Tom Nelson

Thomas Nelson
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Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

  1. 1 day ago

    Jonathan Cohler: “ Fossil fuel combustion drove essentially none of the atmospheric CO2 growth” #427

    Jonathan Cohler presents a newly submitted paper using mass conservation, isotopic signatures (delta 13C), and multiple datasets to apply the Keeling relation and infer a consistent intercept near -13.2‰ across sites and time spans. He argues this makes fossil fuels (signature ~-28‰) at most 26% of net atmospheric CO2 change and, using preindustrial constraints, essentially ~0–1.3%, contradicting claims by IPCC, NASA, NOAA, EPA, and the CO2 Coalition. He says CO2 residence time is ~3.8 years and attributes rising CO2 to natural temperature-driven ocean/soil outgassing. He criticizes the CO2 Coalition for conflating accounting identities with causation, describes harassment, and says he resigned. 00:00 New Paper Claim 01:29 Three Inputs Setup 03:25 Isotope Signatures 101 06:05 Keeling Relation Explained 10:17 Datasets And Intercepts 13:38 Solving For Fossil Fraction 22:22 Why Fossil Dominance Fails 25:16 Rejecting The Conclusion 28:04 Carbon Cycle Turnover 31:45 What Drives CO2 Rise 33:56 Ancient CO2 And Whataboutism 36:53 CO2 Coalition Errors Teaser 37:38 Accounting vs Causation 39:23 Feynman on Conservation 40:37 What Proves Causality 41:37 Atmospheric Balance Equation 42:53 Coalition Paper Misreads 46:25 Molecules Not Labeled 48:08 Residuals Aren't Attribution 49:56 Isotopes Discriminate Sources 51:27 Airborne Fraction Fallacy 53:41 Retention and Cycle Time 56:02 Harassment and Resignation 01:03:18 CO2 Forcing and Policy Costs 01:08:51 X Feedback and Contact 01:13:38 Wrap Up and Links https://x.com/cohler https://papers.jcohler.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  2. 5 days ago

    James Tooley: “ You don't need government for education” #426

    James Tooley describes two decades researching “low-cost private schools” serving poor families in India, Africa, rural China, and war-torn countries, arguing parents choose them because government/public schools often abandon children. He cites widespread enrollment (e.g., majorities in parts of Lagos and Kampala), higher standardized test performance, no gender bias, affordability around 10% of family spending, and sustainability as small businesses. He now finds a similar U.S. phenomenon in hybrid/micro schools, visiting examples in Pine Ridge (Onward Learning), rural Mississippi, refugee-serving Clarkston, and rural Oregon, and surveying 5,390 parents: about 4% use low-tuition private schools. He discusses limited, careful roles for philanthropy, and worries about dependence on government ESAs. 00:00 Meet James Tooley 01:03 Hyderabad Discovery 03:25 Government School Reality 05:37 Makoko Lagos Expedition 07:49 Kibera Ghana China Proof 11:49 Beautiful Tree Thesis 13:04 War Torn Africa Schools 15:48 Five Key Features 21:06 Federations And Pushback 22:02 Low Cost Schools In America 25:53 Pine Ridge Onward Learning 29:46 Mississippi Trailer School 33:19 Refugees And Oregon Example 36:08 National Survey Findings 41:45 Philanthropy And Donations 43:26 Quality Assurance Debate 46:33 School Choice ESA Concerns 49:57 Where To Follow James 50:46 Final Reflections The Beautiful Tree: https://a.co/d/032zFHgW Really Good Schools: Global Lessons for High-Caliber, Low-Cost Education: https://a.co/d/01VMoY3r https://x.com/james_tooley https://uk.linkedin.com/in/james-tooley-320a8410 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  3. 1 Sept

    Tom Harris: “Pushing back against climate hysteria in Canada” #425

    Tom Harris argues Canada’s claim of warming twice the global average is unreliable because northern data coverage is sparse and “homogenized” station adjustments may exaggerate trends. He questions the meaning of average temperature and says Canada’s record shows a step change around 1998, consistent with El Niño and possibly the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, not steady greenhouse-gas forcing. He cites extreme-weather records peaking in the 1930s and references Heartland’s Climate Change Reconsidered and Roger Pielke’s datasets as showing little detected change in many extremes. Harris then describes organizing local activists, using Saul Alinsky’s Rules for Radicals, rehearsing questions, and bypassing media censorship to challenge municipal climate policies. 00:00 Meet Tom Harris 00:19 Canada Warming Claims 00:41 Is Warming Bad 03:21 So Called Averages 05:13 Overlapping Ranges 08:06 Why Start 1948 11:08 Heat Records Evidence 11:54 Sparse Arctic Stations 14:39 Homogenized Adjustments 17:00 Step Change Not CO2 18:57 Hickey Speaks Out 21:59 Natural Cycles Theory 22:59 PR Versus Evidence 24:22 Extreme Weather Database 25:56 Heartland Reports 28:32 Warmer Means Milder 31:07 Pielke Teaser 31:19 Global Extremes Database 31:51 P Factor Explained 32:30 Translator Not Climatologist 33:33 Drilling Into Continents 34:48 Wildfire History Context 37:23 Heatwave Data Concerns 38:31 Local Activism Playbook 40:06 Alinsky Rules In Action 42:49 Debate Questions And Ridicule 47:16 Training Volunteers Nationwide 51:59 Beating Media Censorship 53:55 Groups Funding And Contact 56:17 Practice Sessions And Wins 57:43 Wrap Up Resources  icsc-canada.com  sensiblechange.ca https://x.com/TomHarrisICSC https://drtomharris.substack.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  4. 28 Aug

    Dai Ato: “ Spurious Correlation Between Atmospheric CO2 Increase and Human Emissions” #424

    Dai Ato presents findings from three papers arguing atmospheric CO2 rise is largely natural, claiming multivariate analyses reject human emissions as a significant predictor of annual CO2 increases while sea surface temperature (SST) is significant. He says detrended annual-change comparisons show emissions vs CO2 change has near-zero correlation, while SST retains moderate correlation, consistent with CO2 solubility in water. He also claims ice-core CO2 reconstructions are incorrect and that temperature leads specific humidity, rejecting CO2–water vapor positive feedback; absorbed shortwave and total solar irradiance correlate with SST while CO2 is negligible or negative. In Q&A, he expects the Keeling Curve to keep rising, COVID emission drops to have little effect, and rejects a stable 280 ppm preindustrial CO2. 00:00 Intro And Agenda 00:39 Three Paper Overview 04:01 CO2 Rise Not Human 07:05 Detrending Spurious Links 10:33 Water Vapor Feedback Tested 13:19 Solar And Albedo Drivers 17:12 Past Evidence SST Leads 21:50 Global Temperature Averaging 23:58 Key Takeaways And DOE 26:04 Why I Wrote These Papers 33:06 Ice Core Reconstruction Issues 34:17 Closing Thoughts And Q&A https://x.com/info45037254 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  5. 25 Aug

    Ron Clutz Part 2: “Highlights from 3400 Climate Blog Posts” #423

    Ron Clutz continues a three-part framework on climate change: humans cause warming, warming is dangerous, and government can stop it. He argues observed warming can be explained by post–Little Ice Age recovery plus multidecadal oscillations and solar-orbital effects, and says “alarmists” deny these. He describes a taxpayer-funded “climate scare machine” and cites a Climate Change Business Journal estimate of a $3.4T/year global climate industry. Using Joseph D’Aleo’s materials, he disputes claims about heatwaves, storms, droughts, wildfires, ice loss, ocean acidification, health, and food, then focuses on Arctic sea ice cycles and sea-level model projections versus tide gauges. He stresses climate is local (Köppen zones) and says climate policies are wasteful, ineffective, and harmful, citing project failures, costs, and energy poverty. 00:00 Framework Recap 01:07 Natural Warming Factors 03:56 Climate Scare Machine 07:59 Eleven Empty Claims 13:56 Polar Bears and Sea Ice 20:00 Sea Level Scare Tactics 28:27 Climates Are Local 35:13 Warming Impacts Summary 35:59 Can Governments Stop It 37:56 Energy Transition Reality 40:19 Why Hydrocarbons Rule 42:06 Energy Mix Big Picture 43:47 Trillions Visualized 45:22 Waste One Missing Funds 45:59 Waste Two Project Failures 48:35 Waste Three Blade Graveyards 49:13 Waste Four Operational Collapse 50:18 Hydrogen And Biofuels 51:32 Fear Sells Climate Policy 53:06 Policy Weapons And Results 55:51 Energy Poverty And Jobs 59:09 Rare Metals And Land Use 01:01:40 Better Priorities Consensus 01:02:29 Absurd Costly Pointless 01:03:59 Cartoons And Media Satire 01:09:33 Arctic Update And Data 01:13:28 Wrap Up Links And Wildfires https://rclutz.com/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  6. 18 Aug

    Henrik Svensmark: “Cosmic Rays, aerosols, and clouds” #422

    Henrik Svensmark discusses how solar activity modulates cosmic rays, which ionize the atmosphere and can help form aerosols that grow into cloud condensation nuclei, potentially altering clouds and Earth’s energy balance. He describes lab experiments showing more aerosols with increased ionization, critiques models that predicted no cloud effect, and presents observations from Forbush decreases where drops in cosmic rays are followed days later by reduced aerosols, cloud changes, and radiative-budget responses. He argues solar-cycle forcing may be ~1–1.5 W/m² and could affect CO2 sensitivity. On longer timescales, he links supernova-driven cosmic-ray variations to glaciations, ocean temperature, organic carbon burial, oxygen production, and biodiversity, while noting funding and career pressures. 00:00 Cosmic Rays and Clouds 00:42 Meet Henrik Svensmark 02:59 Solar Activity Basics 03:31 IPCC Forcing Debate 05:13 Sunspots and Cosmic Rays 07:03 Cosmic Ray Showers 08:55 Isotopes as Solar Proxies 11:48 Climate Correlations 15:17 Ocean Heat Amplification 17:55 Clouds as Amplifier 19:39 How CCN Form 22:22 Testing in Chambers 24:59 Models vs Reality 27:52 Forbush Natural Experiments 36:14 Fixing the Physics 41:17 Billion Year Timescales 42:08 Galactic Spiral Arms 44:02 Star Formation Setup 44:33 Open Clusters Explained 45:57 Mapping Nearby Clusters 46:53 Supernovas Meet Climate 48:27 Zooming Into Ice Ages 51:31 Nutrients And Carbon Isotopes 53:54 Organic Burial Correlation 55:15 Deep Time Starbursts 57:12 Oxygen And Complex Life 59:51 Dwarf Galaxies Trigger Stars 01:02:18 Fossils And Diversity Curves 01:05:13 Shelf Area Drives Richness 01:09:04 Area Normalization Test 01:11:34 Big Picture Conclusions 01:13:35 Funding And Career Risks 01:22:15 Critiques And Solar Events 01:25:16 Wrap Up And Farewell Svensmark: The Cloud Mystery https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ANMTPF1blpQ The Chilling Stars [2008]: https://www.amazon.com/Chilling-Stars-New-Theory-Climate/dp/1840468661 Papers: https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2843-3417 ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  7. 14 Aug

    Randall Bock: “Withdraw to Freedom: Navigating the Addiction Maze” #421

    Randall Bock argues opioids have dual legal and illicit markets and that most prescribed users don’t become street addicts. He recounts refusing drug-seekers (“Dr. No”) and later using buprenorphine as a temporary bridge, advocating a 4–6 month taper to sobriety rather than lifelong “maintenance.” He claims methadone maintenance, originated at Rockefeller University and expanded nationally via Nixon-era policy and Medicaid incentives, aimed to curb New York City crime but instead seeded the first wave of the opioid crisis and spread heroin use. He challenges the “addiction as disease/insulin” analogy, cites Vietnam vet recovery and Rat Park, and promotes his book “Withdraw to Freedom.” 00:00 Opioid Desert Intro 01:06 Two Marketplaces Theory 02:01 Doctor No Stories 03:29 Suboxone And DATA 2000 04:50 Maintenance Therapy Critique 06:22 New York City Sets Stage 08:04 Bridge To Sobriety Plan 10:47 Long Boom And Opioid Spike 14:24 Classic Narcotic Control Era 17:26 Harm Reduction And Methadone 18:43 OxyContin Myth Busting 19:48 Addiction As Exposure 23:28 Rockefeller Methadone Origins 26:40 Crime Control Not Cure 28:14 Why Methadone Feels Dopey 31:59 National Spread And Incentives 36:46 Did Crime Drop Actually 38:46 Equality Of Misery 40:49 Dealers Adapt And Expand 43:03 Dopesick Narrative Setup 43:36 Methadone First Wave 45:22 Medicalization Lessons 48:15 Disease Model Tested 50:20 Replacement vs Proclivity 53:29 Russia and Hard Truths 55:38 Rat Park Recovery 01:00:14 Economy and Despair 01:03:18 Bock Taper and Five Fs 01:09:28 Board Backlash 01:11:28 Book Launch Pitch 01:13:51 Incentives and COVID Parallels 01:19:01 Mental Health Parity 01:22:43 Wrap Up and Dual Path https://randybock.com/ https://x.com/@DrRandallBock ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

  8. 11 Aug

    Jim Lakely #420

    Jim Lakely, EVP and communications director at The Heartland Institute, describes Heartland’s free-market mission and its global role “pushing back on climate alarmism,” plus his weekly Climate Realism Show. He recounts Heartland’s 16 climate conferences since 2008 (300+ speakers, videos online), efforts to invite opposing views, and claims the IPCC’s mandate is to emphasize human influence. They discuss natural forcings, scientific uncertainty, warming since the Little Ice Age, and skepticism about “global average temperature.” Lakely cites funding pressures in academia, conference disruptions by Climate Defiance, and notes Roy Spencer’s satellite data work. He recounts “Fakegate,” alleging Peter Gleick stole documents and forged a memo. They also discuss COPs, social-media throttling, and AI’s energy demands weakening climate media funding. 00:00 Meet Jim Lakely 00:32 Heartland Climate Mission 01:34 Inside Climate Conferences 04:25 Debate And The IPCC 07:06 Natural Forcings Focus 09:32 Warming And Perspective 12:23 Young Skeptics Rising 15:40 Disruptions And Threats 20:44 Will Happer Spotlight 23:25 Models Funding And Media 28:01 Journalism Background 29:13 Congress Reality Check 30:39 Oval Office With Bush 32:44 Climate Beat Back Then 35:09 Momentum After 2024 38:32 AI Needs Real Energy 40:24 Fakegate Scandal Recap 47:03 Inside UN COP Meetings 48:57 Social Media Censorship 51:38 YouTube UN Banners 53:02 Closing Thoughts Freedom https://x.com/jlakely See all Heartland “International Conference on Climate Change” videos here: https://climateconferences.heartland.org/ ========= Slides, summaries, references, and transcripts of my podcasts: https://tomn.substack.com/p/podcast-summaries My Linktree: https://linktr.ee/tomanelson1

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About

Interviews and presentations on climate/energy realism and more, with guests including Will Happer, Jerome Corsi, Marc Morano, Carl-Otto Weiss, Valentina Zharkova, Christopher Essex, Henrik Svensmark, Patrick Moore, Ross McKitrick, Willie Soon, Susan Crockford, Peter Ridd, Christopher Monckton, and Richard Lindzen.

Information

  • Creator
    Thomas Nelson
  • Years Active
    2022 - 2026
  • Episodes
    429
  • Rating
    Explicit
  • Copyright
    © Thomas Nelson
  • Show Website
    Tom Nelson

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