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  • 搞钱女孩
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  • Freakonomics Radio
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  • 香港電台:古今風雲人物
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  • Black Box: The Chatbots
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  • 687. Are Prediction Markets the Best Forecasting Tool Ever — or Just Another Casino?

    1日前

    687. Are Prediction Markets the Best Forecasting Tool Ever — or Just Another Casino?

    The promise is that they can beat the experts at predicting inflation, elections, and FDA approvals. But right now, roughly 90 percent of the action is sports. Is this a future we want to bet on? Stephen Dubner speaks with, among others, the C.E.O. of Kalshi. (Part one of a two-part series.)   SOURCES:Robin Hanson, professor of economics at George Mason University.Nicole Kagan, head of research at Kalshi.Tarek Mansour, co-founder and C.E.O. of Kalshi.  RESOURCE:"Kalshi and the Rise of Macro Markets," by Anthony Diercks, Jared Dean Katz, and Jonathan Wright (Federal Reserve Board, 2026)."Slowly, Then All At Once: What Mamdani's Victory Tells Us About Information Aggregation," (Kalshi Research, 2026)."Futarchy: Vote Values, But Bet Beliefs," by Robin Hanson (2000)."The Use of Knowledge in Society," by Friedrich Hayek (American Economic Review, 1945).  EXTRAS:"The Economics of Sports Gambling," by Freakonomics Radio (2019)."How to Be Less Terrible at Predicting the Future," by Freakonomics Radio (2016)."The Folly of Prediction," by Freakonomics Radio (2011). Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

  • 35+不中危!职业转型、现金流、健康,人生风险管理指南 | 上海听友会

    2日前

    35+不中危!职业转型、现金流、健康,人生风险管理指南 | 上海听友会

    过了35岁,你的人生是更好了还是更糟了?所谓的中年危机,我们似乎更多在讨论“危”,却很少讨论“机”,今天这一期带你转危为机,做好人生风险管理,稳稳当当地活出自己的精彩! 8月30日,我们在上海为35+的朋友们策划了一场线下听友会,邀请到了播客《截胡不截财》主播Jeff、资深保险代理人佳隽,一起探讨人到中年最关心的三大课题:职业发展、资产配置、健康管理。在这场活动里,我们对「风险」和「责任」有了全新的认识:人生波动在所难免,真正对自己和家人负责任的做法,是提前建立好兜底机制,中年人最应该怕的不是跑不快了,而是突然负伤、被迫离场。 那么到底该如建立这个兜底机制,才能让你有更多底气去探索人生的下半场?赶紧收听起来! 【本期财富密码】 04:26 开场互动,三个问题检视你当下的人生处境 06:13 三位嘉宾人生周期大对照!原来每个人都有自己的时区 18:05 风险等于不确定性,不确定性里也有机会 21:02 人生有限风险绝对不能触碰,比如坏人 24:36 佳隽转型做保险最大的原因,是父亲第三次患癌而离世 25:59 责任responsibility=回应response+能力ability 27:06 Jeff是上有老下有小的“三明治”,时间精力是最稀缺的 32:22 以佳隽转行做保险为例,教你分析你想去的行业值不值得入 37:12 小辉发现,35岁以后身边很多朋友其实是被迫创业 37:36 如何选择不同的搞钱项目?三圈+四象限思维图值得参考 41:49 上述三圈的优先级排序:可做>想做>能做 44:54 人生就是一场大类资产配置 47:39 拿回人生主导权,从思考人生目标开始 54:44 从三倍做多海力士到三倍做多健康 55:28 股价长期来看是称重机,短期来看是投票机 56:52 给普通人的投资建议:不要一次性押注任何一个赛道,分批押注大类宽基指数 58:21 学投资越早越好,吃亏一定要趁早! 1:00:51 标准普尔四象限的家庭资产配置思路 1:04:52 钱是一种社会资源,与其被大公司割韭菜,不如买大公司的股票 1:09:41 保险是带有杠杆的救生艇 1:11:44 人生不同阶段的保险配置思路 1:16:08 稳定就是一切不稳定的来源,积极拥抱变化 1:17:44 一位单身沪漂女性的中危:裁员、失恋、卖房止跌、得乳腺癌 【本期嘉宾】 Jeff:美国Temple大学金融硕士、播客《截胡不截财》主播 佳隽:香港保险代理人、前知名文化公司商业化负责人、重庆妹子、巴黎留子、沪港深生活 【主播介绍】 就是小辉:《搞钱女孩》播客创始人&主播,不断认识和活出自己的ISFP。四川大学哲学系毕业,混过公益、咨询、互联网、疗愈行业,34岁才找到本命赛道的创业练习生。 【本期制作】 shownotes图文:小辉 剪辑:小龙 BGM:Among the Stars-John Klime 欢迎加入我们的听友群,成为“搞蜜”!可以关注公众号【搞钱女孩播客】,扫描自动回复的图片上的二维码,就可以加到小助手,邀请你入群。每天加的人太多了,如显示添加频繁,请耐心等待。

  • Can we live without our phones?

    14小時前

    Can we live without our phones?

    For many of us, our phones are the first thing we look at in the morning and the last thing we put down at night. But with growing pressure over screen time and concerns about the impact of social media, tech companies like Meta have agreed to restrictions. In our conversations, we bring together three people who have received treatment for tech addiction. We also hear from those have decided not to use smartphones at all. “To me what’s weird is when a couple go on a date, instead of looking at each other and talking to each other, they’re staring at their own phones and texting people and doing whatever,” Loren in Los Angeles tells us.

  • 孫權 (二)︰兩漢楚文化

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  • Where Is Austin Tice?: 4. The Driver

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    Where Is Austin Tice?: 4. The Driver

    Josh and Sara piece together Austin’s final route into Damascus. They find the farm where he celebrated his 31st birthday - the last place his mother spoke to him. Then comes an unprecedented discovery. For years, the story was that Austin was taken at a checkpoint. But what Josh and Sara uncover suggests something far more deliberate. And at the centre of Austin’s disappearance is one man. Archive: BBC; CNN; Fox. Writer and showrunner: Josh Baker Investigative producer: Sara Obeidat Series producer: Simon Maybin Field producing: Ouday Al Hussein Additional producing: Lucy Burns Open source intelligence: Thomas Bordeaux & Gabor Friesen Production coordinator: Gemma Ashman Series editor: Clare Fordham Head of BBC News Long Form Audio: Emma Rippon BBC Radio 4 commissioning editor: Dan Clarke NPR producer: Monika Evstatieva NPR editors: Robert Little & Katie Simon NPR executive producer for Embedded: Irene Noguchi BBC World Service commissioning editor: Jon Manel Composer: Firas Abou Fakher Additional music: Karim Chehoury Theme music: Sam Slater Mix and sound design: Tom Brignell

  • How to leave this Earth

    1日前

    How to leave this Earth

    Dalia Mogahed is one of the most prominent Muslim voices in American public life. For three decades, she has researched and defended the experiences of Muslim communities in the United States, advising leaders and challenging misconceptions about Islam, identity and belonging. But after a lifetime speaking for others, Dalia Mogahed is now exploring her own questions of faith and legacy. A cancer diagnosis on the eve of her 50th birthday prompted a period of deep reflection, bringing into focus years of personal loss, including the deaths of her father, her best friend and her mother, alongside the end of her marriage. Through these experiences, Dalia has been reflecting on how we find meaning, sustain faith and understand what truly matters. She reflects on the journey that has taken her from researcher and public intellectual to a more personal exploration of spirituality, vulnerability and purpose. She shares how faith can be tested, reshaped and deepened through moments of uncertainty.

  • La Jégado, empoisonneuse en série

    1日前

    La Jégado, empoisonneuse en série

    durée : 00:48:08 - Affaires sensibles - par : Fabrice Drouelle - Aujourd’hui dans Affaires sensibles, Hélène Jégado, l’empoisonneuse en série. - équipe : Stéphane Cosme, Hélène Bizieau, Frédéric Milano, François Audoin, Valentine Chédebois, Franck Cognard, Rebecca Denantes, Claire Teisseire Vous aimez ce podcast ? Pour écouter tous les épisodes sans limite, rendez-vous sur Radio France

  • 对话徐沪生:“一条”创始人30年内容心法,教你做又美又爆的IP号!

    8月26日

    对话徐沪生:“一条”创始人30年内容心法,教你做又美又爆的IP号!

    出来混,最重要的是出来。当你迈出做个人IP号的第一步后,又被拍什么、怎么拍、怎么提升数据等一系列问题困扰,今天用一期播客帮你疏通起号阶段的常见卡点! 本期邀请到“一条”创始人徐沪生老师,分享他30年内容的心法。见证了传统纸媒由盛转衰,他在44岁时辞职创业,打造生活美学内容品牌“一条”,以电影感短视频出圈,15天涨粉100万,成为微信公众时代现象级账号,12年来持续推出又美又爆的内容,积累了全网数千万粉丝。2025年,他从幕后走向台前,开始运营个人IP,也快速在全网积累了200万关注。 他坦言,创始人和主理人天然适合做IP,但需要从产品思维转向内容思维。从报纸到杂志再到短视频,变化的是媒介形式,不变的是爆款的底层逻辑:精准的定位+新颖的选题+精美的画面。想要打造属于自己的“一条”,到底有哪些必修课?赶紧收听起来! �时长有限,更多干货欢迎大家在他的新书《做号》里解锁: 【本期财富密码】 03:22 这个时代,做网红难,做IP容易! 07:04 创始人天然适合做IP,因为背后有产品和商业模式 15:37 做IP号一定要有清晰的定位 19:18 好看和流量并不冲突,可以又美又爆! 23:26 短视频的写稿与拍摄tips 29:51 想提升视频数据,封面比引流话术重要! 31:46 想提升视频互动率?多出来露脸! 36:04 爆款选题符合五个字:应知而未知 37:47 卖货内容在中间,结尾要留金句、造意境 40:22 创业做一条时,我下载了8000条视频来研究 47:38 不好意思露脸?数据很差丢人?深度I人徐老师教你打破心魔 49:48 拆解徐老师个人号的第一条爆款 51:52 口播容易有单条爆款,但账号很难持续爆 56:32 不会做优质内容,就先做优质内容的搬运工 58:12 画面和账号定位要一致,不盲目追求形式和露脸 60:41 全中国每天上传的视频有1.3亿条 62:44 视频好看就自然数据好,在能力范围内应美尽美 66:28 如何讲好一个故事?要有“白痴用户”思维 71:18 反常识:学李子柒的成功概率要比学口播大很多 73:10 优质的内容,小额投流 74:37 想做高客单,一定要做视频号! 79:12 这两个tips听话照做:1)周更,2)稿子分行写 【本期嘉宾】 徐沪生:“一条”创始人&CEO、30年资深媒体人,曾创办《上海壹周》、担任《外滩画报》总编辑。 【主播介绍】 就是小辉:《搞钱女孩》播客创始人&主播,不断认识和活出自己的ISFP。四川大学哲学系毕业,混过公益、咨询、互联网、疗愈行业,34岁才找到本命赛道的创业练习生。 【本期制作】 shownotes图文:小辉 剪辑:小龙 BGM:Heavens-Blood Groove&Kikis 欢迎加入我们的听友群,成为“搞蜜”!可以关注公众号【搞钱女孩播客】,扫描自动回复的图片上的二维码,就可以加到小助手,邀请你入群。每天加的人太多了,如显示添加频繁,请耐心等待。

  • 孫權 (一)︰江東

    20/09/2025

    孫權 (一)︰江東

    香港電台:古今風雲人物

  • 685. How to Survive the A.I. Shock

    9月4日

    685. How to Survive the A.I. Shock

    Gina Raimondo, a former commerce secretary and governor, thinks A.I. will create plenty of jobs in the long run. She also thinks a poorly managed transition could tear the country apart. So she came up with a plan.   SOURCES:Gina Raimondo, co-chair and C.E.O. of RAISE US.  RESOURCES:"What Makes New Work Different from More Work?," by David Autor, Caroline Chin, Anna Salomons, and Bryan Seegmiller (NBER, 2026)."$500 million AI jobs push launches with bipartisan backing," by Christine Mui (POLITICO, 2026)."Gina Raimondo and Eric Holcomb Launch RAISE US, Uniting the Nation’s Leading Employers and Bipartisan Governors Behind American Workers," (RAISE US, 2026)."Young Graduates Face the Grimmest Job Market in Years," (New York Times, 2026)."Why AI Giants Are Investing $500 Million To Retrain American Workforce," by Jon Markman (Forbes, 2026)."Wicker Praises Research, STEM Education Provisions in New CHIPS Act," (U.S. Senate Committee on Commerce, Science, and Transportation, 2022).  EXTRAS:"Can A.I. Save Your Life?," by Freakonomics Radio (2026)."Will the Democrats 'Make America Great Again'?," by Freakonomics Radio (2023)."How Do You Reopen a Country?," by Freakonomics Radio (2020)."How to Be a Modern Democrat — and Win," by Freakonomics Radio (2018). Hosted by Simplecast, an AdsWizz company. See pcm.adswizz.com for information about our collection and use of personal data for advertising.

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  • Malaysia (English)
  • Maldives
  • Micronesia, Federated States of
  • Mongolia
  • Myanmar
  • Nauru
  • Nepal
  • New Zealand
  • Pakistan
  • Palau
  • Papua New Guinea
  • Philippines
  • Singapore
  • Solomon Islands
  • 台灣
  • Thailand
  • Tonga
  • Turkmenistan
  • Uzbekistan
  • Vanuatu
  • Vietnam

歐洲

  • Albania
  • Armenia
  • Österreich
  • Belarus
  • Belgium
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina
  • Bulgaria
  • Croatia
  • Cyprus
  • Czechia
  • Denmark
  • Estonia
  • Finland
  • France (Français)
  • Georgia
  • Deutschland
  • Greece
  • Hungary
  • Iceland
  • Ireland
  • Italia
  • Kosovo
  • Latvia
  • Lithuania
  • Luxembourg (English)
  • Malta
  • Moldova, Republic Of
  • Montenegro
  • Nederland
  • North Macedonia
  • Norway
  • Poland
  • Portugal (Português)
  • Romania
  • Россия
  • Serbia
  • Slovakia
  • Slovenia
  • España
  • Sverige
  • Schweiz
  • Türkiye (English)
  • Ukraine
  • United Kingdom

拉丁美洲與加勒比海

  • Anguilla
  • Antigua and Barbuda
  • Argentina (Español)
  • Bahamas
  • Barbados
  • Belize
  • Bermuda
  • Bolivia (Español)
  • Brasil
  • Virgin Islands, British
  • Cayman Islands
  • Chile (Español)
  • Colombia (Español)
  • Costa Rica (Español)
  • Dominica
  • República Dominicana
  • Ecuador (Español)
  • El Salvador (Español)
  • Grenada
  • Guatemala (Español)
  • Guyana
  • Honduras (Español)
  • Jamaica
  • México
  • Montserrat
  • Nicaragua (Español)
  • Panamá
  • Paraguay (Español)
  • Perú
  • St. Kitts and Nevis
  • Saint Lucia
  • St. Vincent and The Grenadines
  • Suriname
  • Trinidad and Tobago
  • Turks and Caicos
  • Uruguay (English)
  • Venezuela (Español)

美國和加拿大

  • Canada (English)
  • Canada (Français)
  • United States
  • Estados Unidos (Español México)
  • الولايات المتحدة
  • США
  • 美国 (简体中文)
  • États-Unis (Français France)
  • 미국
  • Estados Unidos (Português Brasil)
  • Hoa Kỳ
  • 美國 (繁體中文台灣)