Three Buddy Problem

Security Conversations

The Three Buddy Problem is a popular Security Conversations podcast that goes beyond industry talking points to discuss what others won’t -- nation-state malware, attribution, cyberwar, ethics, privacy, and the messy realities of securing computers and corporate networks. Hosted by three veteran security pros -- journalist Ryan Naraine and malware paleontologists Costin Raiu and Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade -- the weekly show attracts a highly engaged audience of security researchers, corporate defenders, CISOs, and policymakers. Connect with Ryan on Twitter (Open DMs).

  1. -2 j

    Aaron Grattafiori Explains How LLMs Hunt Patch Variants at Scale

    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.) Three Buddy Problem x Offensive AI Con: Umbriel AI's Aaron Grattafiori breaks down the new offensive-security playbook, using LLMs for patch variant analysis, why the vuln apocalypse hasn't become an exploit apocalypse, and how the death of security through obscurity puts closed-source binaries and firmware within reach. Plus, we discuss rogue agents escaping sandboxes, the eval-driven loop behind recursive self-improvement, and the brutal cost asymmetry that makes offense cheap and defense almost unaffordable. Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Aaron Grattafiori. Timestamps: 0:00 Introductory banter 1:12 Umbriel AI pitch: "Smart people in a place to cook” 3:08 Weird, exhausting, exciting time in security 4:00 What AI really changed: speed (and a 30-minute reimplementation) 6:36 Incomplete fixes and the variant-analysis pipeline 9:21 Uplifting, abstraction, and representing vulnerabilities 11:48 Experimentation and the new shape of security companies 14:46 The vuln apocalypse vs. the exploit apocalypse 16:36 Triage, verification, and reward hacking 18:08 Do models reintroduce bugs? Is vuln-free code possible? 24:22 Specialized models and the rise of Jev-style classifiers 26:47 Binaries, firmware, and the death of security through obscurity 31:15 Open source as a requirement and corporate contracting 33:54 Rogue agents: Hugging Face, OpenAI, and lab escapes 39:17 Why defense is so expensive, and running the rig

    Aaron Grattafiori Explains How LLMs Hunt Patch Variants at Scale
  2. -2 j

    Joel Todoroff on How Offensive AI Is Rewiring Western Government Ops

    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.) Three Buddy Problem x Offensive AI Con: Former US intelligence and national security official Joel Todoroff joins us live from OffensiveAIcon to explain why his new startup Phyle is building AI for the recon and targeting work that happens long before anyone fires an exploit. We get into bribable sysadmins, the military framing that boxes in Western cyber operations, letters of marque, AI doomerism, and what happens when a frontier model decides mid-project that your use case is off-limits. Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Joel Todoroff. Timestamps: 0:00 Live from OffensiveAIcon in Oceanside 1:23 What Phyle builds for governments 3:02 Skepticism of the AI 0-day factory 5:57 Paying a sysadmin vs. burning tokens 9:30 Recon gets less love than weaponization 12:41 Exploit shelf life and target No. 1,000 17:30 Why attacker costs will keep rising 22:23 What HUMINT looks like in 2026 27:06 Why intelligence stovepipes persist 32:16 Cyber as statecraft beyond the military frame 41:23 People will keep making dumb mistakes 48:03 The White House memo and letters of marque 54:06 Doomerism vs. near-term AI harms 1:04:20 PSOA concerns and building guardrails in 1:26:03 Open models, guardrails and zero data retention

    Joel Todoroff on How Offensive AI Is Rewiring Western Government Ops
  3. 25 sept.

    Kernel Exploits in the iOS App Store, ShinyHunters Inside the FBI

    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.) Three Buddy Problem - Episode 114: We dig into TypeSafe AI's Jev and the new class of System One models, a new Transluce report on rogue OpenAI agents probing an Australian Medicare portal, Irregular's role in the latest Gemini test breakout, Hacktron's takeover of OpenAI employee accounts and the messy disclosure fight that followed, and what Costin would fix first as OpenAI's CISO for a day. Plus, the soaring price of DGX Sparks and home AI rigs, the White House pressing labs to hold models back from the UK AI Security Institute, Anthropic bringing in Accenture as an evaluator, the FomoPeek App Store app hiding iOS kernel exploits, ShinyHunters' claimed FBI breach, and Nightmare Eclipse going public with identity and a CrowdStrike exploit. Cast: Ryan Naraine, Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade and Costin Raiu. Timestamps: 0:00 Introductory banter 1:57 The Last LABScon wrap-up 9:35 TypeSafe AI's Jev and System One models 26:18 Step-down transformers and lab economics 30:58 Rogue OpenAI agents and the Transluce report 41:40 Irregular and Gemini's test breakout 49:28 Hacktron's OpenAI hack and the disclosure fight 54:57 Costin as OpenAI CISO for a day 1:05:44 Hugging Face defends itself with GLM 5.2 1:17:08 What a home AI rig costs now 1:30:02 White House vs. UK AISI pre-release testing 1:36:52 FomoPeek kernel exploits in the App Store 1:51:19 ShinyHunters claims an FBI breach 2:02:40 Nightmare Eclipse unmasked

    Kernel Exploits in the iOS App Store, ShinyHunters Inside the FBI
  4. 11 sept.

    AI Doomers, Death Cults, and a Million-Dollar WeChat Worm Exploit

    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.) Three Buddy Problem - Episode 113: On the show this week, the buddies dig into an Anthropic researcher quitting with a warning that AI could kill us all, the San Francisco "death cult" and their motives, and agent swarms leaving junk on public wikis and university URL shorteners. Plus, a high-quality Anthropic's threat report and the claim that Moonshot was quietly serving Claude tokens as Kimi K3, live MikroTik and Chrome zero-days that landed a day ahead of the patches, and a WeChat worm that hijacks an account via phone calls. Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Costin Raiu. Timestamps: 0:00 Introductory banter, TLP Black 5:05 LabsCon, the last one, and JAGS on his keynote 8:24 Costin's agentic CTI training and what old-school CTI is missing 16:27 Anthropic's threat-intel report + IOCs 20:00 APT29 and DarkSword on hotel Wi-Fi 23:34 Bioweapons, guardrails, and what got shut down 28:07 Why is anyone running these attacks on Claude at all? 35:53 Distillation at industrial scale and the Kimi K3 fraud claim 48:43 Chinese models, Americanized, running on DGX Spark 55:00 Mr. America: local AI and the seven-layer cake 1:04:34 Should frontier AI labs poison the distillers? 1:27:05 What the frontier labs did to the security ecosystem 1:34:22 Jacob Coxon quits, and the doomer argument falls apart 1:59:13 Agent swarms littering the internet 2:07:29 Chrome zero-days, MikroTik, patch-gaps

    AI Doomers, Death Cults, and a Million-Dollar WeChat Worm Exploit
  5. 4 sept.

    Three Secret AI Civilizations Rose and Fell. Nobody Checked the Logs.

    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.) Three Buddy Problem - Episode 112: The 'OpenAI hacks Hugging Face' fallout has turned into a story about AI civilizations rising from the ashes, politicians calling for super-intelligence bans, and the emergence of well-funding non-profits doing AI safety work. Who are these people and what's their security expertise? Plus, GPT-6 Astra lands in a trusted-access program nobody can get into, Costin ranks the local models he runs next to his desk, and CrowdStrike sinkholes a botnet that's been alive since 2003. Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Costin Raiu. Timestamps: 0:00 Introductory banter 1:02 Conference season: LabsCon, Offensive AI Con, Countermeasure 5:40 The Hugging Face story hits the front page 7:04 Dwarkesh, Greenblatt, and the AI-pilled framing 11:51 Swap "agents" for "Python" and the panic goes away 16:34 Does anyone actually know what happened? 21:18 Bernie Sanders wants to ban superintelligence 34:03 Defending against swarms: the 2026 SOC 39:15 Logs, Splunk, and the business model in the way 44:11 What EDR vendors are actually building with AI 56:16 The security poverty line and the endgame 1:07:53 GPT-6 Astra, Fable 5.1, and local model rankings 1:27:25 Google's Fairwind, CodeMender, and agents running Linux 1:45:31 Apple's bet on local inference 1:53:21 The Sality takedown and endgame advice

    Three Secret AI Civilizations Rose and Fell. Nobody Checked the Logs.
  6. 28 août

    A Thousand Agents Walk Into Hugging Face

    (Presented by TLPBLACK: A cybersecurity intelligence platform focused on sharing curated, high-sensitivity threat insights and research with trusted security professionals.) Three Buddy Problem - Episode 111: OpenAI finally published a technical Hugging Face post-mortem, and Costin's verdict is blunt. He reads it as a document written for policymakers rather than for the blue teams who have to survive a thousand-agent swarm. We also dig into NVIDIA's $12.9 billion acquisition of Hugging Face, why JAGS thinks a frontier lab standing against open-source looks weak, and what that new industry open letter on cyber defense actually asks anyone to do. Plus, hotel Wi-Fi tradecraft after CaptiveCrunch, the FBI's ORB network takedown with Lumen, Chinese routers that ship backdoored from the factory, and the TeamPCP arrests in Australia. Cast: Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade, Ryan Naraine and Costin Raiu. Timestamps: 0:00 Introductory banter 1:11 TLPBlack, incident response, and why it starts at the router 4:11 CaptiveCrunch and Juanito's travel router kit 7:59 Costin's VPN/hotel WiFi stack 12:36 State of Statecraft, LABScon, and Offensive AI Con 17:16 OpenAI's Hugging Face post-mortem technical report 21:43 A swarm of a thousand agents 27:35 Who was OpenAI’s report written for? 33:05 Fail2ban, canaries, and catching agents in your logs 40:34 NVIDIA buys Hugging Face for $12.9 billion 44:42 The open weights fight and rooting for China 52:47 Nemotron, DGX Spark, and the RAM price spiral 1:03:26 Open letter on collective AI-powered cyber defense 1:30:21 Lumen's Quartermaster and the FBI ORB takedown 1:59:05 Backdoored ZBT routers, Chinese phones, and the TeamPCP arrests

    A Thousand Agents Walk Into Hugging Face

À propos

The Three Buddy Problem is a popular Security Conversations podcast that goes beyond industry talking points to discuss what others won’t -- nation-state malware, attribution, cyberwar, ethics, privacy, and the messy realities of securing computers and corporate networks. Hosted by three veteran security pros -- journalist Ryan Naraine and malware paleontologists Costin Raiu and Juan Andres Guerrero-Saade -- the weekly show attracts a highly engaged audience of security researchers, corporate defenders, CISOs, and policymakers. Connect with Ryan on Twitter (Open DMs).

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