New Horizons Investment

Odd Bird
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This podcast is designed to introduce new investors to investing.

  1. 25. Juli

    The Nomad Nine

    This episode I discuss how I run an independent equity research project built around Nick Sleep's investment philosophy — the same discipline that turned Nomad Investment Partnership into one of the best-performing hedge funds of its era. I read through 30 annual reports and scored every company against Sleep's nine core principles, from scale economics shared to owner mentality. Then I cut the nine down to the three that matter most — scale economics, duration, and capital allocation — and replaced the average with a hurdle: clear all three, or you're out. Nine companies survived. I call it the Nick Sleep Stress Test, and I write and talk about what it reveals — not just which stocks pass, but what "passing" actually means about how a business treats the people who make it money. It's less a stock screen than a way of asking one question: is this company getting better for its customers as it gets bigger, or just better for itself?

  2. 21. Juli

    The Annual Report Acid Test

    This episode goes over 251 pages of Nomad letters plus 30 annual reports, and overlays companies against Nick Sleep's philosophy across three tiers. Tier 3 (nine emerging names) came down to a close call between MercadoLibre and HEICO — HEICO won on cleaner economics and a proven capital allocation record. Tier 2 (nine proven compounders) crowned Microsoft, with the through-line being that every top name obsesses over customer value first, profit second. Tier 1 (twelve finalists) produced a podium of Visa, Meta, and ASML, with FICO as honorable mention. The big theme across all 30 stocks are great compounders reinvest relentlessly, widen moats every year, and let shareholder returns follow as a byproduct. A follow-up piece is planned to dig deeper into the top five and eventually stress-test all 30 against Sleep's rules. So stay tuned.

  3. 12. Juli

    The Equity Integrity Score: Frameworks for Long-Term Compounding

    This episode provides an update on Equity Integrity Score (EIS), a proprietary investment framework designed to prioritize long-term compounding over short-term market timing. This system evaluates companies based on disciplined capital allocation, management quality, and business durability to generate a curated watchlist of 33 high-potential stocks. The author Chris Von Hoene, illustrates how different strategies—inspired by Philip Fisher, Warren Buffett, and power-law dynamics—can be applied to these same stocks to achieve various financial goals. The Power-Law Portfolio emphasizes concentrated bets on exceptional outliers like META, UBER, and TOST to maximize wealth creation. The author argues that time and portfolio structure are more vital to success than simply finding statistically cheap bargains.

  4. 8. Juli

    Nomad Investment Partnership Letters to Partners 2001–2014

    This episode discusses Nomad Investment Partnership letters, written by Nick Sleep and Qais Zakaria between 2001 and 2014, documents the firm’s transition from seeking "cigar butt" bargains to holding high-quality, permanent assets. The authors advocate for an absolute return orientation and emphasize the necessity of investor patience as a competitive advantage over short-term market participants. By profiling specific investments like Costco, Xerox, and Stagecoach, the letters illustrate a disciplined "value" philosophy focused on buying businesses at a significant discount to their intrinsic worth. Beyond finance, the preamble highlights the partners' commitment to philanthropy, suggesting that true investment success culminates in reinvesting wealth back into society. This podcast also includes correspondence with Warren Buffett, reinforcing the fund's alignment with traditional, long-term capital allocation principles. These reports serve as a comprehensive educational resource for those looking to understand the mechanics of compounding and the psychological rigors of contrarian investing.

  5. 6. Juni

    Delta: The Gap Between Quality and Opportunity

    This episode explores Delta, the gap between business quality and investment attractiveness. The Equity Integrity Score (EIS) measures whether a company is structurally sound through factors like capital allocation, revenue quality, and moat strength, while my ranking system focuses on what I would actually buy. By comparing the two, Delta reveals where the numbers and my convictions diverge. Small Deltas suggest alignment between quality and opportunity, while large Deltas highlight areas where future expectations differ from present fundamentals. The framework turns disagreements into research questions rather than conclusions. Delta may be the most important metric in the portfolio because it exposes where conviction, valuation, and business quality collide.

  6. 3. Juni

    The Equity Integrity Score - Expansion Version

    This 19 minute episode introduces the Equity Integrity Score (EIS), a framework designed to separate genuine business compounding from structural equity decay. This is the expansion version looking at over 135+ stocks. Rather than focusing solely on growth, EIS evaluates four core pillars: ROIC stability, revenue quality, dilution discipline, and capital allocation integrity. The central idea is that investors are not buying earnings or revenue streams—they are buying a claim on a compounding machine, and that machine can quietly deteriorate while reported results continue to improve. Using heat maps, scoring systems, and a Top 40 ranking framework, EIS helps identify businesses such as Meta, Microsoft, Nvidia, Broadcom, and Google that exhibit broad-based structural strength across multiple dimensions. The framework also highlights value-oriented compounders like MOH, ELV, VEEV, and SFM, which score highly through balance and durability rather than narrative appeal. Portfolio construction shifts from maximizing upside stories to maximizing confidence in the durability of the underlying equity structure. EIS is not designed to predict winners—it is a structural filter intended to eliminate false winners before they become permanent sources of capital loss.

  7. 28. Mai

    The Equity Integrity Score: Measuring Structural Compounding vs. Decay

    This episode introduces the Equity Integrity Score (EIS), a financial framework designed to distinguish between genuine long-term compounding and superficial growth. This system evaluates a company’s structural durability by measuring four key dimensions: return on invested capital stability, revenue quality, ownership dilution, and capital allocation. By identifying forces of equity decay like aggressive accounting or misaligned management, the EIS acts as a structural filter to categorize investments into three distinct tiers. The framework shifts the focus of portfolio construction from chasing market narratives to prioritizing capital preservation and per-share value. This methodology serves as a permission structure for position sizing, ensuring that the largest allocations are reserved for businesses with the highest economic integrity.

  8. 15. Mai

    Institutional Anomalies and The Contrarian Playbook Q1 2026

    This podcast discusses significant investment shifts among prominent hedge funds and institutional managers during the first quarter of 2026. These records highlight aggressive portfolio expansions into volatile sectors, such as artificial intelligence infrastructure and distressed retail stocks. Key players like Oaktree and Greenlight Capital executed massive percentage increases in specific positions, signaling a strong contrarian investment strategy despite broader market skepticism. Some firms performed strategic liquidations in major tech and media companies to mitigate risk or lock in profits. This episode serves as a comprehensive overview of how elite institutional investors are navigating a landscape of high-stakes momentum trades and deep-value opportunities. The podcast illustrates a period of bold asset reallocation characterized by high-conviction bets on unloved or emerging market entities.

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This podcast is designed to introduce new investors to investing.

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  • Erstellt von
    Odd Bird
  • Jahre aktiv
    2025 - 2026
  • Folgen
    93
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    Unbedenklich
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    © Odd Bird
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    New Horizons Investment