Arlan Suderman: Commodity Outlook

StoneX Group Inc
  • 0.0 (0)
  • INVESTING

StoneX Presents: Arlan Suderman: Commodity Outlook – your trusted source for insight into the global forces driving commodity and agricultural markets. Join Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, as he breaks down the latest developments in the global economy, energy, and agriculture. From macroeconomic trends to crop fundamentals, Arlan delivers timely analysis to help producers, traders, and businesses navigate market volatility with confidence. Gain practical, data-driven insights to manage risk, spot opportunity, and understand the stories behind market moves. Stay informed. Stay ahead. Get exclusive access to daily insights, forecasts, and in-depth analysis from Arlan Suderman and the StoneX team with a subscription to U.S. https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights?variant=45955623256164&selling_plan=4455792740 (https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights?variant=45955623256164&selling_plan=4455792740)

  1. 3 DAYS AGO

    Is the Iran War Nearly Over? Why Supply Risk Still Isn’t Gone

    Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, breaks down signs that the Iran conflict may be nearing an end — and why that does not mean the market risk is over. In this April 17 update, Arlan covers: Why markets are reacting to signs the war may be winding down What the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz could mean for oil and shipping flows Why crude oil, grain, and oilseed markets are reversing as money flow shifts How damage to oil, gas, and fertilizer infrastructure could keep supply tight for months or longer Why fertilizer may become a bigger 2027 issue even if the conflict ends soon What to watch next as negotiations continue Stay ahead of the markets with Arlan’s Market Intelligence Plan: https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights?selling_plan=4455759972&variant=45955325001828&utm_medium=organicsocial&utm_campaign=stonexsocial_USaginsights_yt&utm_content=organic_USaginsight_v1_20250821 Subscribe for more market insight from Arlan Suderman and StoneX. #ArlanSuderman #StoneX #OilMarkets #Fertilizer #GrainMarkets #CrudeOil #EnergyMarkets #Iran #OATT #OOTT

    12 min

  2. 13 APR

    Iran Blockade Escalates: What It Means for Oil, Fertilizer & Grain Markets

    Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, breaks down the weekend developments in Iran and what the latest U.S. blockade move could mean for commodity markets. In this update, Arlan covers: Why the U.S. blockade marks a major escalation in the Iran conflictWhat a shutdown of Iranian shipping could mean for oil and fertilizer flowsWhy corn and wheat prices are trading above pure supply-and-demand fundamentalsHow energy inflation and fertilizer shortages could keep elevating the floor under food-based commoditiesWhy Asia and Europe may feel the most acute shortages firstWhat China’s latest moves could mean for trade and Taiwan riskStay ahead of the markets with Arlan’s Market Intelligence Plan: https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights?selling_plan=4455759972&variant=45955325001… Subscribe for more market insight from Arlan Suderman and StoneX. #ArlanSuderman #StoneX #OilMarkets #Fertilizer #GrainMarkets #Corn #Wheat #CommodityMarkets #Iran #OATT #OOTT #Hormuz #Oilprices

    13 min

  3. 6 APR

    Hormuz Watch: Why the Next 36 Hours Matter for Grain, Energy & Fertilizer

    Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, explains why the next 36 hours could be critical for grain, energy, and fertilizer markets. In this April 6 update, Arlan covers: Why the Strait of Hormuz remains the biggest near-term market driverHow a ceasefire or de-escalation could remove some war premium from commodity marketsWhy further escalation could push energy and fertilizer prices even higherWhat to watch ahead of this week’s USDA WASDE reportWhy soybeans still have support while corn and wheat face pressureFor deeper energy, grain, and livestock market analysis from Arlan, subscribe to his Market Intelligence Plan here: https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights?selling_plan=4455759972&variant=45955325001828&utm_medium=organicsocial&utm_campaign=stonexsocial_USaginsights_yt&utm_content=organic_USaginsight_v1_20250821 Subscribe for more market insight from Arlan Suderman and StoneX. #ArlanSuderman #StoneX #GrainMarkets #EnergyMarkets #Corn #Soybeans #Wheat #Fertilizer #WASDE #OATT #OOTT

    12 min

  4. 1 APR

    War Fears or Crop Facts? What USDA Grain Stocks Really Mean

    Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, breaks down the latest USDA quarterly grain stocks report and explains what is really driving the grain and oilseed markets right now. In this April 1 update, Arlan covers: How war headlines influenced grain and oilseed buying What the March 1 USDA grain stocks data says about corn, soybeans, and wheat Why corn stocks came in lower than expected What the report could mean for soybean and wheat balance sheets Why large supplies are still pressuring basis How fertilizer risk could shape the grain outlook going forward If you follow corn, soybeans, wheat, basis, USDA reports, and commodity market trends, this is a key update from the trading floor. Subscribe for more market insight from Arlan Suderman and StoneX.

    14 min

  5. 30 MAR

    EPA Biofuels Rule Turns Bullish for Soy Oil, Corn & Grain Markets

    Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, breaks down why the EPA’s final biofuels rule could be a major demand driver for feedstocks and ag markets. In this March 30 update, Arlan covers: Why the new EPA biofuels guidelines look bullish for soy oil and feedstock demand What the final renewable volume obligations mean for renewable diesel How energy shortages and the Strait of Hormuz disruption are reshaping commodity flows Why fertilizer shortages and food security headlines are getting market attention What this could mean for corn, soybeans, wheat, and grain/oilseed money flow If you follow biofuels, grain markets, oilseeds, fertilizer, and global commodity risk, this is the market update to watch. Subscribe for more trading-floor updates from Arlan Suderman and StoneX. #ArlanSuderman #StoneX #Biofuels #SoybeanOil #Corn #Soybeans #Wheat #GrainMarkets #CommodityMarkets #EPA #OOTT

    12 min

  6. 5 MAR

    Oil Surges After U.S.–Israel Strike on Iran | Strait of Hormuz Risk & Fertilizer Spike

    Geopolitical risk just escalated — and energy and agriculture markets are reacting. Following a coordinated U.S.–Israel strike on Iran, crude oil prices surged as tanker traffic slowed through the Strait of Hormuz — the critical chokepoint for roughly 20% of global crude exports. StoneX Chief Commodities Economist Arlan Suderman breaks down what this means for: • Crude oil prices and global energy flows • Strait of Hormuz shipping disruptions • Fertilizer supply risks (urea, ammonia, phosphate) • The spike in Gulf urea prices • Soy oil rally and rising biofuel demand • EPA biofuel RVO developments • U.S.–China trade tensions and Xi–Trump negotiations With fertilizer production concentrated in the Middle East and energy markets on edge, agriculture and commodity markets are tightly linked to unfolding geopolitical developments. Arlan also examines: • How long military disruptions could last • The risk of an Iranian power vacuum • Why China stands to lose if Iran’s regime changes • Whether higher crude prices could accelerate U.S. biofuel policy If you trade or follow crude oil, grains, fertilizers, biofuels, or global macro markets, this is a critical update from the StoneX trading floor. Subscribe for ongoing commodity market analysis from StoneX. https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights?

    14 min

  7. 5 FEB

    Major Chinese Policy Shift: What it Means for U.S. Exports

    Are we witnessing a major shift in China’s agricultural trade policy? In today’s market update, Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, breaks down the overnight headlines following President Trump’s call with China’s President Xi — and the 50‑cent surge in soybean futures that followed. In this episode, Arlan covers: Trump’s request for China to buy an additional 8 million metric tons of U.S. soybeans China’s newly released “Number One Document” and a surprising shift away from self‑sufficiency messaging Why Brazilian soybeans remain cheaper — and how that complicates U.S. export potential What a forced Chinese purchase would mean for global basis levels Biofuel policy expectations and the impact on U.S. crush demand Why Arlan remains skeptical — but why the possibility still matters Stay informed on developments that could reshape U.S. export opportunities and global grain flows. Like & Subscribe for continued updates as the situation evolves. Get exclusive access to daily insights, forecasts, and in-depth analysis from Arlan Suderman and the StoneX team with a subscription to U.S. Ag Analyst Insights: https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights?

    14 min

  8. 3 FEB

    45Z Guidelines Hit the Biofuels Market: Big Shifts for Soy Oil, CI Scores & UCO Imports

    StoneX Chief Commodities Economist Arlan Suderman breaks down the new 45Z clean fuel production credit and why carbon intensity (CI) scores now decide value. He details the post‑2025 North America‑only feedstock rule, high-risk status for imported used cooking oil (UCO), and the removal of ILUC—plus what he’s watching next from the EPA on RVOs. What’s inside: 45Z is out: Technology‑neutral, CI‑driven credit (2025–2029) North America-only feedstocks after Dec 31, 2025 (no blending/dilution; origin matters) Imported UCO (EUCO) flagged as high risk; foreign UCO pathways excluded in 45Z CF GREET after 2025 ILUC removed starting in 2026 → improves soy biodiesel CI Credit math: CI score is the gatekeeper; up to $1/gal if PWA rules met (indexed) Winners vs. losers: Efficient, low‑CI plants vs. older, higher‑CI operations Market implications: U.S. soy oil structurally advantaged; crush margins supported Next shoe to drop: EPA RVOs timing likely late Feb–early March (post OMB review) Like & Subscribe for real‑time market updates from the trading floor. Get exclusive access to daily insights, forecasts, and in-depth analysis from Arlan Suderman and the StoneX team with a subscription to U.S. Ag Analyst Insights: https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights? #StoneX #Biofuels #45Z #Soybeans #Biodiesel #RenewableDiesel #CarbonIntensity #GREET #EPA #RVO #UsedCookingOil #ILUC

    14 min
See All (15)

About

StoneX Presents: Arlan Suderman: Commodity Outlook – your trusted source for insight into the global forces driving commodity and agricultural markets. Join Arlan Suderman, Chief Commodities Economist at StoneX, as he breaks down the latest developments in the global economy, energy, and agriculture. From macroeconomic trends to crop fundamentals, Arlan delivers timely analysis to help producers, traders, and businesses navigate market volatility with confidence. Gain practical, data-driven insights to manage risk, spot opportunity, and understand the stories behind market moves. Stay informed. Stay ahead. Get exclusive access to daily insights, forecasts, and in-depth analysis from Arlan Suderman and the StoneX team with a subscription to U.S. https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights?variant=45955623256164&selling_plan=4455792740 (https://shop.stonex.com/products/us-ag-analyst-insights?variant=45955623256164&selling_plan=4455792740)

Information

You Might Also Like