Eye On The Market

Michael Cembalest
  • 4.5 (21)
  • INVESTING
  • EVERY TWO MONTHS

Join Michael Cembalest as he explores a wide variety of investment topics, including the economy, policy and markets.

  1. 6 DAYS AGO

    Abandon Ship!

    Abandon Ship! Topics: midterm elections, Spring thaw in US economic data, Strait of Hormuz oil rationing timeline, AI and data center update, Gulf State pipe dream, Congressional redistricting and Mythos update Summary: Despite improving US leading indicators and economic/stock market resilience, GOP House members are abandoning ship at a record pace. The midterm challenges for the GOP include declining blue-collar employment, soaring ACA premiums, a surge in commodity prices, rising inflation expectations and some unorthodox choices at the Department of Justice. Watch the video

    31 min

  2. 6 APR

    Salem’s Lot: Gulf War update; the Purge of senior US military officers; a US fossil fuel reliance fever dream

    Salem’s Lot: an update on the Gulf War. Topics include international commodity price pass-throughs to the US, the limits of energy independence, Gulf temperatures and their relevance to US military options, the proposed Iranian toll on the Strait of Hormuz, the cost per payload of asymmetric warfare and our commodity price tracker. Also: the history of Presidential firings of senior US military officers, and a US fossil fuel reliance fever dream. Watch the video

    18 min

  3. 3 MAR

    Fighting Words: The Energy Transition in 2026

    Fighting Words. This year we look at energy arguments, battles and debates: the impact of data centers on power prices, the cost of solar plus storage as baseload power, the “primary energy fallacy” that ignores waste heat, the true cost of small modular reactors, Germany’s decision to shut down nuclear, China’s dominance of renewable supply chains, solid oxide fuel cells as turbine alternatives, the materiality of demand response, staffing cuts at the EIA, the hype around geothermal and geologic hydrogen, the misplaced fascination with small country energy transitions, satellite vs factor-based oil & gas basin methane emissions, the mostly profitless EV industry, xAI mobile gas plant permits, negligible progress on carbon capture and renewable fuels, and the unfavorable economics of charging my Jeep Wrangler hybrid. Watch the video

    40 min

  4. 5 FEB

    Supply and The Mam

    New York City now has one of the tightest housing markets since 1960. Watch the video

    25 min

  5. 1 JAN

    Eye on the Market Outlook 2026: Smothering Heights

    In this year’s EOTM Outlook by Michael Cembalest, we focus on four risks: US power generation constraints, China on its own, Taiwan and hyperscaler profits. View video here

    36 min

  6. 02/12/2025

    The Deep End: 2025 Alternative Investments Review

    On the surface not much has changed since our last review two years ago. View video here

    36 min

  7. 05/11/2025

    The winter of our discontent: generative AI disrupts the entertainment industry content moat

    While the prior decade was defined by disruption in content distribution, the next decade will be defined by disruption in content creation, augmented by generative AI. This month’s Eye on the Market looks at the rapidly shifting fortunes in legacy cable/broadcast shares vs streaming, the rise of social media as a platform for consuming all forms of content, rising acceptance of user-generated content and the increasing democratization of text-to-video tools used to create it, the value of the legacy content moat in film/tv libraries and the best movies of the 21st century (as ranked by me). View video here

    24 min

  8. 16/10/2025

    Mad Libs: just fill in the blanks

    Mad Libs. This piece is not about how mad liberals are at the administration, although the latest polling data indicates that it could be. Instead, it’s a fill-in-the-blank exercise regarding the impact of tariffs and immigration policy on growth, the impact of Chinese critical mineral export restrictions, Oracle’s debt levels and borrowing capacity, central bank gold reserves and the gender balance of psychiatric medication. View video here

    21 min
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Hosts & Guests

Ratings & Reviews

4.5
out of 5
21 Ratings

About

Join Michael Cembalest as he explores a wide variety of investment topics, including the economy, policy and markets.

Information

  • Creator
    Michael Cembalest
  • Years Active
    2018 - 2026
  • Episodes
    100
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © Copyright J.P. Morgan Asset Management 2023
  • Show Website
    Eye On The Market

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