitcoin Volatility Squeeze at 4% - ADX Confirms No Trend

    Bitcoin volatility compressed to 3.8% and ADX fell to 11 - an extreme Bollinger Bands squeeze, no trend. Watch for band expansion, ADX above 20.

  2. vor 1 Tag

    New BTC buyers near breakeven, 3-6M cohort underwater

    Bitcoin 0-3M holder NUPL is near breakeven while the 3-6M cohort sits at -0.14, its Realized Cap 69.6% below peak. Watch 3-6M to reclaim zero.

  3. vor 2 Tagen

    MVRV Z-Score Falls to 0.41: Correction Without Capitulation

    MVRV Z-Score at 0.41, below its 1.69 mean but above zero. BTC holds ~13% over the $57.6K cost basis. Lose it and $46.1K stress opens up.

  4. vor 5 Tagen

    LTHs are Realizing Losses, but Their Cost Basis is 30% Below the Market Price

    LTH SOPR below 1.0 does not mean the entire long-term holder cohort is under pressure. The average LTH cost basis is $49.3K, while Bitcoin trades at $64.3K, so most of the cohort remains in profit. The main stress is now concentrated among STHs, whose cost basis is above the market price.

  5. vor 6 Tagen

    Bitcoin Rebounds to $64.6K, but Fresh Demand has not Returned

    The current price rebound is not confirmed by flows. The apparent demand-to-issuance ratio and net age flow are recovering from their July lows but remain negative. Supply is aging and leaving circulation, supporting the price, but fresh demand has yet to return.

  6. 5. Aug.

    Bitcoin Price Prediction August 2026: Macro & ETF Outlook

    Bitcoin price prediction for August 2026 with historical performance, support and resistance, macro outlook, ETF flows, and on-chain data.

  7. 4. Aug.

    Bitcoin remains in the high-stress zone: the indicator reached 71.5

    This brief shows how the balance of supply in profit and loss has changed over the past year and how stress has evolved during the past month. The picture remains strained, but the indicator is still far from previous extremes, while weekly momentum has only started to turn higher.

  8. 3. Aug.

    Bitcoin sentiment is deteriorating, but the market is not in the Fear zone yet

    The market is still in the Neutral zone, but sentiment continues to deteriorate and is approaching the Fear threshold.

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A five-day-a-week morning podcast on Bitcoin market structure, on-chain data, ETF flows, derivatives, macro risk, and key signals for active investors. Each episode turns the latest Adler AM brief into a clear, data-driven audio update. Not financial advice.

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  • Erstellt von
    Axel Adler Jr.
  • Jahre aktiv
    2026
  • Folgen
    65
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    Unbedenklich
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    © Axel Adler Jr.
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