Energy Markets Daily

EMD
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Energy Markets Daily delivers essential intelligence for global energy capital. Hosted with institutional authority, this daily brief covers WTI/Brent crude analysis, natural gas markets, energy M&A activity, drilling intelligence, and the geopolitical developments that drive billion-dollar energy decisions. Providing superior energy market intelligence sourced from the same trading floors, boardrooms, and energy desks where your competition operates. Essential listening for oil & gas executives, energy investors, and institutional capital allocating $100M+ in the energy sector. Contact: energymarkets@protonmail.com Disclaimer: This podcast is powered by Daily Dominance and utilizes artificial intelligence technology for content creation and production. The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the hosts and guests and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Daily Dominance. All content is generated with the intent to provide informative and engaging material; however, the accuracy and reliability of the information presented may vary. Listeners are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with professionals before making any decisions based on the content of this podcast. By listening to this podcast, you acknowledge and agree to these terms.

  1. 13 hr ago

    Week 43, Mid-Week Update

    Wednesday, October 28, 2026. CRUDE OIL CONSOLIDATION. WTI holding near $100. Brent elevated $108-$110. EIA inventory report released. Crude build ~1.2M barrels met expectations. Gasoline draw -200k barrels. Distillate build +600k. Refinery utilization 91% steady. SPR releases continuing. WTI close $99.50-$100.30. Intraday range $98-$102. Triangle compression intact. MAs bullish maintained. Support $98, $96. Resistance $102.50, $104. Brent $108-$110. Support $106.50, resistance $112. Spread $8-$10 normal WTI discount. Henry Hub $3.08-$3.15. Storage builds 95 Bcf/week. Contango steepening, winter premium widening. Support $3.00 flat, resistance $3.25. Hormuz day 232, diplomatic signals mixed, vessel transits minimal 1-2/day, war-risk insurance elevated, supply uncertainty persists. Consolidation intact, EIA supportive neutral bias. Triangle breakdown critical watch. Capital preservation paramount.

  2. 1 day ago

    Technicals: Week 43

    Tuesday, October 27, 2026. Technicals: Week 43, Tuesday Update. WTI consolidating $99.80-$100.20. Triangle compression zone $99.50-$102.50. Support $98.50, $96.50. Resistance $102.50, $104, $106. MAs bullish stack (20/50/200). RSI 55-70 neutral-overbought. MACD positive crossover. Elliott Wave impulse targeting $106-$109 above. Downside risk below $99.50 triggers stop cascade to $96.50. Brent $109.50-$110.50. Support $107-$108, resistance $112-$114. Similar bullish setup. RSI 65-70 overbought. Henry Hub $3.15-$3.18. Support $3.00, resistance $3.20-$3.30. Contango steepening. Storage 90 Bcf/week. RSI 45-55 neutral. EIA Wednesday critical catalyst. Trade compression.

  3. 2 days ago

    Strategic Positioning: Week 43

    Monday, October 26, 2026. Strategic Positioning: Week 43, Week Open. WTI easing $101-$101.63 from six-month highs. Brent correcting $104.50-$105. Geopolitical hedges releasing. Week 43 consolidation setup. Support WTI $99.50, $98. Resistance $102.50. Pattern corrective risk-off. RSI 62 overbought releasing. MACD bullish. MAs: 20MA $100.80, 50MA $100, 200MA $97.50 (bullish). Trend strong bullish. Brent $107-$108 support, $106 resistance. Spread narrowing. Henry Hub $3.03-$3.08 consolidation neutral. Hormuz day 231 easing tensions. War-risk insurance declining. Capital preservation primary week open.

  4. 5 days ago

    Geographic Feature: Ethiopia

    Friday, October 23, 2026. ETHIOPIA ENERGY OVERVIEW. Ranks 2nd-highest hydropower potential Africa. Energy sector 95-97% hydropower-dependent. Rapid geothermal, natural gas, renewable diversification. HYDROELECTRIC: Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) 5,150 MW installed (Africa's largest). Inaugurated 2025, full generation FY 2025-26. Contribution 51.5% generation. Drought-vulnerable. Other dams 13K+ MW total. GEOTHERMAL: Corbetti project 1,000 MW planned 2026-27. Tulu Moye ~300 MW potential. Fast-track development. NATURAL GAS: Ogaden Basin exploration Chinese partnerships. Strategic export potential via LNG. Diversification target 2030: Hydro doubling, geothermal, gas, wind 5K+ MW, solar 2K+ MW. Regional exporter potential Kenya, Djibouti, Sudan, Tanzania. Africa's clean energy hub opportunity.

  5. 6 days ago

    Geographic Feature: Venezuela

    Thursday, October 22, 2026. VENEZUELA ENERGY OVERVIEW. Ranks among world's largest proven crude reserves (~300B bbl, majority heavy-extra-heavy Orinoco Belt). Production severely impacted by U.S. sanctions, underinvestment, geopolitical crisis. 2026 shows recovery amid eased sanctions. CRUDE OIL PRODUCTION: Current Sep 2026 ~1.2M bbl/d (PDVSA). Recovery from crisis lows 250K-350K (2021-23). Q3 2026 forecast 1.15M-1.3M bbl/d. ORINOCO BELT: Reserves 300B bbl extra-heavy. Capacity potential 2.5-3M bbl/d (2030 optimistic), current 1.2M-1.3M bbl/d. Operators: PDVSA 70%, Chevron 50K bbl/d, Continental Resources, GEOPark. Chinese partnerships dominant. High-risk high-reward energy asset.

  6. 21 Oct

    Week 42, Mid-Week Update

    Wednesday, October 21, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE. WTI sustaining mid-ninety-seven range. Brent elevated 107-109. Hormuz disruption persisting. Geopolitical hedges active. Mid-week consolidation. WTI: ~$97.20-$97.85 consolidation zone. Support $96.35, resistance $99.24-$99.69. Brent: $107.50-$109 bullish. Support $105.50, resistance $109+. Spread narrowing $10+. Henry Hub $3.02-$3.04 steady neutral. Hormuz day 226 (~1% flow) geopolitical hedge active. Inventory draws supportive. Capital preservation paramount.

  7. 20 Oct

    Technicals: Week 42

    Tuesday, October 20, 2026. WTI CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL. Current (Oct 19) ~$97.53-$97.74. Support: Immediate ~$96.35-$96.55 (daily pivot), Zone A $94.81-$94.37 (Fib 38.2%), $92.60-$93, $91.87 (S3), $88-$89 (structural). Resistance: $99.24-$99.69 (near-term, break opens upside), $101.35-$101.78 (daily R1), $102.18-$103.65, $104.54-$105.25, $110-$120 (longer-term). Indicators: RSI 62-65 (neutral-bullish, not overbought), MACD positive/above signal (bullish), MAs strong buy (20/50/100/200 all bullish). Pattern: Rising Three Methods (short-term pullback potential before resumption). Fibs: 23.6% $96.25, 38.2% $94.37, 50% $92.85, 61.8% $91.33. Bias: BULLISH above $92-$94. Uptrend intact. Geopolitical support Hormuz. Short-term corrections likely after rallies. BRENT CRUDE OIL TECHNICAL. Current (Oct 19) ~$107.89-$108.09. Support: $104.51 (key, first pullback target), $101.50, $99.34, ~$98 (50/200-day MA), $94 (longer-term). Resistance: $107.97-$109.95 (current consolidation, swing levels), $110-$110.17 (major resistance), $113.46 (FXEmpire weekly high), $114-$116, $117 (prior highs, multi-month resistance), $120+ (extended). Indicators: RSI 64.8 (bullish, approaching overbought), MACD positive/bullish, MAs all bullish (6/7 indicator groups bullish). Pattern: Uptrend intact (higher highs/lows). Testing September highs ~$108. Bias: BULLISH. Break $110 targets $114-$117. Support holds above $104 avoids deeper retracement toward $100 or below. HENRY HUB NATGAS TECHNICAL. Current (Oct 19) ~$3.06-$3.07/MMBtu. Resistance: $3.26-$3.35 (major retracement zone, multiple tests), break above $3.33-$3.40 targets $3.60+, further $3.80-$3.90. Support: $3.087-$3.146 (Fib support zone), $3.00 (psychological/50-200 day EMA), $2.89-$2.97 (deeper). Indicators: RSI ~54-55 (neutral, not overbought), MACD neutral-bearish (recent negative), MAs 50-day ~$3.06-$3.07, 200-day ~$3.09-$3.46. Cloud: Broken below $3.104 intraday (weakness concern). Pattern: Range-bound since March (~$2.60-$3.39). Consolidation, potential breakout/mean-reversion. Bias: NEUTRAL-SLIGHTLY BEARISH. Range-bound $3.00-$3.40. Warm weather/storage builds weighting. Pullbacks to $3.00-$3.09 buying opportunities if structure holds. Choppiness/downside if breaks $3.00. Upside needs $3.30-$3.40 clear. SUMMARY: WTI bullish $92-94 support, rising 3-methods pattern, support $96.35/$94.81, resistance $99.24/$101.35, RSI 62-65, MACD bullish, MAs bullish. Brent bullish testing $108, support $104.51, resistance $110/$113.46, RSI 64.8 (overbought), MACD bullish, 6/7 bullish. Natgas neutral-bearish, range $3.00-$3.40, resistance $3.30-$3.40, support $3.00-$3.15, RSI neutral, MACD bearish, warm weather weighing. Risk management: Respect levels, Hormuz risk, EIA data impact, capital preservation with stops. Trade technicals, respect structure.

  8. 19 Oct

    Week 42 Opens

    Monday, October 19, 2026. CRUDE OIL UPDATE. WTI surged from $91-92 (Oct 12) to $97.53-$97.74 (Oct 19, -1.14% day-over-day). 5-6 dollar rally week-over-week. Month-to-date up ~$9-10 from early Oct lows near $88. YTD up ~48-52%. Trend: Consolidation likely $95-$99. Support $92-$94, resistance $100+. Volatility elevated. Brent rallied $104-$105 (Oct 12) to $107.89-$108.09 (Oct 19, -1.64% day-over-day). 3-4 dollar surge. Bullish momentum. Support $105, resistance $106-$110. YTD up ~52-54%. WTI-Brent spread narrowing $10.35-$10.52 (down from $12-13 prior week, market repricing). HORMUZ CRISIS ESCALATION: Record high ~12 attacks (week ending Oct 16). 10 Strait of Hormuz, 1 Arabian Gulf, 1 Gulf of Oman. Vessel lost: GFS Pride container ship sank (Oct 13, projectile strike, 21 crew safe). Multiple tankers struck by projectiles/RPGs. Tug struck NE Khor Fakkan. Iran claims supertankers hit mines/caught fire. IMO 100+ regional incidents, 24 fatalities cumulative, thousands affected/stranded. Transits down 70% below pre-crisis (~5 vessels some days). Oil flow ~11-12.6M bpd (down from 17M pre-war). One-day peak 6 attacks (Oct 11 or Oct 5-11 period). Iran asserting control vs US blockade. AIS-off routes targeted. Supply squeeze acute. EIA INVENTORY (week ending Oct 9, released Oct 15): Commercial crude down 8.6M bbl to 415.6M (3% below 5-yr avg). SPR unchanged 283M. Cushing up 1.9M to 26.6M. Total stocks down to 698.56M. Refinery crude 16.6M bpd (down 135K), utilization 93.5%. U.S. production 13.7M bpd (down 300K, Hurricane Isaias Gulf evacuations). Motor gas up 3.5M, distillate down 2.5M, propane down 1.5M. Total petroleum down 13.4M. NATURAL GAS: Henry Hub $3.06-$3.07/MMBtu (Oct 19 close). Range $2.90-$3.28 Oct month. Oct avg 3.142. Nov futures 3.116 (Oct 16). Trend: Modest uptick Oct 2-19 ($2.90 to $3.07, ~22% move up-month). Sept avg $2.95. YTD avg $3.48. WEEK 42 POSITIONING: WTI $97 consolidation (support $92-$94, resistance $100+). Brent $108 bullish (support $105, resistance $109-$110). Spread narrowing $10+. Henry Hub steady $3. Risk-on geopolitical hedge. Hormuz escalation driving rally. U.S. inventory draws supportive. Hurricane minimal impact. Capital tightening. Data-dependent decision-making. Trade supply disruption, not headlines.

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About

Energy Markets Daily delivers essential intelligence for global energy capital. Hosted with institutional authority, this daily brief covers WTI/Brent crude analysis, natural gas markets, energy M&A activity, drilling intelligence, and the geopolitical developments that drive billion-dollar energy decisions. Providing superior energy market intelligence sourced from the same trading floors, boardrooms, and energy desks where your competition operates. Essential listening for oil & gas executives, energy investors, and institutional capital allocating $100M+ in the energy sector. Contact: energymarkets@protonmail.com Disclaimer: This podcast is powered by Daily Dominance and utilizes artificial intelligence technology for content creation and production. The views and opinions expressed in this show are those of the hosts and guests and do not necessarily reflect the official policy or position of Daily Dominance. All content is generated with the intent to provide informative and engaging material; however, the accuracy and reliability of the information presented may vary. Listeners are encouraged to conduct their own research and consult with professionals before making any decisions based on the content of this podcast. By listening to this podcast, you acknowledge and agree to these terms.

Information

  • Creator
    EMD
  • Years Active
    2025 - 2026
  • Episodes
    294
  • Rating
    Clean
  • Copyright
    © 2026 EMD

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