State of AI with Nathan Benaich

Nathan Benaich (Air Street Capital)

The State of AI podcast from Nathan Benaich - investor at Air Street Capital and author of the State of AI Report, the most widely read analysis of AI, published every year since 2018. Two things, every week. Short, opinionated breakdowns of what's actually moving in AI: frontier research, the geopolitics, and the capital. And long-form interviews and playbooks with the founders and scientists building the field - the people behind companies like ElevenLabs, Profluent, Synthesia, Wayve, Black Forest Labs and Anthropic. Subscribe to the newsletter at press.airstreet.com and www.stateof.ai

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    State of AI: Compute Index 2026

    The fifth State of AI Compute Index, in collaboration with Zeta Alpha. After a soft 2025, open AI research citations rebounded in 2026 - and NVIDIA still appears in ~91% of them. But the bigger story has moved off the page: Hopper is now the live installed base, Blackwell is mostly still pipeline, and frontier labs have started buying compute by the gigawatt. Nathan walks through what changed, what didn't, and why "GPU count" is becoming the wrong question. Read the full piece and explore the live charts: https://www.stateof.ai/compute Chapters (00:00) What's new in v5 - citations, infrastructure, and gigawatts(01:25) The breather was short: 2025 was a pause, not a rollover(03:15) NVIDIA at ~91%, and the challengers - AMD, Huawei, Apple, TPU(05:05) Inside NVIDIA: the handover from A100 to Hopper to Blackwell(06:55) Startup silicon fragments - Groq, Cerebras, and the NVIDIA deal(08:20) Hopper is the installed base: 460k deployed GPUs(09:50) Blackwell is mostly pipeline: 80% still announced(11:00) The demand side, measured in gigawatts(12:15) Looking ahead, and why a GPU order isn't a clusterLinks: Full index and charts: https://www.stateof.ai/computeState of AI Report: https://www.stateof.aiAir Street Press: https://press.airstreet.comIf you found this useful, rate State of AI with Nathan Benaich five stars and share it with someone building in AI infrastructure - it genuinely helps.

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The State of AI podcast from Nathan Benaich - investor at Air Street Capital and author of the State of AI Report, the most widely read analysis of AI, published every year since 2018. Two things, every week. Short, opinionated breakdowns of what's actually moving in AI: frontier research, the geopolitics, and the capital. And long-form interviews and playbooks with the founders and scientists building the field - the people behind companies like ElevenLabs, Profluent, Synthesia, Wayve, Black Forest Labs and Anthropic. Subscribe to the newsletter at press.airstreet.com and www.stateof.ai

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